Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.46K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.9%

Resolved

884

Trades

4,313

lifetime

Volume

$17.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-29

last 10-16 09:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

45% 49% -$250

Crypto

38% 13% -$531

Tech

16% 33% -$1,682

Sports

0% 50% +$1

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 1333 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	13	$3.0K	1,606	1,606	+0	No	+$108	09-30 20:25
Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by October 31, 2026?	19	$1.3K	1,698	316	+1,382	Yes	-$1,047	09-30 01:34
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:45 UTC	11	$1.1K	1,552	959	+593	Down	-$118	09-30 21:49
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:40 UTC	10	$915	896	896	+0	Up	+$65	09-30 21:44
Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	26	$635	4,828	0	+4,828	Yes	-$635	09-30 20:29
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	5	$551	500	500	+0	open	—	10-02 04:29
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	8	$526	631	631	+0	open	—	10-12 23:08
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?	8	$523	293	293	+0	No	-$3	09-30 00:34
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:30 UTC	10	$392	1,226	522	+704	Up	+$32	09-30 21:34
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?	4	$348	236	236	+0	open	—	09-30 07:45
val vit loud 2026 10 16	17	$302	415	264	+150	LOUD	-$52	10-16 09:17
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?	2	$241	170	170	+0	open	—	10-01 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	14	$230	461	231	+231	Up	+$218	10-01 10:18
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:50 UTC	3	$225	717	0	+717	Down	-$225	09-30 21:50
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	6	$222	193	193	+0	open	—	10-01 02:19
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:25 UTC	5	$205	314	314	+0	Up	+$55	09-30 21:29
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:35 UTC	2	$182	583	0	+583	Down	-$182	09-30 21:38
Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD - Map 2 Winner	9	$155	308	0	+308	LOUD	-$155	10-16 08:22
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:55 UTC	5	$113	218	218	+0	Up	+$3	09-30 21:58
will the next gpt sol model 6pt1 debut with a humanitys last exam score of 40 or higher	3	$106	60	60	+0	Yes	+$10	10-14 14:40
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 01:10 UTC	1	$100	131	0	+131	Up	-$100	10-01 01:11
itf albier1 labran1 2026 10 14	2	$99	51	51	+0	Fernanda Labrana	+$1	10-14 14:39
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?	2	$93	57	57	+0	open	—	10-01 00:57
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by November 30, 2026?	2	$85	126	126	+0	open	—	10-06 10:07
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A	3	$84	180	130	+50	100 Thieves	-$14	09-30 05:37
LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner	4	$81	63	55	+8	MVK Esports	+$30	10-16 00:26
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	2	$77	333	333	+0	open	—	09-29 20:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:15 UTC	4	$75	1,271	0	+1,271	Up	-$75	09-30 21:18
Valorant: FlyQuest RED vs MIBR GC (BO5) - VCT Game Changers Americas Last Chance Qualifier Playoffs	11	$71	94	64	+30	MIBR GC	-$6	10-16 01:14
Dota 2: Stariy bog Team vs Korb3n Team (BO3) - 1win Streamers League #3 Group B	3	$71	51	51	+0	Stariy bog Team	+$32	10-15 23:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 09:17:39	val vit loud 2026 10 16	Team Vitality	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x04becd…
10-16 09:16:13	val vit loud 2026 10 16	Team Vitality	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0xe14f37…
10-16 09:15:10	val vit loud 2026 10 16	Team Vitality	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x8a1645…
10-16 09:14:58	val vit loud 2026 10 16	Team Vitality	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xf1fd23…
10-16 09:14:43	wta chwalin sakkari 2026 10 15	Maja Chwalinska	SELL	42	47¢	$20	0xac7006…
10-16 09:05:27	val vit loud 2026 10 16	Team Vitality	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x59a6a6…
10-16 09:03:52	val vit loud 2026 10 16	Team Vitality	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xf886f3…
10-16 09:03:51	val vit loud 2026 10 16	Team Vitality	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xdf9529…
10-16 09:03:49	val vit loud 2026 10 16	Team Vitality	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xdc287c…
10-16 09:03:49	val vit loud 2026 10 16	Team Vitality	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x742a64…
10-16 09:03:49	val vit loud 2026 10 16	Team Vitality	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0x34efed…
10-16 09:03:10	val vit loud 2026 10 16	LOUD	SELL	100	39¢	$39	0xec0097…
10-16 08:58:13	val vit loud 2026 10 16	LOUD	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xad8b40…
10-16 08:57:07	val vit loud 2026 10 16	Team Vitality	SELL	80	59¢	$47	0x985448…
10-16 08:53:25	val vit loud 2026 10 16	Team Vitality	BUY	80	46¢	$37	0x8b4d4c…
10-16 08:51:19	val vit loud 2026 10 16	Team Vitality	SELL	84	46¢	$39	0x3814dc…
10-16 08:43:37	val vit loud 2026 10 16	Team Vitality	BUY	59	46¢	$27	0x74a230…
10-16 08:43:07	wta olmo masarov 2026 10 15	Rebeka Masarova	SELL	68	42¢	$29	0x2f0cf3…
10-16 08:40:39	val vit loud 2026 10 16	Team Vitality	BUY	26	43¢	$11	0x109f8f…
10-16 08:40:00	Will Team Vitality win VALORANT Champions 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x97ac97…
10-16 08:22:07	Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD - Map 2 Winner	Team Vitality	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xf341f3…
10-16 08:11:48	Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD - Map 2 Winner	Team Vitality	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x137ffd…
10-16 08:05:13	Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD - Map 2 Winner	Team Vitality	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xfb9d36…
10-16 08:03:15	Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD - Map 2 Winner	Team Vitality	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x95ea68…
10-16 08:02:15	Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD - Map 2 Winner	Team Vitality	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0xdd06c8…
10-16 07:52:57	Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD - Map 2 Winner	Team Vitality	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xfc8c77…
10-16 07:38:42	Will Team Vitality win VALORANT Champions 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xba177f…
10-16 07:34:21	Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD - Map 2 Winner	Team Vitality	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x9aff9d…
10-16 07:30:36	Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD - Map 2 Winner	Team Vitality	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x9fedc8…
10-16 07:26:33	Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD - Map 2 Winner	Team Vitality	BUY	75	53¢	$40	0x4a6cbe…
10-16 07:15:42	wta chwalin sakkari 2026 10 15	Maja Chwalinska	BUY	42	47¢	$20	0x9efae1…
10-16 07:12:28	wta svitoli kartal 2026 10 16	Sonay Kartal	BUY	16	47¢	$8	0x9f9e78…
10-16 06:53:19	wta olmo masarov 2026 10 15	Rebeka Masarova	BUY	68	43¢	$29	0x43c4d7…
10-16 06:44:46	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud	Casper Ruud	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0xf5ba3b…
10-16 06:41:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x1a86e0…
10-16 06:36:57	Valorant: FUT Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - Monsters Reloaded Playoffs	FUT Esports	SELL	31	50¢	$16	0x9aeb95…
10-16 04:09:00	W35 Redding, CA: Vivian Wolff vs Arina Bulatova	Arina Bulatova	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xaa2d5a…
10-16 02:47:10	W35 Redding, CA: Vivian Wolff vs Arina Bulatova	Arina Bulatova	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x201e8e…
10-16 02:31:28	W35 Redding, CA: Vivian Wolff vs Arina Bulatova	Arina Bulatova	BUY	348	0¢	$0	0xf71e20…
10-16 02:31:21	W35 Redding, CA: Vivian Wolff vs Arina Bulatova	Arina Bulatova	BUY	7,006	0¢	$7	0xc495f5…
10-16 02:31:21	W35 Redding, CA: Vivian Wolff vs Arina Bulatova	Arina Bulatova	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x03df5e…
10-16 02:26:57	W35 Redding, CA: Vivian Wolff vs Arina Bulatova	Arina Bulatova	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x6fbb54…
10-16 02:20:15	Valorant: FUT Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - Monsters Reloaded Playoffs	FUT Esports	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0xce6812…
10-16 02:19:37	nhl wpg chi 2026 10 15	Jets	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0x65ac43…
10-16 02:15:27	Valorant: FUT Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - Monsters Reloaded Playoffs	FUT Esports	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xa72c51…
10-16 02:05:48	Santa Cruz 2 (Doubles): Hidalgo/Kestelboim vs Roncadelli/Zarate	Roncadelli/Zarate	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xab01a2…
10-16 02:02:04	Canucks vs. Panthers: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb23ae4…
10-16 02:01:54	nhl van fla 2026 10 15	Panthers	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xe6639e…
10-16 01:14:31	Valorant: FlyQuest RED vs MIBR GC (BO5) - VCT Game Changers Americas Last Chance Qualifier Playoffs	FlyQuest RED	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x90df3a…
10-16 01:12:21	Valorant: FlyQuest RED vs MIBR GC (BO5) - VCT Game Changers Americas Last Chance Qualifier Playoffs	FlyQuest RED	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x5f844f…
10-16 01:08:34	Valorant: FlyQuest RED vs MIBR GC (BO5) - VCT Game Changers Americas Last Chance Qualifier Playoffs	FlyQuest RED	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x51221a…
10-16 01:06:13	Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0xeb0c40…
10-16 01:03:10	W35 Redding, CA: Vivian Wolff vs Arina Bulatova	Arina Bulatova	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xcebe78…
10-16 01:03:10	Valorant: FlyQuest RED vs MIBR GC (BO5) - VCT Game Changers Americas Last Chance Qualifier Playoffs	FlyQuest RED	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb650bd…
10-16 01:02:16	Valorant: FlyQuest RED vs MIBR GC (BO5) - VCT Game Changers Americas Last Chance Qualifier Playoffs	MIBR GC	SELL	26	51¢	$13	0xf8e093…
10-16 00:57:45	Valorant: FlyQuest RED vs MIBR GC (BO5) - VCT Game Changers Americas Last Chance Qualifier Playoffs	MIBR GC	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xc89780…
10-16 00:57:16	Valorant: FlyQuest RED vs MIBR GC (BO5) - VCT Game Changers Americas Last Chance Qualifier Playoffs	MIBR GC	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xd20fb3…
10-16 00:55:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0x42c269…
10-16 00:55:16	LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 3 Winner	FURIA Esports	BUY	16	58¢	$9	0x8e5348…
10-16 00:45:39	Valorant: FlyQuest RED vs MIBR GC (BO5) - VCT Game Changers Americas Last Chance Qualifier Playoffs	MIBR GC	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xc8f85b…
10-16 00:43:22	Valorant: FlyQuest RED vs MIBR GC (BO5) - VCT Game Changers Americas Last Chance Qualifier Playoffs	MIBR GC	SELL	38	51¢	$19	0x4473a8…
10-16 00:42:13	Valorant: FlyQuest RED vs MIBR GC - Map 4 Winner	MIBR GC	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x45ff53…
10-16 00:37:48	Valorant: FUT Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - Monsters Reloaded Playoffs	FUT Esports	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x6b0b23…
10-16 00:37:25	Valorant: FUT Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - Monsters Reloaded Playoffs	FUT Esports	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x338694…
10-16 00:33:54	Valorant: FlyQuest RED vs MIBR GC (BO5) - VCT Game Changers Americas Last Chance Qualifier Playoffs	MIBR GC	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x055844…
10-16 00:27:30	Valorant: FlyQuest RED vs MIBR GC (BO5) - VCT Game Changers Americas Last Chance Qualifier Playoffs	MIBR GC	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xfc3d6c…
10-16 00:26:48	LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner	MVK Esports	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0xc2f058…
10-15 23:44:04	nhl van fla 2026 10 15	Canucks	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xada25d…
10-15 23:23:00	LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner	MVK Esports	BUY	33	36¢	$12	0xf157d6…
10-15 23:22:58	LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner	MVK Esports	BUY	23	36¢	$8	0xedc2ec…
10-15 23:22:28	W35 Redding, CA: Vivian Wolff vs Arina Bulatova	Arina Bulatova	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xc3e362…
10-15 23:20:54	nhl van fla 2026 10 15	Panthers	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xbe1cc9…
10-15 23:20:52	Canucks vs. Panthers: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x40c0ae…
10-15 23:19:30	LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner	FURIA Esports	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xb29acc…
10-15 23:00:01	Dota 2: Stariy bog Team vs Korb3n Team (BO3) - 1win Streamers League #3 Group B	Stariy bog Team	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x1eef0c…
10-15 22:52:18	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	58	9¢	$5	0x4060ef…
10-15 22:25:48	LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	Cloud9	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xfe5ae4…
10-15 22:13:02	W35 Heraklion: Lea Fojcik vs Charlotte Pikkaart	Lea Fojcik	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0x9ac1d4…
10-15 22:10:42	Dota 2: Stariy bog Team vs Korb3n Team (BO3) - 1win Streamers League #3 Group B	Stariy bog Team	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xbc7405…
10-15 22:03:21	LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	Cloud9	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x0dfa7e…
10-15 22:01:06	Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Mena Warriors - Game 2 Winner	PuckChamp	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x2955d4…
10-15 22:00:20	Dota 2: Stariy bog Team vs Korb3n Team (BO3) - 1win Streamers League #3 Group B	Stariy bog Team	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x57389e…
10-15 21:58:38	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 15?	Yes	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x625e12…
10-15 21:57:36	LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	Cloud9	BUY	71	42¢	$30	0x4c1681…
10-15 21:50:38	LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner	Cloud9	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x2f3825…
10-15 21:42:27	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group B	FURIA	SELL	35	95¢	$33	0xed710b…
10-15 21:31:44	LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	Cloud9	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x7e4f92…
10-15 21:30:53	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xc6178d…
10-15 21:30:41	Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)	AFC Bournemouth	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x0f6d44…
10-15 21:27:45	LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner	Cloud9	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x542fd6…
10-15 21:24:59	Dota 2: Stariy bog Team vs Korb3n Team - Game 2 Winner	Stariy bog Team	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xf8199e…
10-15 21:24:03	LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner	Cloud9	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x3f9873…
10-15 21:11:56	LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner	Cloud9	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xb00ed2…
10-15 20:49:14	LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner	Karmine Corp	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x8ff0cd…
10-15 20:47:18	Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Mena Warriors - Game 2 Winner	PuckChamp	BUY	21	41¢	$9	0x1a41c5…
10-15 20:41:35	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xf99f08…
10-15 20:41:08	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x37a1f5…
10-15 20:40:26	Dota 2: Stariy bog Team vs Korb3n Team - Game 2 Winner	Stariy bog Team	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0xa55a6c…
10-15 20:37:53	W35 Redding, CA: Nao Nishino vs Berta Passola	Nao Nishino	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xf899f1…
10-15 20:35:53	Rovereto: Antonia Ruzic vs Bianca Andreescu	Bianca Andreescu	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xd5d671…