Plain-Complicity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.4%

Resolved

Trades

263

lifetime

Volume

$1.31K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 06-09 20:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 61% +$17

Other

2% — —

Politics

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$206	122	122	+0	open	—	05-30 14:49
btc updown 5m 1772191800	2	$59	40	39	+1	open	—	02-27 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$47	31	31	+0	Down	+$15	05-09 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$43	43	41	+2	open	—	04-26 16:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	3	$32	76	76	+0	open	—	04-30 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	2	$28	20	20	+0	Up	+$8	05-08 11:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$28	19	19	+1	open	—	04-26 16:55
btc updown 5m 1772020200	2	$28	24	24	+0	open	—	02-25 11:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$27	21	21	+1	open	—	04-26 12:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$27	22	21	+1	open	—	04-26 14:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7AM ET	2	$25	18	18	+1	open	—	04-25 11:22
btc updown 15m 1772111700	2	$25	18	18	+0	open	—	02-26 13:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	2	$25	18	18	+0	open	—	05-01 18:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	2	$25	19	19	+0	Down	+$5	05-07 11:21
btc updown 15m 1772114400	2	$24	22	21	+0	open	—	02-26 14:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9AM ET	4	$23	20	19	+1	open	—	04-25 13:52
btc updown 15m 1772109000	4	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	02-26 12:38
btc updown 15m 1772113500	2	$21	19	19	+0	open	—	02-26 13:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$21	26	25	+1	open	—	04-26 16:46
btc updown 15m 1772108100	3	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	02-26 12:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5AM ET	2	$15	13	12	+1	open	—	04-25 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$15	14	13	+1	open	—	04-26 16:07
btc updown 5m 1772192100	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	02-27 11:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	2	$13	11	10	+0	open	—	04-27 09:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	2	$12	9	8	+0	open	—	04-26 13:09
btc updown 5m 1773498900	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	03-14 14:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	2	$12	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 13:16
btc updown 5m 1775897700	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	04-11 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	2	$12	13	13	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 12:33
btc updown 5m 1772214000	2	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	02-27 17:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 20:21:28	btc updown 5m 1781036400	Down	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x943113…
06-09 20:20:34	btc updown 5m 1781036400	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x19ec0e…
06-09 19:52:37	btc updown 5m 1781034600	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf7c06e…
06-09 19:23:40	btc updown 5m 1781032800	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xefe950…
06-09 19:21:13	btc updown 5m 1781032800	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x13dd5c…
06-09 19:13:31	btc updown 5m 1781032200	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xc42258…
06-09 19:12:18	btc updown 5m 1781032200	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x4f51d5…
06-09 10:54:13	btc updown 5m 1781002200	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x72dfe5…
06-09 10:53:55	btc updown 5m 1781002200	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x84cbce…
06-08 16:41:04	btc updown 5m 1780936800	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x77378a…
06-08 16:40:43	btc updown 5m 1780936800	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x53806f…
06-08 14:26:54	btc updown 5m 1780928700	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x50b7f0…
06-08 14:25:00	btc updown 5m 1780928400	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xaec46f…
06-08 14:16:28	btc updown 5m 1780928100	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xe45e94…
06-08 14:16:15	btc updown 5m 1780928100	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x7b55f2…
06-08 14:13:46	btc updown 5m 1780927800	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x3e1b6c…
06-08 14:12:36	btc updown 5m 1780927800	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb288e4…
06-08 13:26:06	btc updown 5m 1780925100	Down	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0x1fcae7…
06-08 13:25:22	btc updown 5m 1780925100	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xf0a9d5…
06-08 13:23:24	btc updown 5m 1780924800	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xb79f64…
06-08 12:02:48	btc updown 5m 1780920000	Up	SELL	14	12¢	$2	0xc56ffe…
06-08 12:02:04	btc updown 5m 1780920000	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xd83bed…
06-07 20:20:39	btc updown 5m 1780863300	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb6c822…
06-07 20:18:13	btc updown 5m 1780863300	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x15f7e0…
06-05 13:24:19	btc updown 5m 1780665600	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x3c262e…
06-05 13:23:27	btc updown 5m 1780665600	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf0f797…
06-05 13:02:33	btc updown 5m 1780664400	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x9e2329…
06-05 13:02:15	btc updown 5m 1780664400	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x2b4026…
06-05 09:51:22	btc updown 5m 1780653000	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xe39308…
06-04 21:52:36	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 5pm et	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0c4446…
06-04 21:44:39	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x081fd3…
06-04 20:49:10	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xa1a22a…
06-04 17:08:07	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 12pm et	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x75c909…
06-04 16:18:37	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x44af38…
06-02 10:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x01ef1b…
06-02 10:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb4c203…
06-02 10:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x01a2dc…
05-30 14:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	122	87¢	$106	0xd1aff0…
05-30 14:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x4f4ca8…
05-20 11:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xfe77dc…
05-20 11:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x975302…
05-20 11:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x58c541…
05-20 10:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xfd8947…
05-20 10:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x189967…
05-20 10:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x58b412…
05-19 18:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x49e13a…
05-19 18:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x11d27b…
05-19 18:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x12ba82…
05-19 18:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x6676d3…
05-19 18:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0x30b280…
05-19 18:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x897ec2…
05-19 18:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x745ee4…
05-09 14:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x2f0faf…
05-09 14:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xb4205e…
05-09 14:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x980c92…
05-09 14:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	31	98¢	$31	0x0146d1…
05-09 14:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	31	51¢	$16	0xa7e338…
05-09 13:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x58c240…
05-09 13:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x3dac15…
05-09 13:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xaca7a0…
05-09 13:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9a4ddd…
05-09 12:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x65982f…
05-09 12:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x6b5115…
05-09 12:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6759a9…
05-09 12:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x6b67d3…
05-08 11:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xef44f2…
05-08 11:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x9bd09f…
05-07 13:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	12	57¢	$7	0x9edea8…
05-07 13:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x030f21…
05-07 12:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	13	52¢	$7	0x47fd3f…
05-07 12:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x9743f7…
05-07 12:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0x7fe6a6…
05-07 12:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7625fa…
05-07 11:21:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	19	80¢	$15	0x1a87f7…
05-07 11:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x7f6212…
05-06 18:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xb46e3c…
05-06 18:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	12	41¢	$5	0xa46113…
05-06 18:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xabbd7f…
05-06 17:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0xc3587d…
05-06 17:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2a7236…
05-06 17:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x703b3f…
05-06 17:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x15d26c…
05-01 18:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	9	65¢	$6	0x3e1b5f…
05-01 18:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xa3e127…
05-01 18:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	18	86¢	$15	0xe4091f…
05-01 18:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x70b267…
05-01 17:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x7af718…
05-01 10:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0x671c98…
05-01 10:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xe44052…
05-01 10:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	9	71¢	$6	0xb6b570…
05-01 10:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xb5fb5f…
04-30 11:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	76	8¢	$6	0x30e399…
04-30 11:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb2c4da…
04-30 11:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x5ae17e…
04-27 10:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0x13905e…
04-27 10:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xf270be…
04-27 10:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x3353f2…
04-27 09:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0xbeeb85…
04-27 09:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x40e792…
04-26 19:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x9c7b26…