Realized P&L
+$53
Unrealized P&L
+$51
Hit rate
87.8%
Resolved
17
Trades
104
lifetime
Volume
$1.51K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$374
15 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-29 13:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
66% 92% +$58
Politics
24% 80% -$5
Sports
10% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +101 $28 100¢ $101 +$73 10-27 18:47
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +61 $61 100¢ $61 +$0 10-27 19:35
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +37 $36 97¢ $36 +$0 10-26 03:32
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +39 $32 72¢ $28 -$4 10-28 18:37
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +26 $26 99¢ $26 +$0 10-26 17:42
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +22 $21 96¢ $21 $0 10-26 16:00
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +19 $18 93¢ $18 $0 10-20 21:07
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Ohio, and Texas? No +17 $16 99¢ $17 +$0 10-28 02:25
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska? No +17 $17 99¢ $17 $0 10-28 02:47
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +16 $16 98¢ $16 +$0 10-22 03:11
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +27 $18 56¢ $15 -$3 10-23 15:47
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +8 $6 78¢ $6 $0 10-20 21:12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio? No +6 $6 100¢ $6 $0 10-28 02:23
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Texas? No +6 $6 100¢ $6 +$0 10-28 02:25
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +23 $16 1¢ $0 -$15 10-27 18:55