Personal-Hybridisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$144

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.6%

Resolved

208

Trades

799

lifetime

Volume

$3.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 08-06 15:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 34% +$127

Tech

13% 25% -$53

Other

10% 21% +$75

Sports

0% 0% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-06).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	6	$340	215	215	+0	Yes	+$31	06-09 16:39
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay?	12	$191	170	170	+0	No	+$115	06-13 02:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 02:10 UTC	23	$150	100	100	+0	Up	+$4	02-15 02:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 01:30 UTC	6	$111	59	59	+0	Down	+$3	02-16 01:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 18:20 UTC	9	$87	55	55	+0	Up	+$3	02-15 18:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 02:05 UTC	14	$83	55	55	+0	Down	+$8	02-15 02:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 02:00 UTC	16	$74	50	50	+0	Down	+$3	02-15 02:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 01:50 UTC	11	$73	50	50	+0	Down	+$4	02-16 01:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 18:50 UTC	7	$71	56	26	+30	Up	+$6	02-15 18:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 02:15 UTC	15	$71	50	50	+0	Down	+$2	02-15 02:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 18:05 UTC	2	$64	32	32	+0	Up	+$0	02-15 18:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 17:35 UTC	13	$62	41	41	+0	Up	+$2	02-15 17:39
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?	3	$62	145	0	+145	No	-$62	07-21 19:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 18:40 UTC	3	$60	50	20	+30	Up	+$7	02-15 18:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 18:15 UTC	3	$59	38	27	+11	Up	-$5	02-15 18:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 01:45 UTC	9	$59	40	40	+0	Up	+$5	02-16 01:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 02:00 UTC	11	$56	60	60	+0	Up	+$3	02-16 02:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 23:40 UTC	4	$54	30	30	+0	Up	+$1	02-15 23:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 01:55 UTC	6	$50	33	33	+0	Up	-$1	02-15 01:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 01:50 UTC	7	$44	30	30	+0	Up	+$1	02-15 01:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 20:40 UTC	7	$43	45	44	+0	Up	-$3	02-14 20:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 20:55 UTC	4	$43	23	23	+0	Up	+$1	02-14 21:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 00:50 UTC	9	$41	39	21	+18	Up	$0	02-15 00:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 03:10 UTC	6	$40	30	30	+0	Up	-$2	02-16 03:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 18:25 UTC	6	$39	37	10	+27	Down	+$1	02-15 18:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 18:35 UTC	11	$38	40	40	+0	Up	-$8	02-15 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	3	$37	40	40	+0	Down	+$32	05-30 00:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 23:45 UTC	4	$35	40	0	+40	Down	-$35	02-15 23:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 18:10 UTC	6	$32	20	20	+0	Up	+$1	02-15 18:14
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	1	$32	79	0	+79	No	-$32	05-29 18:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 15:59:27	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xa03c1b…
08-06 15:59:08	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xff1763…
08-06 15:58:57	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0xd026b7…
08-06 15:58:39	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$3	0x2b280e…
08-06 15:58:24	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	3¢	$4	0xa8b415…
07-21 19:17:24	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0xc8db9c…
07-21 19:15:58	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x69a045…
07-21 19:14:55	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x634dc4…
07-11 22:16:07	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	90	6¢	$5	0xa4bf98…
06-25 13:39:08	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xb87f9f…
06-25 13:38:52	Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 3 Germany?	Yes	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0xbd7e11…
06-25 13:38:34	Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 3 Germany?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xd1820f…
06-23 21:05:59	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x4d62ed…
06-23 21:05:19	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xef8209…
06-23 21:05:08	Exact Score: Panama 0 - 3 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0x1f8b4c…
06-13 11:21:00	Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	26	18¢	$5	0x6341c4…
06-13 11:20:45	Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0x84afe6…
06-13 11:20:16	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x18fc09…
06-13 02:59:12	Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay?	Yes	SELL	170	90¢	$153	0x7ec8f2…
06-13 02:52:25	Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xd8ed47…
06-13 02:52:18	Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay?	Yes	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x3af47b…
06-13 02:49:52	Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x3acd95…
06-13 02:49:21	Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay?	Yes	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x942e87…
06-13 02:49:15	Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay?	Yes	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x787240…
06-13 02:49:00	Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x8d5476…
06-13 01:46:42	Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay?	Yes	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0xa74622…
06-13 01:46:42	Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay?	Yes	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0x9b507e…
06-13 01:46:42	Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay?	Yes	BUY	60	13¢	$8	0x7b50ee…
06-13 01:46:30	Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay?	Yes	BUY	13	13¢	$2	0xf03826…
06-13 01:46:30	Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay?	Yes	BUY	57	12¢	$7	0x32ce11…
06-12 23:39:06	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 goals folarin balogun gte1	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x3d383e…
06-12 23:18:52	Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay?	Yes	BUY	35	15¢	$5	0xba9c8c…
06-12 23:18:33	Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xc727ee…
06-11 23:45:15	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 goals lee kangin gte1	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0xad8ceb…
06-11 23:43:33	Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia?	Yes	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0x26d761…
06-11 23:42:43	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0x33469a…
06-09 16:39:10	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0xc2fd09…
06-09 15:40:06	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x922c7e…
06-09 15:10:01	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	16	87¢	$14	0x72895a…
06-09 15:10:01	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	34	87¢	$30	0x1c3dd9…
06-09 15:09:48	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	65	87¢	$56	0xf2249d…
06-09 13:37:10	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	115	63¢	$72	0x14af3e…
06-02 21:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x10e409…
06-02 21:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x6f63d4…
06-02 21:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x702eb2…
06-02 21:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xeb0119…
06-02 21:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x4c4962…
06-02 21:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x581ebe…
06-02 21:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	28	34¢	$9	0x2eb3ad…
06-02 21:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x0a92f7…
06-02 21:34:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xfbee95…
05-31 22:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x3057b1…
05-30 23:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x02a8f5…
05-30 23:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x7eec79…
05-30 23:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xa0f7c9…
05-30 23:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xf39e8b…
05-30 23:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x5a9906…
05-30 23:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x449083…
05-30 23:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0x157b15…
05-30 23:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x0c5786…
05-30 23:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x09de3b…
05-30 23:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x8ad38b…
05-30 23:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0x194ba3…
05-30 23:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xbc6ff0…
05-30 23:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xb5b3e1…
05-30 23:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0x999cf3…
05-30 23:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x569f0d…
05-30 23:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x290a4f…
05-30 22:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xc6c4ee…
05-30 22:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0xcb8a76…
05-30 22:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0xb70529…
05-30 22:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0x8b6a31…
05-30 22:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x09d9b9…
05-30 22:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xeefa32…
05-30 16:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0xd84959…
05-30 16:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0xc186e3…
05-30 16:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x66cf07…
05-30 16:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x529bd8…
05-30 15:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0x9515de…
05-30 15:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0xcc60a1…
05-30 15:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0x691ad4…
05-30 15:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0xffd944…
05-30 15:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xdf1b4c…
05-30 15:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xd69c96…
05-30 15:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x7a472e…
05-30 15:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x36b031…
05-30 15:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x1b2cf0…
05-30 15:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x0aed22…
05-30 15:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xfc0b58…
05-30 15:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x3699ab…
05-30 15:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	45	5¢	$2	0x637a48…
05-30 13:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	34	6¢	$2	0x67d1c7…
05-30 13:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	28	6¢	$2	0x8d48ea…
05-30 13:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0xe04d48…
05-30 13:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0x4072e4…
05-30 13:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0xe74450…
05-30 13:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	101	5¢	$5	0x3ca1f8…
05-30 13:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x5b8b54…
05-30 12:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	185	1¢	$2	0x9ef210…
05-30 12:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x4c43ac…