Excitable-Mist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

32.2%

Resolved

100

Trades

1,357

lifetime

Volume

$15.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 05-11 23:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 25% +$10

Other

1% 0% $-1

Sports

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 121 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
eth updown 5m 1774132800	2	$172	158	157	+1	open	—	03-21 22:44
eth updown 5m 1774220400	2	$161	119	117	+2	open	—	03-22 23:03
btc updown 5m 1773876000	1	$150	344	0	+344	open	—	03-18 23:21
eth updown 5m 1775163600	2	$134	111	105	+6	open	—	04-02 21:04
ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 rma1	2	$127	97	97	+0	open	—	03-17 22:59
eth updown 5m 1774188000	2	$105	87	86	+1	open	—	03-22 14:03
btc updown 5m 1773780000	2	$102	108	107	+1	open	—	03-17 20:44
btc updown 5m 1773501600	2	$100	73	71	+1	open	—	03-14 15:24
btc updown 5m 1773587700	1	$100	439	0	+439	open	—	03-15 15:16
btc updown 5m 1775513700	1	$100	400	0	+400	open	—	04-06 22:15
eth updown 5m 1774566900	1	$100	284	0	+284	open	—	03-26 23:16
btc updown 5m 1773588000	1	$100	272	0	+272	open	—	03-15 15:20
btc updown 5m 1773778500	1	$100	300	0	+300	open	—	03-17 20:16
btc updown 5m 1775513400	1	$100	397	0	+397	open	—	04-06 22:11
btc updown 5m 1773875400	1	$100	248	0	+248	open	—	03-18 23:10
btc updown 5m 1775345400	1	$100	460	0	+460	open	—	04-04 23:31
btc updown 5m 1775514900	1	$100	931	0	+931	open	—	04-06 22:38
btc updown 5m 1775346000	1	$100	375	0	+375	open	—	04-04 23:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	1	$95	319	0	+319	Down	$-95	05-11 23:51
eth updown 15m 1774214100	3	$86	94	62	+32	open	—	03-22 21:28
btc updown 5m 1773612000	3	$75	158	57	+101	open	—	03-15 22:04
btc updown 5m 1773966300	1	$70	267	0	+267	open	—	03-20 00:25
btc updown 5m 1773964500	3	$70	222	0	+222	open	—	03-19 23:57
eth updown 15m 1774904400	4	$69	1,062	61	+1,001	open	—	03-30 21:14
ufc mov ler 2026 03 21	2	$69	59	59	+0	open	—	03-21 23:30
btc updown 5m 1773506700	2	$66	77	77	+0	open	—	03-14 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	2	$66	50	50	+0	Down	+$26	05-09 23:54
btc updown 5m 1773501900	2	$66	50	49	+1	open	—	03-14 15:29
btc updown 15m 1774388700	2	$64	50	49	+1	open	—	03-24 21:57
btc updown 5m 1773960900	3	$63	64	34	+30	open	—	03-19 22:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 23:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	319	30¢	$95	0x1a4664…
05-11 23:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	180	15¢	$27	0x8c97d7…
05-11 23:44:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	117	17¢	$20	0xe12459…
05-11 23:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x5753b4…
05-11 23:35:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	212	24¢	$50	0xee1378…
05-11 23:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	229	11¢	$26	0x66e309…
05-11 23:31:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	120	25¢	$30	0x740ec2…
05-11 23:21:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0x0471d3…
05-11 23:17:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x4b896d…
05-11 23:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0xb111a7…
05-11 23:13:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	61	16¢	$10	0x5a8bcd…
05-11 23:06:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x07b6e9…
05-11 23:05:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x6c3985…
05-10 22:41:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xffde3c…
05-10 22:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x71fba9…
05-10 22:31:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	63	32¢	$20	0xf1bfbc…
05-10 22:20:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	93	9¢	$8	0xe4730b…
05-10 22:18:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	112	18¢	$20	0xa8b5cb…
05-10 22:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xd81a77…
05-10 22:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	390	6¢	$25	0xbb40d8…
05-10 21:55:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x7cc008…
05-10 21:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xf2a298…
05-10 21:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	47	97¢	$45	0x09164e…
05-10 21:53:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0x017f4d…
05-10 21:52:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x3bd738…
05-10 21:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	47	21¢	$10	0x581151…
05-10 21:47:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	113	35¢	$40	0x554a21…
05-10 21:38:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	77	31¢	$24	0x0a1362…
05-10 21:33:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	224	13¢	$30	0xc03900…
05-10 21:28:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	93	32¢	$30	0x9aa3a5…
05-10 21:21:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	38	24¢	$9	0xa1d330…
05-10 21:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x67e63a…
05-10 21:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	358	14¢	$50	0x1e678a…
05-10 21:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xc81c65…
05-10 21:06:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	118	25¢	$30	0xa51eca…
05-10 21:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	85	24¢	$20	0x4fa818…
05-10 20:57:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	92	22¢	$20	0x3ec25f…
05-10 20:52:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xcacffb…
05-10 20:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x16a051…
05-10 20:50:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0xc1b640…
05-10 20:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xf11153…
05-10 20:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0x9b2322…
05-10 20:38:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xe91fed…
05-10 20:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xca0873…
05-10 20:27:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xcad929…
05-10 20:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x547794…
05-10 13:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xea9c0b…
05-10 13:32:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xdf0f9f…
05-10 13:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xd1ebc7…
05-10 00:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xfb4c0e…
05-10 00:11:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x0be2eb…
05-10 00:08:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	25	76¢	$19	0xb46c4b…
05-10 00:06:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x00e6b8…
05-10 00:01:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	253	9¢	$24	0x6d9d32…
05-09 23:56:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x6624b0…
05-09 23:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0xfb375d…
05-09 23:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x088b60…
05-09 23:46:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	132	15¢	$20	0xa0edb8…
05-09 23:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	27	26¢	$7	0x1b38a1…
05-09 23:42:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xd20365…
05-09 23:38:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	49	20¢	$10	0xc949f2…
05-09 23:29:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xa1f80b…
05-09 23:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xdd0f35…
05-09 23:16:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x3b72a4…
05-09 23:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xc73b72…
05-09 23:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xc8560c…
05-09 23:07:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	54	9¢	$5	0xfa1020…
05-09 23:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xa6a939…
05-09 22:57:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x0c43b5…
05-09 22:56:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x48c199…
05-09 22:52:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	44	39¢	$17	0xc65de2…
05-09 22:48:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xde3640…
05-09 22:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xed572a…
05-09 22:43:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	208	2¢	$5	0x34b7ee…
05-09 22:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xd4bad4…
05-09 22:37:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xd2e658…
05-09 22:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x724556…
05-09 22:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x045e41…
05-09 22:31:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	91	6¢	$5	0x1df68a…
05-09 22:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0xab3d1a…
05-09 22:16:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	88	11¢	$10	0xa64a8e…
05-09 22:13:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xc606bf…
05-09 22:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	54	19¢	$10	0x0d858b…
05-09 21:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	331	3¢	$10	0x566bb5…
05-09 21:38:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xc7bef4…
05-09 21:32:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	72	10¢	$7	0x5fa2f9…
05-09 21:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x15d61b…
05-09 21:21:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x7ca797…
05-09 21:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xb6b702…
05-09 21:20:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xf698b4…
05-09 21:18:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x76f45d…
05-09 21:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	11	84¢	$9	0x8662e4…
05-09 21:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xf4ccbe…
05-09 20:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x96f12e…
05-09 20:51:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	41	22¢	$9	0x7f5c95…
05-09 20:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x9069b6…
05-09 20:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x92a903…
05-09 20:46:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xa4ef74…
05-08 21:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0x7a8030…
05-08 21:47:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x4b1d51…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	854	$1.76K	4,945	05-11 23:59
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	834	$122.5K	21,781	05-11 23:44
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	817	$284.8K	27,778	05-11 23:58
(anonymous) 0x09ae…55bc	749	$11.7K	1,715	04-30 22:39
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	694	$485.6K	120,421	05-11 23:49
(anonymous) 0xd216…eead	658	$1.99K	3,497	04-06 22:52
(anonymous) 0x253a…af26	611	$289.1K	20,987	04-02 21:46
Favorite-Sunflower 0xba01…8535	589	$99.0K	9,993	05-11 23:57