Tender-Fireman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.1%

Resolved

152

Trades

443

lifetime

Volume

$2.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 06-02 15:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 43% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$23	16	16	+0	Down	+$9	05-06 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	2	$20	32	0	+32	open	—	05-30 21:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	2	$20	14	14	+0	Down	+$7	05-05 21:43
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	5	$17	14	14	+0	Up	+$7	05-09 14:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$17	13	13	+0	Down	+$4	05-07 19:28
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	2	$17	12	12	+0	Up	+$5	05-06 17:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	4	$17	31	12	+20	Up	+$14	05-05 14:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	2	$16	11	11	+0	Up	+$5	05-10 00:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	2	$16	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	2	$16	11	11	+0	Down	+$4	05-09 07:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	6	$15	24	11	+12	open	—	05-03 21:51
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	05-14 07:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$6	05-05 11:44
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	2	$14	12	12	+0	Down	+$4	05-12 06:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	2	$14	13	13	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 15:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	05-03 15:18
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	Down	+$3	05-11 14:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$13	13	13	+0	Up	$-2	05-05 14:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	2	$13	11	11	+0	open	—	05-04 13:09
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	2	$13	13	13	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 10:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	3	$13	14	14	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 01:38
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	3	$12	15	15	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 14:08
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	2	$12	13	13	+0	Down	$-0	05-05 23:32
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	4	$12	9	9	+0	Down	+$2	05-10 04:28
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	2	$11	12	12	+0	Down	$-1	05-06 17:12
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	3	$11	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 13:44
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	3	$11	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	2	$11	11	11	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 00:40
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	05-03 20:35
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	2	$11	9	9	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 23:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 15:25:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xb14bd9…
06-02 14:28:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x271cc3…
06-02 13:44:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xe2b56d…
06-02 11:32:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xa5d09f…
06-01 16:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	41¢	$0	0x99397d…
06-01 13:00:45	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x5b0bc3…
06-01 12:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x690ca3…
06-01 11:58:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0xb68fc2…
06-01 09:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x093ed3…
06-01 03:04:29	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x61a928…
06-01 02:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xfef666…
06-01 00:47:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0x2f3ae4…
05-31 22:10:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x9896e3…
05-31 12:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xd62a02…
05-31 10:57:54	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xda9ebc…
05-31 10:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x0ebc1e…
05-31 10:20:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	60	11¢	$7	0xc24de3…
05-31 04:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x671e5c…
05-30 21:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xc25473…
05-30 20:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x211562…
05-30 19:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xf6c6bf…
05-30 11:35:40	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x692893…
05-30 11:21:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x5d9b51…
05-29 21:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xe887a9…
05-29 16:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x8631c7…
05-29 15:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x08e27c…
05-29 15:13:15	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xd5fb94…
05-29 10:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x07988b…
05-29 05:38:47	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x189c77…
05-28 22:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x0fff65…
05-28 16:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x09c0ea…
05-28 14:52:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xac3387…
05-28 14:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0x0315cd…
05-28 14:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x52cd4b…
05-28 13:50:45	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xfd83ab…
05-28 08:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x7bcb21…
05-27 20:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xb0c4a2…
05-27 10:04:45	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xc9a7e6…
05-27 04:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x7386c7…
05-27 01:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x977495…
05-26 22:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x7da346…
05-26 16:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x22fb63…
05-26 14:51:26	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	63¢	$10	0x29fcef…
05-26 13:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x5b777d…
05-25 11:18:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x1190d9…
05-25 08:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x1f4800…
05-25 01:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x5a6469…
05-24 22:11:53	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xd9da7e…
05-24 22:05:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x0cc5b8…
05-24 20:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x1363c7…
05-24 03:38:14	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x0b5c21…
05-24 01:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x7b70ee…
05-23 21:31:31	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x661aac…
05-14 14:10:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0x238453…
05-14 14:10:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x067be3…
05-14 14:10:14	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x2bfa96…
05-14 14:10:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0x0292ed…
05-14 14:10:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	16¢	$0	0xac483e…
05-14 14:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	13	29¢	$4	0x2404ff…
05-14 14:05:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xa8b17a…
05-14 14:03:31	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0xe74259…
05-14 14:03:29	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x1e5edd…
05-14 14:03:21	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xa7abcc…
05-14 14:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x464552…
05-14 08:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0x5482fc…
05-14 08:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xfb7f08…
05-14 07:58:26	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	94¢	$10	0x68597b…
05-14 07:49:50	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x703fea…
05-13 19:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0x5a2d6c…
05-13 19:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	8	6¢	$1	0x514c21…
05-13 19:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xe4435f…
05-13 19:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x5904e8…
05-13 17:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x063b33…
05-13 17:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x04756b…
05-13 17:18:17	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x33276b…
05-13 17:15:15	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xaa92d5…
05-13 14:07:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	11	45¢	$5	0x791450…
05-13 14:00:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x609b11…
05-13 13:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x92efce…
05-13 13:30:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x6a4cbb…
05-13 01:50:57	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	36¢	$2	0xda82d8…
05-13 01:50:36	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xc93c53…
05-13 01:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	43¢	$4	0x840ef0…
05-12 12:28:17	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x56aced…
05-12 12:28:17	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0x017c3c…
05-12 09:55:17	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0xa1a26e…
05-12 09:51:15	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xfe9d0d…
05-12 06:58:56	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	78¢	$9	0x794c27…
05-12 06:47:07	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xdac9dd…
05-12 05:15:20	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x97f9f5…
05-11 15:10:47	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	19	3¢	$1	0x48b4c6…
05-11 15:04:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x4ce37b…
05-11 15:03:33	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0xcf3900…
05-11 14:18:31	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x1a1a3a…
05-11 14:18:07	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x653cd9…
05-11 14:15:36	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xd0c949…
05-11 14:15:31	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x4d1bac…
05-11 14:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	13	31¢	$4	0x41de97…
05-11 14:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	13	41¢	$5	0x3f82ec…
05-11 13:54:33	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	16	17¢	$3	0x312bca…