Luminous-Aspect — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$27

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

66.5%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

170

10,784 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$420

$24.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 10-31 16:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 159 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 66% -$405

Other

2% 36% -$46

Sports

0% 47% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 317 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	—	+2	$1	99¢	$2	+$1	10-31 23:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	—	+3	$2	1¢	$0	-$2	10-31 22:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	13	$81	49	49	+0	Up	+$5	10-10 08:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 13:25 UTC	11	$64	50	31	+18	Up	-$2	06-27 13:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 13:45 UTC	10	$53	42	42	+0	Down	+$1	06-27 13:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 14:10 UTC	8	$51	48	48	+0	Up	-$3	06-27 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	9	$49	39	35	+4	Up	$0	10-10 07:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 07:20 UTC	8	$48	39	39	+0	Down	-$4	07-24 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	9	$48	41	30	+11	Down	-$15	10-10 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	10	$48	32	29	+3	Down	+$1	10-10 01:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 14:25 UTC	9	$47	47	31	+16	Down	-$9	06-27 14:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 19:40 UTC	12	$45	39	39	+0	Down	-$4	06-25 19:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 21:00 UTC	10	$43	33	31	+2	Up	+$5	06-25 21:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 18:45 UTC	8	$42	31	23	+8	Up	$0	06-25 18:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 23:45 UTC	7	$41	33	31	+2	Down	+$3	07-23 23:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:05 UTC	7	$40	30	30	+0	Up	+$0	10-15 06:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	16	$39	33	33	+0	Up	-$3	04-30 13:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 06:25 UTC	13	$39	36	36	+0	Down	+$1	06-27 06:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 23:50 UTC	3	$38	31	23	+8	Up	+$8	06-26 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	6	$38	27	25	+3	Down	+$7	10-10 08:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 05:40 UTC	6	$38	30	25	+5	Up	+$4	07-09 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	10	$37	31	24	+6	Up	-$3	10-15 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	11	$37	34	29	+5	Up	-$5	10-11 12:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 04:40 UTC	6	$36	26	21	+5	Up	+$4	06-26 04:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 07:35 UTC	10	$35	28	20	+8	Down	+$3	06-27 07:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 18:50 UTC	5	$35	25	25	+0	Up	-$5	06-25 18:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 11:30 UTC	7	$35	35	26	+9	Down	+$1	09-28 11:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 19:15 UTC	12	$34	28	28	+0	Down	+$0	06-25 19:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC	8	$34	22	22	+0	Down	+$2	10-15 02:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 12:10 UTC	8	$33	26	17	+9	Down	+$1	06-25 12:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	7	$33	37	31	+6	Up	-$3	04-29 10:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	8	$33	26	20	+6	Up	+$2	10-15 14:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 23:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x8d9d92…
10-31 22:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x6af774…
10-31 22:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x16da4d…
10-31 22:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x843d20…
10-31 22:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x67e8a5…
10-31 22:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	8	83¢	$7	0x2dee6d…
10-31 22:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xf7992d…
10-31 22:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x7003a4…
10-31 22:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x56f58d…
10-31 22:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x12f535…
10-31 22:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x07f562…
10-31 22:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0x6f5d11…
10-31 22:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xfc554b…
10-31 22:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa50860…
10-31 22:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xaddd80…
10-31 22:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x5492dd…
10-31 22:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x1b0e5e…
10-31 22:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0e9542…
10-31 22:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xc64fc0…
10-31 22:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0xeffdb4…
10-31 22:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x048bdc…
10-31 22:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x404adb…
10-31 22:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x79ad1a…
10-31 16:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x7213e9…
10-31 16:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x14e8a2…
10-31 16:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0x3c624f…
10-31 16:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xa7c4af…
10-31 16:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0x82a933…
10-31 16:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xe43d76…
10-31 16:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd8eebc…
10-31 16:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x89096c…
10-31 16:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0x679583…
10-31 16:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xe50fdd…
10-31 16:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x07774c…
10-31 16:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0xe0d0f5…
10-31 16:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xff8891…
10-31 16:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x72e867…
10-31 16:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x2c10a7…
10-31 16:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x36c1e4…
10-31 16:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xda4bba…
10-31 15:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xd898cd…
10-31 15:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x95fbe3…
10-31 15:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x33b30a…
10-31 15:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x1e697f…
10-31 15:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc09b68…
10-31 15:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x51b131…
10-31 07:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0xb0fcad…
10-31 07:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x812736…
10-31 07:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x2029fb…
10-31 06:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7d89a9…
10-31 05:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd6e251…
10-31 05:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	16	86¢	$13	0xe219e1…
10-31 05:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x9dbd68…
10-31 05:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x25b714…
10-31 00:21:07	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x456ac8…
10-30 22:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xeccf14…
10-30 22:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xa595fe…
10-30 22:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xa75f52…
10-30 22:34:33	LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Liquid	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe3a830…
10-30 22:24:18	LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Liquid	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe2d49a…
10-30 21:22:33	LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS - Game 2 Winner	LOS	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x4e3689…
10-30 16:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0x9605ed…
10-30 16:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xf6ea4f…
10-30 16:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x5f9a80…
10-30 16:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xeb2c90…
10-30 16:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x2239f4…
10-30 16:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x04bd6a…
10-30 16:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xca3aa4…
10-30 11:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xea5ca6…
10-30 11:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0x3130d1…
10-30 08:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x052a7f…
10-30 08:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x95b67f…
10-30 08:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x09063f…
10-30 06:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xc732cf…
10-30 06:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0xd2355e…
10-30 04:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x663f63…
10-30 04:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x3ee63e…
10-30 02:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xddc940…
10-30 02:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x25f9b2…
10-30 02:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd123c6…
10-30 02:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0d8903…
10-30 02:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7f4ffc…
10-30 02:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$1	0xc2c03b…
10-30 02:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xef1545…
10-30 02:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x174694…
10-30 02:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x0a46de…
10-30 02:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xa5f6c0…
10-30 02:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xc54386…
10-30 02:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xbbb925…
10-30 02:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	92¢	$4	0x2366ff…
10-30 02:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x7c5a13…
10-30 02:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	22¢	$1	0x1f8929…
10-30 02:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x3b55dc…
10-30 02:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x266e58…
10-30 01:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x07b75a…
10-30 01:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x00ebbd…
10-30 01:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xaca63b…
10-29 10:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xe82ed2…
10-29 10:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xd2442c…
10-29 10:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x27b6ff…