Full-Story — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.72K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.4%

Resolved

315

Trades

1,390

lifetime

Volume

$18.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 10-05 22:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 33% -$3,544

Other

1% 14% -$93

Tech

0% 0% -$86

Sports

0% 50% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	11	$479	647	647	+0	Up	+$279	05-12 12:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	15	$372	1,364	1,364	+0	Down	+$132	05-13 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6PM ET	4	$313	1,341	0	+1,341	Down	-$313	10-05 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	5	$304	350	350	+0	Up	+$224	05-11 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	6	$295	308	308	+0	Down	+$95	05-12 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	9	$288	214	214	+0	Up	+$128	05-13 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	6	$282	307	307	+0	Down	+$182	05-11 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	4	$271	250	250	+0	Up	+$211	05-11 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	4	$270	266	266	+0	Down	+$150	05-12 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	4	$258	1,565	0	+1,565	Down	-$258	10-05 22:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	4	$232	303	303	+0	Up	+$152	05-11 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	13	$231	2,361	2,361	+0	Up	-$29	05-12 15:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	7	$219	189	189	+0	Up	+$99	05-13 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	9	$213	1,897	1,897	+0	Down	+$73	05-12 12:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	8	$208	196	196	+0	Up	+$73	05-12 12:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	6	$201	188	188	+0	Up	+$101	05-12 11:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	6	$190	264	264	+0	Down	+$90	05-12 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	3	$187	235	235	+0	Down	+$160	05-11 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	6	$187	156	156	+0	Up	+$87	05-12 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	9	$183	661	210	+451	Up	+$33	05-13 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	10	$175	11,998	0	+11,998	Down	-$175	10-05 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	3	$172	192	192	+0	Down	+$132	05-11 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	6	$167	123	123	+0	Down	+$67	05-12 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	4	$166	133	133	+0	Down	+$86	05-12 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	8	$165	634	134	+500	Up	+$95	05-11 11:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	8	$160	486	257	+229	Down	+$20	05-13 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	10	$157	727	219	+508	Down	+$14	05-11 12:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	5	$145	127	127	+0	Down	+$65	05-11 15:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	10	$144	325	325	+0	Up	+$9	05-12 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	4	$140	140	140	+0	Up	+$80	05-13 19:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 22:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	687	11¢	$73	0x7d9ffc…
10-05 22:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	189	21¢	$40	0x1a3972…
10-05 22:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0x6b4ce0…
10-05 22:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x9acd69…
10-05 22:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x967e33…
10-05 22:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x377e1a…
10-05 22:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x8456b4…
10-05 22:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x0b90c0…
10-05 22:39:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x384b04…
10-05 22:38:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	399	5¢	$20	0xa86295…
10-05 22:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	605	3¢	$18	0x8e48e2…
10-05 22:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	400	15¢	$60	0xa2e448…
10-05 22:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	346	26¢	$90	0xf70b01…
10-05 22:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	214	42¢	$90	0x4c3161…
10-05 22:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x69b6ff…
10-05 22:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	444	9¢	$40	0x30c6f5…
10-05 22:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1,264	7¢	$90	0xf70ff6…
10-05 22:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xd7cd6e…
10-05 22:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x84f625…
10-05 22:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	38	12¢	$5	0x6752ed…
10-05 22:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	118	12¢	$14	0x082c8b…
10-05 22:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xe6c84c…
10-05 22:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x5970d7…
10-05 22:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	109	12¢	$13	0x097acb…
05-28 16:55:18	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	65	0¢	$0	0x79f0dc…
05-28 16:55:16	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0xc92c9f…
05-28 16:55:16	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	387	0¢	$0	0x9de2b2…
05-28 16:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	60	4¢	$2	0x6affd5…
05-28 16:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x06eb09…
05-28 16:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	24¢	$0	0x339588…
05-28 16:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	24¢	$6	0x20cf98…
05-28 16:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xecbdff…
05-28 16:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x86fe68…
05-28 16:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xe215cd…
05-28 16:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x7f61cf…
05-28 16:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0x6509d6…
05-28 16:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x29e2fe…
05-28 16:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x5ae185…
05-28 16:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x343fef…
05-28 16:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x30e5cf…
05-28 16:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x6d8d93…
05-28 16:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x06f19f…
05-28 15:53:56	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0x8b2b3b…
05-28 15:52:37	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x061bed…
05-28 14:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	1,169	0¢	$1	0x09eb10…
05-28 14:09:43	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	25	23¢	$6	0x7e8d8e…
05-28 14:09:29	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	120	23¢	$28	0x8d4344…
05-28 11:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	1,900	1¢	$21	0x137379…
05-28 11:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x78dc56…
05-28 11:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x55ff17…
05-28 11:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x128108…
05-28 11:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x549569…
05-28 11:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xe161c7…
05-28 11:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	46¢	$5	0xa8b130…
05-28 11:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x7eba7d…
05-28 11:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x7abd46…
05-28 11:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x775488…
05-28 11:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x38a57a…
05-28 11:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x1d0a22…
05-28 11:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x0d0579…
05-28 11:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xed74b2…
05-28 11:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xeb1606…
05-28 11:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xdea4d5…
05-28 11:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	1¢	$0	0xcd13a6…
05-28 11:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x8a7378…
05-28 11:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8740bf…
05-28 11:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x687dca…
05-28 11:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x602de0…
05-28 11:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5eacde…
05-28 11:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x53eb2c…
05-28 11:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4eb013…
05-28 11:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0x280a5a…
05-28 11:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xe68487…
05-28 11:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x99607e…
05-28 11:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x30f0c8…
05-28 11:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2e0b1d…
05-28 11:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xf187c9…
05-28 11:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5a785e…
05-28 11:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x1192c4…
05-28 11:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0c9ebd…
05-28 11:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x90e953…
05-28 11:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x4ca7e2…
05-28 11:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3c2e68…
05-28 11:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x84cb32…
05-28 11:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x62569c…
05-28 11:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x27cff2…
05-28 11:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x066528…
05-28 11:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe0c0c8…
05-28 11:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xaaee7a…
05-28 11:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x769d28…
05-28 11:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9393f3…
05-28 11:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x6bd2b2…
05-28 11:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x9c6313…
05-28 11:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	132	2¢	$3	0x1292e1…
05-28 11:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe7692f…
05-28 11:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x901065…
05-28 11:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x62394b…
05-28 11:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x30e073…
05-28 11:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x6f04ae…
05-28 11:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0x6db941…