Unnatural-Saffron — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.9%

Resolved

Trades

243

lifetime

Volume

$278

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 05-09 18:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 58% $-3

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	11	$16	13	12	+1	Up	+$1	05-07 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	12	$15	15	15	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	10	$11	9	9	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 18:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	8	$11	11	11	+0	open	—	04-30 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	8	$9	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	6	$9	11	11	+0	open	—	04-30 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	7	$8	8	5	+3	Up	$-2	05-08 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	6	$8	8	8	+0	open	—	04-30 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	7	$7	5	4	+1	Down	$-1	05-07 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	6	$7	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 11:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	6	$7	8	8	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 14:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	7	$7	7	6	+1	Down	$-1	05-07 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	6	$7	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 17:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	6	$7	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	6	$7	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 14:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	4	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	5	$6	7	5	+2	Down	$-0	05-06 18:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 19:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	5	$4	5	4	+1	Down	$-0	05-06 17:54
btc updown 5m 1773155400	3	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	03-10 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 14:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	4	$4	7	2	+5	Down	$-2	05-08 11:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-30 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	4	$4	4	4	-0	Up	$-2	05-08 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	4	$4	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 15:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Up	$-0	05-05 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	5	$4	5	3	+1	Down	$-1	05-05 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	3	$3	4	2	+1	Up	+$1	05-04 21:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 18:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x349fa5…
05-08 21:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x850556…
05-08 20:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x66a409…
05-08 20:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$2	0xe68eda…
05-08 20:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0xbb9918…
05-08 20:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x661430…
05-08 20:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	53¢	$1	0x6578a7…
05-08 20:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd64c2a…
05-08 20:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf8bf0b…
05-08 20:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x166975…
05-08 20:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xad1c2f…
05-08 20:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x1682a4…
05-08 20:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x12b210…
05-08 19:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x462b99…
05-08 19:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0x0cd877…
05-08 19:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xb5cd0d…
05-08 19:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0xe1dba6…
05-08 19:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x15efa1…
05-08 19:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xc1fa2d…
05-08 12:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x032511…
05-08 12:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x100b92…
05-08 11:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xe3a686…
05-08 11:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9ba4b8…
05-08 11:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xeddbd6…
05-08 11:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x9caa3a…
05-08 11:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf269a9…
05-08 11:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7e866b…
05-08 11:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xc9e05f…
05-08 11:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7d4201…
05-08 11:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$2	0x9fc6b0…
05-08 11:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x02fe60…
05-08 11:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x32ce58…
05-08 11:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x5370d6…
05-08 11:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xf903fa…
05-08 11:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x873be8…
05-08 11:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x93187c…
05-08 11:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xcd6de9…
05-07 18:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x569a5d…
05-07 18:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa14b68…
05-07 18:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x507d0b…
05-07 18:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc15513…
05-07 18:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8e4fe9…
05-07 18:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x0b7ddf…
05-07 18:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xcaa7eb…
05-07 18:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xecc259…
05-07 18:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xa1f903…
05-07 18:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xc9d98e…
05-07 18:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x21c4ba…
05-07 18:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xf43c29…
05-07 18:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x00b526…
05-07 18:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x017b8b…
05-07 18:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xace773…
05-07 18:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x429c85…
05-07 18:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x9f4966…
05-07 18:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x67462b…
05-07 18:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x573db1…
05-07 18:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xb7e6fd…
05-07 18:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xc126bf…
05-07 18:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xe5c707…
05-07 18:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x6876ab…
05-07 18:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xf67513…
05-07 18:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x6ce380…
05-07 18:03:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x509d59…
05-07 18:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x420b4b…
05-07 18:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	64¢	$2	0xa57060…
05-07 18:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xb077ea…
05-06 19:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xcf76c9…
05-06 19:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x51ef12…
05-06 19:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc86235…
05-06 19:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x585b45…
05-06 19:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd653e7…
05-06 19:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x81b4ec…
05-06 19:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xc84bb9…
05-06 19:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xa1ab23…
05-06 19:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x78770f…
05-06 19:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x04b455…
05-06 19:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xfd1063…
05-06 18:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x26ad04…
05-06 18:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0e2dbf…
05-06 18:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x93c4ea…
05-06 18:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xac418a…
05-06 18:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x74880f…
05-06 18:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0706aa…
05-06 18:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xc189e8…
05-06 18:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x96a55d…
05-06 18:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x26e077…
05-06 18:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xc3aa8d…
05-06 18:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x90d391…
05-06 18:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xd0c04d…
05-06 18:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x84e10b…
05-06 18:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xb9e68a…
05-06 18:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd88b49…
05-06 18:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x3a7d27…
05-06 18:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x596112…
05-06 18:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xd23973…
05-06 18:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x6ee2fb…
05-06 18:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x546863…
05-06 18:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x2005c7…
05-06 18:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x629329…
05-06 18:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x0f35dd…