Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.12K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

29.2%

Resolved

117

Trades

768

lifetime

Volume

$8.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 03-20 01:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Other

70% 16% -$997

Politics

16% 9% +$400

Crypto

14% 5% -$521

Tech

0% 100% +$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-20).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
another us government shutdown by february 14	2	$779	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$703	02-13 12:03
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	105	$509	14,078	14,078	+0	No	-$144	03-16 01:52
will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	73	$450	9,562	9,698	-137	No	-$162	03-20 01:14
spx opens up or down on february 13 2026	9	$406	335	335	+0	Up	+$141	02-13 13:58
deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	14	$369	6,345	6,345	+0	No	-$357	03-16 01:52
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	31	$342	23,400	3,500	+19,900	No	-$167	03-06 20:56
will deepseek have the best ai model for math on march 31	31	$279	4,091	4,091	+0	No	-$202	03-19 14:09
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	92	$260	45,723	0	+45,723	No	-$260	02-26 16:36
spx up or down on march 9 2026	3	$214	200	200	+0	Up	+$186	03-09 21:01
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	18	$192	2,000	2,000	+0	No	-$44	02-24 04:09
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$189	1,702	1,702	+0	Yes	-$11	02-20 01:23
will the supreme court rule on trumps tarriffs by february 20	6	$186	1,220	0	+1,220	Yes	+$1,034	02-20 04:11
deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	12	$184	1,810	1,810	+0	No	+$11	03-20 01:16
spx opens up or down on march 16 2026	3	$170	100	100	+0	Up	+$30	03-16 14:14
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	5	$142	250	0	+250	Yes	-$142	02-22 13:42
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on february 15	8	$133	984	104	+880	No	-$25	02-15 16:13
spx opens up or down on march 4 2026	2	$127	100	100	+0	Up	+$73	03-04 17:19
spx up or down on february 13 2026	2	$123	127	127	+0	Up	+$101	02-13 20:45
nvda close above 185 on march 16 2026	7	$120	306	6	+300	No	-$115	03-16 16:33
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	5	$119	537	537	+0	Yes	-$10	03-18 19:11
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	3	$110	10,000	10,000	+0	No	-$50	02-14 01:52
will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	6	$109	6,701	0	+6,701	Yes	-$109	03-09 19:05
nvda close above 185 on march 5 2026	3	$103	170	170	+0	No	-$40	03-05 12:43
will ethereum reach 2800 in february 2026	5	$94	1,200	1,200	+0	No	-$29	02-16 03:45
spx up or down on march 3 2026	4	$85	2,157	0	+2,157	Down	-$85	03-03 15:22
us strikes iran by february 14 2026	6	$85	5,000	5,000	+0	No	-$55	02-14 11:59
spx opens up or down on february 17 2026	9	$81	1,456	1,556	-100	Down	-$78	02-17 14:29
spx up or down on march 19 2026	6	$78	290	290	+0	Down	-$46	03-19 18:28
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	6	$71	344	344	+0	No	-$7	03-05 02:16
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$70	10,811	0	+10,811	Yes	-$70	03-11 04:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-20 01:16:13	deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	Yes	SELL	810	4¢	$29	0x2bcfec…
03-20 01:14:29	will ethereum reach 2500 march 16 22	Yes	SELL	996	2¢	$20	0x461118…
03-20 01:14:25	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by march 20 191	Yes	SELL	1,624	0¢	$5	0xda48d5…
03-20 01:14:19	will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	SELL	1,437	0¢	$7	0x09f8cd…
03-20 01:14:15	will bitcoin reach 80k march 16 22	Yes	SELL	1,212	0¢	$5	0x7a3ffb…
03-20 00:16:39	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by march 20 191	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0x002616…
03-19 20:05:09	will ethereum reach 2600 march 16 22	Yes	SELL	861	0¢	$2	0xbc62ee…
03-19 18:30:21	rut up or down on march 19 2026	Up	SELL	24	25¢	$6	0x7b0162…
03-19 18:28:47	spx up or down on march 19 2026	Up	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0x8bc3a4…
03-19 16:32:43	spx up or down on march 19 2026	Up	SELL	90	11¢	$10	0xe5b465…
03-19 16:22:17	will ethereum reach 2600 march 16 22	Yes	BUY	861	1¢	$11	0xa84009…
03-19 16:17:07	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by march 20 191	Yes	BUY	1,324	2¢	$20	0xf027c2…
03-19 16:04:51	rut up or down on march 19 2026	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x227660…
03-19 15:56:19	spx up or down on march 19 2026	Up	BUY	119	17¢	$20	0x383f6d…
03-19 15:53:53	will ethereum reach 2500 march 16 22	Yes	BUY	997	4¢	$35	0x3b70b0…
03-19 15:51:37	will bitcoin reach 80k march 16 22	Yes	BUY	202	1¢	$3	0xf550d2…
03-19 15:37:07	will bitcoin reach 80k march 16 22	Yes	BUY	1,011	1¢	$11	0xdecc8b…
03-19 15:36:41	will deepseek have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	1,569	1¢	$11	0x6c1553…
03-19 15:31:39	spx up or down on march 19 2026	Up	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0xd72e51…
03-19 15:31:13	will deepseek have the 2 ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	1,076	1¢	$12	0x9a1048…
03-19 14:13:41	spx up or down on march 19 2026	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x49b764…
03-19 14:09:41	will deepseek have the best ai model for math on march 31	Yes	SELL	752	2¢	$15	0xae682a…
03-19 14:05:35	spx up or down on march 19 2026	Up	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0xa5f79a…
03-19 14:05:03	deepseek v4 released by march 21	Yes	SELL	1,292	1¢	$15	0xf5774b…
03-19 13:28:45	spx opens up or down on march 19 2026	Up	SELL	65	0¢	$0	0x6fbcb2…
03-19 11:53:13	spx opens up or down on march 19 2026	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x871143…
03-19 04:00:41	spx opens up or down on march 19 2026	Up	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0x1d509a…
03-19 02:37:35	will deepseek have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$6	0x320d63…
03-19 01:55:43	will deepseek have the best ai model for math on march 31	Yes	BUY	199	3¢	$6	0x5df002…
03-19 01:52:33	will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	102	2¢	$2	0xb16904…
03-19 01:45:33	spx opens up or down on march 19 2026	Up	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x8c51e6…
03-19 01:18:55	will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	72	2¢	$1	0x6e32ef…
03-19 01:07:45	will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$0	0x73af32…
03-19 01:07:31	will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0x68bf9c…
03-19 00:58:25	deepseek v4 released by march 21	Yes	BUY	264	2¢	$6	0x8098ad…
03-19 00:56:19	will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	430	1¢	$6	0xc5d893…
03-19 00:55:03	will deepseek have the 2 ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	1,076	2¢	$25	0x89c5b1…
03-19 00:52:31	will deepseek have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	1,169	2¢	$20	0xe1668f…
03-19 00:44:29	will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	57	1¢	$0	0x8a3a9e…
03-18 19:12:35	spx up or down on march 18 2026	Up	BUY	849	1¢	$7	0xe25be8…
03-18 19:11:41	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	37	19¢	$7	0x35c999…
03-18 16:59:45	spx up or down on march 18 2026	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xe8e600…
03-18 16:58:11	spx up or down on march 18 2026	Up	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x2042e5…
03-18 13:22:29	will deepseek have the best ai model for math on march 31	Yes	BUY	346	3¢	$10	0x0221d5…
03-18 12:55:51	spx opens up or down on march 18 2026	Up	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xe341a6…
03-18 12:43:19	spx opens up or down on march 18 2026	Up	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x4d49fa…
03-18 12:33:41	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x94cecc…
03-18 12:03:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xc8077d…
03-18 12:02:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x05f2de…
03-18 02:31:49	deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	Yes	BUY	85	3¢	$3	0xae8018…
03-18 02:31:49	deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	Yes	BUY	110	3¢	$4	0x8b9246…
03-18 02:31:47	deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	Yes	BUY	614	3¢	$20	0xcd0685…
03-17 21:22:11	will deepseek have the best ai model for math on march 31	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x8c099e…
03-17 19:56:55	nvda up or down on march 17 2026	Up	SELL	35	0¢	$0	0x2db3ec…
03-17 19:45:31	will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x1fb4eb…
03-17 19:22:57	spx up or down on march 17 2026	Down	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x09d0f6…
03-17 19:20:25	nvda up or down on march 17 2026	Up	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x874184…
03-17 19:20:15	nvda up or down on march 17 2026	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xee5bed…
03-17 19:18:39	will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	25	2¢	$0	0x75efb0…
03-17 19:16:23	nvda up or down on march 17 2026	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x140469…
03-17 19:15:19	will deepseek have the best ai model for math on march 31	Yes	BUY	24	2¢	$1	0x3cef09…
03-17 19:13:59	will deepseek have the best ai model for math on march 31	Yes	BUY	44	2¢	$1	0xc8710d…
03-17 19:04:33	spx up or down on march 17 2026	Down	SELL	73	10¢	$7	0xe33ef3…
03-17 18:32:57	will deepseek have the best ai model for math on march 31	Yes	BUY	39	2¢	$1	0x1fa261…
03-17 18:23:15	spx up or down on march 17 2026	Down	BUY	73	7¢	$5	0x9e4929…
03-17 18:01:51	deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	Yes	SELL	847	7¢	$59	0x852378…
03-17 17:08:03	deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	Yes	SELL	29	6¢	$2	0x9736e5…
03-17 17:06:05	deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	Yes	SELL	124	6¢	$7	0xb38886…
03-17 15:58:31	deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	Yes	BUY	39	6¢	$2	0xfb1de4…
03-17 15:51:13	deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x4d56bc…
03-17 15:36:49	deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x80a695…
03-17 15:29:03	will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	494	1¢	$6	0xccf99b…
03-17 15:25:15	spx up or down on march 17 2026	Down	SELL	56	16¢	$9	0x8586c8…
03-17 15:25:11	deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	Yes	BUY	900	6¢	$54	0xeaecef…
03-17 15:14:47	will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x8fc4e6…
03-17 15:12:47	deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	Yes	BUY	46	6¢	$3	0x96274a…
03-17 15:10:29	deepseek v4 released by march 21	Yes	BUY	1,029	4¢	$40	0xdabc3b…
03-17 15:09:59	spx up or down on march 17 2026	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xdedb36…
03-16 16:33:17	nvda close above 185 on march 16 2026	Yes	BUY	98	33¢	$33	0x9b5563…
03-16 16:31:31	nvda close above 185 on march 16 2026	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x672224…
03-16 15:58:01	nvda close above 185 on march 16 2026	Yes	BUY	64	42¢	$27	0x119f1b…
03-16 15:57:59	nvda close above 185 on march 16 2026	Yes	BUY	136	42¢	$57	0xac1076…
03-16 14:14:53	spx opens up or down on march 16 2026	Up	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x3bc224…
03-16 14:14:39	nvda close above 185 on march 16 2026	Yes	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0xc0f9fc…
03-16 04:35:53	nvda close above 185 on march 16 2026	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xe5385a…
03-16 02:36:09	nvda close above 185 on march 16 2026	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xa63a94…
03-16 02:31:47	spx opens up or down on march 16 2026	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x272dd1…
03-16 02:24:27	spx opens up or down on march 16 2026	Up	BUY	93	70¢	$65	0xf64025…
03-16 01:52:43	will france strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	37	2¢	$1	0x539639…
03-16 01:52:39	deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	Yes	SELL	6,345	0¢	$6	0x49341b…
03-16 01:52:33	will deepseek have the best ai model for math on march 31	Yes	SELL	3,340	1¢	$23	0x40c8e4…
03-16 01:52:29	will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	SELL	4,485	1¢	$50	0x632d80…
03-16 01:52:25	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	Yes	SELL	10,576	1¢	$106	0x816ad5…
03-15 04:37:45	will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	SELL	1,399	2¢	$31	0xbecb1a…
03-13 14:51:55	deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	Yes	BUY	290	3¢	$8	0xdbb5d9…
03-13 14:18:15	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	Yes	BUY	2,128	1¢	$20	0x57efb1…
03-13 14:16:51	deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	Yes	BUY	761	2¢	$15	0x3895b5…
03-13 14:11:07	deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xa620d6…
03-13 04:21:37	deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	Yes	BUY	182	3¢	$5	0x4883e3…
03-13 03:03:27	deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	Yes	BUY	762	3¢	$26	0xaf86c7…