Realistic-Chateau — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$104

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.6%

Resolved

177

Trades

218

lifetime

Volume

$697

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 10-12 10:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 61% -$53

Other

24% 40% -$51

Sports

1% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Alter Ego vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season	2	$29	19	19	+0	Alter Ego	+$9	10-08 11:47
mlbb e7 tlph 2026 07 25	2	$16	11	11	+0	Entity7	+$6	07-25 16:28
mlbb pro e7 2026 07 26	1	$12	29	0	+29	PRO Esports	-$12	07-25 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-17 18:28
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: RRQ Hoshi vs Team Liquid ID (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season	1	$10	26	0	+26	Team Liquid ID	-$10	10-09 09:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	1	$10	37	0	+37	Down	-$10	07-27 11:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 16:35 UTC	1	$10	16	0	+16	Up	+$6	07-25 16:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 19:25 UTC	1	$10	14	0	+14	Down	-$10	07-25 19:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 16:30 UTC	1	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	07-25 16:32
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	1	$10	15	0	+15	England	-$10	07-17 04:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 19:05 UTC	1	$10	11	0	+11	Down	+$1	07-25 19:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 20:35 UTC	1	$10	16	0	+16	Down	-$10	07-23 20:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 16:10 UTC	1	$10	13	0	+13	Up	-$10	08-07 16:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 19:15 UTC	1	$10	12	0	+12	Down	+$2	07-25 19:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 16:25 UTC	1	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	07-25 16:29
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Natus Vincere vs Team Liquid ID (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season	1	$10	11	0	+11	Natus Vincere	-$10	10-06 09:00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$10	26	26	+0	No	$0	07-12 08:48
mlbb tlph rort 2026 07 23	1	$10	12	0	+12	Aurora Gaming Türkiye	-$10	07-22 11:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	4	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	10-12 09:48
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Dewa United Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season	1	$8	11	0	+11	Natus Vincere	+$3	10-09 12:03
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: EVOS vs Geek Fam ID (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season	1	$8	12	0	+12	Geek Fam ID	-$8	10-09 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	2	$8	12	0	+12	Down	+$4	05-13 10:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	3	$6	28	5	+23	Up	-$6	05-13 12:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	6	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	10-12 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	3	$6	5	3	+2	Down	+$0	10-12 09:24
mlbb vit falcon 2026 07 24	1	$6	10	0	+10	Team Vitality	-$6	07-23 21:24
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Alter Ego vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season	1	$5	9	0	+9	Natus Vincere	-$5	10-03 05:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	-$5	05-13 10:21
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Alter Ego vs Team Liquid ID (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season	1	$5	11	0	+11	Team Liquid ID	-$5	10-03 16:31
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season	1	$5	10	0	+10	ONIC	+$5	10-03 16:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-12 10:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xd6524c…
10-12 10:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$1	0x9cfa8d…
10-12 10:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x68a498…
10-12 10:33:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	44¢	$1	0x99e6e4…
10-12 10:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xcdc9c2…
10-12 10:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x6f5bed…
10-12 10:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb2881c…
10-12 10:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x65b236…
10-12 10:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x44697e…
10-12 10:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb17601…
10-12 10:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x167b55…
10-12 10:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xc97919…
10-12 10:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x31b68a…
10-12 10:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x9d5104…
10-12 10:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0x0f18eb…
10-12 10:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xb3e6ee…
10-12 10:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2079bd…
10-12 09:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x50c357…
10-12 09:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x9df7fc…
10-12 09:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x035a4e…
10-12 09:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x7ef23e…
10-12 09:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	84¢	$3	0x525208…
10-12 09:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xf19908…
10-12 09:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xdced21…
10-12 09:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x755c9d…
10-12 09:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x934ac7…
10-12 09:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xadd469…
10-12 09:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x36ce6e…
10-12 09:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x563b77…
10-12 09:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xb25a81…
10-12 09:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xad7469…
10-12 09:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x62b1a6…
10-12 09:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x3ecced…
10-12 09:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x051ca0…
10-12 09:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x652cbb…
10-12 08:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xc0cc4b…
10-12 08:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x09cf52…
10-12 08:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x49cbe0…
10-11 10:43:42	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: RRQ Hoshi vs ONIC (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season	ONIC	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x170ef5…
10-09 19:30:38	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: EVOS vs Geek Fam ID (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season	EVOS	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0x0b6bb7…
10-09 12:03:13	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Dewa United Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season	Natus Vincere	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0x78bb06…
10-09 09:18:54	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: RRQ Hoshi vs Team Liquid ID (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season	RRQ Hoshi	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x6217b1…
10-08 11:47:48	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Alter Ego vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season	Alter Ego	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x17bdf4…
10-06 09:00:46	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Natus Vincere vs Team Liquid ID (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season	Team Liquid ID	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x289d00…
10-06 08:58:46	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Alter Ego vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season	Alter Ego	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x2819f5…
10-06 08:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x97e88f…
10-03 16:33:15	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: RRQ Hoshi vs EVOS (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season	RRQ Hoshi	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x24a575…
10-03 16:32:36	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season	ONIC	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x223bac…
10-03 16:31:38	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Alter Ego vs Team Liquid ID (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season	Alter Ego	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x3e5683…
10-03 05:41:45	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs Dewa United Esports (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season	Dewa United Esports	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x4d082b…
10-03 05:33:59	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Bigetron by Vitality vs RRQ Hoshi (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season	RRQ Hoshi	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x01fb2e…
10-03 05:32:17	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Alter Ego vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season	Alter Ego	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x50abc9…
08-07 16:13:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 16:10 UTC	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xa9840a…
08-07 16:05:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xcde707…
08-07 15:05:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x654cc0…
08-07 15:02:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x2392ce…
08-07 14:58:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0xda4b0a…
08-07 14:51:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xd3dd95…
08-07 14:46:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x9e164e…
07-27 11:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xa71d52…
07-25 19:53:34	mlbb pro e7 2026 07 26	Entity7	BUY	29	42¢	$12	0xb89c57…
07-25 19:26:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 19:25 UTC	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x72d640…
07-25 19:16:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x5cf3b2…
07-25 19:07:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 19:05 UTC	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xe026b4…
07-25 16:36:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xccd9df…
07-25 16:32:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xf9ae43…
07-25 16:29:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5c3615…
07-25 16:28:43	mlbb e7 tlph 2026 07 25	Entity7	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xb141aa…
07-25 16:18:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x62585c…
07-25 16:12:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf634fb…
07-25 16:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x6be402…
07-25 16:01:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xc8154e…
07-25 15:59:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x868628…
07-25 15:52:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x625899…
07-25 15:48:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xe27093…
07-25 15:42:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x925cbe…
07-25 15:37:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x2458a7…
07-25 15:33:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x7231bd…
07-25 15:31:36	mlbb e7 tlph 2026 07 25	Entity7	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x7da3a0…
07-23 21:24:07	mlbb vit falcon 2026 07 24	Team Falcons PH	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x081d64…
07-23 21:15:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x40b436…
07-23 21:10:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xf9c177…
07-23 21:06:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x22a356…
07-23 21:01:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x12c386…
07-23 20:51:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x49a4f0…
07-23 20:46:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x2529bc…
07-23 20:40:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xbd2dbc…
07-23 20:35:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x1f573c…
07-23 20:33:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9a239b…
07-23 20:27:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x98a388…
07-23 20:21:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x4f2851…
07-23 20:16:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x79d557…
07-23 20:11:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xf24572…
07-23 20:01:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xf130f6…
07-23 19:51:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xdfd70d…
07-23 19:45:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xc269a7…
07-23 19:37:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf78630…
07-23 19:30:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x8dc447…
07-23 19:26:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 19:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x6631dd…
07-23 19:21:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xade05d…