Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.2%

Resolved

131

Trades

139

lifetime

Volume

$144

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-17

last 11-02 13:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Other

87% 57% +$4

Politics

10% 57% -$2

Tech

3% 100% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	2	$2	5	+5	No	-$1	10-27 20:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	2	$2	6	+6	No	-$1	09-26 07:53
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 9?	2	$2	4	+4	Yes	$0	10-09 03:53
will wti dip to 95 by october 12 2026 from october 15	2	$2	4	+4	No	+$1	10-16 04:26
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $189 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	09-10 07:42
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-21 14:35
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 11	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-02 12:02
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-13 21:50
us x iran ceasefire continues through september 25 20260917	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	09-19 23:17
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-10 15:44
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	09-15 15:15
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on September 8?	1	$1	2	+2	Down	-$1	09-08 15:50
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $174 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-21 22:35
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	09-13 00:34
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,050 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-20 21:55
will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-15 23:34
next openai gpt luna 5pt7 released by september 27 2026	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	+$3	09-21 22:35
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	08-21 16:28
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	09-23 07:30
will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-16 07:36
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $160 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-23 08:01
will xagusd reach 64 by september 14 2026	1	$1	5	+5	Yes	-$1	09-15 07:14
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 28, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	09-23 16:42
Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-09 22:38
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$2	09-14 05:50
will nvda reach 220 by september 7 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-10 23:49
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	09-21 05:57
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-19 03:57
us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507 868 993	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	08-17 17:30
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $67 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	08-24 08:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 13:58:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xfba358…
11-02 05:58:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 2?	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x5556ee…
11-01 21:58:03	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x709ef8…
10-30 02:12:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xbe266d…
10-29 17:30:08	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 29?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xd638aa…
10-29 03:22:28	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x3a1262…
10-28 13:43:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x6eb1cd…
10-28 04:38:53	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xadb204…
10-27 20:33:23	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xbc5e66…
10-27 20:33:14	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x01a972…
10-27 12:32:33	Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x4efdc8…
10-27 03:32:29	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x685f12…
10-26 15:12:30	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xfac844…
10-26 07:09:20	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x8585c9…
10-25 23:08:44	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 36M tonnes at end of October 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x1e5ba7…
10-25 14:49:12	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x0f90ea…
10-25 06:35:00	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xcc7416…
10-23 04:51:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xeeacca…
10-22 20:25:27	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x8b10d8…
10-22 12:12:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xefb4c3…
10-22 01:42:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22?	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xf094b9…
10-21 17:29:59	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x6e72f1…
10-21 09:16:38	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x729fe3…
10-20 13:12:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x689ec4…
10-20 05:10:41	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x560eed…
10-19 21:10:22	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $517.50 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7b9cd1…
10-19 13:09:57	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x50a14c…
10-19 05:09:47	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x243cc8…
10-18 21:09:41	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xc50ce3…
10-18 12:02:18	Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xf2d210…
10-17 23:56:11	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xce7c69…
10-17 15:54:56	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2adcf7…
10-16 12:41:45	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd179e1…
10-16 04:26:42	will wti dip to 95 by october 12 2026 from october 15	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x66e87c…
10-16 04:26:00	will wti dip to 95 by october 12 2026 from october 15	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xae5b99…
10-15 19:05:11	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 15?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf6d336…
10-15 09:55:13	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xce4c81…
10-15 00:39:40	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf71e27…
10-14 15:16:57	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x533c22…
10-14 07:14:28	googl close above 360 on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x97a590…
10-13 23:07:04	will meta dip to 730 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xf6788d…
10-13 14:46:56	spy up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x187cb7…
10-12 18:39:12	will meta dip to 720 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd93283…
10-12 10:30:20	Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x09717f…
10-12 02:30:03	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $112.50 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf2ac51…
10-11 18:14:00	Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xebf11f…
10-11 10:12:30	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xaca376…
10-11 01:25:15	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xabd6d0…
10-10 11:50:34	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x87c993…
10-09 20:15:29	Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q3 investment banking fees be above $3.35B?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf2870b…
10-09 12:10:51	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $355 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x8b1f72…
10-09 03:57:57	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x7da060…
10-09 03:53:30	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 9?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x784cdf…
10-09 03:53:09	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x1a773f…
10-08 19:51:32	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x373085…
10-08 08:30:26	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x56fe35…
10-08 00:29:58	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $332 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf70348…
10-07 16:24:10	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x6667e7…
10-07 06:22:00	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1c1114…
10-06 22:11:27	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xbb149c…
10-06 14:01:00	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x3bf45c…
10-06 05:29:55	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc4f064…
10-05 21:29:19	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf3528a…
10-05 12:22:37	spy up or down on october 5 2026	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x00e398…
10-05 00:36:44	will coin dip to 177 50 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x002857…
10-02 07:33:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2?	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x183016…
10-01 18:20:57	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb383ea…
10-01 16:57:32	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $228 Week of September 28 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x1e9797…
10-01 08:55:02	spx opens up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6bc1b9…
09-30 23:21:14	will xagusd reach 61 by september 28 2026 from september 30	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xac9fb8…
09-30 11:56:12	meta up or down on september 30 2026	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x72ac5d…
09-30 03:55:51	spy up or down on september 30 2026	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x16950d…
09-29 19:55:14	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 28 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x01d8d5…
09-29 11:38:12	will hood dip to 110 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd71f87…
09-29 03:36:41	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe02423…
09-28 19:36:35	Trump renames AI by September 30?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xd47670…
09-28 10:41:03	spy closes above 770 on september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x90370e…
09-28 00:57:03	will msft dip to 502 50 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x439edb…
09-27 16:45:03	OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 29?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x85d72b…
09-27 03:04:50	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xec68f3…
09-26 18:37:56	will xagusd dip to 64 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x6a8e97…
09-26 07:53:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x8998ff…
09-26 07:32:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x485580…
09-25 21:15:29	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x4471f3…
09-25 12:42:12	will ewy reach 190 in september 2026 from september 23	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe85a14…
09-25 03:05:39	will xagusd reach 65 by september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xcf40ec…
09-24 18:00:42	Will Costco say "Spending" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x6aecb7…
09-24 18:00:39	will aapl dip to 336 by september 21 2026 from september 24	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xc0a29f…
09-24 10:00:12	Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x737193…
09-24 01:59:50	will pltr dip to 189 by september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xc81e47…
09-23 16:42:55	Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 28, 2026?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x6ea409…
09-23 08:01:40	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $160 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x4bfb4c…
09-23 07:30:07	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb24527…
09-21 22:35:12	next openai gpt luna 5pt7 released by september 27 2026	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x164155…
09-21 22:35:07	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $174 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x27d3d5…
09-21 14:35:00	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa08fdf…
09-21 05:57:35	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x4b1b25…
09-20 21:55:07	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,050 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7112aa…
09-19 23:17:01	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 25 20260917	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa970da…
09-19 03:57:54	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x960f0a…