Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.01K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.4%

Resolved

Trades

504

lifetime

Volume

$115.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$229

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 05-27 21:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

51% 89% +$1,060

Politics

46% 64% +$934

Tech

2% 75% +$11

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-27).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	21	$17.5K	12,976	4,994	+7,983	No	+$159	04-08 05:01
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 115 139	13	$11.8K	11,792	0	+11,792	No	+$12	04-01 17:28
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$9.9K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$65	03-30 12:22
will trump visit china by march 31	2	$7.7K	3,893	3,893	+0	No	+$31	03-26 01:26
iran leadership change by march 31	11	$6.7K	6,748	0	+6,748	No	+$48	04-01 06:21
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	48	$5.8K	5,326	1,200	+4,126	Yes	+$624	04-11 15:26
us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	18	$4.6K	4,766	87	+4,679	Yes	+$280	04-10 17:46
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	8	$4.4K	4,401	0	+4,401	No	+$4	04-07 19:49
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	8	$4.3K	2,141	2,341	-200	No	+$142	04-01 04:27
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	2	$4.3K	2,145	2,145	+0	No	+$13	03-31 13:58
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	44	$3.9K	3,076	2,590	+486	Yes	+$67	04-16 06:55
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	18	$3.9K	2,535	2,535	+0	Yes	+$153	04-11 17:32
deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	6	$3.3K	3,371	0	+3,371	No	+$65	03-31 15:58
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	7	$2.5K	2,462	52	+2,411	No	+$32	03-31 18:14
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	4	$2.2K	1,111	1,111	+0	Yes	+$3	03-31 15:54
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$2.1K	1,074	1,074	+0	No	+$53	03-31 16:46
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	3	$1.9K	1,961	0	+1,961	Yes	+$22	04-08 00:02
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$17	04-06 23:01
DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?	23	$1.6K	1,843	17	+1,826	Yes	+$249	04-10 23:36
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	3	$1.5K	762	762	+0	No	+$8	03-31 00:07
chatgpt outage by april 17 838	5	$1.5K	1,500	0	+1,500	Yes	+$4	04-07 15:19
deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	28	$1.0K	1,287	1,287	+0	No	-$119	04-15 15:35
will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	5	$1.0K	521	521	+0	No	+$5	03-30 18:24
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	5	$980	500	500	+0	Yes	+$0	04-13 17:05
us x iran meeting by april 11 2026 678	6	$908	680	340	+340	Yes	+$44	04-11 02:30
US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	2	$804	409	409	+0	Yes	+$4	04-10 21:33
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by March 31?	1	$792	800	0	+800	No	+$8	04-01 14:55
will the us invade iran by march 31	4	$682	350	350	+0	No	+$0	03-31 00:21
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	44	$589	47,177	47,177	+0	Yes	-$113	04-08 00:26
chatgpt outage by april 10 942	1	$506	510	0	+510	Yes	+$4	04-07 14:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 21:20:43	Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?	SpaceX	SELL	89	99¢	$88	0xc6eb27…
04-16 06:55:44	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	SELL	385	80¢	$308	0x38c270…
04-16 04:42:00	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0xa9177a…
04-15 15:35:08	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	Yes	SELL	449	1¢	$3	0x48d5fa…
04-15 10:52:00	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	SELL	181	78¢	$141	0x1d9015…
04-15 10:50:14	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x340679…
04-15 10:31:04	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0x73093b…
04-15 10:29:54	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x16fe07…
04-15 07:54:22	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	SELL	15	78¢	$12	0xfb35a6…
04-15 07:40:24	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	SELL	64	78¢	$50	0x709e09…
04-15 07:29:14	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	SELL	128	78¢	$100	0x714c89…
04-15 03:51:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,552	0¢	$10	0x9364c6…
04-14 22:39:44	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	23	56¢	$13	0x844932…
04-14 08:35:35	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	SELL	16	67¢	$11	0x70d825…
04-14 08:34:33	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	SELL	200	67¢	$134	0x6ce65b…
04-14 02:31:31	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x252024…
04-14 01:47:01	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0xd0379d…
04-13 23:23:09	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0x5fa2d8…
04-13 22:44:47	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	SELL	11	67¢	$7	0xfcdff4…
04-13 18:10:29	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	SELL	22	67¢	$15	0x11da8f…
04-13 17:05:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	500	98¢	$490	0x19125e…
04-11 19:37:03	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	37	56¢	$21	0x48ba21…
04-11 17:32:23	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	SELL	385	80¢	$308	0x97f90d…
04-11 16:45:25	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	SELL	16	80¢	$13	0xd0ff61…
04-11 16:44:41	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	SELL	54	80¢	$43	0xfd905e…
04-11 16:44:37	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x721ce5…
04-11 16:44:33	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	SELL	136	80¢	$109	0xe08029…
04-11 16:43:37	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	SELL	634	80¢	$507	0x76904d…
04-11 16:26:27	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	SELL	32	81¢	$26	0xddf75b…
04-11 15:26:23	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	370	100¢	$369	0x73d22d…
04-11 13:36:03	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	0¢	$0	0xac9d02…
04-11 13:25:25	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,225	0¢	$4	0x851653…
04-11 13:24:23	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x756adc…
04-11 13:22:21	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	794	0¢	$2	0x0d01f7…
04-11 03:08:51	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	331	0¢	$1	0x984876…
04-11 03:05:29	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,545	0¢	$5	0x0be9c7…
04-11 02:30:41	us x iran meeting by april 11 2026 678	Yes	SELL	340	90¢	$306	0x3a2c54…
04-11 02:27:41	us x iran meeting by april 11 2026 678	Yes	BUY	145	89¢	$129	0x12bce9…
04-11 02:20:15	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	952	0¢	$4	0xa148de…
04-11 02:15:25	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	SELL	600	2¢	$12	0x54ac32…
04-11 01:33:27	us x iran meeting by april 11 2026 678	Yes	BUY	164	89¢	$146	0x15351b…
04-11 01:33:01	us x iran meeting by april 11 2026 678	Yes	BUY	91	89¢	$81	0xdfe37c…
04-11 01:32:23	us x iran meeting by april 11 2026 678	Yes	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x00dca5…
04-11 01:28:15	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,235	0¢	$21	0x51c281…
04-10 23:36:09	DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?	Yes	BUY	45	90¢	$41	0x98a803…
04-10 21:48:57	DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x1ecc8c…
04-10 21:33:35	US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	409	99¢	$404	0xe2edfd…
04-10 21:31:03	DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?	Yes	BUY	119	90¢	$107	0x86c3a2…
04-10 21:19:07	DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xe39dd6…
04-10 18:38:05	DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xd5d715…
04-10 18:06:55	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	SELL	49	97¢	$47	0xbb776b…
04-10 18:06:01	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	SELL	2	97¢	$1	0xb75fc6…
04-10 18:06:01	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	SELL	2	97¢	$1	0xa448a4…
04-10 17:58:09	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	SELL	349	73¢	$255	0x14d744…
04-10 17:57:31	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x2bcaf0…
04-10 17:52:19	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	SELL	2	97¢	$1	0x86b0ab…
04-10 17:52:19	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	SELL	2	97¢	$1	0x6a31ff…
04-10 17:49:31	us x iran meeting by april 11 2026 678	Yes	BUY	80	83¢	$66	0x9dd109…
04-10 17:47:29	US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	95¢	$17	0x8a84ac…
04-10 17:46:55	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	Yes	SELL	87	95¢	$83	0x083b96…
04-10 17:37:03	DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?	Yes	SELL	15	90¢	$14	0x33a6dc…
04-10 15:45:07	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	Yes	BUY	431	93¢	$401	0xab3eb8…
04-10 15:44:11	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	Yes	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x25e752…
04-10 15:44:05	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	Yes	BUY	691	93¢	$643	0xfff5dd…
04-10 15:42:13	us x iran meeting by april 13 2026 393	Yes	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x8c14e1…
04-10 15:40:49	us x iran meeting by april 13 2026 393	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x6876a7…
04-10 15:08:49	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,357	2¢	$43	0x2e496c…
04-10 15:08:09	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	SELL	27	97¢	$27	0x6df749…
04-10 15:07:47	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	SELL	613	97¢	$597	0xeedc3c…
04-10 15:06:17	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	SELL	500	97¢	$487	0xa3abed…
04-10 13:55:43	US x Iran meeting by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	205	97¢	$199	0x4fbf84…
04-10 13:54:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	Yes	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x840d57…
04-10 13:53:43	US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	409	98¢	$400	0x06ebab…
04-10 13:45:15	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	Yes	BUY	680	95¢	$646	0x3f3bda…
04-10 13:44:23	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	Yes	BUY	300	95¢	$285	0x8ba3de…
04-10 13:42:53	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xa41738…
04-10 13:37:21	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	Yes	BUY	1,273	95¢	$1,209	0xf740ef…
04-10 13:04:47	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	BUY	32	8¢	$3	0x02b36e…
04-10 13:01:11	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	Yes	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x05e3c9…
04-10 13:00:29	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	Yes	BUY	352	93¢	$327	0x9b812f…
04-10 12:52:31	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	Yes	BUY	109	93¢	$101	0xb844cb…
04-10 12:36:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,552	1¢	$12	0x8dd3cf…
04-10 12:36:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$8	0xbef17f…
04-10 12:35:17	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	BUY	284	9¢	$24	0x25bf04…
04-10 12:31:23	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	Yes	BUY	400	93¢	$372	0xeca692…
04-10 12:28:01	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	53	96¢	$51	0x197610…
04-10 12:27:59	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	8	96¢	$7	0xeb13e6…
04-10 12:27:59	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	8	96¢	$7	0x0777c7…
04-10 12:27:15	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	Yes	BUY	90	93¢	$84	0x2cf152…
04-10 12:25:45	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x1acd76…
04-10 12:25:25	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	BUY	233	8¢	$20	0x1f8647…
04-10 12:24:57	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xf45a9e…
04-10 12:24:51	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	Yes	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0xad52c9…
04-10 12:23:29	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	Yes	BUY	145	94¢	$136	0xc2c7a1…
04-10 12:23:15	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	Yes	BUY	31	94¢	$29	0x742202…
04-10 12:23:13	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	Yes	BUY	117	94¢	$110	0x8bb988…
04-10 12:23:09	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	Yes	BUY	52	94¢	$49	0x492566…
04-10 12:22:41	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	43	96¢	$41	0x4aa5de…
04-10 12:22:25	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x7c73e6…
04-10 12:22:23	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	90	96¢	$86	0x50f525…