Reckless-Permission — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.46K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.7%

Resolved

108

Trades

154

lifetime

Volume

$17.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$115

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 05-14 22:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

69% 37% -$2,497

Sports

21% 57% +$247

Crypto

10% 23% -$207

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-03?	2	$817	502	502	+0	Yes	+$185	05-03 19:42
Golden Knights vs. Ducks	3	$595	805	393	+413	Golden Knights	-$210	05-14 22:20
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-14?	2	$546	350	350	+0	No	+$154	05-14 20:00
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-12?	2	$500	312	312	+0	Yes	+$100	05-12 20:00
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?	2	$475	360	360	+0	No	+$7	05-04 17:12
Manchester City FC leading at halftime?	2	$473	313	313	+0	Yes	+$153	05-13 20:44
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?	2	$469	372	372	+0	Yes	+$171	05-03 15:22
Will EC Juventude win on 2026-05-13?	2	$461	314	314	+0	Yes	+$167	05-14 00:17
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?	2	$457	307	307	+0	Yes	+$157	05-03 22:23
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-05-13?	2	$450	834	0	+834	No	-$450	05-14 01:00
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-13?	2	$444	274	274	+0	Yes	+$104	05-13 21:23
Wild vs. Avalanche	1	$439	675	0	+675	Avalanche	+$236	05-04 01:19
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-05-04?	1	$428	621	0	+621	No	-$428	05-04 17:12
nba dal uta 2026 01 08 total 242pt5	2	$425	275	275	+0	Under	+$125	01-09 05:07
nhl min sea 2026 01 08	2	$414	257	257	+0	Wild	+$100	01-09 06:40
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-05-03?	2	$392	344	344	+0	Yes	-$28	05-03 13:36
nhl cbj las 2026 01 08	2	$384	275	275	+0	Golden Knights	+$164	01-09 06:39
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?	2	$375	245	245	+0	Yes	+$115	05-02 21:29
wta svitoli kartal 2026 01 08	2	$375	250	250	+0	Svitolina	-$25	01-09 07:45
Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)	2	$365	234	234	+0	Levante UD	+$103	05-12 19:15
atp musetti wong 2026 01 09	2	$355	205	205	+0	Musetti	+$55	01-09 07:30
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5	3	$325	306	306	+0	Over	+$25	05-04 15:58
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-03?	2	$325	502	0	+502	No	-$325	05-03 13:40
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-03?	2	$320	250	250	+0	No	+$20	05-03 12:03
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5	2	$308	195	195	+0	Under	+$82	05-03 00:17
ucl bog1 mnc1 2026 01 20 mnc1	1	$301	435	0	+435	No	-$301	01-20 17:57
lal ovi bet 2026 01 10 bet	1	$275	539	0	+539	No	-$275	01-10 08:06
cfb ore ind 2026 01 09	1	$250	410	0	+410	Indiana	+$160	01-09 19:56
Wild vs. Avalanche	2	$246	407	0	+407	Avalanche	+$161	05-14 00:17
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13?	2	$234	489	91	+397	Yes	-$196	05-13 21:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 22:20:01	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	413	50¢	$206	0x1a984d…
05-14 22:08:41	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Ducks	SELL	393	49¢	$192	0x25920a…
05-14 21:53:31	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	393	50¢	$196	0x9e5252…
05-14 21:14:36	Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-14?	Yes	BUY	211	47¢	$100	0xf01310…
05-14 20:02:13	Real Oviedo leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	380	13¢	$48	0x062527…
05-14 20:00:00	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-14?	No	SELL	350	100¢	$350	0x1434d6…
05-14 18:31:58	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-14?	No	BUY	350	56¢	$196	0x713ecf…
05-14 18:12:29	Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-14?	Yes	BUY	402	51¢	$205	0x9446cb…
05-14 01:00:29	Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	BUY	371	54¢	$200	0x63d944…
05-14 00:17:26	Wild vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	204	54¢	$110	0x588d09…
05-14 00:17:03	Will EC Juventude win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	SELL	314	100¢	$314	0x99dc67…
05-13 23:13:18	Will EC Juventude win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	BUY	314	47¢	$147	0xdba226…
05-13 22:21:49	Wild vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	203	67¢	$136	0x53846c…
05-13 21:29:00	Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	BUY	463	54¢	$250	0xbe0b3a…
05-13 21:23:11	Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	SELL	274	100¢	$274	0xa4827a…
05-13 21:14:54	Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13?	No	SELL	91	21¢	$19	0xfaec58…
05-13 20:45:13	Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13?	No	BUY	489	44¢	$215	0x7e7a86…
05-13 20:44:08	Manchester City FC leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	313	100¢	$313	0x4f34b4…
05-13 19:11:46	Manchester City FC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	313	51¢	$160	0x13f266…
05-13 18:00:36	Will Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0xa4b0fd…
05-13 18:00:24	Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0xd573d5…
05-13 18:00:03	Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-13?	No	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0x4e9e6a…
05-13 16:45:19	Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	BUY	274	62¢	$170	0x06d0f8…
05-12 23:14:34	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	259	58¢	$150	0xa8963b…
05-12 23:07:49	Spread: Spurs (-10.5)	Spurs	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x1519f0…
05-12 20:00:31	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-12?	Yes	SELL	312	96¢	$300	0x1b2f33…
05-12 19:54:18	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?	No	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x6a5bc0…
05-12 19:16:55	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-12?	Yes	BUY	312	64¢	$200	0x8eb2fa…
05-12 19:15:34	Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)	Levante UD	SELL	234	100¢	$234	0xcd79e9…
05-12 19:07:57	Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-12?	No	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0xd1358e…
05-12 17:13:11	Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)	Levante UD	BUY	234	56¢	$131	0x1c7629…
05-12 10:24:30	KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Ak Bars Kazan	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	BUY	259	58¢	$150	0xc99a2a…
05-12 09:50:26	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x87a475…
05-12 00:58:19	Avalanche vs. Wild	Avalanche	BUY	110	41¢	$45	0xd1d6b7…
05-11 21:34:34	Avalanche vs. Wild	Avalanche	BUY	263	57¢	$150	0xd8d237…
05-11 20:54:08	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-05-11?	Yes	BUY	205	49¢	$100	0xd7eac3…
05-04 17:12:36	Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-05-04?	Yes	BUY	621	69¢	$428	0xcc917c…
05-04 17:12:04	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?	Yes	SELL	360	67¢	$241	0xc570dd…
05-04 17:09:30	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-04?	Yes	SELL	369	19¢	$70	0x743c05…
05-04 16:39:58	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-04?	Yes	BUY	369	42¢	$155	0xba8284…
05-04 15:58:04	Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	296	58¢	$172	0xc18cb3…
05-04 14:36:20	Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0xba4109…
05-04 14:11:18	Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	306	49¢	$150	0x0d1e94…
05-04 13:07:54	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?	Yes	BUY	348	67¢	$233	0x372120…
05-04 05:46:58	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?	Yes	BUY	360	65¢	$234	0x969e47…
05-04 01:46:58	Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-05-03?	No	BUY	239	56¢	$135	0xd5b79d…
05-04 01:19:02	Wild vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	675	65¢	$439	0x6a9ba2…
05-03 22:24:06	Canadiens vs. Lightning	Lightning	BUY	339	59¢	$200	0xa66e4d…
05-03 22:23:40	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	SELL	307	100¢	$307	0xcc59b9…
05-03 21:31:36	Will CA River Plate win on 2026-03-08?	Yes	BUY	312	64¢	$200	0x591c64…
05-03 19:51:24	Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-05-03?	No	BUY	216	51¢	$110	0xb83af1…
05-03 19:43:28	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	307	49¢	$150	0x6f79d2…
05-03 19:42:58	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	SELL	502	100¢	$501	0xa0fa35…
05-03 15:24:40	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	502	63¢	$316	0xc18d16…
05-03 15:22:54	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	SELL	372	86¢	$320	0x536726…
05-03 13:59:38	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	372	40¢	$149	0x551f2b…
05-03 13:40:48	Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	233	64¢	$150	0x629595…
05-03 13:37:58	Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	269	65¢	$175	0x5f3deb…
05-03 13:36:06	Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	SELL	344	53¢	$182	0xb81ae5…
05-03 12:42:20	Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	344	61¢	$210	0xa6444e…
05-03 12:03:40	Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-03?	No	SELL	250	68¢	$170	0x7d2144…
05-03 11:26:26	Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	312	64¢	$200	0xd35c2f…
05-03 10:53:52	Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-03?	No	BUY	250	60¢	$150	0xe7cb47…
05-03 00:18:16	Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-05-02?	No	BUY	153	57¢	$87	0xc87153…
05-03 00:17:54	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5	Under	SELL	195	100¢	$195	0xede0af…
05-02 22:14:28	Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-02?	No	BUY	244	61¢	$149	0xa73bc5…
05-02 21:29:30	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	195	58¢	$113	0xa66843…
05-02 21:29:18	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	SELL	245	100¢	$245	0xda3858…
05-02 20:05:40	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	245	53¢	$130	0x9bea98…
01-20 17:57:54	ucl bog1 mnc1 2026 01 20 mnc1	Yes	BUY	435	69¢	$301	0xb0bf9c…
01-12 20:37:23	cde psg pfc 2026 01 12 psg	Yes	BUY	64	79¢	$51	0x46567e…
01-12 20:35:31	lal sev cel 2026 01 12 sev	Yes	BUY	149	35¢	$52	0x9e66cd…
01-10 08:06:22	lal ovi bet 2026 01 10 bet	Yes	BUY	539	51¢	$275	0x23eb93…
01-10 07:53:40	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	156	10¢	$15	0x0eaf9d…
01-10 07:53:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	152	23¢	$35	0x3005bf…
01-10 07:52:58	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	159	22¢	$35	0x70f8f2…
01-10 07:44:02	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	239	4¢	$10	0xb6ca05…
01-10 07:43:28	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	71	6¢	$4	0x1f8ad0…
01-10 07:35:58	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	121	58¢	$70	0xdae299…
01-10 07:34:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x2d2eec…
01-10 07:23:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 07:15 UTC	Down	SELL	116	91¢	$105	0xd558ea…
01-10 07:17:22	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	102	59¢	$60	0x855110…
01-10 07:16:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	118	51¢	$60	0x4916e5…
01-10 07:09:58	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	153	10¢	$15	0x70585f…
01-10 07:06:22	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0xff8fc4…
01-10 07:05:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x6c2ac3…
01-09 22:23:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	92	13¢	$12	0x79a527…
01-09 22:14:24	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xc41f2d…
01-09 22:12:02	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	133	68¢	$90	0x716e9c…
01-09 21:35:56	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0x146a04…
01-09 21:33:42	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	42	45¢	$19	0x4d56df…
01-09 21:32:00	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0x7bdbfa…
01-09 19:56:26	cfb ore ind 2026 01 09	Indiana	BUY	410	61¢	$250	0x9e82ee…
01-09 19:53:50	nba mil lal 2026 01 09 total 229pt5	Over	BUY	431	51¢	$220	0xc75d7d…
01-09 19:38:32	bun ein dor 2026 01 09 ein	Yes	BUY	186	28¢	$52	0x297c86…
01-09 19:29:42	acn cmr mar 2026 01 09 cmr	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x78828a…
01-09 19:21:22	acn cmr mar 2026 01 09 cmr	Yes	BUY	516	10¢	$50	0x03401d…
01-09 17:13:30	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xb17528…
01-09 17:13:18	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	118	2¢	$2	0xe69190…
01-09 17:07:00	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0x2b4409…