Thankful-Boatload — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.89K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.0%

Resolved

1,903

Trades

4,480

lifetime

Volume

$249.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 05-16 14:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 54% -$5,770

Other

6% 59% -$1,064

Sports

4% 57% -$55

Politics

0% 33% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-16).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 74k on march 17	9	$2.4K	2,137	2,109	+29	No	+$533	03-17 16:03
bitcoin above 70k on march 20	10	$2.2K	3,519	3,474	+45	No	-$425	03-20 10:34
bitcoin above 72k on march 5	3	$1.9K	1,824	1,764	+60	No	+$542	03-05 15:55
bitcoin above 74k on march 18	4	$1.8K	1,322	1,303	+20	No	+$723	03-18 14:43
bitcoin above 70k on march 6	7	$1.8K	1,857	1,857	+0	No	+$628	03-06 17:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 04:40 UTC	8	$1.7K	1,344	1,267	+77	Up	-$16	02-24 04:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 04:25 UTC	2	$1.7K	1,167	1,149	+18	Up	+$518	03-20 04:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 04:50 UTC	3	$1.6K	1,227	1,134	+93	Down	+$349	02-24 04:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 10:40 UTC	4	$1.6K	1,368	1,351	+18	Down	-$186	03-20 10:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 09:20 UTC	2	$1.5K	941	927	+13	Down	+$335	03-20 09:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 10:05 UTC	4	$1.4K	810	806	+4	Down	+$118	03-20 10:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 04:10 UTC	4	$1.4K	834	826	+7	Down	+$144	02-24 04:13
nba nyk tor 2026 03 03	3	$1.4K	778	778	+0	Knicks	+$191	03-04 02:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 20:45 UTC	7	$1.2K	881	827	+54	Down	+$252	02-09 20:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 10:15 UTC	5	$1.1K	1,515	1,371	+144	Up	-$517	03-20 10:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 03:00 UTC	4	$1.0K	2,332	655	+1,677	Down	+$237	02-10 03:08
lol tl2 dig 2026 02 09	3	$1.0K	654	654	+0	Team Liquid	+$290	02-09 03:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 15:20 UTC	4	$984	943	931	+12	Down	-$231	03-04 15:21
wta pegula jovic 2026 04 04	3	$953	568	546	+22	Jessica Pegula	+$143	04-04 19:44
bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 1am et	4	$938	708	687	+21	Up	+$318	03-19 05:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 09:05 UTC	2	$933	591	583	+8	Down	+$173	03-20 09:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 15:30 UTC	4	$898	991	978	+13	Down	-$331	03-04 15:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 03:30 UTC	5	$870	661	497	+164	Down	+$110	02-10 03:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 02:05 UTC	5	$861	673	609	+64	Down	+$261	03-22 02:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 08:05 UTC	2	$852	579	558	+20	Down	+$274	04-04 08:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 03:45 UTC	4	$817	656	547	+109	Down	+$234	02-24 03:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 02:15 UTC	3	$816	528	520	+8	Down	+$221	03-18 02:20
cbb idaho sacst 2026 02 21	8	$801	538	538	+0	Idaho Vandals	+$49	02-22 05:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 22:10 UTC	4	$796	1,257	0	+1,257	Up	-$796	03-05 22:13
bitcoin above 70k on march 19	9	$772	1,107	749	+358	No	+$305	03-19 15:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 14:50:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	155	21¢	$32	0xc4a771…
05-16 07:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	117	42¢	$49	0xbb58cc…
05-16 07:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x06b41a…
05-16 07:01:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	No	SELL	476	12¢	$55	0x8023cd…
05-16 06:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	40	61¢	$24	0xa68035…
05-16 06:43:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	476	8¢	$40	0xb4de07…
05-16 06:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	18	95¢	$17	0xf94e10…
05-16 06:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xef4c9a…
05-16 06:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	62	98¢	$61	0x343022…
05-16 06:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	62	77¢	$48	0x4a6626…
05-16 06:33:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	No	SELL	697	7¢	$51	0x6ec913…
05-16 06:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	94	51¢	$48	0x73bf2f…
05-16 06:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x41bc12…
05-16 06:22:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	697	7¢	$50	0x990450…
05-16 06:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	111	94¢	$105	0xd0256a…
05-16 06:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	101	56¢	$57	0x3bd574…
05-16 06:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x0456e2…
05-16 06:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	66	97¢	$64	0x28fae4…
05-16 06:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	66	52¢	$34	0x652ee7…
05-16 05:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x7f2dfb…
05-16 05:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x8dbad2…
05-16 05:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x87fcd6…
05-16 05:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0x6f9b06…
05-16 05:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xe168f5…
05-16 05:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x5d28eb…
05-16 05:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xdba06d…
05-16 05:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	26¢	$2	0xc722f7…
05-16 05:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x997c45…
05-16 05:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	66	6¢	$4	0xa1969b…
05-16 05:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	66	48¢	$32	0x188a88…
05-16 05:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	120	29¢	$34	0xe91d31…
05-16 05:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	148	48¢	$71	0x73d786…
05-16 05:11:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	No	SELL	1,513	5¢	$79	0xa3062b…
05-16 05:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	38	51¢	$20	0x59025a…
05-16 04:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xe20041…
05-16 04:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	166	60¢	$100	0x8c0959…
05-16 04:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x3c4a5f…
05-16 04:33:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	1,513	7¢	$100	0x6e53dd…
05-16 04:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	232	95¢	$220	0x870531…
05-16 04:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	158	57¢	$90	0x1cba09…
05-16 04:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	52	50¢	$26	0xfd459f…
05-16 04:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x2f94fd…
05-16 04:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xd1d69d…
05-16 04:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	32	53¢	$17	0xd8732a…
05-16 04:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	374	53¢	$198	0xd76a48…
05-16 04:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	213	52¢	$111	0x098d0f…
05-16 04:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xfcaf47…
05-16 03:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	228	44¢	$100	0xd061de…
05-16 03:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0xbf7c02…
05-16 03:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	42	44¢	$19	0xe07ea4…
05-16 03:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x48bde7…
05-16 03:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	65¢	$11	0x4c8296…
05-16 03:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x02e10f…
05-16 03:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	40	93¢	$37	0x04f052…
05-16 03:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	32	69¢	$22	0xcf2652…
05-16 03:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x083707…
05-16 03:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x53b448…
05-16 03:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xac1ce6…
05-16 03:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	329	99¢	$326	0xf6d149…
05-16 03:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x0c3925…
05-16 03:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0xd20b30…
05-16 03:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xf72ed4…
05-16 03:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	128	97¢	$124	0x5631b7…
05-16 03:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xc87cb9…
05-16 03:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	21	75¢	$16	0x332931…
05-16 03:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	56	31¢	$18	0xdad514…
05-16 03:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	48	56¢	$27	0x26eaac…
05-16 03:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x8a847d…
05-16 03:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	243	99¢	$240	0x666f6b…
05-16 03:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x58c97e…
05-16 03:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0xddc278…
05-16 03:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xd90fb0…
05-16 02:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x3cedbd…
05-16 02:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x7cf283…
05-16 02:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xdf2cf3…
05-16 02:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0xbd1ec1…
05-16 02:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x9b66f2…
05-16 02:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x0c5ac2…
05-16 02:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	147	98¢	$144	0x81168b…
05-16 02:04:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x652588…
05-16 01:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x55718a…
05-16 01:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x9e5a81…
05-16 01:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0xf1da74…
05-16 00:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0xf933b4…
05-16 00:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	161	59¢	$95	0x6b14c7…
05-16 00:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	21	43¢	$9	0xe1fb66…
05-16 00:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x3b4c8c…
05-16 00:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	37	63¢	$23	0x14456a…
05-16 00:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x6a3a62…
05-16 00:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x4ccc12…
05-16 00:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	78	99¢	$77	0xacb0ec…
05-16 00:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	70	53¢	$37	0x3f0664…
05-16 00:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xd308ac…
05-16 00:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	80	62¢	$50	0x75d66a…
05-16 00:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	166	60¢	$100	0x2cd4d1…
05-16 00:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x4d8e15…
05-16 00:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	41	34¢	$14	0x986468…
05-16 00:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xeacfb1…
05-16 00:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x02caa1…
05-16 00:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	428	99¢	$424	0x15fac7…