Red-Clavicle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

68.0%

Resolved

1,503

Trades

1,901

lifetime

Volume

$8.68K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-06

last 10-29 01:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 61% -$27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 157 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	—	+6	$4	2¢	$0	-$4	10-29 02:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 11:15 UTC	9	$199	122	120	+1	Up	+$41	03-16 11:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 11:25 UTC	6	$121	85	72	+13	Down	+$22	03-16 11:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 07:40 UTC	5	$94	55	55	+1	Down	+$15	03-19 07:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 11:50 UTC	4	$63	33	33	+0	Down	+$3	03-16 11:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 14:55 UTC	3	$62	32	32	+0	Up	+$2	03-15 15:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 17:30 UTC	28	$58	111	0	+111	Up	-$2	08-13 17:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 15:10 UTC	5	$52	28	28	+0	Up	+$2	03-15 15:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 14:40 UTC	4	$50	87	0	+87	Down	+$37	03-18 14:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 11:40 UTC	3	$50	31	30	+0	Up	+$10	03-16 11:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 14:30 UTC	3	$43	24	24	+0	Up	+$3	03-18 14:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 16:55 UTC	3	$43	23	23	+0	Down	+$3	03-16 17:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 15:15 UTC	3	$41	21	21	+0	Up	+$1	03-17 15:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 14:35 UTC	4	$40	48	0	+48	Down	-$40	03-18 14:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 11:05 UTC	3	$35	20	20	+0	Down	+$5	03-16 11:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 15:15 UTC	3	$34	18	18	+0	Down	+$2	03-15 15:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 08:15 UTC	4	$33	21	21	+0	Down	+$9	03-14 08:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 10:50 UTC	3	$31	16	16	+0	Up	+$1	03-16 11:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 07:20 UTC	11	$31	57	0	+57	Up	-$7	06-12 07:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 15:30 UTC	2	$30	16	16	+0	Up	+$0	03-15 15:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 14:45 UTC	3	$30	38	0	+38	Up	-$30	03-19 14:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 08:05 UTC	4	$30	23	21	+2	Up	+$12	03-14 08:10
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	11	$28	30	18	+12	Up	-$1	05-27 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	7	$25	18	13	+5	Down	+$1	05-27 17:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 08:30 UTC	8	$24	48	0	+48	Down	+$0	06-12 08:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	6	$22	135	0	+135	Down	-$3	05-27 17:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 10:55 UTC	2	$22	11	11	+0	Down	+$0	03-15 11:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 14:15 UTC	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	03-18 14:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	8	$22	25	10	+15	Up	-$2	09-09 19:21
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	8	$21	43	0	+43	Down	-$1	05-27 14:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 08:00 UTC	3	$21	22	0	+22	Up	+$1	03-14 08:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 02:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x51863c…
10-29 02:22:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x1cef92…
10-29 02:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xf6045f…
10-29 02:22:13	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xa39388…
10-29 02:17:41	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xff7dd7…
10-29 02:17:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xee1326…
10-29 02:11:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x8ca94e…
10-29 02:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xc596a4…
10-29 01:53:14	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x290847…
10-29 01:47:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xc2cacd…
10-29 01:47:10	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x395858…
10-29 01:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x14a63b…
10-29 01:36:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x95efcc…
10-28 18:16:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xa3dca1…
10-28 18:12:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x1760ac…
10-28 18:06:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x0af898…
10-28 18:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x0cbdad…
10-28 18:01:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x78600b…
10-28 17:52:16	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xe746d1…
10-28 17:51:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xc57e88…
10-28 16:13:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xe4e7bd…
10-28 16:11:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xe89199…
10-28 16:08:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x761ac8…
10-28 16:07:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x744cbc…
10-28 15:56:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xc7d2d6…
10-28 15:52:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xee0fb7…
10-28 15:52:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0x2a9e6e…
10-28 15:41:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x170c0f…
10-28 15:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x330c47…
10-28 15:36:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x2be5e7…
10-28 15:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x62b027…
10-28 15:22:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0xbfd0eb…
10-28 15:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x0bb369…
10-28 15:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xe736bb…
10-28 15:07:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0xba0d55…
10-28 15:07:23	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x1f69e6…
10-28 14:57:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x40af2f…
10-28 14:56:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x8ec769…
10-28 14:56:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xf35e98…
10-28 14:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	76¢	$7	0xa2db63…
10-28 14:46:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x59ae4a…
10-28 14:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x37cc22…
10-28 14:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x13eeb4…
10-28 14:41:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x3a1e0e…
10-28 14:40:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0x0fc80b…
10-28 14:37:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x9af240…
10-28 14:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	81¢	$8	0xe106d6…
10-28 14:37:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x242857…
10-28 13:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x87f8c3…
10-28 13:51:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x1a2257…
10-28 13:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x1c36f3…
10-28 13:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xcd9b40…
10-28 13:38:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x74eb69…
10-28 13:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x7bb1ec…
10-28 13:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xb39ee3…
10-28 13:13:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$3	0xc9ff67…
10-28 13:13:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xb03e79…
10-28 13:11:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x89d55a…
10-28 13:07:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x07aea1…
10-28 13:02:05	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x621fe4…
10-28 12:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x06bc87…
10-28 12:51:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xe1b2c0…
10-28 12:46:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xfc02f7…
10-28 12:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x7d8d14…
10-28 12:42:17	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xca39dd…
10-28 12:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x201c6e…
10-28 12:32:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x2a059a…
10-28 12:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x026a52…
10-28 12:25:16	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x00db25…
10-28 12:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x5acebe…
10-28 12:16:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x95688f…
10-28 12:11:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x41f709…
10-28 12:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xe591b4…
10-28 11:23:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x8c8ad2…
10-28 11:21:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x7bf167…
10-28 10:51:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xe96346…
10-28 10:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0xc40c46…
10-28 10:02:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x76342b…
10-28 09:37:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0xd8c6fd…
10-28 09:22:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xf3a0cf…
10-28 09:18:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x60a7fa…
10-28 09:08:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x4dd02a…
10-28 09:07:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xb0dd84…
10-28 08:43:11	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x608d21…
10-28 08:42:17	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xe7b20a…
10-28 08:42:02	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xad77a4…
10-28 08:23:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x38b530…
10-28 08:11:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xfb1ad6…
10-28 06:52:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xcbf804…
10-28 04:22:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x1852dc…
10-28 03:37:01	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xce3d8f…
10-28 03:22:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x6de4a1…
10-28 03:07:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x08af5e…
10-28 02:26:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x27e9cb…
10-28 02:07:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	78¢	$6	0x5cd81b…
10-28 02:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0x4cba08…
10-28 01:51:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xe01776…
10-28 01:48:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xfea7a1…
10-28 01:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x83860c…
10-28 00:33:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xff8a1c…