Diligent-Loss — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$57

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.1%

Resolved

Trades

2,015

lifetime

Volume

$47.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-09 00:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

71% 6% $-46

Politics

23% 14% $-11

Tech

3% — —

Pop-Culture

3% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-0

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	32	$1.4K	892	1,220	-328	open	—	01-03 15:08
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	5	$1.4K	1,470	1,470	+0	open	—	01-03 08:36
will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota	11	$1.2K	1,080	1,080	+0	open	—	01-02 20:44
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	23	$1.0K	1,249	1,249	+0	open	—	01-01 11:18
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	6	$943	900	900	+0	open	—	01-03 08:23
Will Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager?	3	$782	520	520	+0	open	—	01-02 08:28
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$773	590	590	+0	open	—	01-02 16:41
will indiana win the 2026 college football national championship	2	$757	890	890	+0	open	—	01-02 17:02
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 700k 862	3	$752	690	690	+0	open	—	01-02 08:54
maduro out by march 31 2026 187 483	2	$706	560	560	+0	open	—	01-03 08:44
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be between 400m and 440m by january 31	2	$654	770	770	+0	open	—	01-02 07:53
maduro in us custody by january 31	2	$631	1,753	1,753	+0	open	—	01-03 08:33
hims quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 23 2026 0pt05	34	$622	764	864	-100	open	—	02-23 19:16
will russia enter vozdvyzhivka by march 31	25	$615	643	773	-130	open	—	03-07 07:36
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	18	$508	523	523	+0	open	—	03-09 08:06
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	17	$506	519	519	+0	open	—	03-11 10:44
will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	12	$498	412	412	+0	open	—	03-11 13:10
will donald trump say maria or corina or machado during his mar a lago press conference on venezuela on saturday	1	$462	700	0	+700	open	—	01-03 15:08
will trump visit china by march 31	19	$436	434	434	+0	open	—	03-10 13:04
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	11	$432	400	400	+0	open	—	03-14 19:10
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	7	$395	400	400	+0	open	—	03-08 18:56
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	14	$393	277	277	+0	open	—	02-20 14:36
Nothing Ever Happens: March	11	$390	484	484	+0	open	—	03-08 13:10
will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	12	$386	600	600	+0	open	—	02-17 09:21
will 25 29 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	31	$383	405	305	+100	open	—	03-18 13:39
will nflx reach 105 in march	15	$362	470	470	+0	open	—	03-11 19:08
us evacuates beirut embassy by march 31	9	$350	300	300	+0	open	—	03-06 12:56
Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	12	$339	197	196	+1	No	$-2	03-06 05:35
Will Clavicular receive a Kick ban by June 1, 2026?	5	$336	285	285	+0	open	—	03-12 09:14
will the dhs shutdown end between february 28 march 3 2026	2	$331	200	200	+0	open	—	02-17 10:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 00:49:39	fda approves arcutis zoryve cream 06 29 2026	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x6e554a…
06-07 06:14:10	will amzn reach 320 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	140	3¢	$4	0xe27de9…
06-06 11:53:31	will amzn reach 320 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x760d27…
06-05 12:58:07	fda approves arcutis zoryve cream 06 29 2026	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x74d808…
05-24 05:27:58	Labour leadership election scheduled by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x8e5c87…
05-24 03:07:05	Labour leadership election scheduled by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe264d7…
05-24 03:07:03	Labour leadership election scheduled by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe20bd7…
05-24 03:07:03	Labour leadership election scheduled by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x69b978…
05-23 22:10:47	Labour leadership election scheduled by May 31?	Yes	BUY	28	2¢	$1	0x989419…
05-22 10:55:07	Labour leadership election scheduled by May 31?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x45b6e1…
05-19 03:42:49	Labour leadership election scheduled by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x8b0b3b…
05-18 13:48:32	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0x33d4ca…
05-18 12:37:54	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x1152c5…
05-18 12:33:28	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 in May?	No	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0xf9e066…
05-18 11:41:20	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in May?	No	SELL	50	39¢	$20	0x7083d2…
05-18 11:28:13	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 in May?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x811dce…
05-18 11:26:38	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 in May?	No	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x67c775…
05-18 11:26:37	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0xad0c84…
05-18 11:23:31	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 in May?	No	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xd980aa…
05-18 11:14:36	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in May?	No	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0x13abba…
05-18 11:08:16	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in May?	No	BUY	31	50¢	$15	0x66cce3…
05-18 10:55:03	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xfa6114…
05-18 10:52:47	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 in May?	No	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xef2327…
05-18 10:52:45	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x9bd493…
05-18 10:49:38	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x068559…
05-18 10:45:55	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 in May?	Yes	SELL	40	48¢	$19	0x7f09e0…
05-18 10:44:37	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 in May?	Yes	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0x5f0830…
05-18 10:33:58	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 in May?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb5c817…
05-18 10:29:32	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x293c47…
05-18 10:28:17	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xfc7654…
05-18 09:30:26	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	No	SELL	50	41¢	$20	0x81e964…
05-18 09:30:21	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	58¢	$29	0x66546d…
05-18 09:29:11	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	No	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x8586bb…
05-18 09:29:02	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0xbf0960…
05-18 07:44:36	Will Donald Trump dance on May 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	114	2¢	$2	0x623899…
05-18 06:57:52	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x72c2fe…
05-18 06:57:38	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x12a8e3…
05-18 06:56:30	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x1c815c…
05-18 06:56:25	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x3c5a14…
05-18 06:56:18	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	17¢	$17	0x1a8a6d…
05-18 03:47:58	Will Donald Trump dance on May 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x5f4d70…
05-18 03:34:00	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xd1ed99…
05-18 03:00:24	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0xe047a8…
05-18 02:52:17	Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $6.00 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x70124f…
05-18 02:51:47	Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $6.00 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x8af1ae…
05-18 02:45:45	Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $6.00 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9d427d…
05-18 01:12:39	Will Donald Trump dance on May 17, 2026?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0xc8fb5b…
05-18 01:12:15	Will Donald Trump dance on May 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xad28ec…
05-18 01:12:13	Will Donald Trump dance on May 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0x10eae8…
05-18 01:06:21	Will Donald Trump dance on May 17, 2026?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$11	0x197142…
05-18 01:02:25	Will Donald Trump dance on May 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x6a1bad…
05-18 00:34:49	Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $6.00 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xc99b38…
05-18 00:24:16	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x8f34d5…
05-17 23:27:02	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x089796…
05-17 23:10:23	Will Donald Trump dance on May 17, 2026?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xf8295c…
05-17 23:09:55	Will Donald Trump dance on May 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xd4af83…
05-17 23:04:10	Will Donald Trump dance on May 17, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x5a9549…
05-17 22:53:05	Will Donald Trump dance on May 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x053551…
05-17 22:40:28	Will Donald Trump dance on May 17, 2026?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x316fbd…
05-17 22:40:01	Will Donald Trump dance on May 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xff21f8…
05-17 22:34:18	Will Donald Trump dance on May 17, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x26bf78…
05-17 22:28:06	Will Donald Trump dance on May 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xa83f59…
05-17 21:33:28	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xebd760…
05-17 21:20:59	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $2.50 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x0f79dd…
05-17 21:20:33	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $2.50 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x1e7c4e…
05-17 21:14:58	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $2.50 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x89a3ae…
05-17 21:05:31	Will Donald Trump dance on May 17, 2026?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x3701b2…
05-17 21:05:07	Will Donald Trump dance on May 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x639d3a…
05-17 20:59:29	Will Donald Trump dance on May 17, 2026?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xdc0c61…
05-17 20:32:06	Will Donald Trump dance on May 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x8ac80f…
05-17 20:15:32	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $2.50 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xa230a7…
05-17 17:44:43	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	Yes	SELL	60	60¢	$36	0xa10b6b…
05-17 17:44:22	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	Yes	BUY	55	59¢	$32	0xc38387…
05-17 17:44:22	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x4ced7b…
05-17 16:07:09	Will Deere Q2 revenue be above $11.5B?	No	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x4a82e0…
05-17 13:13:50	Labour leadership election scheduled by May 31?	Yes	SELL	120	9¢	$11	0x9b4391…
05-17 13:13:45	Labour leadership election scheduled by May 31?	Yes	SELL	82	9¢	$7	0xe11933…
05-17 13:12:49	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31?	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0xba8324…
05-17 13:12:33	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x3af500…
05-17 13:08:06	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x790419…
05-17 13:07:18	Labour leadership election scheduled by May 31?	Yes	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0xd70444…
05-17 12:56:43	Will Cal Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xb03d48…
05-17 12:56:29	Will Cal Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xf9305d…
05-17 12:55:49	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xf41f99…
05-17 12:52:03	Will Cal Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xa655d2…
05-17 12:48:28	Will Cal Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xd9bed3…
05-17 11:57:20	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0x437c8b…
05-17 11:55:11	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	No	SELL	19	51¢	$10	0xdab89a…
05-17 11:54:58	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	SELL	19	47¢	$9	0x3b11c3…
05-17 11:50:39	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	No	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x9fc3c2…
05-17 11:46:17	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x07ece4…
05-16 20:06:56	Will Deere Q2 revenue be above $11.5B?	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xa10c4f…
05-16 19:09:45	Labour leadership election scheduled by May 31?	Yes	BUY	194	11¢	$21	0xaeb9a1…
05-16 17:57:14	Will Donald Trump dance on May 17, 2026?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x2d48a9…
05-16 16:20:10	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31?	Yes	SELL	15	14¢	$2	0xffbb2a…
05-16 16:20:01	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31?	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0xacd6b1…
05-16 16:19:51	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x21232e…
05-16 16:17:55	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x4fbe68…
05-16 16:15:23	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31?	Yes	BUY	19	15¢	$3	0xa2eb0a…
05-16 16:12:00	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xb37dd2…