Windy-Degradation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 06-17 15:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 100% +$0

Politics

15% — —

Other

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	13	$88	5,100	1,696	+3,404	open	—	02-22 19:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	05-14 13:04
bitcoin above 74k on april 12	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-12 12:51
bitcoin above 74k on april 9	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-09 14:30
bitcoin above 78k on april 8	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-08 10:30
bitcoin above 74k on april 7	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-07 10:25
bitcoin above 74k on april 6	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-05 17:12
will bitcoin reach 72k on april 4	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-04 15:13
bitcoin above 64k on april 3	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-03 15:00
bitcoin above 74k on april 1	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	04-01 04:04
bitcoin above 72k on march 31	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	03-31 08:27
ethereum above 2300 on march 30	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	03-30 11:12
ethereum above 2200 on march 28	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	03-28 12:51
bitcoin above 70k on march 29	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	03-29 08:06
bitcoin above 62k on march 27	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	03-27 14:26
bitcoin above 74k on march 26	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	03-26 09:15
will bitcoin reach 77k on march 25	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	03-25 16:47
bitcoin above 76k on march 24	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	03-24 08:53
bitcoin above 74k on march 23	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	03-23 08:24
bitcoin above 64k on march 22	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	03-22 11:56
ethereum above 2300 on march 21	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	03-21 13:11
bitcoin above 66k on march 20	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	03-20 08:51
bitcoin above 74k on march 19	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	03-19 11:39
will bitcoin reach 82k on march 18	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	03-18 12:59
bitcoin above 62k on march 12	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	03-12 10:26
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	03-07 20:52
will iran strike israel on march 10	1	$23	24	0	+24	open	—	03-13 16:53
bitcoin above 78k on april 19	2	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	04-19 14:49
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 340 359	2	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	04-17 14:29
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	03-03 13:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 15:00:20	ethereum above 1900 on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x80e1b1…
06-14 10:34:01	ethereum above 1100 on june 14 2026	No	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0x686d76…
06-12 12:51:33	ethereum above 1800 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xef0edb…
06-11 01:28:37	bitcoin above 68k on june 11 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xbe1c39…
06-06 11:58:52	ethereum above 1800 on june 6 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd9de98…
06-04 11:06:10	bitcoin above 68k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x219355…
06-03 13:52:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xfcede7…
05-28 02:24:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd5f09b…
05-23 11:25:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x8c10f5…
05-21 12:11:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe35a94…
05-14 13:04:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x3a4db5…
05-13 12:33:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5d12e9…
05-10 09:48:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xae207b…
05-07 13:45:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf19506…
05-03 08:29:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x617a94…
04-26 12:39:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 26?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xdfa8bc…
04-24 10:42:02	bitcoin above 82k on april 24	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x73b3ec…
04-23 10:00:00	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd72c8e…
04-22 13:10:00	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe24716…
04-19 14:49:16	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfec9a3…
04-19 14:43:28	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x05f149…
04-18 13:44:00	bitcoin above 78k on april 18	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x23abcf…
04-17 14:29:58	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 340 359	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd25362…
04-17 13:54:32	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 340 359	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9e73c2…
04-16 15:03:52	bitcoin above 76k on april 16	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x00a6c8…
04-15 10:06:54	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x022149…
04-14 13:05:49	bitcoin above 78k on april 14	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x1ef0a1…
04-13 09:41:23	bitcoin above 74k on april 13	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xfee231…
04-13 00:40:19	will bitcoin reach 76k april 6 12	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfa9ac8…
04-12 12:51:37	bitcoin above 74k on april 12	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x1e0f49…
04-10 15:00:17	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0879d3…
04-09 14:30:43	bitcoin above 74k on april 9	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x65e9d8…
04-08 10:30:27	bitcoin above 78k on april 8	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x189a5f…
04-07 10:25:39	bitcoin above 74k on april 7	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xd25ef5…
04-05 17:12:01	bitcoin above 74k on april 6	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xf9e73f…
04-04 15:13:59	will bitcoin reach 72k on april 4	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x28324f…
04-03 15:00:31	bitcoin above 64k on april 3	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x63f497…
04-01 04:04:33	bitcoin above 74k on april 1	No	BUY	26	100¢	$25	0xd627c4…
03-31 08:27:51	bitcoin above 72k on march 31	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x02a268…
03-30 11:12:24	ethereum above 2300 on march 30	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x517db9…
03-29 08:06:22	bitcoin above 70k on march 29	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x58060e…
03-28 12:51:55	ethereum above 2200 on march 28	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x51a715…
03-27 14:26:07	bitcoin above 62k on march 27	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x592fa5…
03-26 09:15:09	bitcoin above 74k on march 26	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x367fdf…
03-25 16:47:13	will bitcoin reach 77k on march 25	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x9b0092…
03-24 08:53:19	bitcoin above 76k on march 24	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x15a054…
03-23 08:24:37	bitcoin above 74k on march 23	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xddefbd…
03-22 11:56:23	bitcoin above 64k on march 22	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xa5620a…
03-21 13:11:07	ethereum above 2300 on march 21	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x1ac4d9…
03-20 08:51:33	bitcoin above 66k on march 20	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x644618…
03-19 11:39:25	bitcoin above 74k on march 19	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x3c123a…
03-18 12:59:59	will bitcoin reach 82k on march 18	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xec5283…
03-13 16:53:41	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	24	98¢	$23	0x5071ef…
03-12 10:26:09	bitcoin above 62k on march 12	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x63490f…
03-07 20:52:57	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x7bb2fe…
03-03 13:39:39	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xc8417a…
02-22 19:05:06	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	SELL	588	1¢	$8	0xf27335…
02-22 19:01:14	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	SELL	77	1¢	$1	0x74a456…
02-22 19:00:28	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	SELL	935	1¢	$12	0x96cf96…
02-22 18:48:24	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1,600	1¢	$21	0x4a76ed…
02-22 18:45:40	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	SELL	96	1¢	$1	0xaa4bbc…
02-22 18:35:58	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	BUY	32	1¢	$0	0x21d04c…
02-22 18:35:48	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xe71c90…
02-22 18:34:08	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	BUY	61	1¢	$1	0x8f462d…
02-22 18:34:02	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x787d03…
02-22 18:33:22	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x2c1edc…
02-22 18:32:30	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	BUY	480	1¢	$6	0xee994f…
02-22 18:32:28	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x22f9ca…
02-22 18:32:02	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	BUY	2,912	1¢	$38	0x5fad2b…