Fearless-Possible — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.0%

Resolved

Trades

646

lifetime

Volume

$4.99K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-29 16:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Sports

36% 52% +$12

Crypto

32% — —

Politics

19% — —

Other

12% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 102 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	10	$471	276	276	+0	open	—	03-25 04:31
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	3	$247	169	169	+0	open	—	02-26 18:14
mlb sf atl 2026 06 18	2	$188	175	175	+0	open	—	06-19 10:12
mlb nyy bos 2026 06 25	2	$187	259	259	+0	open	—	06-26 01:41
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	10	$125	68	68	+0	open	—	03-28 04:41
mlb ari lad 2026 03 27	8	$125	86	86	+0	open	—	03-28 03:15
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies	8	$105	133	0	+133	open	—	04-21 01:37
mlb atl sd 2026 06 24	1	$100	183	0	+183	open	—	06-24 04:55
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	2	$87	50	50	+0	open	—	05-20 01:20
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	4	$81	43	43	+0	open	—	05-20 01:33
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	3	$80	60	60	+0	open	—	03-22 04:11
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	5	$76	49	48	+1	San Francisco Giants	+$4	05-13 03:12
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	4	$73	43	43	+0	open	—	03-23 03:01
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	7	$70	153	150	+3	open	—	04-26 01:56
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	2	$60	107	0	+107	open	—	05-30 06:29
mlb nym lad 2026 04 14	4	$60	91	0	+91	open	—	04-14 10:52
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	1	$59	81	0	+81	open	—	04-28 04:43
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	3	$56	30	30	+0	open	—	05-18 07:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$52	85	0	+85	open	—	05-19 08:45
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	3	$52	47	47	+0	open	—	03-24 17:49
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	1	$50	250	0	+250	open	—	02-03 06:54
mlb atl sf 2026 06 28	1	$50	84	0	+84	open	—	06-28 05:13
btc updown 5m 1770995100	2	$47	38	37	+1	open	—	02-13 15:07
mlb pit atl 2026 06 05	3	$45	78	0	+78	open	—	06-05 06:29
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	3	$45	25	25	+0	open	—	05-19 10:44
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	7	$44	56	0	+56	open	—	04-28 02:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	2	$43	49	49	+0	open	—	05-30 03:30
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants	6	$43	64	6	+58	open	—	04-23 03:35
50m views on a mrbeast video in the first day by march 31	2	$42	33	33	+0	open	—	01-10 04:08
mlb tor cws 2026 04 03	2	$42	63	0	+63	open	—	04-03 12:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 16:04:13	mlb nym tor 2026 06 30	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x394690…
06-28 05:13:32	mlb atl sf 2026 06 28	Atlanta Braves	BUY	84	60¢	$50	0x2339c6…
06-27 03:40:04	mlb lad sd 2026 06 27	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	10	65¢	$7	0xed047f…
06-27 02:55:32	mlb lad sd 2026 06 27	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x06a9e6…
06-26 02:20:55	mlb chc mil 2026 06 26	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	35	69¢	$24	0x3c3eab…
06-26 01:42:56	mlb phi wsh 2026 06 25	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbb36a3…
06-26 01:41:53	mlb nyy bos 2026 06 25	New York Yankees	SELL	259	13¢	$34	0x9b4c1d…
06-25 02:55:35	mlb nyy bos 2026 06 25	New York Yankees	BUY	259	59¢	$153	0x3bcb2e…
06-24 04:55:37	mlb atl sd 2026 06 24	Atlanta Braves	BUY	183	55¢	$100	0xb43c71…
06-23 04:52:19	mlb atl sd 2026 06 23	Atlanta Braves	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x96ca87…
06-23 03:00:10	mlb atl sd 2026 06 22	Atlanta Braves	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x8d3fb0…
06-22 04:11:59	mlb atl sd 2026 06 22	Atlanta Braves	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x100e7d…
06-19 10:12:14	mlb sf atl 2026 06 18	Atlanta Braves	SELL	175	50¢	$88	0x3dbb63…
06-18 14:33:53	mlb sf atl 2026 06 18	Atlanta Braves	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x8a5a06…
06-17 17:34:56	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x70c0da…
06-17 17:32:46	mlb sf atl 2026 06 16	Atlanta Braves	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xfd9730…
06-17 15:18:19	mlb sf atl 2026 06 16	Atlanta Braves	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x525dd3…
06-08 04:24:34	mlb mil oak 2026 06 08	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x0d4c86…
06-08 04:23:30	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x5cedf2…
06-07 18:26:31	mlb pit atl 2026 06 07	Atlanta Braves	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x8bc18a…
06-07 18:26:21	mlb pit atl 2026 06 07	Atlanta Braves	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xc55b33…
06-07 18:20:52	mlb bos nyy 2026 06 07	New York Yankees	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x565dbc…
06-05 06:29:13	mlb pit atl 2026 06 05	Atlanta Braves	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0xa81298…
06-05 04:48:22	mlb pit atl 2026 06 05	Atlanta Braves	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xa0f334…
06-05 04:11:16	mlb pit atl 2026 06 05	Atlanta Braves	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x0dc81c…
06-05 04:11:00	mlb laa lad 2026 06 05	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x9c5651…
06-04 05:57:31	btc updown 5m 1780552800	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xcd4982…
06-04 05:57:31	btc updown 5m 1780552800	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x8c8461…
06-04 05:57:07	btc updown 5m 1780552500	Up	SELL	22	28¢	$6	0xde5f53…
06-04 05:54:42	btc updown 5m 1780552500	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x4a1ff2…
06-04 05:54:31	btc updown 5m 1780552500	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf037a1…
06-04 05:52:34	btc updown 5m 1780552200	Up	SELL	35	11¢	$4	0x8411a1…
06-04 05:52:10	btc updown 5m 1780552200	Up	BUY	35	10¢	$4	0x046c80…
06-04 05:47:16	btc updown 5m 1780551900	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd1ac9b…
06-04 05:43:49	btc updown 5m 1780551600	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf7480a…
06-04 05:08:25	mlb tor atl 2026 06 04	Atlanta Braves	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x76f47b…
06-04 05:05:25	gpt 5pt6 released by june 5 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc07383…
06-04 05:05:13	gpt 5pt6 released by june 5 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x273913…
06-04 02:08:03	mlb lad ari 2026 06 03	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xfba84c…
06-04 01:41:27	mlb lad ari 2026 06 03	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x70b5f3…
06-04 01:41:19	mlb lad ari 2026 06 03	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x4cff78…
06-04 01:41:15	mlb lad ari 2026 06 03	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x1d468d…
06-04 01:41:04	mlb oak chc 2026 06 03	Chicago Cubs	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x9734e2…
06-03 16:24:52	Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs	Chicago Cubs	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xdc164a…
06-03 16:18:48	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x5feeba…
06-03 16:18:16	Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs	Chicago Cubs	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2aaae6…
05-31 19:55:44	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x3c96e6…
05-31 19:51:20	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x0f57f7…
05-31 19:51:11	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x919514…
05-30 06:29:54	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Atlanta Braves	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0x48e623…
05-30 06:14:06	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Atlanta Braves	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0xef0b7c…
05-30 06:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x63900f…
05-30 06:04:06	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x5260cb…
05-30 06:03:55	GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xafc20f…
05-30 05:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x547520…
05-30 03:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	16	89¢	$14	0x599af7…
05-30 03:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x48eef6…
05-30 03:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	49	38¢	$18	0xd2976d…
05-30 03:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x26f616…
05-30 03:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x703151…
05-30 03:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x4b5e43…
05-30 03:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb70b46…
05-30 03:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xaa3056…
05-30 03:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x28620f…
05-30 03:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5de1c4…
05-30 03:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x78a25d…
05-30 03:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x7961d4…
05-30 03:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe2af57…
05-30 03:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xed0bb6…
05-30 03:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x4314e9…
05-30 03:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x2416fe…
05-30 03:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x3fdd28…
05-30 03:02:56	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xc8df37…
05-30 03:02:41	GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8bb5f4…
05-30 03:02:23	GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd59193…
05-29 09:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x00b8c8…
05-29 09:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5076fa…
05-29 09:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1d474c…
05-29 09:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x7d422a…
05-29 08:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb8f9d8…
05-27 04:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xfb0e0e…
05-27 04:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0x75ac19…
05-27 04:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x8b5383…
05-27 04:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x84725b…
05-27 04:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x4fca3b…
05-27 03:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xf683ae…
05-26 17:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1b67df…
05-25 05:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xbcdffe…
05-25 05:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	11	24¢	$3	0x454075…
05-25 05:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x6aa0e7…
05-24 15:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfbc646…
05-24 14:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x16b3dc…
05-24 14:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	21	11¢	$2	0xfc2c3a…
05-24 14:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x07c87f…
05-24 14:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x3f3155…
05-21 02:18:09	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x7ed6f5…
05-21 02:18:02	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xac4ba4…
05-20 01:50:12	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x409644…
05-20 01:50:01	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x28871d…
05-20 01:33:29	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	43	96¢	$41	0x4c52ee…