Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$117

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

71.7%

Resolved

375

Trades

845

lifetime

Volume

$2.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-10-19

last 10-27 11:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 60% -$119

Other

2% 64% +$10

Politics

1% 0% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 456 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	—	+12	$4	1¢	$0	-$4	10-27 12:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	61	$116	178	178	+0	Up	-$2	10-25 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	61	$61	120	0	+120	Down	-$3	10-25 18:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	3	$49	53	21	+31	Down	-$33	10-26 23:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	47	$47	123	0	+123	Up	-$7	10-25 17:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	37	$46	109	0	+109	Up	-$22	10-25 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	4	$38	41	41	+0	Up	-$8	10-26 17:12
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$35	33	33	+0	No	-$8	10-25 22:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	12	$35	65	20	+45	Down	+$5	10-25 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$33	34	0	+34	Up	+$0	10-26 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	11	$33	43	0	+43	Up	-$1	10-25 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$30	32	0	+32	Down	+$2	10-26 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	Up	+$1	10-26 02:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	Up	+$1	10-26 03:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	Up	+$1	10-26 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	Up	+$1	10-26 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	Down	+$1	10-26 02:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	Down	+$1	10-26 01:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	Down	+$1	10-26 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	Down	+$1	10-26 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	Up	+$1	10-26 01:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	Down	+$1	10-26 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	Down	-$30	10-26 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	Down	+$1	10-26 02:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	Up	+$1	10-26 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	Up	+$1	10-26 02:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	Down	+$1	10-26 02:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	Down	+$1	10-26 02:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	Down	+$1	10-26 01:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	Up	+$1	10-26 01:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	Up	+$1	10-26 02:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 12:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x2fcb20…
10-27 12:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xa34eb7…
10-27 12:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xdce27f…
10-27 12:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x1cba9d…
10-27 12:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xa37385…
10-27 11:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x54e915…
10-27 11:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x72b4be…
10-27 11:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x3161a6…
10-27 11:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x4bb8b2…
10-27 11:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x63407e…
10-27 11:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xefc2da…
10-27 11:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xa66de6…
10-26 23:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$31	0xe06cc6…
10-26 23:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	21	36¢	$8	0x7c9c92…
10-26 23:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xabfeeb…
10-26 23:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	34	99¢	$33	0x2a8388…
10-26 21:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xc0c6e4…
10-26 21:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x152b11…
10-26 21:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x819faf…
10-26 21:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x16302e…
10-26 21:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x86e8ae…
10-26 21:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xbdeaa4…
10-26 21:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xbec155…
10-26 21:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xbf8ad1…
10-26 21:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x79f5d7…
10-26 21:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0xf259af…
10-26 21:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x890d07…
10-26 21:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x5cd894…
10-26 21:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0xca9c76…
10-26 21:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x9f45ee…
10-26 21:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x117938…
10-26 21:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x4a686a…
10-26 21:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	11	57¢	$6	0x398596…
10-26 21:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xfbb2f9…
10-26 21:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$2	0x8aa1b7…
10-26 21:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xa10c67…
10-26 21:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x78221e…
10-26 21:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x014ede…
10-26 21:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x30e6b1…
10-26 21:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe0bccd…
10-26 17:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xb055b6…
10-26 17:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb3a301…
10-26 17:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x1d5336…
10-26 17:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xd11447…
10-26 17:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	72¢	$15	0x8961bc…
10-26 17:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x4f2237…
10-26 16:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf35baf…
10-26 16:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xde8a1e…
10-26 16:39:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xbd194f…
10-26 16:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe11197…
10-26 14:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xf9b1e1…
10-26 13:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0xcb6d44…
10-26 13:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0xc3b503…
10-26 13:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0xa72d9b…
10-26 11:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0x4181ce…
10-26 11:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0x398611…
10-26 11:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0x8e80f6…
10-26 11:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0x35f45d…
10-26 11:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0x265082…
10-26 11:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0xb9d2eb…
10-26 11:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0x94b7ee…
10-26 04:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xcfcf95…
10-26 03:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xbccefe…
10-26 03:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xf5ce16…
10-26 03:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x7d10cc…
10-26 02:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xff1fae…
10-26 02:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x5a5e85…
10-26 02:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x068adf…
10-26 02:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xf50dab…
10-26 02:37:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x7c72fe…
10-26 02:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x8a3c42…
10-26 02:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x37d9b9…
10-26 02:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x7e3e80…
10-26 02:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x58263c…
10-26 02:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x7b9722…
10-26 02:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x91a19b…
10-26 02:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xfe980d…
10-26 01:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xb9c35e…
10-26 01:53:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x5bfd25…
10-26 01:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x803f82…
10-26 01:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x3c556c…
10-26 01:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x7b17c4…
10-26 01:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x35b399…
10-26 01:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x16901d…
10-26 01:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x55b1e1…
10-26 01:17:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xf318ba…
10-26 01:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xd38288…
10-26 00:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x38a367…
10-26 00:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7822cb…
10-26 00:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x7188cd…
10-26 00:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x532b36…
10-26 00:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd38003…
10-26 00:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x07d1e6…
10-26 00:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x31ff55…
10-26 00:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xf2bcc9…
10-26 00:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x103ded…
10-25 23:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0x57bd78…
10-25 23:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x4b0f03…
10-25 23:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0xf49205…
10-25 23:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x54e297…