Serene-Diploma — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$7

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

11.7%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

16 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$36

$36 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$23

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 05-14 10:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 22% $-7

Other

28% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 14?	Yes	+17	$10	100¢	$17	+$7	05-14 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	-3	$-3	99¢	$-3	+$0	05-14 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	+3	$2	54¢	$2	$-0	05-14 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	+4	$2	29¢	$1	$-1	05-14 10:35
Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	+2	$1	22¢	$0	$-1	05-13 15:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 10:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xa30d60…
05-14 10:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x8ddeae…
05-14 10:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xdb9811…
05-14 05:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x6bc109…
05-14 05:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xfe37dd…
05-14 05:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa80713…
05-14 05:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x83e2e5…
05-14 04:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x84f711…
05-14 03:00:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x5c4f37…
05-14 01:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x15a15b…
05-14 01:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x6a9b16…
05-13 23:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0x619843…
05-13 23:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0x1bcb7a…
05-13 23:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0x56efc3…
05-13 15:03:39	Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x65a50f…
05-13 11:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xe98f53…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	13	$2.24K	97	05-14 11:00
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	12	$1.82K	150	05-14 10:59
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	10	$3.11K	50	05-14 10:59
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	10	$1.12K	26	05-14 10:55
Pessimistic-Harp 0x951b…433e	10	$823	22	05-14 10:55
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	9	$888	75	05-14 10:59
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	8	$1.07K	44	05-14 10:35
Charming-Tourism 0x57f1…5b0f	7	$1.76K	20	05-14 10:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 14?	1	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	05-14 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$3	0	4	-4	Up	$-1	05-13 23:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$3	0	4	-4	Down	$-1	05-13 23:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$3	0	4	-4	Down	$-1	05-13 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	1	$3	0	3	-3	open	—	05-14 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-14 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	$-2	05-14 01:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	+$2	05-14 01:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-14 10:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	Up	$-2	05-14 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	Down	$-2	05-14 05:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-14 04:55
Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-13 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	1	$0	0	6	-6	Up	+$0	05-13 11:18