Whole-Tuna — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.10K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.00K

Hit rate

58.1%

Resolved

Trades

297

lifetime

Volume

$43.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$147

Open exposure

$9.24K

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-16

last 08-12 00:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Politics

78% 45% -$1,288

Other

22% 44% -$810

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+4,435	$2,620	62¢	$2.7K	+$108	07-07 21:40
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	+4,719	$1,899	54¢	$2.6K	+$652	07-09 04:39
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	+2,492	$2,142	97¢	$2.4K	+$265	07-09 04:42
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	+2,521	$1,572	62¢	$1.6K	-$21	06-10 02:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	32	$5.3K	8,550	0	+8,550	No	+$3,242	06-04 17:53
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	20	$3.9K	10,573	10,573	+0	Yes	-$3,227	06-09 00:24
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	4	$3.8K	3,358	867	+2,492	open	—	07-09 04:42
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	13	$3.3K	2,309	1,500	+809	Yes	+$537	08-05 03:28
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	4	$2.6K	4,435	0	+4,435	open	—	07-07 21:40
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?	7	$2.2K	3,037	3,037	-0	No	-$273	08-05 02:03
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	22	$2.1K	7,307	7,307	-0	No	-$1,871	06-09 08:30
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	4	$2.0K	2,743	688	+2,055	Yes	+$1,448	07-22 16:37
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	2	$1.9K	4,719	0	+4,719	open	—	07-09 04:39
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	4	$1.9K	1,138	1,138	+0	Yes	+$383	07-08 18:03
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	2	$1.6K	2,521	0	+2,521	open	—	06-10 02:07
Will Graham Platner win between 70% and 75% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?	19	$1.5K	1,660	0	+1,660	Yes	+$176	06-10 12:57
Will Hartzell Gray be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?	11	$1.5K	5,215	531	+4,684	No	-$1,398	08-05 02:13
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	12	$1.3K	1,516	1,516	+0	No	-$1,202	06-19 23:12
will graham platner drop out by july 8	22	$1.2K	2,728	0	+2,728	Yes	+$1,505	07-09 00:13
will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	6	$1.2K	1,644	0	+1,644	Yes	+$421	07-08 23:49
Will Graham Platner win less than 65% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?	5	$706	772	0	+772	No	+$66	06-10 01:45
will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	7	$611	1,693	0	+1,693	No	-$611	08-07 15:23
will graham platner drop out by july 9	12	$535	627	300	+327	Yes	+$56	07-08 18:20
Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	1	$510	870	0	+870	Yes	+$360	06-04 03:19
Will 2 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries?	4	$473	336	286	+50	No	-$60	08-05 12:00
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?	10	$440	2,184	2,184	+0	No	-$375	08-05 02:27
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	1	$366	400	0	+400	No	+$34	08-05 03:39
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	3	$360	632	632	+0	No	-$357	08-05 00:45
Will Graham Platner win between 65% and 70% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?	4	$356	400	0	+400	No	+$44	06-10 03:22
Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?	9	$321	2,425	2,425	+0	Yes	-$284	07-22 03:03
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	2	$251	136	136	+0	No	+$1	07-30 10:58
Will Joy Powers be the VA-09 Democratic nominee?	1	$216	300	0	+300	Yes	+$84	07-30 10:40
Will Daniel Keenan be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?	9	$206	1,026	706	+320	No	-$192	07-22 03:04
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	2	$205	250	0	+250	Yes	+$45	08-05 02:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 00:08:04	Will John Larson be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?	Yes	BUY	73	16¢	$12	0xe6983e…
08-12 00:07:45	Will John Larson be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?	Yes	BUY	41	16¢	$6	0x580cac…
08-12 00:07:16	Will John Larson be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?	Yes	BUY	769	16¢	$123	0x611006…
08-11 23:44:24	Will John Larson be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x14fd46…
08-11 23:17:58	Will John Larson be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xe0e9ac…
08-07 15:23:21	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	Yes	BUY	29	48¢	$14	0x859a90…
08-07 15:23:04	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	Yes	BUY	245	45¢	$110	0x728d42…
08-07 15:22:54	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	Yes	BUY	200	40¢	$81	0x8a87c0…
08-07 15:15:21	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	Yes	BUY	1,033	33¢	$344	0xc4de62…
08-07 05:17:34	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x670213…
08-07 05:17:33	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	Yes	BUY	17	34¢	$6	0x309acf…
08-07 04:52:22	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	Yes	BUY	167	34¢	$56	0xefd4d8…
08-05 12:00:26	Will 2 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x302fb0…
08-05 11:22:36	Will 4 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x2a6c46…
08-05 11:22:30	Will 4 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x2b90ae…
08-05 11:22:24	Will 4 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x39b33c…
08-05 11:12:35	Will 4 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries?	Yes	SELL	34	0¢	$0	0x72149e…
08-05 06:16:26	Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	No	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xd09995…
08-05 06:16:00	Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	No	SELL	199	8¢	$16	0x48d487…
08-05 06:15:59	Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	Yes	SELL	58	5¢	$3	0xa29af2…
08-05 06:06:54	Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	Yes	BUY	18	20¢	$4	0x642e70…
08-05 04:01:06	Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	Yes	BUY	40	64¢	$25	0xc877fe…
08-05 04:00:47	Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf79812…
08-05 03:39:36	Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	No	BUY	400	91¢	$366	0x4d946a…
08-05 03:28:29	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	209	76¢	$159	0xada47d…
08-05 03:26:27	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	600	76¢	$456	0xa35752…
08-05 02:38:54	Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	BUY	43	67¢	$29	0xa2efc9…
08-05 02:27:15	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?	Yes	SELL	2,184	1¢	$32	0x04db4f…
08-05 02:25:41	Will 2 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries?	No	SELL	286	64¢	$181	0x2cee70…
08-05 02:13:56	Will Hartzell Gray be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	3,000	7¢	$210	0x9d3847…
08-05 02:11:09	Will Hartzell Gray be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	56	50¢	$28	0x6a652d…
08-05 02:09:11	Will Jordan Herrera be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?	No	BUY	462	35¢	$162	0xac0005…
08-05 02:09:03	Will Hartzell Gray be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	182	35¢	$64	0x73b3d8…
08-05 02:08:47	Will Hartzell Gray be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	640	35¢	$223	0x6ec434…
08-05 02:03:48	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?	No	SELL	1,336	67¢	$895	0xe10dd3…
08-05 01:57:26	Will Hartzell Gray be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	275	36¢	$99	0x42e2e7…
08-05 01:48:18	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?	Yes	BUY	26	6¢	$1	0x27e826…
08-05 01:42:06	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?	Yes	BUY	1,005	10¢	$100	0x8623da…
08-05 01:39:53	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?	No	BUY	662	65¢	$430	0xef4b7b…
08-05 01:30:17	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?	Yes	BUY	24	28¢	$7	0x4f38df…
08-05 01:29:23	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?	No	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x064b05…
08-05 01:28:57	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?	No	BUY	531	70¢	$369	0x724cd9…
08-05 01:28:06	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?	Yes	BUY	93	29¢	$27	0xf54ceb…
08-05 01:14:36	Will Hartzell Gray be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0xc9dba3…
08-05 01:14:23	Will 4 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries?	Yes	SELL	57	0¢	$0	0xf46f32…
08-05 01:12:53	Will Hartzell Gray be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?	Yes	SELL	22	5¢	$1	0x2d64a9…
08-05 01:12:36	Will Hartzell Gray be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?	Yes	SELL	503	5¢	$27	0x1b1316…
08-05 01:04:38	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?	Yes	SELL	1,701	3¢	$51	0xe10ac1…
08-05 00:59:39	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?	Yes	BUY	484	1¢	$4	0xb44dfe…
08-05 00:45:06	Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	Yes	SELL	632	0¢	$2	0xb04aa3…
08-05 00:43:41	Will Hartzell Gray be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	74	25¢	$19	0xef0d9d…
08-05 00:41:48	Will Hartzell Gray be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0x507a48…
08-05 00:41:05	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	SELL	1,500	100¢	$1,498	0x9a100b…
07-30 11:21:56	Will Hartzell Gray be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	972	80¢	$777	0xcd2522…
07-30 11:13:24	Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	BUY	207	85¢	$176	0xbe2d17…
07-30 11:11:23	Will 2 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x77a52c…
07-30 11:11:15	Will 2 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries?	No	BUY	274	87¢	$238	0x306c87…
07-30 11:10:44	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x81613e…
07-30 11:10:30	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?	Yes	BUY	80	28¢	$22	0x7d7f51…
07-30 11:10:20	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?	Yes	BUY	147	27¢	$40	0x5110ff…
07-30 11:10:03	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?	Yes	BUY	23	26¢	$6	0x4bacda…
07-30 11:09:47	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?	Yes	BUY	777	26¢	$202	0x00fbf6…
07-30 11:09:35	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?	Yes	BUY	1,217	26¢	$317	0xbb823d…
07-30 11:00:23	Will 4 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries?	Yes	BUY	361	26¢	$92	0x3ff1b0…
07-30 10:58:59	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	136	92¢	$126	0xbdbe4e…
07-30 10:45:44	Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	No	BUY	199	37¢	$73	0xfa2287…
07-30 10:40:17	Will Joy Powers be the VA-09 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	300	72¢	$216	0x4f2032…
07-30 10:32:11	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	136	91¢	$125	0x59e6be…
07-22 16:37:27	Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xbc100b…
07-22 13:46:09	Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	Yes	BUY	460	54¢	$248	0xcadacd…
07-22 10:04:06	Will Josh Elliott win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xa39452…
07-22 10:04:04	Will Josh Elliott win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x08ab34…
07-22 03:04:40	Will Daniel Keenan be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x9a5671…
07-22 03:03:28	Will Daniel Keenan be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?	Yes	SELL	700	1¢	$7	0x915a25…
07-22 03:03:03	Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?	No	SELL	2,187	0¢	$10	0xa9cf50…
07-22 03:02:25	Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?	No	SELL	28	4¢	$1	0xec0e77…
07-22 03:01:54	Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?	No	SELL	51	4¢	$2	0xf83833…
07-22 03:01:54	Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?	No	SELL	70	4¢	$3	0xca4aba…
07-22 03:01:54	Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?	No	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x74d763…
07-22 03:01:54	Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x3aeb2c…
07-22 03:01:52	Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?	No	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x7d92a8…
07-22 03:01:52	Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?	No	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x540892…
07-21 05:57:37	Will Daniel Keenan be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?	Yes	BUY	255	14¢	$36	0xbc328a…
07-21 05:55:09	Will Daniel Keenan be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?	Yes	BUY	350	13¢	$46	0x9ab26d…
07-21 05:54:51	Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?	No	BUY	2,425	12¢	$303	0x82dd1b…
07-21 05:54:03	Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	Yes	SELL	686	99¢	$680	0xa412c4…
07-13 18:12:41	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	69	77¢	$53	0x83c87c…
07-13 16:06:47	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x09d16a…
07-13 13:51:14	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	435	77¢	$335	0xa4217b…
07-13 10:04:53	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	41	77¢	$31	0xd35c62…
07-13 01:12:34	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$3	0xab4e25…
07-13 01:12:29	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	260	77¢	$200	0xf8d64d…
07-09 15:55:41	Will Daniel Keenan be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?	Yes	BUY	120	27¢	$32	0x744612…
07-09 12:13:28	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	22	77¢	$17	0x4431f6…
07-09 11:26:04	Will Daniel Keenan be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?	Yes	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0xf8d7c3…
07-09 11:21:11	Will Daniel Keenan be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?	Yes	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0xf10ac6…
07-09 09:29:56	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	435	77¢	$335	0x9859c1…
07-09 07:21:14	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	96	77¢	$74	0xea9ce6…
07-09 07:16:10	Will Daniel Keenan be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x4f3df5…
07-09 06:37:31	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	90	77¢	$69	0x80a16b…