Essential-Ancestor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$119

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.9%

Resolved

137

Trades

1,028

lifetime

Volume

$4.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 05-08 22:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 66% $-119

Other

12% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 143 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
LoL: Ei Nerd Esports vs RMD Gaming - Game 2 Winner	3	$134	81	80	+1	open	—	04-27 21:47
btc updown 15m 1776587400	6	$108	132	0	+132	open	—	04-19 08:39
btc updown 15m 1776595500	2	$99	105	0	+105	open	—	04-19 10:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	3	$98	89	89	+0	open	—	05-03 18:23
btc updown 15m 1776879900	4	$97	124	0	+124	open	—	04-22 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$86	161	0	+161	Up	$-86	05-08 22:10
btc updown 15m 1776603600	1	$80	82	0	+82	open	—	04-19 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	2	$79	60	60	+0	open	—	05-04 05:12
btc updown 5m 1776551400	1	$56	111	0	+111	open	—	04-18 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	1	$53	101	0	+101	open	—	05-04 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	2	$51	37	37	+0	open	—	05-03 10:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	2	$50	39	39	+0	open	—	05-04 04:48
LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	4	$49	79	60	+19	open	—	04-26 17:23
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winner	6	$47	59	58	+1	open	—	04-26 19:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	3	$46	38	24	+14	Down	+$12	05-06 21:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	3	$46	34	34	+0	Down	+$10	05-06 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$46	27	27	+0	Down	+$6	05-08 21:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$45	76	0	+76	Down	$-45	05-08 22:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	3	$42	70	0	+70	open	—	05-01 06:02
btc updown 15m 1776586500	2	$40	51	0	+51	open	—	04-19 08:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	4	$40	29	28	+0	Down	+$16	05-07 20:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	3	$40	60	60	+0	open	—	05-04 15:11
btc updown 5m 1776883800	8	$38	87	0	+87	open	—	04-22 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	3	$36	25	25	+0	open	—	05-04 14:37
btc updown 5m 1776550800	1	$36	66	0	+66	open	—	04-18 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	3	$36	56	0	+56	open	—	05-01 06:16
btc updown 5m 1776882900	5	$36	54	0	+54	open	—	04-22 18:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$36	23	23	+0	Down	+$8	05-07 21:52
btc updown 5m 1776542700	1	$35	61	0	+61	open	—	04-18 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	4	$35	28	28	+0	Down	+$6	05-06 17:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 22:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0xa5a6df…
05-08 22:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	147	54¢	$80	0xc86266…
05-08 22:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	76	59¢	$45	0x4cbfa6…
05-08 22:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x6c57cd…
05-08 21:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	74	9¢	$7	0xbc297e…
05-08 21:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x6d42e1…
05-08 21:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0x3419e1…
05-08 21:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x7d963e…
05-08 21:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	12	65¢	$8	0xf15965…
05-08 21:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xd7b429…
05-08 21:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x97feea…
05-08 21:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x7d71c5…
05-08 21:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	27	95¢	$26	0x1a03a7…
05-08 21:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x697a59…
05-08 21:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x8f7e59…
05-08 21:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x0c7e05…
05-08 21:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x9c15b3…
05-08 21:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	22	24¢	$5	0x13c3ec…
05-08 21:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xfe1318…
05-08 21:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xa021d0…
05-08 21:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x1b18d3…
05-08 21:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	31	40¢	$12	0xe8f363…
05-08 21:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0x67ed15…
05-08 21:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xb52902…
05-08 21:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xde7c35…
05-08 21:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0x1bc600…
05-08 21:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x97d65a…
05-08 21:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x63fd32…
05-08 21:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0xfc6b47…
05-08 21:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0xf88d4f…
05-08 21:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0x9af8da…
05-08 21:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0x86c0a1…
05-08 21:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0x6707cf…
05-08 21:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xbe4199…
05-08 21:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x9a2d05…
05-08 21:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x3cdefe…
05-08 21:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0xf04bdc…
05-08 21:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x2a577d…
05-08 21:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xdb205f…
05-08 21:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	108	5¢	$5	0x105c43…
05-08 21:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xf9eb31…
05-08 21:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x76801f…
05-08 21:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x3867de…
05-08 21:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x16dbbe…
05-08 21:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	8	57¢	$4	0x03c81d…
05-08 21:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xfd7025…
05-08 21:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	15	59¢	$9	0x75acf3…
05-08 20:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x4f2598…
05-08 20:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x3320e1…
05-08 20:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xaa8c75…
05-08 20:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x2636e5…
05-08 20:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa42047…
05-08 20:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6ce5f6…
05-08 20:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0xbecb75…
05-08 20:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	15	83¢	$12	0x60e2a9…
05-08 20:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x897e6b…
05-08 20:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	13	20¢	$3	0xbd72c7…
05-08 20:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x1a5df9…
05-08 20:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x32c3f8…
05-08 20:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc8497c…
05-08 20:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x6bbd52…
05-08 20:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x52d963…
05-08 20:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xc62ecf…
05-08 20:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x73a9b6…
05-08 20:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	16	45¢	$7	0xf83c2b…
05-08 20:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xfe122e…
05-08 20:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x48b944…
05-08 20:00:18	Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x431609…
05-08 20:00:16	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xd668ec…
05-08 19:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x9c9c32…
05-08 19:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x155e5c…
05-08 19:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x02654c…
05-08 19:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x011916…
05-08 19:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x4907dd…
05-08 19:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x4ac0ad…
05-08 19:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	9	67¢	$6	0x6b0124…
05-08 19:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x53354c…
05-08 19:44:03	Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xf2a7b8…
05-08 19:42:25	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc7ef65…
05-08 19:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	9	62¢	$5	0x54daa6…
05-08 19:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xe1798f…
05-08 19:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xa81d47…
05-08 19:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0xf2621b…
05-08 19:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0x5d24fc…
05-08 19:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x1cb783…
05-08 19:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xb85eda…
05-08 19:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x78100b…
05-08 19:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x8408ce…
05-08 19:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x0c3e1d…
05-08 19:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0xed82b3…
05-08 19:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x023303…
05-08 19:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x5bb7d2…
05-08 19:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0x86e0f5…
05-08 19:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xc404be…
05-08 19:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x90a7b4…
05-08 19:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xbcdcf9…
05-08 19:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	13	82¢	$11	0x032cff…
05-08 19:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	65¢	$4	0x911938…
05-08 19:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x587085…
05-08 19:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0xda09da…