Ill-Informed-Discourse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.36K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.7%

Resolved

318

Trades

485

lifetime

Volume

$41.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$86

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 10-25 08:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 103 days

Categories

Other

100% 59% -$2,390

Sports

0% 100% +$33

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-10-04?	2	$1.2K	762	762	+0	No	+$46	10-04 17:24
Will Lyn 1896 FK win on 2026-10-04?	2	$1.1K	602	602	+0	No	+$145	10-04 15:55
chi yun ygb 2026 08 15 btts	2	$958	513	513	+0	Yes	+$59	08-15 13:37
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$937	563	563	+0	Yes	+$183	05-03 15:50
CF América vs. Pumas de la UNAM: Both Teams to Score	2	$883	571	571	+0	Yes	+$257	05-04 01:54
KHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Admiral Vladivostok	1	$797	1,000	0	+1,000	Admiral Vladivostok	-$797	10-05 13:00
ere ado gro 2026 08 16 btts	2	$727	452	452	+0	Yes	+$176	08-16 11:51
Karlsruher SC vs. 1. FC Nürnberg: Both Teams to Score	2	$713	524	524	+0	No	-$52	09-19 11:41
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-05-03?	2	$705	381	381	+0	Yes	+$57	05-03 14:14
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03?	2	$698	671	671	+0	No	-$416	05-03 17:51
Will Vanraure Hachinohe FC win on 2026-10-04?	2	$652	360	360	+0	No	+$68	10-04 05:59
Seoul E-Land FC vs. Daegu FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$639	392	392	+0	Yes	+$137	09-19 10:52
Real Racing Club vs. SD Huesca: Both Teams to Score	2	$629	325	325	+0	Yes	+$19	05-03 13:18
Will Israel win on 2026-10-04?	1	$628	805	0	+805	No	+$177	10-04 17:39
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-08-15?	2	$590	341	341	+0	Yes	+$92	08-15 18:32
Hannover 96 vs. SC Preußen Münster: Both Teams to Score	2	$575	309	309	+0	Yes	+$37	05-03 12:18
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Pachuca: Both Teams to Score	1	$543	711	0	+711	No	-$543	05-04 01:56
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-05-03?	2	$512	318	318	+0	Yes	+$124	05-03 21:09
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-08-14?	2	$498	293	293	+0	Yes	+$88	08-14 17:59
Will FK Kudrivka win on 2026-05-03?	2	$473	271	271	+0	No	+$67	05-03 11:56
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-08-15?	2	$448	480	480	+0	No	-$223	08-15 19:23
bel1 bev rsc 2026 08 16 btts	1	$447	552	0	+552	No	-$447	08-16 11:52
mex atl tig 2026 08 15 btts	2	$426	282	282	+0	Yes	+$136	08-16 06:25
Will Suwon FC win on 2026-09-19?	2	$386	256	256	+0	Yes	+$125	09-19 09:47
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-05-02?	2	$384	205	205	+0	No	+$26	05-02 20:43
Will Júbilo Iwata win on 2026-10-04?	1	$356	462	0	+462	No	+$106	10-04 05:59
Will IF Brommapojkarna win on 2026-07-12?	2	$355	196	196	+0	No	+$37	07-12 16:38
Will SD Raiders FC win on 2026-08-11?	2	$354	210	210	+0	No	-$18	08-11 10:51
ucl bog usg 2026 08 11 team to advance	2	$340	221	221	+0	FK Bodø/Glimt	+$22	08-11 17:18
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score	2	$332	198	198	+0	Yes	+$60	05-03 18:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 08:59:32	Will Dewa United win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	84	40¢	$34	0x555451…
10-25 08:58:56	Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x2721e6…
10-25 07:03:57	Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	35	74¢	$26	0x1e0b30…
10-25 04:41:20	Will Suwon FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	269	55¢	$148	0xa9c8e9…
10-25 04:37:35	Sydney FC vs. Adelaide United FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	216	71¢	$154	0x96208c…
10-25 03:50:02	Sydney FC vs. Adelaide United FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	216	62¢	$134	0xd94ad1…
10-24 18:40:21	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	137	68¢	$93	0x902459…
10-24 18:38:50	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0x2fca20…
10-24 16:09:26	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	95	69¢	$65	0x6c0a98…
10-24 16:05:12	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	67	100¢	$66	0x69e5a5…
10-24 13:14:41	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	67	70¢	$47	0xa5d6a7…
10-24 13:09:50	Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x2af024…
10-24 10:43:12	Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x6368df…
10-24 09:30:20	Will FK Dinamo Moskva win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	42	61¢	$25	0xb590c5…
10-24 06:51:54	Will Gimpo FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	104	58¢	$60	0x04cb74…
10-24 06:49:29	Kashima Antlers vs. Kashiwa Reysol: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x57df45…
10-24 05:50:59	Kashima Antlers vs. Kashiwa Reysol: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	62	60¢	$37	0xc87880…
10-24 05:45:21	RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Yokohama FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0xdd7708…
10-24 04:25:47	RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Yokohama FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x940db1…
10-18 10:22:38	FK Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih vs. FK LNZ Cherkasy: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x416af5…
10-18 10:21:42	Will Persebaya Surabaya win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	SELL	46	7¢	$3	0xdf54da…
10-18 09:20:03	Will Persebaya Surabaya win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	46	55¢	$25	0x7c55a9…
10-17 13:34:12	1. FC Union Berlin vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	43	59¢	$25	0xdbacad…
10-17 11:02:47	Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	41	62¢	$25	0xef6a95…
10-17 09:54:21	Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x9f74cf…
10-17 07:55:00	Will Gyeongnam FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	18	46¢	$8	0xaf9923…
10-17 07:51:29	FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	51	17¢	$9	0x1261ac…
10-17 07:07:26	FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xfd2533…
10-17 03:45:24	Will Vegalta Sendai win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xf31efd…
10-16 16:13:12	Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-10-16?	Yes	BUY	65	44¢	$28	0xc6875e…
10-16 16:11:28	Will Al Wasl FC win on 2026-10-16?	Yes	SELL	36	83¢	$30	0xea06c5…
10-16 15:33:33	Will Al Wasl FC win on 2026-10-16?	Yes	BUY	36	71¢	$25	0x5287f0…
10-16 13:11:40	uae1 ald dub 2026 10 16 ald	No	BUY	38	67¢	$25	0xc21d3b…
10-16 08:37:15	Will Sydney FC win on 2026-10-16?	Yes	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x3c3f7c…
10-15 19:05:10	Will NEC win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	68	56¢	$38	0x6cb5f7…
10-15 19:02:20	Olympique Lyonnais vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x24c1bd…
10-15 15:49:04	Olympique Lyonnais vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	39	65¢	$25	0x31772b…
10-15 13:42:04	Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club win on 2026-10-15?	No	BUY	36	71¢	$25	0x115369…
10-15 06:24:05	Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	39	65¢	$25	0x49f5c9…
10-13 14:09:28	Al Sadd SC vs. Al Hilal SFC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	39	65¢	$25	0x352f0a…
10-12 12:51:21	Burgos CF vs. Granada CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	62	51¢	$32	0x6e0e72…
10-12 12:50:29	Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-10-12?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xef73e9…
10-12 11:31:53	Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-10-12?	No	BUY	33	78¢	$25	0x934e9a…
10-11 16:55:54	Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	61	20¢	$12	0x544770…
10-11 16:55:13	Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	SELL	66	20¢	$13	0x415853…
10-11 15:38:48	Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	66	61¢	$40	0x45724b…
10-11 15:37:30	Will UD Almería win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0x40adfa…
10-11 13:05:36	Will UD Almería win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x6b61f4…
10-11 10:30:53	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	61	43¢	$26	0xd33878…
10-11 10:29:56	Shōnan Bellmāre vs. Albirex Niigata: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	63	44¢	$28	0x755e13…
10-11 08:54:16	Shōnan Bellmāre vs. Albirex Niigata: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	63	52¢	$33	0x9a2763…
10-11 08:53:43	Will Shaanxi Union FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x8ca86d…
10-11 07:29:04	Will Shaanxi Union FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	34	75¢	$25	0xfb4850…
10-11 03:49:02	Montedio Yamagata vs. Vegalta Sendai: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0x30d506…
10-11 03:47:23	Will Sacramento Republic FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	SELL	227	4¢	$9	0xa782d4…
10-11 02:10:53	Will Sacramento Republic FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	227	52¢	$118	0x5bef0f…
10-11 01:42:02	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	SELL	122	100¢	$121	0xd2f105…
10-10 19:04:37	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	122	67¢	$82	0xf58ed9…
10-10 19:03:09	Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	SELL	83	100¢	$83	0x99f5a3…
10-10 18:21:06	Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	83	58¢	$48	0x90186f…
10-10 18:19:28	Will Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?	No	SELL	231	22¢	$51	0xebe0a1…
10-10 16:55:43	Will Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	231	73¢	$169	0x69c572…
10-10 16:54:58	Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-10-10?	No	SELL	171	100¢	$171	0x4423ef…
10-10 16:03:18	Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	171	76¢	$130	0xfa1b9b…
10-10 15:56:04	Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-10-10?	No	SELL	132	100¢	$132	0x9e4e89…
10-10 15:36:30	Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	132	84¢	$111	0xe5efe7…
10-10 15:27:40	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	SELL	113	99¢	$112	0xf9ac9a…
10-10 13:49:55	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	113	53¢	$60	0xc5eac3…
10-10 13:48:09	1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	86	72¢	$62	0x754f30…
10-10 13:28:12	1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	86	66¢	$57	0x4c897a…
10-10 13:27:33	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0xd76b23…
10-10 10:25:49	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	58	69¢	$40	0xa012a3…
10-10 10:24:07	Will Persija Jakarta win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x31bade…
10-10 07:00:10	Will Persija Jakarta win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	41	56¢	$23	0x7b5f2e…
10-10 06:56:03	Will RB Ōmiya Ardija win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	SELL	24	96¢	$23	0x116b30…
10-10 04:13:34	Will RB Ōmiya Ardija win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x3f3cb7…
10-10 04:13:01	Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	SELL	93	17¢	$16	0x85162e…
10-10 02:55:06	Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	93	43¢	$40	0x7ea052…
10-10 02:54:38	Club Puebla vs. Club León FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xeeddb0…
10-10 01:04:14	Club Puebla vs. Club León FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	41	58¢	$24	0x940692…
10-09 18:06:04	Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	25	66¢	$16	0x761174…
10-09 18:05:08	1. FC Heidenheim vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	279	6¢	$17	0xdd0d17…
10-09 16:16:50	1. FC Heidenheim vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	279	66¢	$184	0x6b6581…
10-09 16:13:32	Will Bodrum FK win on 2026-10-09?	No	SELL	187	100¢	$187	0x00ac85…
10-09 13:40:31	Will Bodrum FK win on 2026-10-09?	No	BUY	187	67¢	$126	0xeb6323…
10-09 13:37:19	Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-10-09?	No	SELL	128	100¢	$128	0x49a1f4…
10-09 12:01:06	Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-10-09?	No	BUY	128	83¢	$106	0x436eca…
10-09 11:58:46	Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-10-09?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x7a981e…
10-09 11:56:06	Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-10-09?	No	SELL	90	99¢	$89	0x9c65c3…
10-09 09:43:12	Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-10-09?	No	BUY	108	81¢	$88	0x8d6b83…
10-09 09:42:40	Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-10-09?	No	SELL	89	100¢	$88	0x194c65…
10-09 06:43:43	Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-10-09?	No	BUY	89	80¢	$71	0x6dd73e…
10-09 06:42:55	Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0xdfcf04…
10-09 05:06:18	Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	66	59¢	$39	0xe39a00…
10-09 05:02:39	Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x341d40…
10-09 03:30:36	Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	46	60¢	$27	0x6bce0c…
10-08 17:41:57	Will AS FAR win on 2026-10-08?	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0x61dbc6…
10-08 17:41:12	Will Kuopion Palloseura win on 2026-10-08?	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0xc21b2c…
10-08 13:17:42	Will Kuopion Palloseura win on 2026-10-08?	Yes	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x8964e3…
10-08 10:03:09	Will Sabail FK win on 2026-10-08?	Yes	BUY	56	69¢	$39	0xac3762…