Organic-Acorn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$466

Unrealized P&L

+$137

Hit rate

26.8%

Resolved

139

Trades

2,195

lifetime

Volume

$5.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 08-14 12:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Crypto

66% 18% -$52

Other

27% 16% -$430

Politics

8% 67% +$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes		-60	-$22	14¢	$-8	+$14	05-05 11:05
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes		-64	-$123	0¢	$-0	+$123	06-29 12:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	3	$483	7,958	8,022	-64	open	—	06-29 12:11
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	191	$349	344	344	+0	Yes	+$9	03-29 22:41
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	4	$246	141	141	+0	No	+$6	03-12 06:47
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?	3	$227	507	143	+365	No	-$133	07-22 08:21
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	74	$195	274	274	+0	No	-$5	03-26 07:24
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?	2	$181	139	139	+0	Yes	-$5	07-22 08:20
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	45	$155	154	154	+0	Yes	-$5	03-16 04:01
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	156	$141	124	120	+4	No	-$3	04-28 02:32
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$140	2,222	2,222	+0	No	-$60	03-19 19:25
will ethereum dip to 1800 in march 2026	31	$123	221	221	+0	No	-$7	03-31 02:45
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	62	$119	67	67	+0	No	-$1	03-30 12:16
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	6	$111	535	535	+0	Yes	-$109	05-20 04:26
will solana dip to 80 in march 2026	34	$107	98	98	+0	Yes	-$6	03-28 17:17
will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	54	$106	179	179	+0	No	-$4	03-25 08:30
will solana reach 100 in march 2026	46	$106	88	88	+0	No	+$6	03-29 13:55
will bitcoin dip to 64k march 2 8	9	$100	54	54	+0	No	+$0	03-06 16:42
will bitcoin dip to 62k march 2 8	10	$100	51	51	+0	No	$0	03-09 00:54
ethereum above 1900 on august 14 2026	2	$94	625	625	+0	No	-$6	08-14 12:14
will bitcoin dip to 64k march 30 april 5	43	$92	60	59	+1	No	+$1	04-05 19:26
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	3	$87	1,965	491	+1,474	No	-$59	07-23 02:21
will solana dip to 70 in march 2026	40	$80	43	43	+0	No	+$0	03-31 13:24
will ethereum reach 2600 in march 2026	27	$66	200	200	+0	No	-$3	03-26 08:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	51	$63	57	57	+0	Yes	-$1	05-16 10:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	54	$61	85	82	+4	No	+$0	04-25 06:13
will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	46	$60	31	31	+0	No	$0	03-23 04:59
will ethereum dip to 1400 in march 2026	8	$59	33	33	+0	No	-$1	03-23 11:31
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?	54	$58	57	55	+2	No	-$1	04-27 00:03
will bitcoin dip to 62k march 30 april 5	42	$57	33	33	+0	No	-$1	04-05 10:56
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	40	$51	62	62	+0	No	-$1	05-18 00:30
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	5	$50	40	40	+0	No	+$8	03-12 06:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 12:14:51	ethereum above 1900 on august 14 2026	Yes	SELL	625	7¢	$44	0xb8341d…
08-14 09:45:33	ethereum above 1900 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	625	8¢	$50	0xa8b5df…
07-23 02:21:19	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	SELL	491	3¢	$14	0x3c93bb…
07-22 09:19:27	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	713	3¢	$23	0x8b8cc5…
07-22 08:21:18	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	222	36¢	$80	0x524632…
07-22 08:20:57	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	SELL	139	63¢	$88	0x28af28…
07-22 07:09:15	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	139	67¢	$93	0x6a0724…
07-22 07:07:36	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	SELL	143	33¢	$47	0xb6f88e…
07-22 05:58:48	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,252	4¢	$50	0x4a0cd4…
07-22 05:53:51	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	285	35¢	$100	0x3e829b…
06-29 12:11:56	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8,022	4¢	$303	0x2c70e1…
06-24 05:57:11	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,762	2¢	$100	0x705bb3…
06-22 04:36:16	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,196	3¢	$80	0x671a8a…
05-20 04:26:40	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	535	0¢	$1	0xc32b5c…
05-20 03:35:12	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	72	14¢	$10	0xccaa67…
05-20 03:00:31	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	9	67¢	$6	0xe4435d…
05-20 03:00:10	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	77	3¢	$2	0x6d5966…
05-20 02:59:56	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xde228c…
05-19 18:38:30	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	207	21¢	$44	0x4467c1…
05-19 18:19:29	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x22535d…
05-19 17:46:59	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x5fae5f…
05-19 15:02:45	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	225	22¢	$50	0x8f8ec4…
05-18 00:40:20	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x79eb9d…
05-18 00:40:11	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x1ab941…
05-18 00:38:30	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0xc087ca…
05-18 00:30:43	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x051d2f…
05-18 00:29:45	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x13a1cc…
05-18 00:00:05	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xd82c3f…
05-17 23:53:35	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x1b3663…
05-17 23:50:12	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x7a7f72…
05-17 23:41:57	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0xaff167…
05-17 20:27:28	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0xca8412…
05-17 20:12:05	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x009e68…
05-17 19:23:25	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x586df2…
05-17 18:38:45	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0xf61a47…
05-17 18:04:31	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0xf18b49…
05-17 17:49:07	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	33¢	$0	0x5c2b65…
05-17 17:47:10	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	33¢	$0	0xff5831…
05-17 17:46:36	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xa20544…
05-17 17:10:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	3	83¢	$3	0x4d2fe2…
05-17 14:16:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x06630a…
05-17 14:16:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$0	0x8a1c9b…
05-17 14:00:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0xc0de2e…
05-17 14:00:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x769a79…
05-17 12:46:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x6e16e3…
05-16 10:08:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0xf5239e…
05-16 10:02:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x8863e5…
05-16 09:19:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x7521c6…
05-16 07:21:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x366996…
05-16 07:15:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x829ccd…
05-16 07:13:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x0b6aa1…
05-15 23:34:13	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0xeb3332…
05-15 21:57:59	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x095154…
05-15 19:12:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0xe21704…
05-15 15:44:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x0977e3…
05-15 14:40:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x0d4e0b…
05-15 14:11:09	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0x9e74bd…
05-15 14:10:36	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xc1ddb8…
05-15 14:06:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x4241a5…
05-15 14:01:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xd9fe97…
05-15 13:51:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	45¢	$0	0xf1656e…
05-15 13:51:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0xb201d9…
05-15 13:51:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xa2cfa4…
05-15 13:51:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x13d2f9…
05-15 13:51:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x2eb409…
05-15 13:46:44	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x490845…
05-15 13:44:21	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x37660f…
05-15 13:44:21	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x23d238…
05-15 13:43:51	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xda0579…
05-15 13:38:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x598bac…
05-15 08:57:19	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x797af7…
05-15 08:49:53	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x074ac0…
05-15 01:33:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0xc6b8ad…
05-15 01:30:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x2cc793…
05-14 20:20:51	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	Yes	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0x08b6e0…
05-14 19:15:45	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0xc000d3…
05-14 17:22:09	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x25d065…
05-14 16:50:51	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x7f532d…
05-14 16:44:01	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x4df836…
05-14 16:41:40	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xdab2c8…
05-14 16:37:21	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x7f4482…
05-14 16:00:16	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0x3aa4b0…
05-14 15:52:13	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x998568…
05-14 14:50:15	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x5cc108…
05-14 14:48:28	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	Yes	SELL	2	70¢	$2	0x24d873…
05-14 14:36:37	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xe7e04a…
05-14 13:49:38	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x6a6445…
05-14 12:46:31	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xe7da09…
05-14 11:50:14	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	Yes	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0x81220a…
05-14 10:48:10	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0xe81c7a…
05-14 10:35:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	SELL	3	53¢	$2	0x2c0e9a…
05-14 10:12:07	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0x8b9d8c…
05-14 09:53:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0xaf16ce…
05-14 09:28:18	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	No	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x177268…
05-14 09:24:31	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x191ec9…
05-14 08:04:09	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x0ee9c5…
05-14 08:02:12	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x9b8375…
05-14 07:59:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x249cad…
05-14 07:35:22	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x86ed6a…
05-14 06:10:49	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x76a77f…