These-Alloy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$88

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.6%

Resolved

1,208

Trades

15,306

lifetime

Volume

$14.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 10-08 11:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 70 days

Categories

Other

100% 55% +$88

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	63	$327	353	353	+0	Yes	+$4	04-28 13:03
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	36	$308	354	354	+0	Yes	-$1	04-17 05:30
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	36	$301	593	593	+0	Yes	-$27	04-07 14:45
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 40 64	59	$300	361	353	+8	No	-$8	04-15 15:43
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	47	$267	214	214	+0	Yes	-$3	04-22 15:35
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 65 89	17	$258	190	190	+0	Yes	+$7	04-18 06:52
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	52	$239	714	714	+0	No	+$15	04-10 13:41
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 40 64	19	$198	925	906	+18	No	-$21	04-18 02:57
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	39	$183	191	191	+0	Yes	+$1	04-29 14:59
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	35	$182	157	157	+0	Yes	+$2	04-27 15:15
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	57	$167	1,764	1,764	+0	Yes	+$12	04-14 15:51
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	32	$163	154	154	+0	Yes	-$1	04-10 14:31
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 90 114	15	$159	353	353	+0	No	+$7	04-18 05:32
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	42	$156	671	471	+200	No	-$4	05-02 03:26
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	27	$152	128	128	+0	Yes	$0	04-21 14:33
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 40 64	32	$144	282	282	+0	No	+$2	04-11 01:45
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 115 139	41	$140	379	379	+0	Yes	-$1	04-13 14:16
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	27	$135	104	104	-0	No	-$5	04-25 11:52
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	17	$111	99	99	+0	No	+$1	04-07 13:51
elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 65 89	20	$111	86	86	+0	Yes	+$1	04-08 06:32
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 65 89	32	$110	233	233	+0	Yes	-$13	04-15 15:42
elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 90 114	19	$108	218	217	+1	No	-$2	04-08 11:11
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 90 114	20	$108	161	161	+0	No	-$12	04-12 20:45
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 300 319	29	$101	221	221	+0	No	-$4	04-14 15:32
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	24	$95	376	376	+0	No	-$1	04-27 22:56
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	26	$94	1,245	245	+1,000	No	-$2	05-01 03:19
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	23	$92	578	578	+0	No	-$12	05-03 20:30
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	18	$89	119	119	+0	Yes	+$5	04-25 11:58
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	21	$88	186	186	+0	No	+$2	04-28 05:37
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 65 89	15	$80	57	57	+0	Yes	+$0	04-11 13:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 11:25:53	Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on October 8?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x0d0ca5…
10-08 02:42:59	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 17°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0x74f3a7…
10-08 01:57:20	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 17°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x48e201…
10-06 05:44:22	Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x91c885…
10-05 05:04:07	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x6b7f0c…
10-05 05:03:50	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xef278b…
10-05 05:03:35	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x9c63f2…
10-05 05:03:17	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xb1309f…
10-05 05:02:58	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x78e43e…
10-05 05:02:32	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x848a2c…
10-05 05:02:07	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x3df479…
10-05 05:01:49	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xa0de7e…
10-05 05:01:17	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xe1fd5a…
10-05 05:00:58	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x8f8fbd…
10-05 05:00:44	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x2049d5…
10-05 05:00:34	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x969277…
10-05 05:00:23	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xc93604…
10-05 05:00:11	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x0146ba…
10-05 04:59:53	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x8ddc46…
10-05 04:59:34	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xe01104…
10-05 04:59:25	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xbe8c3b…
10-05 04:59:14	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x373c8f…
10-05 04:59:02	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xfff9d2…
10-05 04:58:49	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xe36bf7…
10-05 04:58:38	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xd0e9aa…
10-05 04:58:28	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x63f5c9…
10-05 04:58:17	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xc1402c…
10-05 04:58:07	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x5e33ae…
10-05 04:57:56	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x9701c8…
10-05 04:57:47	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x8485a6…
10-05 04:57:35	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x130ede…
10-05 04:57:25	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x3e5823…
10-05 04:57:16	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xf147e2…
10-05 04:56:43	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x950a9c…
10-05 04:56:34	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xe8b2a6…
10-05 04:56:23	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x7b1455…
10-05 04:56:14	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xd15e9a…
10-05 04:56:02	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x3972c6…
10-05 04:55:50	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x9b869e…
10-05 04:55:38	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xbb0973…
10-05 04:55:26	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x4b40dd…
10-05 04:55:16	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xc3dfe8…
10-05 04:55:05	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xaf5517…
10-05 04:54:52	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x1696b3…
10-05 04:54:43	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x44cc86…
10-05 04:54:31	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x20336c…
10-05 04:54:19	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x24d5c5…
10-05 04:54:08	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x5e34b4…
10-05 04:53:56	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x32d0f8…
10-05 04:53:46	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x018534…
10-05 04:53:35	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x58df18…
10-05 04:53:26	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x469564…
10-05 04:53:16	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xd4f543…
10-05 04:53:02	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x55c4e5…
10-05 04:52:49	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x4c64af…
10-05 04:52:38	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xd695b0…
10-05 04:04:17	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xb264c7…
10-05 04:04:10	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x5cfd10…
10-05 04:04:08	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	301	0¢	$1	0x30097b…
10-05 03:51:44	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x59594b…
10-04 11:51:55	Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on October 4?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xa2df26…
10-04 11:08:17	Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	260	0¢	$1	0x42c751…
10-04 11:07:29	Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	240	0¢	$0	0x712d94…
09-29 07:45:26	Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on September 29?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x8765df…
09-29 07:45:14	Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on September 29?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0xa5fd1e…
09-29 07:45:02	Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on September 29?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0xbfac55…
09-29 07:44:50	Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on September 29?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0xa05515…
09-29 07:44:38	Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on September 29?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0xf005dd…
09-29 07:44:26	Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on September 29?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x952c15…
09-29 07:44:14	Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on September 29?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x08c86f…
09-29 07:44:03	Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on September 29?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x5db37a…
09-29 07:43:53	Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on September 29?	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0x737590…
09-29 07:43:41	Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on September 29?	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0x17371f…
09-29 07:43:29	Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on September 29?	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0x8120e4…
09-29 07:43:15	Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on September 29?	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0x4cf45a…
09-29 07:43:03	Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on September 29?	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0xd46fe2…
09-29 07:10:30	Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on September 29?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xb73307…
09-29 07:10:30	Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on September 29?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x50838f…
09-25 11:30:45	Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on September 25?	Yes	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0x6f729a…
09-25 08:56:27	Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on September 25?	Yes	SELL	14	34¢	$5	0xb23763…
09-25 08:10:53	Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on September 25?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x7d7260…
09-25 05:52:14	Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on September 25?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0xfb9c3d…
09-24 01:27:50	Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on September 23?	Yes	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0xac8271…
09-24 01:27:37	Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on September 23?	Yes	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0x9f8368…
09-23 05:14:41	Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on September 23?	Yes	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0xa6d972…
09-23 04:27:28	Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 6°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xcbec5a…
09-21 16:29:39	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xa389eb…
09-20 09:21:28	Will the lowest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on September 20?	Yes	SELL	92	0¢	$0	0xd89fe2…
09-20 07:18:47	Will the lowest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xdb39ca…
09-19 08:26:30	Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on September 19?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xc602fc…
09-19 08:17:07	Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on September 19?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x3fd31a…
09-19 08:16:55	Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on September 19?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xf6fa98…
09-19 08:16:45	Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on September 19?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x63030f…
09-19 08:16:34	Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on September 19?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x189836…
09-19 08:16:22	Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on September 19?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x363085…
09-19 08:16:13	Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on September 19?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x9e48fa…
09-19 08:16:01	Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on September 19?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x422b34…
09-19 08:15:51	Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on September 19?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x15ae6e…
09-19 08:15:40	Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on September 19?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xf30316…
09-19 08:15:30	Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on September 19?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xda6926…