Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$66

Hit rate

54.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$658

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$94

3 positions

First seen

2026-10-07

last 10-12 20:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 43% +$126

Other

31% 0% -$45

Politics

12% 0% -$80

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+60	$50	95¢	$57	+$7	10-07 13:50
Plague pandemic in 2026?	Yes	+1,800	$100	2¢	$35	-$65	10-07 13:51
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	Yes	+1,266	$10	0¢	$2	-$8	10-08 21:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	3	$158	109	109	+0	Up	+$58	10-08 21:20
Plague pandemic in 2026?	1	$100	1,800	0	+1,800	open	—	10-07 13:51
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$50	59	0	+59	No	-$50	10-07 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$50	147	0	+147	Down	+$97	10-07 13:42
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$50	60	0	+60	open	—	10-07 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$50	89	0	+89	Up	+$39	10-08 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9AM ET	2	$45	421	0	+421	Down	-$19	10-07 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	1	$25	24,999	0	+24,999	Up	-$25	10-08 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5PM ET	3	$15	5,192	0	+5,192	Down	-$15	10-08 22:00
Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	1	$10	223	0	+223	Yes	-$10	10-08 21:50
Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	1	$10	411	0	+411	Yes	-$10	10-08 21:52
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kathy Hochul by October 31, 2026?	1	$10	96	0	+96	Yes	-$10	10-08 21:50
Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	1	$10	186	0	+186	No	-$10	10-08 21:51
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	1	$10	1,266	0	+1,266	open	—	10-08 21:46
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by October 31, 2026?	1	$10	186	0	+186	open	—	10-08 21:53
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kaitlan Collins by October 31, 2026?	1	$10	119	0	+119	Yes	-$10	10-08 21:50
Ethos FDV above $12M one day after launch?	1	$10	529	0	+529	Yes	-$10	10-08 21:49
Will there be fewer than 20 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	1	$10	114	0	+114	open	—	10-08 21:52
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by October 31, 2026?	1	$10	120	0	+120	Yes	-$10	10-08 21:49
Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 68 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	1	$10	181	0	+181	No	-$10	10-08 21:51
LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	1	$5	24	0	+24	Team WE	-$5	10-12 20:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-12 20:42:08	LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	FlyQuest	BUY	24	20¢	$5	0x0b682d…
10-08 22:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xb3fe39…
10-08 21:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x040fa6…
10-08 21:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	91	5¢	$5	0xfb21be…
10-08 21:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	24,999	0¢	$25	0x6dfcf1…
10-08 21:53:12	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	186	5¢	$10	0x94f829…
10-08 21:52:30	Will there be fewer than 20 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	9¢	$10	0x7fe99b…
10-08 21:52:05	Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	411	2¢	$10	0xbabcf4…
10-08 21:51:26	Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 68 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	181	6¢	$10	0xba99fa…
10-08 21:51:18	Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	186	5¢	$10	0x4e09cc…
10-08 21:50:48	Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	223	4¢	$10	0x7d901a…
10-08 21:50:20	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kathy Hochul by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	96	10¢	$10	0xc47760…
10-08 21:50:05	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kaitlan Collins by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	119	8¢	$10	0x5c6691…
10-08 21:49:53	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	120	8¢	$10	0x1a2d18…
10-08 21:49:12	Ethos FDV above $12M one day after launch?	No	BUY	529	2¢	$10	0x9e82c3…
10-08 21:46:12	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	1,266	1¢	$10	0x0f70e0…
10-08 21:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	109	99¢	$108	0xae741c…
10-08 21:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	53	48¢	$25	0x3dad00…
10-08 21:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x483e21…
10-08 20:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xd8c6a5…
10-08 20:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x961527…
10-07 13:51:29	Plague pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,800	6¢	$100	0xc01d4b…
10-07 13:50:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xea09e1…
10-07 13:50:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0xdc74b9…
10-07 13:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	396	5¢	$20	0xe69b05…
10-07 13:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x9508ba…
10-07 13:42:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0x3629c3…
10-07 13:42:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x2eba6a…