Cultivated-Guest — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$462

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.7%

Resolved

1,764

Trades

10,515

lifetime

Volume

$35.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 11-04 05:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 105 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 49% -$462

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 1106 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 10:35 UTC	110	$242	481	+481	Up	-$14	07-10 10:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 08:40 UTC	108	$228	599	+599	Down	+$97	07-25 08:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	71	$201	384	+384	Up	-$3	07-11 05:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 03:35 UTC	84	$174	438	+438	Up	-$9	07-28 03:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 11:50 UTC	80	$172	431	+431	Down	-$13	07-28 11:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 10:30 UTC	72	$172	361	+361	Up	-$5	07-28 10:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 05:30 UTC	65	$147	290	+290	Up	-$11	07-11 05:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 11:55 UTC	56	$136	329	+329	Down	-$17	07-26 11:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 11:05 UTC	41	$134	255	+255	Up	-$20	08-21 11:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 11:25 UTC	68	$131	347	+347	Down	-$23	07-26 11:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 14:05 UTC	59	$128	250	+250	Up	-$3	07-06 14:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 17:30 UTC	58	$125	245	+245	Down	-$5	07-06 17:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 10:35 UTC	56	$115	225	+225	Down	-$5	06-29 10:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 13:00 UTC	60	$111	225	+225	Up	-$5	06-17 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	44	$110	197	+197	Down	-$2	07-17 08:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 11:00 UTC	44	$106	200	+200	Up	-$11	07-06 11:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 20:20 UTC	50	$106	231	+231	Down	-$1	07-04 20:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 07:20 UTC	43	$105	195	+195	Down	+$0	06-29 07:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 12:55 UTC	61	$104	292	+292	Down	-$20	07-26 12:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 09:15 UTC	36	$102	195	+195	Down	-$12	07-06 09:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 06:50 UTC	24	$100	149	+149	Down	-$11	07-17 06:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 12:15 UTC	42	$99	182	+182	Up	+$41	06-16 12:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 06:05 UTC	26	$98	173	+173	Up	-$3	09-17 06:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	26	$98	208	+208	Down	+$9	10-27 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	19	$98	174	+174	Up	-$13	10-29 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	18	$98	164	+164	Up	-$10	10-29 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	18	$97	179	+179	Down	-$18	10-27 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	20	$97	165	+165	Down	-$12	10-29 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	20	$96	180	+180	Down	-$16	10-27 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	18	$95	146	+146	Up	-$15	10-29 14:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 08:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xe49e73…
11-04 08:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa8dbc7…
11-04 05:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x341a53…
11-04 05:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x736c22…
11-04 05:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x133248…
11-04 05:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xd20775…
11-04 04:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xf0aacf…
11-04 03:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x44b418…
11-04 03:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x263613…
11-04 03:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x370616…
11-04 03:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0xd633ff…
11-04 03:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xc9b1d8…
11-04 03:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xf7eb6f…
11-04 03:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xeae6a6…
11-04 03:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x0871e2…
11-04 03:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x26ea98…
11-04 02:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x670d01…
11-04 02:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$0	0xe65c85…
11-04 02:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x7ab8c9…
11-04 01:49:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x8c84b9…
11-04 01:49:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x84bb5b…
11-04 01:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x492c26…
11-04 01:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x785b86…
11-04 01:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xebee40…
11-04 01:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xcf775b…
11-04 01:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xb7bf88…
11-04 01:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	66¢	$1	0xcfe879…
11-04 01:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x24b4d0…
11-04 00:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x25843c…
11-04 00:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x2c5dd0…
11-04 00:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x56c220…
11-04 00:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xf01c93…
11-04 00:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xaeb485…
11-04 00:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x635f47…
11-04 00:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x8eead5…
11-04 00:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xfb86a7…
11-04 00:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0xad5079…
11-04 00:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x89677e…
11-03 23:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xfd0a6f…
11-03 22:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xf855dc…
11-03 21:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x76e234…
11-03 21:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x69cbf2…
11-03 21:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x98ac10…
11-03 21:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xfb7ad2…
11-03 21:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x5a2302…
11-03 21:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x5b9b72…
11-03 21:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xf0d3ec…
11-03 21:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xa66dbc…
11-03 21:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xf0cb33…
11-03 21:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xb169be…
11-03 21:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x00e49e…
11-03 21:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa1bffa…
11-03 21:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x807809…
11-03 21:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x29a840…
11-03 21:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xd7565e…
11-03 21:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x6d1d8a…
11-03 21:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xb8e4fb…
11-03 21:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x7d9a81…
11-03 21:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xe16dd1…
11-03 21:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xe044b3…
11-03 21:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xfc688f…
11-03 21:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xa79174…
11-03 21:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x822bb4…
11-03 21:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x00eef0…
11-03 21:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xecaa1e…
11-03 21:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xd44a3e…
11-03 21:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x638356…
11-03 21:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xee316e…
11-03 21:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x33bdee…
11-03 21:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x653157…
11-03 21:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x6ebff5…
11-03 21:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb548e1…
11-03 21:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xf24a34…
11-03 21:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xbd593d…
11-03 21:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x87bc97…
11-03 21:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xb84e9d…
11-03 21:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x71628d…
11-03 21:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xf6dcf0…
11-03 21:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x807cdf…
11-03 21:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xef565a…
11-03 21:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x6381b0…
11-03 21:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xdc6947…
11-03 20:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xb50d30…
11-03 20:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xf4884a…
11-03 20:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xef18e3…
11-03 20:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x321a7f…
11-03 20:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	0	19¢	$0	0x29ab45…
11-03 20:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x536176…
11-03 19:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x3ca906…
11-03 18:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x26ca5c…
11-03 18:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xc231a2…
11-03 18:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x0b4faa…
11-03 17:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xd20fb1…
11-03 17:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x424e79…
11-03 17:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x57f38b…
11-03 17:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x64323e…
11-03 17:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x0ac845…
11-03 17:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x292cc7…
11-03 17:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x3b9be8…
11-03 17:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x6aae4f…