Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$17
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
166
lifetime
Volume
$574
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$160
8 positions
First seen
2026-05-24
last 06-11 23:56
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
52%
Other
44%
Crypto
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +101 $60 44¢ $45 $-14 06-11 23:56
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -50 $-35 76¢ $-38 $-3 06-03 01:37
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +26 $24 94¢ $24 +$0 06-04 11:56
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No -27 $-23 84¢ $-23 +$0 06-11 13:44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -16 $-14 82¢ $-13 +$1 05-31 15:17
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No -10 $-10 97¢ $-10 $-0 06-02 22:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No -15 $-4 24¢ $-4 $-0 05-30 03:37
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No -2 $-2 88¢ $-2 $-0 06-01 23:14