Steel-Atelier — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$199

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

75.1%

Resolved

Trades

399

lifetime

Volume

$110.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$276

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-10

last 10-07 13:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 90% +$43

Politics

36% 81% -$201

Other

12% 91% -$40

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes		+1	$1	46¢	$1	$0	09-14 15:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 94k on january 23	14	$15.1K	7,886	7,252	+634	No	$0	01-23 14:33
will the us next strike iran on january 24 2026 et 848	43	$14.9K	7,487	7,487	+0	No	+$10	01-25 11:41
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	31	$14.4K	7,933	6,514	+1,419	No	+$12	01-24 07:06
bitcoin above 92k on january 26	23	$6.3K	3,820	2,538	+1,282	No	+$5	01-26 14:33
bitcoin above 92k on january 24	14	$5.4K	2,700	2,700	+0	No	+$3	01-24 14:55
Over $2M committed to the Bitway public sale?	6	$5.2K	2,622	2,622	+0	No	+$2	01-26 08:00
will the us next strike iran on january 25 2026 et 395	79	$5.0K	2,500	2,500	-0	No	+$0	01-26 06:28
bitcoin above 84k on january 23	40	$4.8K	2,090	2,746	-656	Yes	+$1	01-23 14:17
bitcoin above 86k on january 24	2	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$0	01-24 12:30
Sentient FDV above $2B one day after launch?	6	$3.8K	1,904	1,904	+0	No	+$2	01-23 14:24
will the us next strike iran on january 23 2026 et 724	4	$3.6K	1,813	1,813	+0	No	+$2	01-24 08:36
bitcoin above 84k on january 26	15	$3.5K	2,360	1,160	+1,200	Yes	+$6	01-26 14:44
bitcoin above 88k on january 24	6	$3.1K	2,668	468	+2,200	Yes	+$6	01-24 16:32
bitcoin above 94k on january 24	17	$2.8K	1,389	1,389	+0	No	+$1	01-24 13:59
bitcoin above 86k on january 25	1	$2.6K	2,594	0	+2,594	Yes	+$3	01-25 16:57
will the us strike somalia next 656	3	$2.4K	1,212	1,212	+0	Yes	+$1	01-24 06:48
Immunefi FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$2.2K	2,246	0	+2,246	No	+$4	01-23 14:48
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	5	$2.2K	2,200	0	+2,200	Yes	+$4	01-23 08:16
ethereum above 3300 on january 23	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$0	01-23 13:20
will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	2	$917	500	500	+0	No	-$65	01-24 14:08
ethereum above 2700 on january 26	13	$309	255	55	+200	Yes	+$1	01-26 15:25
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$236	240	0	+240	Yes	-$236	04-04 15:31
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$228	230	0	+230	No	+$2	03-14 13:23
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	2	$222	222	0	+222	Yes	+$0	03-03 04:42
bitcoin above 76k on march 11	1	$220	220	0	+220	No	+$0	03-11 13:32
us strikes iran by february 2 2026	1	$220	220	0	+220	No	+$0	02-03 07:35
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	1	$220	220	0	+220	No	+$0	03-06 14:12
lol gen jdg 2026 03 17	1	$217	220	0	+220	Gen.G	+$3	03-17 14:31
bitcoin above 60k on february 20	1	$202	202	0	+202	Yes	+$0	02-20 08:28
will there be 1012 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	02-24 08:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-07 13:19:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x29a80d…
10-07 13:19:41	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x72bbd0…
10-07 13:19:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x4396cb…
09-14 15:43:46	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x11988c…
08-11 07:32:36	lol hle1 dnf 2026 08 11	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xdc520e…
08-11 07:32:13	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x98a781…
07-03 04:58:56	lol hle1 tsw 2026 07 02	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	122	99¢	$121	0x6fc430…
06-26 03:12:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on June 26?	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x508c2d…
06-25 14:23:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	110	84¢	$92	0x4dd9f9…
06-20 05:50:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xe02004…
06-13 08:19:39	lol gen kt 2026 06 13	Gen.G	BUY	110	97¢	$107	0xfb02fc…
06-03 11:06:02	LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0xf42232…
06-03 11:05:55	LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	25	99¢	$24	0xf3024c…
05-24 05:30:30	LoL: DN SOOPers vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Gen.G	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x8fa675…
05-23 15:01:08	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 Winner	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x597545…
05-13 05:14:01	LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x33eca6…
05-13 05:13:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0x82c308…
05-10 11:40:15	LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x462c26…
05-07 15:31:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x54fe41…
05-07 14:04:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x88c039…
04-30 08:33:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x5ae8a9…
04-30 06:22:18	LoL: Gen.G vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Gen.G	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xed9720…
04-23 06:30:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x265751…
04-16 05:41:32	Sentio FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xd09e50…
04-04 15:31:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	240	98¢	$236	0x390a89…
03-17 14:31:03	lol gen jdg 2026 03 17	Gen.G	BUY	220	99¢	$217	0x0f4fd6…
03-14 13:23:37	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	230	99¢	$228	0xb7a24e…
03-13 16:37:03	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by march 13	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x6c7019…
03-13 16:09:21	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by march 13	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x739742…
03-11 13:32:13	bitcoin above 76k on march 11	No	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0xcc21e1…
03-06 14:12:57	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0xaf196a…
03-03 04:42:09	Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x81cf85…
03-03 04:41:43	Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xa54bc3…
02-27 11:20:29	lol wb blg 2026 02 27	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaed37f…
02-27 11:20:21	lol wb blg 2026 02 27	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3556f3…
02-24 08:43:50	will there be 1214 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe9eff8…
02-24 08:43:28	will there be 1012 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xbb1f91…
02-20 08:28:46	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x664d28…
02-20 08:28:22	bitcoin above 60k on february 20	Yes	BUY	202	100¢	$202	0x4b8ad4…
02-15 11:41:05	us strikes iran by february 15 2026	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x582e98…
02-10 12:06:01	will bitcoin reach 95k in february 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4e920f…
02-10 12:05:37	ko quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 10 2026 0pt56	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xe6651f…
02-06 10:12:39	bitcoin above 80k on february 6	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x4a02a7…
02-06 10:01:15	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6b6b3d…
02-03 07:35:12	us strikes iran by february 2 2026	No	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0x6edfda…
02-03 04:06:46	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xd1ae2e…
02-03 04:06:26	Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xab7182…
01-31 06:35:50	infinex fdv above 100m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x110afd…
01-31 06:35:46	Infinex FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x669d20…
01-31 06:35:38	Infinex FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x94ea2e…
01-31 06:35:26	Infinex FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xbbd770…
01-28 12:42:05	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xec404c…
01-28 12:41:53	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x294f0f…
01-26 15:25:43	ethereum above 2700 on january 26	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x964353…
01-26 14:44:23	bitcoin above 84k on january 26	Yes	BUY	1,200	100¢	$1,196	0x3483b9…
01-26 14:43:17	ethereum above 2700 on january 26	Yes	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xe14a0d…
01-26 14:43:07	ethereum above 2700 on january 26	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd96174…
01-26 14:43:07	ethereum above 2700 on january 26	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x89cde4…
01-26 14:43:03	ethereum above 2700 on january 26	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdd14c4…
01-26 14:42:29	ethereum above 2700 on january 26	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf4b7da…
01-26 14:42:23	ethereum above 2700 on january 26	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x121942…
01-26 14:41:49	ethereum above 2700 on january 26	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3857e1…
01-26 14:41:13	ethereum above 2700 on january 26	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2f4c12…
01-26 14:41:03	ethereum above 2700 on january 26	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6e77d7…
01-26 14:37:49	ethereum above 2700 on january 26	Yes	BUY	53	99¢	$52	0x4354bb…
01-26 14:37:45	ethereum above 2700 on january 26	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x82a149…
01-26 14:37:35	ethereum above 2700 on january 26	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x491db4…
01-26 14:33:37	bitcoin above 92k on january 26	No	SELL	84	100¢	$83	0x4b60e6…
01-26 14:28:43	bitcoin above 92k on january 26	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xfdfbfb…
01-26 14:28:43	bitcoin above 92k on january 26	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x36334d…
01-26 14:28:37	bitcoin above 92k on january 26	No	SELL	344	100¢	$343	0xde0208…
01-26 14:27:57	bitcoin above 92k on january 26	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xfd5ce9…
01-26 14:23:51	bitcoin above 92k on january 26	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x912045…
01-26 14:19:51	bitcoin above 92k on january 26	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x7be70f…
01-26 14:19:25	bitcoin above 92k on january 26	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3e43a7…
01-26 14:18:07	bitcoin above 92k on january 26	No	SELL	742	100¢	$742	0xc809ad…
01-26 14:03:51	bitcoin above 92k on january 26	No	BUY	1,320	100¢	$1,317	0x5c08de…
01-26 14:01:41	bitcoin above 92k on january 26	No	SELL	1,200	100¢	$1,198	0x81d399…
01-26 13:20:43	bitcoin above 92k on january 26	No	BUY	332	100¢	$331	0xc7cbd1…
01-26 13:19:57	bitcoin above 92k on january 26	No	BUY	726	100¢	$725	0x4dda3e…
01-26 13:17:25	bitcoin above 84k on january 26	Yes	SELL	483	100¢	$482	0x6686ba…
01-26 13:13:25	bitcoin above 84k on january 26	Yes	BUY	483	100¢	$481	0x98d5be…
01-26 13:08:09	bitcoin above 84k on january 26	Yes	SELL	677	100¢	$676	0x4a51c6…
01-26 13:06:45	bitcoin above 92k on january 26	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0xed1561…
01-26 13:05:05	bitcoin above 84k on january 26	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x82d78f…
01-26 13:04:17	bitcoin above 84k on january 26	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x5447eb…
01-26 13:00:51	bitcoin above 84k on january 26	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x3b7add…
01-26 13:00:27	bitcoin above 84k on january 26	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2ec717…
01-26 12:59:43	bitcoin above 84k on january 26	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0xa7d2a6…
01-26 12:59:43	bitcoin above 84k on january 26	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5e9737…
01-26 12:58:37	bitcoin above 84k on january 26	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x70da75…
01-26 12:58:27	bitcoin above 84k on january 26	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xd3007d…
01-26 12:58:17	bitcoin above 84k on january 26	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc5f3af…
01-26 12:56:21	bitcoin above 84k on january 26	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0d914f…
01-26 12:53:09	bitcoin above 84k on january 26	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x7363a8…
01-26 12:29:05	bitcoin above 92k on january 26	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xdb2bef…
01-26 12:17:47	bitcoin above 92k on january 26	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x2900c0…
01-26 12:17:33	bitcoin above 92k on january 26	No	BUY	210	100¢	$209	0xf030fc…
01-26 12:17:17	bitcoin above 92k on january 26	No	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0x8d422d…
01-26 12:17:17	bitcoin above 92k on january 26	No	BUY	210	100¢	$209	0x0211ac…