Late-Handover-Nail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.67K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.8%

Resolved

Trades

159

lifetime

Volume

$20.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$131

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-18

last 09-30 22:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

70% 95% +$877

Crypto

18% 100% +$4

Politics

12% 100% +$785

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	36	$3.3K	2,531	2,531	+0	Yes	+$1,036	05-19 12:17
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	2	$1.7K	889	889	+0	No	+$18	05-30 02:46
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	11	$1.5K	961	961	+0	No	+$83	06-01 12:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	1	$1.1K	1,300	0	+1,300	No	+$195	05-25 17:05
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $710 on May 19?	1	$980	982	0	+982	Yes	+$2	05-19 15:40
Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on May 24?	1	$909	910	0	+910	No	+$1	05-23 15:21
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 18?	1	$850	851	0	+851	No	+$1	05-18 17:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	7	$819	1,300	0	+1,300	No	+$481	05-25 19:10
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 20?	1	$726	727	0	+727	No	+$1	05-20 01:41
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 19?	1	$704	705	0	+705	No	+$1	05-19 15:40
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	7	$702	479	479	+0	Yes	+$70	06-01 14:11
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?	4	$507	541	178	+363	Yes	+$97	06-01 03:55
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	2	$455	1,647	0	+1,647	No	-$455	06-02 00:18
Will Solana dip to $75 on May 19?	1	$325	325	0	+325	No	+$0	05-20 01:31
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $120 Week of May 18 2026?	2	$293	294	0	+294	No	+$1	05-22 08:35
Will the price of XRP be less than $1.00 on May 24?	1	$249	249	0	+249	No	+$0	05-23 15:21
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	4	$228	300	0	+300	No	+$72	05-25 07:22
Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on May 24?	1	$210	210	0	+210	No	+$0	05-23 15:21
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	4	$195	230	0	+230	No	+$34	05-23 17:42
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on May 20?	1	$195	195	0	+195	No	+$0	05-20 01:42
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	1	$177	181	0	+181	No	+$4	05-29 10:21
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 19?	1	$173	173	0	+173	No	+$0	05-19 15:48
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on May 24?	1	$152	152	0	+152	Yes	+$0	05-23 15:18
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $305 on May 19?	1	$149	149	0	+149	No	+$0	05-19 15:44
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $405 on May 19?	1	$149	149	0	+149	No	+$0	05-19 15:43
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $715 on May 18?	1	$147	147	0	+147	Yes	+$0	05-18 17:04
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 20?	1	$130	130	0	+130	No	+$0	05-20 01:56
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May?	1	$126	127	0	+127	No	+$1	05-29 10:15
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $114 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$122	123	0	+123	No	+$1	05-22 08:11
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 Week of May 18 2026?	2	$121	121	0	+121	No	+$0	05-22 08:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-30 22:35:35	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C or below on October 2?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd41a66…
09-30 22:35:26	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x689f79…
09-22 17:48:34	Will Solana dip to $100 on September 22?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xcdb2f9…
08-28 19:13:42	Iran leadership change by August 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfb1a43…
08-28 19:13:07	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9e0d7e…
08-28 19:12:49	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xaf58ab…
08-28 19:12:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xecce8f…
06-03 00:41:35	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	24¢	$5	0x3abb66…
06-02 00:18:43	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,420	30¢	$425	0xec2712…
06-01 15:14:56	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	227	13¢	$29	0x21d91b…
06-01 14:11:16	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	230	76¢	$174	0x6dfc08…
06-01 13:58:30	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0x52858d…
06-01 12:39:57	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	240	85¢	$204	0xcb6e51…
06-01 12:33:44	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	No	SELL	11	85¢	$9	0x7a0173…
06-01 12:33:37	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xa75ee4…
06-01 12:33:25	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x435227…
06-01 12:31:57	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	No	SELL	150	85¢	$128	0xbc4c00…
06-01 12:28:03	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	No	SELL	150	85¢	$128	0x3e83f0…
06-01 12:25:17	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	No	SELL	150	85¢	$128	0x472bce…
06-01 12:23:53	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	No	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0xed33bf…
06-01 12:11:50	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	No	SELL	480	82¢	$394	0x1e9711…
06-01 04:19:15	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x91f683…
06-01 04:18:03	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	55¢	$55	0xa496bb…
06-01 04:17:38	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	60¢	$78	0xe186f3…
06-01 04:02:48	Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x4e7e86…
06-01 03:55:51	Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	85¢	$25	0x576243…
06-01 02:55:23	Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	393	71¢	$280	0x9a8349…
06-01 02:34:55	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	No	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x6aaef3…
06-01 02:33:45	Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	148	64¢	$95	0xc13171…
06-01 01:13:03	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	No	BUY	511	75¢	$383	0x2ac7cb…
06-01 01:08:47	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	No	BUY	400	75¢	$300	0x860cc4…
06-01 01:05:59	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	230	75¢	$173	0x688522…
06-01 01:01:45	Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	148	72¢	$107	0x55db08…
05-30 02:46:43	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	No	SELL	889	99¢	$880	0xdf84d1…
05-29 10:44:19	Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $6.50 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	48	92¢	$44	0x8475c7…
05-29 10:43:28	Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	70	86¢	$60	0xba5392…
05-29 10:21:42	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	No	BUY	181	98¢	$177	0xdbf655…
05-29 10:17:50	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $288 in May?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xb486dd…
05-29 10:15:10	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May?	No	BUY	127	99¢	$126	0x9b3efa…
05-29 10:08:10	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	No	BUY	889	97¢	$862	0xc2c134…
05-29 10:03:51	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xdffe1d…
05-29 10:02:08	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x94faab…
05-25 19:10:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	796	63¢	$501	0x332fee…
05-25 19:10:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x6aff57…
05-25 19:10:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xa3af7a…
05-25 19:10:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	185	63¢	$117	0xc31258…
05-25 17:35:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0x92df47…
05-25 17:35:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	123	63¢	$77	0x0cdd48…
05-25 17:33:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	178	63¢	$112	0x53f793…
05-25 17:05:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1,300	85¢	$1,105	0x633066…
05-25 07:22:29	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x0b85ed…
05-25 07:22:10	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	74	76¢	$56	0x825b23…
05-25 07:03:47	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0xe5e2cd…
05-25 06:32:54	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x6a9206…
05-23 17:42:18	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	41	85¢	$34	0xf2fad2…
05-23 17:14:20	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xa9b61f…
05-23 16:11:43	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	177	85¢	$150	0xf7f2f0…
05-23 15:56:50	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x4f666d…
05-23 15:23:02	xrp above 1 on may 24 2026	Yes	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0x4afde5…
05-23 15:22:39	Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on May 24?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0xc65026…
05-23 15:22:30	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 24?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xc681cf…
05-23 15:22:23	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 24?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x895e50…
05-23 15:22:11	Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xa86a99…
05-23 15:21:52	Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on May 24?	No	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0xa613d7…
05-23 15:21:41	Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on May 24?	No	BUY	910	100¢	$909	0x7374ba…
05-23 15:21:19	Will the price of XRP be less than $1.00 on May 24?	No	BUY	249	100¢	$249	0x9faaac…
05-23 15:20:59	Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on May 24?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x34bdda…
05-23 15:20:42	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 24?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x21fb5a…
05-23 15:20:28	Will the price of Solana be above $110 on May 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xee2450…
05-23 15:20:21	Will the price of Solana be above $60 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x15faaa…
05-23 15:19:00	Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,700 on May 24?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xb394e9…
05-23 15:18:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	152	100¢	$152	0xbf1c19…
05-22 08:39:02	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at >$450 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x00aec2…
05-22 08:37:15	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $382.50 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	104	99¢	$103	0xdcd0ed…
05-22 08:36:59	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x162ba7…
05-22 08:36:15	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $472.50 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x7c3933…
05-22 08:35:26	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $120 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	271	100¢	$270	0x2360e0…
05-22 08:34:37	Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of May 18 above $80?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8fc7a1…
05-22 08:34:09	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $70-$80 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5a32f0…
05-22 08:33:59	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $60-$70 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x476950…
05-22 08:32:40	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x654559…
05-22 08:31:56	Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $285-$290 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa7300b…
05-22 08:31:53	Will Amazon (AMZN) close at >$290 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x1045f9…
05-22 08:31:41	Will Amazon (AMZN) close at <$245 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x1f043a…
05-22 08:30:57	Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of May 18 above $290?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0xe8f2b2…
05-22 08:30:10	Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of May 18 above $235?	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x16c876…
05-22 08:29:40	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $288 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x20afa6…
05-22 08:28:42	Will Meta (META) close at $650-$660 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x5d50bd…
05-22 08:27:18	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $660 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x751b26…
05-22 08:27:11	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $670 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x72e998…
05-22 08:27:01	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $680 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x3a2519…
05-22 08:25:51	Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of May 18 above $270?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4ce667…
05-22 08:25:28	Will Apple (AAPL) close at >$320 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xedb846…
05-22 08:25:03	Will Apple (AAPL) close at $280-$285 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0e7ed3…
05-22 08:24:56	Will Apple (AAPL) close at <$275 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x2867dd…
05-22 08:19:50	Will Tesla (TSLA) close at >$465 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xecd3c0…
05-22 08:17:56	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $390 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x46b3fb…
05-22 08:15:50	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xfe882b…
05-22 08:15:43	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7c7455…
05-22 08:11:03	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $114 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	123	99¢	$122	0xd0e828…