Overdue-Asterisk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.60K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.1%

Resolved

805

Trades

1,818

lifetime

Volume

$88.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-04

last 10-26 23:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 97 days

Categories

Other

55% 60% -$1,034

Crypto

37% 60% -$1,130

Politics

5% 45% -$313

Sports

3% 25% -$756

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$369

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 159 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?	2	$1.5K	776	776	+0	Yes	+$92	05-14 22:00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$1.2K	690	690	+0	No	+$126	05-13 18:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$1.2K	2,500	1,500	+1,000	No	-$395	05-26 23:07
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	2	$1.1K	731	731	+0	Yes	+$29	05-06 22:53
cs2 paina ge3 2026 07 01 game1	6	$1.1K	574	574	+0	paiN Academy	+$59	07-01 22:45
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$968	598	598	+0	No	+$120	05-25 21:34
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Azure Dragon Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage	4	$960	571	571	+0	Azure Dragon Gaming	+$180	05-26 22:53
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$922	499	499	+0	Yes	+$74	04-05 08:49
cs2 keyd yaw 2026 06 24	3	$874	474	474	+0	Keyd	+$74	06-24 22:21
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 1pt5	3	$831	481	481	+0	Over	+$131	07-05 22:15
Will Endrick be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	1	$770	889	0	+889	Yes	+$119	05-14 23:55
cs2 inf6 bca 2026 06 25 game1	3	$713	404	404	+0	Infinite	+$93	06-25 20:49
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group B	3	$685	367	367	+0	ALGO Esports	+$48	05-27 13:36
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	3	$681	1,891	391	+1,500	Yes	+$80	05-16 02:09
lol nrg cpd 2026 08 05	3	$631	334	334	+0	NRG Esports	+$35	08-06 01:29
cs2 paina ge3 2026 07 01 game2	8	$590	320	320	+0	paiN Academy	+$47	07-01 23:43
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$493	285	285	+0	Yes	+$71	04-12 19:23
Games Total: O/U 2.5	2	$492	293	293	+0	Over	+$92	05-27 19:26
cs2 paina keyd 2026 08 10	3	$474	287	287	+0	Keyd	+$98	08-10 22:28
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 total 2pt5	2	$453	253	253	+0	Over	+$53	07-01 21:59
cs2 grmioe alkaa 2026 07 19	3	$425	255	255	+0	ALKA	+$85	07-19 15:49
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 total 1pt5	2	$420	220	220	+0	Over	+$20	07-01 21:59
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 04:05 UTC	19	$418	221	221	+0	Up	+$19	08-06 04:08
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 04:20 UTC	3	$417	225	225	+0	Up	+$17	08-17 04:24
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 3pt5	3	$415	215	215	+0	Over	+$15	07-06 02:25
ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11 win by ko tko	2	$412	267	265	+2	Yes	+$14	04-12 03:54
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	5	$406	250	250	+0	No	+$6	04-11 15:06
cs2 bca og1 2026 06 24	4	$403	423	133	+290	Betclic Apogee Esports	-$137	06-24 22:21
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?	2	$403	426	236	+190	Yes	+$192	06-18 20:36
cs2 keyd gh 2026 07 06	2	$393	238	238	+0	Keyd	+$83	07-07 01:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 23:01:03	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xd0f8db…
10-26 23:00:29	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x950660…
10-26 22:55:57	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x8c6d29…
10-26 22:52:38	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	17	74¢	$13	0x1aecab…
10-26 22:52:27	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x94d8de…
10-26 22:52:02	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	22	46¢	$10	0x7d6bcf…
10-26 22:51:21	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x12a196…
10-26 22:49:42	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	82	31¢	$25	0x1bb2df…
10-26 22:26:12	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x83931d…
10-26 22:25:11	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x3f8e4f…
10-26 22:24:53	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x35bc01…
10-26 22:24:38	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x21f8ea…
10-26 22:24:32	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x9fa34e…
10-26 22:23:56	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x7a2620…
10-26 22:23:48	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x74b10f…
10-26 22:23:15	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xe8bc54…
10-26 22:22:47	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	59¢	$2	0x819710…
10-26 22:21:44	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x0b9e9f…
10-26 22:18:14	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0x53c8bd…
10-26 22:17:21	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xeec75e…
10-26 22:15:50	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0xcae6ec…
10-26 22:12:26	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1aeb1b…
10-26 22:06:06	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0x316cc4…
10-26 22:05:50	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x283c75…
10-26 22:05:35	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0x4d929d…
10-26 22:05:17	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x108431…
10-26 22:02:17	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x1fdc80…
10-26 21:48:35	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x4d7c1d…
10-26 21:47:08	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x5599d5…
10-26 21:45:50	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xd0d14c…
10-26 21:44:41	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x93a7cd…
10-26 21:36:09	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x5333bb…
10-26 21:35:15	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x854214…
10-26 21:33:45	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0xb5d6c4…
10-26 21:30:48	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x3b1b49…
10-26 21:27:08	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0xd7dfc7…
10-26 21:25:36	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xdeae7f…
10-26 21:18:15	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	57¢	$3	0x85d5f4…
10-26 21:16:53	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x56d0cc…
10-26 21:15:38	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	4	61¢	$3	0xe60785…
10-26 21:14:36	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x1a8e1d…
10-26 21:13:47	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x981ad4…
10-26 21:13:29	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x80c36d…
10-26 21:11:38	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x245a4b…
10-26 21:11:05	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xae09d4…
10-26 21:10:44	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0xc14d8d…
10-26 21:10:29	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x4299a2…
10-26 21:10:14	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x8690ee…
10-26 21:08:00	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x4e814b…
10-26 21:05:41	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xae484a…
10-26 21:05:15	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x9b44fe…
10-26 21:00:38	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x326980…
10-26 20:59:59	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xcd41e6…
10-26 20:59:29	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0xe73a16…
10-26 20:59:26	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x2e21cc…
10-26 20:59:00	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xbaa05b…
10-26 20:58:23	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	27	33¢	$9	0x2641c7…
10-26 20:58:15	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0x92d2e3…
10-26 20:57:59	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	65¢	$6	0xd704f4…
10-26 20:57:48	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x6c16c4…
10-26 07:03:39	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x9b41cc…
10-26 07:01:12	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xea5df0…
10-26 06:56:51	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xe90cc5…
10-26 06:56:17	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	12	58¢	$7	0xc5e35f…
10-26 06:55:27	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x9867fa…
10-26 06:54:47	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0xd750d0…
10-26 06:54:33	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x0b0b99…
10-26 06:54:11	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	14	14¢	$2	0x589b97…
10-26 06:54:00	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x9643b7…
10-26 06:53:41	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0xa23234…
10-26 06:53:35	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	32	20¢	$6	0x7ad673…
10-26 06:52:20	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x12bfee…
10-26 06:51:03	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xd5184b…
10-26 06:50:44	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x87c051…
10-26 06:50:17	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x47e26d…
10-26 06:46:33	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0xd57b6c…
10-26 06:45:29	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x3d7eb3…
10-26 06:30:29	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	62¢	$3	0x4674fe…
10-26 06:30:21	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xc71aa7…
10-26 06:27:08	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0x6da080…
10-26 06:26:41	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x14c590…
10-26 06:25:57	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x43d314…
10-26 06:25:33	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0x62ddf0…
10-26 06:25:15	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x59d9cd…
10-26 06:22:12	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	15	45¢	$7	0x74c1ac…
10-26 06:22:02	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xbcd6f6…
10-26 06:21:21	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	14	47¢	$7	0x5bf91a…
10-26 06:20:59	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xd5a727…
10-26 06:20:15	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0xd631be…
10-26 06:19:39	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x97c01d…
10-26 06:15:48	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	8	78¢	$6	0xabdb93…
10-26 06:15:33	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xecf902…
10-26 06:14:23	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0xc0e636…
10-26 06:14:06	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x75a681…
10-25 17:05:14	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner	FURIA	BUY	96	25¢	$24	0xeb4f59…
10-10 20:25:30	Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Spirit (+3.5)	MOUZ	BUY	46	60¢	$28	0x145701…
10-10 20:24:57	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Spirit	SELL	101	29¢	$29	0xdcc4b4…
10-10 19:49:40	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Spirit	BUY	101	58¢	$59	0x583414…
10-10 19:39:13	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner	Spirit	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xeaaf4e…
10-10 19:25:55	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner	Spirit	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xade216…