Fearless-Possible — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

80.0%

Resolved

Trades

629

lifetime

Volume

$4.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-08 04:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

36% — —

Sports

27% 52% +$12

Politics

22% — —

Other

14% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 102 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes		+1	$1	98¢	$1	+$0	05-30 03:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	10	$471	276	276	+0	open	—	03-25 04:31
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	3	$247	169	169	+0	open	—	02-26 18:14
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	10	$125	68	68	+0	open	—	03-28 04:41
mlb ari lad 2026 03 27	8	$125	86	86	+0	open	—	03-28 03:15
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies	8	$105	133	0	+133	open	—	04-21 01:37
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	2	$87	50	50	+0	open	—	05-20 01:20
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	4	$81	43	43	+0	open	—	05-20 01:33
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	3	$80	60	60	+0	open	—	03-22 04:11
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	5	$76	49	48	+1	San Francisco Giants	+$4	05-13 03:12
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	4	$73	43	43	+0	open	—	03-23 03:01
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	7	$70	153	150	+3	open	—	04-26 01:56
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	2	$60	107	0	+107	open	—	05-30 06:29
mlb nym lad 2026 04 14	4	$60	91	0	+91	open	—	04-14 10:52
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	1	$59	81	0	+81	open	—	04-28 04:43
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	3	$56	30	30	+0	open	—	05-18 07:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$52	85	0	+85	open	—	05-19 08:45
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	3	$52	47	47	+0	open	—	03-24 17:49
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	1	$50	250	0	+250	open	—	02-03 06:54
btc updown 5m 1770995100	2	$47	38	37	+1	open	—	02-13 15:07
mlb pit atl 2026 06 05	3	$45	78	0	+78	open	—	06-05 06:29
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	3	$45	25	25	+0	open	—	05-19 10:44
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	7	$44	56	0	+56	open	—	04-28 02:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	2	$43	49	49	+0	open	—	05-30 03:30
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants	6	$43	64	6	+58	open	—	04-23 03:35
50m views on a mrbeast video in the first day by march 31	2	$42	33	33	+0	open	—	01-10 04:08
mlb tor cws 2026 04 03	2	$42	63	0	+63	open	—	04-03 12:31
Clavicular sentenced to prison?	2	$41	23	23	+0	open	—	02-11 05:57
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$41	51	0	+51	open	—	05-20 01:01
si hit 150 high jan 2026	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	01-25 17:30
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	6	$40	42	0	+42	Atlanta Braves	+$2	05-10 02:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 04:24:34	mlb mil oak 2026 06 08	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x0d4c86…
06-08 04:23:30	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x5cedf2…
06-07 18:26:31	mlb pit atl 2026 06 07	Atlanta Braves	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x8bc18a…
06-07 18:26:21	mlb pit atl 2026 06 07	Atlanta Braves	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xc55b33…
06-07 18:20:52	mlb bos nyy 2026 06 07	New York Yankees	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x565dbc…
06-05 06:29:13	mlb pit atl 2026 06 05	Atlanta Braves	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0xa81298…
06-05 04:48:22	mlb pit atl 2026 06 05	Atlanta Braves	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xa0f334…
06-05 04:11:16	mlb pit atl 2026 06 05	Atlanta Braves	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x0dc81c…
06-05 04:11:00	mlb laa lad 2026 06 05	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x9c5651…
06-04 05:57:31	btc updown 5m 1780552800	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xcd4982…
06-04 05:57:31	btc updown 5m 1780552800	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x8c8461…
06-04 05:57:07	btc updown 5m 1780552500	Up	SELL	22	28¢	$6	0xde5f53…
06-04 05:54:42	btc updown 5m 1780552500	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x4a1ff2…
06-04 05:54:31	btc updown 5m 1780552500	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf037a1…
06-04 05:52:34	btc updown 5m 1780552200	Up	SELL	35	11¢	$4	0x8411a1…
06-04 05:52:10	btc updown 5m 1780552200	Up	BUY	35	10¢	$4	0x046c80…
06-04 05:47:16	btc updown 5m 1780551900	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd1ac9b…
06-04 05:43:49	btc updown 5m 1780551600	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf7480a…
06-04 05:08:25	mlb tor atl 2026 06 04	Atlanta Braves	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x76f47b…
06-04 05:05:25	gpt 5pt6 released by june 5 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc07383…
06-04 05:05:13	gpt 5pt6 released by june 5 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x273913…
06-04 02:08:03	mlb lad ari 2026 06 03	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xfba84c…
06-04 01:41:27	mlb lad ari 2026 06 03	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x70b5f3…
06-04 01:41:19	mlb lad ari 2026 06 03	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x4cff78…
06-04 01:41:15	mlb lad ari 2026 06 03	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x1d468d…
06-04 01:41:04	mlb oak chc 2026 06 03	Chicago Cubs	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x9734e2…
06-03 16:24:52	Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs	Chicago Cubs	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xdc164a…
06-03 16:18:48	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x5feeba…
06-03 16:18:16	Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs	Chicago Cubs	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2aaae6…
05-31 19:55:44	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x3c96e6…
05-31 19:51:20	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x0f57f7…
05-31 19:51:11	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x919514…
05-30 06:29:54	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Atlanta Braves	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0x48e623…
05-30 06:14:06	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Atlanta Braves	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0xef0b7c…
05-30 06:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x63900f…
05-30 06:04:06	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x5260cb…
05-30 06:03:55	GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xafc20f…
05-30 05:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x547520…
05-30 03:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	16	89¢	$14	0x599af7…
05-30 03:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x48eef6…
05-30 03:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	49	38¢	$18	0xd2976d…
05-30 03:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x26f616…
05-30 03:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x703151…
05-30 03:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x4b5e43…
05-30 03:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb70b46…
05-30 03:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xaa3056…
05-30 03:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x28620f…
05-30 03:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5de1c4…
05-30 03:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x78a25d…
05-30 03:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x7961d4…
05-30 03:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe2af57…
05-30 03:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xed0bb6…
05-30 03:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x4314e9…
05-30 03:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x2416fe…
05-30 03:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x3fdd28…
05-30 03:02:56	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xc8df37…
05-30 03:02:41	GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8bb5f4…
05-30 03:02:23	GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd59193…
05-29 09:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x00b8c8…
05-29 09:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5076fa…
05-29 09:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1d474c…
05-29 09:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x7d422a…
05-29 08:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb8f9d8…
05-27 04:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xfb0e0e…
05-27 04:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0x75ac19…
05-27 04:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x8b5383…
05-27 04:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x84725b…
05-27 04:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x4fca3b…
05-27 03:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xf683ae…
05-26 17:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1b67df…
05-25 05:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xbcdffe…
05-25 05:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	11	24¢	$3	0x454075…
05-25 05:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x6aa0e7…
05-24 15:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfbc646…
05-24 14:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x16b3dc…
05-24 14:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	21	11¢	$2	0xfc2c3a…
05-24 14:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x07c87f…
05-24 14:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x3f3155…
05-21 02:18:09	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x7ed6f5…
05-21 02:18:02	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xac4ba4…
05-20 01:50:12	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x409644…
05-20 01:50:01	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x28871d…
05-20 01:33:29	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	43	96¢	$41	0x4c52ee…
05-20 01:31:56	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x290732…
05-20 01:31:56	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	93¢	$6	0x225d55…
05-20 01:31:49	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xd4265b…
05-20 01:26:45	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x654d1a…
05-20 01:23:25	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x4bd875…
05-20 01:20:02	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x146b06…
05-20 01:17:05	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0xf0b39e…
05-20 01:11:47	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0xf77076…
05-20 01:06:58	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x24cb21…
05-20 01:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xefc0ee…
05-20 01:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x1fea64…
05-20 01:01:55	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	21	80¢	$17	0x785bd1…
05-20 01:01:40	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x246fd1…
05-20 01:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x580a32…
05-20 00:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x325dd6…
05-20 00:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	46¢	$5	0x2408a6…
05-20 00:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xa4f7e4…