Fair-Charm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.20K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

8.4%

Resolved

Trades

336

lifetime

Volume

$34.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$104

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 09-04 22:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Sports

82% 50% -$13

Crypto

18% 37% -$1,189

Tech

0% 100% +$4

Other

0% 71% +$2

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	5	$18.6K	9,329	9,329	+0	No	-$9	03-12 16:13
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$10.0K	4,985	4,985	+0	No	-$5	03-12 12:06
bitcoin up or down march 13 1pm et	7	$492	400	400	+0	Down	+$100	03-13 17:45
bitcoin up or down march 12 4pm et	21	$296	200	200	+0	Down	+$100	03-12 20:50
ethereum up or down march 12 7am et	16	$278	200	200	+0	Down	+$118	03-12 12:05
bitcoin up or down march 11 5pm et	5	$220	500	0	+500	Up	-$220	03-11 21:00
bitcoin up or down march 11 6pm et	6	$220	500	0	+500	Down	+$280	03-11 22:12
ethereum up or down march 11 2pm et	3	$160	200	200	+0	Up	+$0	03-11 18:29
bitcoin up or down march 12 11pm et	9	$147	300	0	+300	Up	-$147	03-13 02:58
bitcoin up or down march 12 8pm et	2	$147	300	0	+300	Up	-$147	03-13 00:05
bitcoin up or down march 12 6pm et	2	$147	300	0	+300	Down	+$153	03-12 22:00
bitcoin up or down march 12 7pm et	8	$147	300	0	+300	Up	-$147	03-12 23:00
bitcoin up or down march 12 9pm et	11	$147	300	0	+300	Up	-$147	03-13 01:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 14:30 UTC	6	$129	100	100	+0	Up	+$69	03-11 14:43
ethereum up or down march 11 1pm et	2	$102	254	0	+254	Up	-$102	03-11 17:14
bitcoin up or down march 11 7pm et	7	$100	200	0	+200	Down	+$100	03-11 22:56
bitcoin up or down march 11 9pm et	8	$100	200	0	+200	Down	+$100	03-12 00:58
bitcoin up or down march 11 1pm et	1	$100	200	0	+200	Up	-$100	03-11 17:00
bitcoin up or down march 11 8pm et	3	$100	200	0	+200	Up	-$100	03-11 23:45
bitcoin up or down march 11 10pm et	6	$100	200	0	+200	Down	+$100	03-12 01:52
bitcoin up or down march 11 11pm et	1	$100	200	0	+200	Up	-$100	03-12 02:20
xrp up or down march 13 12am et	10	$98	200	0	+200	Down	+$102	03-13 04:09
bitcoin up or down march 12 2pm et	1	$98	200	0	+200	Down	+$102	03-12 17:59
bitcoin up or down march 12 1pm et	1	$98	200	0	+200	Down	+$102	03-12 17:00
bitcoin up or down march 11 4pm et	2	$98	200	0	+200	Down	+$102	03-11 20:58
bitcoin up or down march 11 3pm et	2	$98	200	0	+200	Up	-$98	03-11 19:34
xrp up or down march 12 11pm et	6	$98	200	0	+200	Up	-$98	03-13 03:00
xrp up or down march 12 8pm et	2	$98	200	0	+200	Up	-$98	03-13 00:00
bitcoin up or down march 12 12pm et	1	$98	200	0	+200	Up	-$98	03-12 16:20
xrp up or down march 12 6pm et	4	$98	200	0	+200	Up	-$98	03-12 22:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-04 22:52:19	will ethereum dip to 1600 in september 2026	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x18b179…
08-07 07:33:58	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x9c20d1…
07-23 17:23:18	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xfa3bc8…
06-03 22:59:49	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x1249a0…
06-03 22:59:36	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x92e0bf…
06-03 22:59:27	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1676fe…
06-03 22:59:01	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x0c5bae…
06-03 22:57:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x423f59…
06-03 22:56:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xbcd730…
05-20 01:03:32	Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in May 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x282cd6…
05-20 01:03:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x473f44…
05-20 01:03:07	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x00e067…
05-20 01:02:51	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x2fc97b…
05-20 01:02:44	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xc5d7ff…
05-20 01:02:36	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x6e5271…
05-20 01:02:27	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x1901e8…
05-20 01:02:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x8c5bae…
05-20 01:02:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xcf14c5…
04-20 18:47:02	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x25d489…
04-20 17:38:18	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xe9739d…
04-20 17:38:02	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xeb468d…
03-13 17:45:25	bitcoin up or down march 13 1pm et	Down	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0x469ca5…
03-13 17:24:23	bitcoin up or down march 13 1pm et	Down	SELL	63	49¢	$31	0xca17b0…
03-13 17:24:23	bitcoin up or down march 13 1pm et	Down	SELL	137	49¢	$67	0x01544a…
03-13 17:00:07	bitcoin up or down march 13 1pm et	Down	BUY	52	49¢	$25	0x5a87fa…
03-13 17:00:07	bitcoin up or down march 13 1pm et	Down	BUY	121	49¢	$59	0x2c1d7a…
03-13 17:00:07	bitcoin up or down march 13 1pm et	Down	BUY	106	49¢	$52	0x146a19…
03-13 17:00:07	bitcoin up or down march 13 1pm et	Down	BUY	121	49¢	$59	0x029dfb…
03-13 16:00:21	xrp up or down march 13 12pm et	Down	BUY	29	49¢	$14	0x6b2cf1…
03-13 16:00:21	xrp up or down march 13 12pm et	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x29d690…
03-13 16:00:19	xrp up or down march 13 12pm et	Down	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x77a9e8…
03-13 16:00:19	xrp up or down march 13 12pm et	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x2c78cf…
03-13 16:00:15	xrp up or down march 13 12pm et	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x5c50e6…
03-13 16:00:15	xrp up or down march 13 12pm et	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x06a48e…
03-13 16:00:13	xrp up or down march 13 12pm et	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xd15606…
03-13 16:00:13	xrp up or down march 13 12pm et	Down	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0xd14ce5…
03-13 16:00:13	xrp up or down march 13 12pm et	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xaa3b66…
03-13 16:00:13	xrp up or down march 13 12pm et	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x9a30a5…
03-13 16:00:13	xrp up or down march 13 12pm et	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x96a758…
03-13 16:00:13	xrp up or down march 13 12pm et	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x9258a4…
03-13 16:00:13	xrp up or down march 13 12pm et	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x911318…
03-13 16:00:11	xrp up or down march 13 12pm et	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xf2121a…
03-13 16:00:11	xrp up or down march 13 12pm et	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8fd638…
03-13 16:00:11	xrp up or down march 13 12pm et	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x75ee03…
03-13 16:00:11	xrp up or down march 13 12pm et	Down	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x6c7075…
03-13 16:00:11	xrp up or down march 13 12pm et	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2e3502…
03-13 16:00:09	xrp up or down march 13 12pm et	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xf645d6…
03-13 16:00:09	xrp up or down march 13 12pm et	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6119ff…
03-13 16:00:09	xrp up or down march 13 12pm et	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x56bd94…
03-13 16:00:09	xrp up or down march 13 12pm et	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4de254…
03-13 16:00:09	xrp up or down march 13 12pm et	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x03cffa…
03-13 04:09:45	xrp up or down march 13 12am et	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xbe8dc7…
03-13 04:09:41	xrp up or down march 13 12am et	Down	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x26d251…
03-13 04:09:37	xrp up or down march 13 12am et	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0xc9773e…
03-13 04:09:37	xrp up or down march 13 12am et	Down	BUY	32	49¢	$16	0x3bce67…
03-13 04:09:37	xrp up or down march 13 12am et	Down	BUY	42	49¢	$21	0x1ffc8b…
03-13 04:09:37	xrp up or down march 13 12am et	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x12c6a8…
03-13 04:09:35	xrp up or down march 13 12am et	Down	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0xe30b77…
03-13 04:09:35	xrp up or down march 13 12am et	Down	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0xc0d24f…
03-13 04:09:35	xrp up or down march 13 12am et	Down	BUY	33	49¢	$16	0x4c00eb…
03-13 04:09:35	xrp up or down march 13 12am et	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1f5f2f…
03-13 04:07:51	bitcoin up or down march 13 12am et	Down	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x4e3c1f…
03-13 04:07:51	bitcoin up or down march 13 12am et	Down	BUY	69	49¢	$34	0x342336…
03-13 04:01:51	ethereum up or down march 13 12am et	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x1b2b58…
03-13 03:00:21	xrp up or down march 12 11pm et	Down	BUY	70	49¢	$34	0xd52749…
03-13 03:00:21	xrp up or down march 12 11pm et	Down	BUY	32	49¢	$16	0x830899…
03-13 03:00:21	xrp up or down march 12 11pm et	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4dee02…
03-13 03:00:21	xrp up or down march 12 11pm et	Down	BUY	32	49¢	$16	0x23688d…
03-13 03:00:15	xrp up or down march 12 11pm et	Down	BUY	32	49¢	$16	0x63f879…
03-13 03:00:13	xrp up or down march 12 11pm et	Down	BUY	29	49¢	$14	0xac474f…
03-13 02:58:59	bitcoin up or down march 12 11pm et	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xf6b4ab…
03-13 02:58:59	bitcoin up or down march 12 11pm et	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0xef6eaf…
03-13 02:58:59	bitcoin up or down march 12 11pm et	Down	BUY	134	49¢	$66	0xa2f6f5…
03-13 02:58:59	bitcoin up or down march 12 11pm et	Down	BUY	34	49¢	$16	0x9c9bdb…
03-13 02:58:59	bitcoin up or down march 12 11pm et	Down	BUY	17	49¢	$8	0x6e4afc…
03-13 02:58:59	bitcoin up or down march 12 11pm et	Down	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x46557b…
03-13 02:58:59	bitcoin up or down march 12 11pm et	Down	BUY	38	49¢	$19	0x35ae8e…
03-13 02:58:59	bitcoin up or down march 12 11pm et	Down	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x243fe2…
03-13 02:58:59	bitcoin up or down march 12 11pm et	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x07e986…
03-13 02:57:09	ethereum up or down march 12 11pm et	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x8074dc…
03-13 02:00:13	ethereum up or down march 12 10pm et	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xf3702c…
03-13 01:00:13	bitcoin up or down march 12 9pm et	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xfe561a…
03-13 01:00:13	bitcoin up or down march 12 9pm et	Down	BUY	153	49¢	$75	0xd682f1…
03-13 01:00:13	bitcoin up or down march 12 9pm et	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xc60982…
03-13 01:00:13	bitcoin up or down march 12 9pm et	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc4c941…
03-13 01:00:13	bitcoin up or down march 12 9pm et	Down	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x8dfe15…
03-13 01:00:13	bitcoin up or down march 12 9pm et	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x7b113c…
03-13 01:00:13	ethereum up or down march 12 9pm et	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x72439a…
03-13 01:00:13	bitcoin up or down march 12 9pm et	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5c0368…
03-13 01:00:13	bitcoin up or down march 12 9pm et	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x511c7c…
03-13 01:00:13	bitcoin up or down march 12 9pm et	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2d96ee…
03-13 01:00:13	bitcoin up or down march 12 9pm et	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x1b73eb…
03-13 01:00:13	bitcoin up or down march 12 9pm et	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0bada7…
03-13 01:00:11	xrp up or down march 12 9pm et	Down	BUY	17	49¢	$8	0xe1b518…
03-13 01:00:11	xrp up or down march 12 9pm et	Down	BUY	66	49¢	$32	0xc048c3…
03-13 01:00:11	xrp up or down march 12 9pm et	Down	BUY	85	49¢	$42	0xbb8012…
03-13 01:00:11	xrp up or down march 12 9pm et	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb6e80b…
03-13 01:00:11	xrp up or down march 12 9pm et	Down	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0x4551c8…
03-13 00:05:29	bitcoin up or down march 12 8pm et	Down	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0xf459e9…
03-13 00:05:29	bitcoin up or down march 12 8pm et	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xbc87bf…