Velvety-Deliberation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$760

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 05-14 10:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 0% $-17

Other

27% — —

Politics

3% 0% $-6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1772700300	3	$100	72	71	+1	open	—	03-05 08:50
bitcoin above 76k on march 6	1	$100	1,305	0	+1,305	open	—	03-05 08:06
bitcoin above 76k on march 5	2	$87	1,782	1,782	+0	open	—	03-05 08:43
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	2	$86	50	50	+0	open	—	05-04 18:18
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	2	$40	29	29	+0	open	—	05-14 10:35
will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026	1	$40	1,219	0	+1,219	open	—	01-10 22:27
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?	1	$40	148	0	+148	open	—	01-14 16:27
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	1	$40	131	0	+131	open	—	03-05 08:51
eth updown 5m 1772747100	2	$36	21	21	+0	open	—	03-05 21:50
bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	3	$33	313	313	+0	open	—	03-29 08:41
c quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 14 2026 1pt69	1	$25	49	0	+49	open	—	01-10 22:40
bitcoin above 74k on march 6	1	$20	220	0	+220	open	—	03-05 20:13
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	1	$20	41	0	+41	open	—	01-10 22:25
btc updown 15m 1772747100	4	$20	68	68	+0	open	—	03-05 21:59
will doj be said during the first episode of the joe rogan experience this week february 15	1	$17	26	0	+26	open	—	02-10 18:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	2	$15	28	0	+28	Up	$-15	05-08 07:47
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	1	$15	59	0	+59	open	—	01-10 22:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$8	12	12	+0	Up	$-2	05-08 07:54
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	1	$6	60	0	+60	No	$-6	03-01 10:30
bitcoin above 98k on january 14	1	$5	46	0	+46	open	—	01-14 16:42
btc updown 5m 1772747400	3	$4	45	0	+45	open	—	03-05 21:53
btc updown 5m 1772747700	2	$2	7	7	+0	open	—	03-05 21:58
btc updown 5m 1772746800	1	$1	8	0	+8	open	—	03-05 21:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 10:35:02	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	29	86¢	$25	0x34309d…
05-08 07:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	12	23¢	$3	0x78c926…
05-08 07:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xde1df2…
05-08 07:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd4b065…
05-08 07:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x0c8ba5…
05-08 07:46:18	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x0738b2…
05-04 18:18:08	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xcfc77d…
04-22 20:07:08	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0xdf4cd9…
03-29 08:41:28	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	313	0¢	$0	0x9f57ca…
03-05 21:59:47	btc updown 15m 1772747100	Up	SELL	56	8¢	$4	0x8307d5…
03-05 21:59:21	btc updown 15m 1772747100	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xb9803a…
03-05 21:58:49	btc updown 5m 1772747700	Down	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x946176…
03-05 21:55:35	btc updown 5m 1772747700	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xcb0622…
03-05 21:53:01	btc updown 5m 1772747400	Up	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xcdcd13…
03-05 21:52:35	btc updown 5m 1772747400	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x455ba1…
03-05 21:52:17	btc updown 5m 1772747400	Up	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x0882d1…
03-05 21:50:15	eth updown 5m 1772747100	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x674baa…
03-05 21:48:49	eth updown 5m 1772747100	Up	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0xae89a1…
03-05 21:47:15	btc updown 15m 1772747100	Down	SELL	12	42¢	$5	0x83b78e…
03-05 21:46:01	btc updown 15m 1772747100	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x687f2b…
03-05 21:44:01	btc updown 5m 1772746800	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x8ae2dd…
03-05 20:13:07	bitcoin above 74k on march 6	Yes	BUY	220	9¢	$20	0xc881bb…
03-05 08:51:35	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	131	30¢	$40	0x16744d…
03-05 08:50:41	btc updown 5m 1772700300	Up	SELL	71	99¢	$70	0xaf79c4…
03-05 08:48:11	btc updown 5m 1772700300	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x2e5a11…
03-05 08:45:47	btc updown 5m 1772700300	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x1aeafd…
03-05 08:43:51	bitcoin above 76k on march 5	Yes	SELL	1,782	2¢	$37	0x87e3d6…
03-05 08:06:59	bitcoin above 76k on march 6	Yes	BUY	1,305	8¢	$100	0x3407b1…
03-05 08:00:01	bitcoin above 76k on march 5	Yes	BUY	1,782	3¢	$50	0xef65b5…
03-01 10:30:47	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0xc6d474…
02-10 18:17:17	will doj be said during the first episode of the joe rogan experience this week february 15	Yes	BUY	26	64¢	$17	0xaed788…
01-20 14:33:52	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	224	8¢	$18	0x3cda42…
01-14 16:47:42	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	89	17¢	$15	0xdb7ee4…
01-14 16:42:16	bitcoin above 98k on january 14	Yes	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0x51f549…
01-14 16:27:14	Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?	150k	BUY	148	27¢	$40	0x5c0ecd…
01-10 22:43:08	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	Yes	BUY	59	25¢	$15	0x2da4b6…
01-10 22:40:50	c quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 14 2026 1pt69	Yes	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xdacc7b…
01-10 22:27:22	will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026	Yes	BUY	1,219	3¢	$40	0x57bc64…
01-10 22:25:06	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x4b6e01…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	14	$4.45K	869	05-23 20:31
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	13	$6.89K	65	05-21 02:33
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	12	$2.37K	1,581	05-29 03:33
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	11	$6.36K	1,899	04-08 11:58
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	10	$90.0K	1,878	05-31 18:44
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	10	$2.94K	100	06-01 22:55
Hideous-Package 0x21c5…3533	8	$84.0K	207	03-06 02:58
Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389	8	$22.1K	3,806	05-23 22:08