Favorable-Query — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$42

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.2%

Resolved

Trades

142

lifetime

Volume

$484

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 06-15 05:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 25% $-4

Sports

21% 100% +$46

Politics

5% — —

Other

0% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	2	$68	58	58	+0	Sean Strickland	+$46	05-10 04:47
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	1	$33	0	33	-33	open	—	06-15 05:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	6	$32	59	59	+0	open	—	04-30 23:04
Will Trump say "Ballroom" during King Charles visit?	2	$22	16	16	+0	open	—	04-29 06:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$19	13	13	+0	open	—	05-01 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	2	$18	12	12	+0	open	—	05-01 01:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$17	12	12	+0	open	—	05-17 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	05-04 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	5	$14	44	44	+0	open	—	04-29 07:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	04-28 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	04-29 06:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	04-28 07:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	2	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	05-01 02:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$10	16	16	+0	open	—	05-01 00:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	04-28 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-29 08:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-28 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$6	34	0	+34	open	—	05-01 00:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	3	$6	9	4	+5	open	—	05-01 00:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	3	$6	23	4	+19	open	—	04-28 21:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$6	9	9	+0	open	—	04-28 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	5	$6	16	13	+3	open	—	04-28 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-30 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	5	$5	104	4	+100	open	—	04-28 15:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	04-28 21:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	05-01 00:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$5	18	0	+18	open	—	05-17 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	05-01 13:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	05-01 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$5	15	9	+6	open	—	05-19 09:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 05:07:12	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0xf38cdd…
05-26 10:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x3f152c…
05-26 10:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa483f6…
05-26 10:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x4bc849…
05-20 08:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0xe79f01…
05-20 08:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xa681db…
05-20 08:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	34	9¢	$3	0xc0ee58…
05-19 09:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0x42532d…
05-19 09:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0xf891b8…
05-17 21:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x3b8687…
05-17 21:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x563909…
05-17 21:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x726d0b…
05-17 21:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xbf4559…
05-17 21:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x421e84…
05-17 12:52:12	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Vici Gaming	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x6d7fec…
05-13 10:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x1d91b8…
05-13 10:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x1aaa12…
05-13 10:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x10b71b…
05-12 09:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf994e1…
05-12 09:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xcb3339…
05-12 09:21:32	LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	BNK FEARX	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0e1f41…
05-12 09:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x2a8fa7…
05-10 04:47:48	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	SELL	58	99¢	$57	0xcb918a…
05-08 18:48:16	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	58	19¢	$11	0xd3c6c7…
05-04 17:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0xfdd3fb…
05-04 17:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x5483ac…
05-03 10:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xa1a1a3…
05-01 13:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xb6f882…
05-01 13:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe50715…
05-01 12:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x8f3d37…
05-01 08:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x4ed01c…
05-01 08:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	13	89¢	$12	0x3144a8…
05-01 08:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0xb448c0…
05-01 02:14:14	Will Trump say "Military" at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x083c02…
05-01 02:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0x8886dc…
05-01 02:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x581e0f…
05-01 02:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd8ce34…
05-01 01:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc5f959…
05-01 01:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xcedd5b…
05-01 01:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x0cb1c2…
05-01 00:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x4a6b68…
05-01 00:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x9a534d…
05-01 00:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xdd664b…
05-01 00:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0cc82c…
05-01 00:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x15b3db…
05-01 00:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	16	31¢	$5	0xd4d9ad…
05-01 00:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xe253fe…
05-01 00:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe012e0…
05-01 00:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x4cbf45…
04-30 23:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	28	45¢	$12	0x6a915d…
04-30 23:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x03bee2…
04-30 23:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	24	20¢	$5	0x873333…
04-30 23:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xc7ffa3…
04-30 23:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	32¢	$2	0x952ff4…
04-30 23:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xcb1944…
04-30 23:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xc9f63c…
04-30 22:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xf92181…
04-29 08:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x30eec4…
04-29 08:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe478dd…
04-29 08:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x96582d…
04-29 08:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0x853d02…
04-29 08:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xcade3d…
04-29 08:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x890c12…
04-29 08:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x5d6268…
04-29 08:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xbc6d60…
04-29 08:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x1c176a…
04-29 07:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe07fc1…
04-29 07:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x8fd737…
04-29 07:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xa03864…
04-29 07:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	37	14¢	$5	0x0e6308…
04-29 07:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x7da612…
04-29 07:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	62¢	$2	0xdc825b…
04-29 07:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xe87c07…
04-29 06:41:12	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during King Charles visit?	No	SELL	16	92¢	$15	0xd3b74e…
04-29 06:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xe2dd40…
04-29 06:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x15ed01…
04-29 06:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x85a8bd…
04-29 06:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x345b23…
04-29 06:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0x2df342…
04-29 06:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xcb5352…
04-28 22:03:46	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0xdc3a59…
04-28 22:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0xa1852f…
04-28 22:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x8a471b…
04-28 21:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa274f8…
04-28 21:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0x18b337…
04-28 21:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xd764ec…
04-28 21:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xcb2d28…
04-28 21:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb2a0f8…
04-28 21:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7f4404…
04-28 21:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0x6a4ef7…
04-28 21:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	70	1¢	$1	0x013a8f…
04-28 21:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x968b12…
04-28 21:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa79d8a…
04-28 21:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x95ce4b…
04-28 21:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xcc6cce…
04-28 21:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0x770713…
04-28 21:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x5fe1ce…
04-28 21:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x7fbfe3…
04-28 21:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x3f451d…
04-28 21:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x1713bc…