Flawed-Chief — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$76

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

27.4%

Resolved

Trades

374

lifetime

Volume

$41.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$111

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 07-20 13:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 100% +$5

Other

17% — —

Politics

5% 0% $-82

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will mrbeasts next video get between 52 and 55 million views on day 3	2	$2.1K	2,481	2,481	+0	open	—	03-10 15:42
btc updown 5m 1773195900	1	$1.7K	1,719	0	+1,719	open	—	03-11 02:29
btc updown 5m 1773168300	1	$1.6K	1,772	0	+1,772	open	—	03-10 18:49
btc updown 5m 1773167700	1	$1.6K	1,630	0	+1,630	open	—	03-10 18:39
btc updown 5m 1773167400	1	$1.5K	1,614	0	+1,614	open	—	03-10 18:34
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	3	$940	8,426	8,019	+406	open	—	04-29 08:02
will mrbeasts latest video get 41 million or more views on week 1	4	$859	933	2,202	-1,268	open	—	02-27 13:51
sol updown 5m 1774038300	2	$685	349	349	+0	open	—	03-20 20:32
btc updown 5m 1773469800	4	$565	345	343	+2	open	—	03-14 06:35
btc updown 5m 1773215100	1	$516	526	0	+526	open	—	03-11 07:48
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?	3	$512	11,667	0	+11,667	open	—	02-11 18:55
will mrbeasts latest video get between 55 and 60 million views on week 1	3	$504	18,676	0	+18,676	open	—	02-12 19:06
sol updown 5m 1774040700	1	$504	599	0	+599	open	—	03-20 21:10
btc updown 5m 1773214800	1	$495	516	0	+516	open	—	03-11 07:45
btc updown 5m 1773470100	2	$479	243	243	+0	open	—	03-14 06:39
btc updown 5m 1773207000	1	$471	510	0	+510	open	—	03-11 05:34
will iran strike israel on march 10	9	$466	34,751	429	+34,322	open	—	03-15 12:31
btc updown 5m 1773214200	1	$466	496	0	+496	open	—	03-11 07:34
btc updown 5m 1773213900	1	$457	466	0	+466	open	—	03-11 07:29
sol updown 5m 1774040400	1	$445	505	0	+505	open	—	03-20 21:04
btc updown 5m 1773469500	2	$422	221	221	+0	open	—	03-14 06:31
sol updown 5m 1774040100	1	$404	446	0	+446	open	—	03-20 20:59
will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 432	3	$398	5,805	0	+5,805	open	—	03-22 13:38
btc updown 5m 1772002800	3	$380	529	479	+50	open	—	02-25 07:04
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 31 april 6	2	$374	14,045	0	+14,045	open	—	04-06 00:39
btc updown 5m 1774039800	1	$372	405	0	+405	open	—	03-20 20:54
btc updown 5m 1773213600	1	$370	460	0	+460	open	—	03-11 07:24
sol updown 5m 1774039200	1	$358	372	0	+372	open	—	03-20 20:44
sol updown 5m 1774038900	1	$348	358	0	+358	open	—	03-20 20:39
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	2	$338	3,314	3,314	+0	No	$-82	05-07 18:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 13:18:49	btc updown 5m 1784553300	Down	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0xe478e0…
07-20 13:18:48	btc updown 5m 1784553300	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x0a87d2…
07-20 13:13:06	btc updown 5m 1784553000	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x8c2e54…
07-20 13:13:00	btc updown 5m 1784553000	Up	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x4aa884…
07-13 08:35:02	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase july 7 13	Yes	BUY	201	22¢	$44	0x24911c…
07-06 13:28:19	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 30 july 6	Yes	BUY	1,440	0¢	$3	0x902850…
07-06 07:57:58	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 30 july 6	Yes	BUY	14,784	1¢	$161	0x645062…
06-01 16:55:09	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	SELL	165	0¢	$1	0x3a1059…
05-31 14:03:17	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	165	37¢	$60	0x0fd4fd…
05-28 19:50:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	540	4¢	$21	0xe57d28…
05-28 19:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0xc0d981…
05-28 19:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	57	43¢	$25	0x79cba8…
05-28 19:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	77	94¢	$73	0x4895e6…
05-28 19:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xf27a0e…
05-28 19:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0xb8a727…
05-28 19:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x7409fa…
05-28 19:00:04	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,482	4¢	$57	0x664d3f…
05-28 15:14:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,482	6¢	$95	0x5d9369…
05-18 05:20:27	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	37	5¢	$2	0x8eea0f…
05-18 05:19:26	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	1,974	5¢	$95	0x58cc08…
05-17 12:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x600d1c…
05-17 12:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x9af459…
05-17 12:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xcef213…
05-17 12:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	17	26¢	$4	0xf9bab0…
05-17 12:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x9993fd…
05-07 18:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	133	96¢	$128	0xd91482…
05-07 18:23:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,314	4¢	$128	0xdfc931…
05-06 14:21:04	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,314	6¢	$210	0xd09f76…
04-29 08:02:50	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	SELL	7,859	8¢	$625	0x93fd1f…
04-29 07:32:40	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	SELL	160	10¢	$15	0x00a1d3…
04-28 15:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xc4fd36…
04-28 14:54:54	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1,070	0¢	$3	0xc25203…
04-28 14:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x8c03e6…
04-28 14:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x42092d…
04-28 14:16:52	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0xca98c3…
04-28 14:16:16	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	4,333	0¢	$13	0x382d5f…
04-28 06:21:56	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	6,673	0¢	$20	0x1fe328…
04-28 06:16:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11,000	0¢	$22	0x5dab03…
04-28 06:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x18f5a2…
04-28 06:11:58	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	8,426	4¢	$300	0x06cedb…
04-28 04:30:58	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1,013	0¢	$3	0x620830…
04-28 04:29:46	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,366	0¢	$3	0x14e91c…
04-27 07:45:30	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xbbc51b…
04-27 07:38:52	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	5,325	0¢	$11	0xa162a3…
04-27 07:36:36	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?	No	BUY	2,576	1¢	$25	0xb437e2…
04-27 07:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	61	78¢	$47	0xfbae08…
04-27 07:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	49	65¢	$32	0x84c9b5…
04-27 07:12:14	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	32	70¢	$23	0x4cc9ac…
04-27 07:09:38	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	22,600	0¢	$23	0x09e4f8…
04-25 06:29:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	9,660	0¢	$48	0xf2172b…
04-25 06:12:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15,448	0¢	$77	0x2e8eba…
04-25 05:30:02	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	219	90¢	$197	0x112cc7…
04-25 05:27:54	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,437	1¢	$15	0xb7325a…
04-25 05:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	213	93¢	$198	0xcc579c…
04-25 05:14:42	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	199	99¢	$196	0x3bf5f9…
04-25 05:09:42	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	196	99¢	$194	0x326263…
04-24 06:20:50	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	7,600	0¢	$15	0x72c4b0…
04-24 06:20:26	btc updown 5m 1777011300	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x395d9b…
04-24 06:19:46	btc updown 5m 1777011300	Up	BUY	16	81¢	$13	0x365e71…
04-24 06:19:22	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	15,000	0¢	$30	0x2106bf…
04-18 18:05:36	will trump post make iran great again or miga on truth social this week	Yes	BUY	7,170	0¢	$7	0x397edc…
04-18 18:05:18	Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	1,274	2¢	$20	0xef0394…
04-18 17:59:40	btc updown 5m 1776534900	Down	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0xb14337…
04-18 17:54:54	sol updown 5m 1776534600	Down	BUY	27	70¢	$19	0x32702e…
04-18 17:49:22	btc updown 5m 1776534300	Up	BUY	19	88¢	$17	0x014408…
04-18 12:40:22	will trump post make iran great again or miga on truth social this week	Yes	BUY	22,360	0¢	$22	0x4b3a38…
04-13 09:23:25	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase april 7 13	No	BUY	1,026	1¢	$13	0x8ccc4b…
04-13 05:55:25	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase april 7 13	No	BUY	5,340	2¢	$82	0x7f8695…
04-13 05:55:07	btc updown 5m 1776059400	Up	SELL	83	99¢	$82	0x96622c…
04-13 05:54:47	btc updown 5m 1776059400	Up	BUY	83	98¢	$81	0x1e8e04…
04-07 13:54:49	will iran strike uae again in march	No	BUY	7,050	0¢	$7	0x464f3f…
04-07 13:54:35	sol updown 5m 1775569800	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x0513e8…
04-07 13:53:57	sol updown 5m 1775569800	Up	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x481157…
04-07 13:51:47	will iran strike uae again in march	No	BUY	1,390	0¢	$1	0x056a2f…
04-07 13:44:13	btc updown 5m 1775569200	Down	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xb120fc…
04-07 13:39:39	sol updown 5m 1775568900	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x3005a9…
04-07 13:38:23	will iran strike uae again in march	No	BUY	6,600	0¢	$7	0xaafde3…
04-07 10:06:17	will mrbeasts next video get between 60 and 62 million views on day 3	Yes	BUY	570	2¢	$10	0xef781f…
04-07 09:59:43	btc updown 5m 1775555700	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x470ed5…
04-07 09:59:19	will mrbeasts next video get between 56 and 58 million views on day 3	Yes	BUY	4,339	0¢	$10	0x239ab9…
04-06 13:23:31	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	11,560	0¢	$12	0x165053…
04-06 00:39:37	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 31 april 6	No	BUY	11,900	2¢	$230	0x1caaaf…
04-05 09:51:13	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	3,570	2¢	$64	0xa1c6ac…
04-05 09:49:55	btc updown 5m 1775382300	Down	BUY	122	37¢	$45	0xa0333f…
04-05 09:44:43	btc updown 5m 1775382000	Up	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0x3ba10c…
04-05 09:39:53	btc updown 5m 1775381700	Down	BUY	108	95¢	$103	0xe66769…
04-05 09:34:37	btc updown 5m 1775381400	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x1294bc…
04-05 09:30:39	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 31 april 6	No	BUY	2,145	7¢	$144	0xfe114f…
04-04 17:59:35	btc updown 5m 1775325300	Up	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x19cd4f…
04-04 17:56:59	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	575	0¢	$1	0xb504e8…
04-04 17:49:59	btc updown 5m 1775324700	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x4cb59a…
04-04 17:44:57	sol updown 5m 1775324400	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xfdc558…
04-04 17:35:41	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	1,695	0¢	$3	0xc3374a…
04-04 17:34:39	btc updown 5m 1775323800	Up	SELL	106	33¢	$35	0xef025e…
04-04 17:34:19	btc updown 5m 1775323800	Up	BUY	112	27¢	$30	0x075d02…
04-04 17:26:37	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	5,686	0¢	$21	0x1d90ec…
04-04 17:26:19	btc updown 5m 1775323200	Up	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0xecb246…
04-04 17:24:49	btc updown 5m 1775323200	Up	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0x1208d1…
04-04 17:19:49	btc updown 5m 1775322900	Down	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x286046…
04-04 17:16:33	Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	676	1¢	$6	0x388aeb…