Novel-Proliferation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$76

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.6%

Resolved

Trades

445

lifetime

Volume

$4.08K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 06-04 16:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 51% $-76

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 304 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	7	$180	387	0	+387	Up	+$22	05-11 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	6	$138	89	89	+0	Up	+$38	05-10 21:30
btc updown 15m 1780538400	13	$132	288	220	+68	open	—	06-04 02:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	11	$110	209	0	+209	Down	$-110	05-11 04:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	10	$107	256	0	+256	Down	$-107	05-11 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	10	$100	178	0	+178	Down	$-100	05-11 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	8	$90	166	0	+166	Up	+$76	05-10 21:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	9	$90	226	0	+226	Up	$-90	05-11 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	8	$90	245	0	+245	Up	+$23	05-11 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	9	$90	212	0	+212	Down	$-90	05-11 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	8	$80	232	0	+232	Up	$-80	05-11 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	8	$80	376	0	+376	Up	+$46	05-11 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	9	$76	313	0	+313	Down	+$26	05-11 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	8	$75	297	0	+297	Up	+$32	05-11 04:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	7	$70	123	0	+123	Up	$-70	05-11 01:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	7	$70	273	0	+273	Up	+$51	05-11 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	7	$70	609	0	+609	Down	+$39	05-11 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	7	$66	449	0	+449	Up	+$87	05-11 03:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	4	$65	222	0	+222	Up	$-65	05-11 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	7	$65	472	0	+472	Down	+$160	05-11 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	7	$65	471	0	+471	Down	$-65	05-11 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	7	$62	121	0	+121	Up	+$59	05-10 21:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	6	$60	143	0	+143	Up	$-60	05-11 03:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	6	$60	573	0	+573	Down	$-60	05-11 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	5	$60	225	0	+225	Up	+$40	05-11 00:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	5	$60	336	0	+336	Down	+$54	05-11 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	6	$60	105	0	+105	Down	$-60	05-11 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	7	$60	252	0	+252	Down	$-60	05-11 01:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	6	$60	87	0	+87	Up	+$27	05-10 21:02
btc updown 15m 1780590600	1	$59	106	0	+106	open	—	06-04 16:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 16:38:42	btc updown 15m 1780590600	Down	BUY	106	56¢	$59	0x48996d…
06-04 12:39:15	btc updown 15m 1780576200	Down	BUY	640	3¢	$20	0x1b1d7f…
06-04 12:24:51	btc updown 15m 1780575300	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6d55ed…
06-04 02:23:16	btc updown 15m 1780539300	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x33c0ec…
06-04 02:22:03	btc updown 15m 1780539300	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xbeec15…
06-04 02:20:30	btc updown 15m 1780539300	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xe230a1…
06-04 02:15:36	btc updown 15m 1780539300	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x666b08…
06-04 02:13:15	btc updown 15m 1780538400	Down	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0x526779…
06-04 02:10:22	btc updown 15m 1780538400	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xc2bd91…
06-04 02:10:10	btc updown 15m 1780538400	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x98b344…
06-04 02:09:36	btc updown 15m 1780538400	Down	SELL	50	61¢	$30	0x7e9a7a…
06-04 02:08:04	btc updown 15m 1780538400	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x774033…
06-04 02:07:24	btc updown 15m 1780538400	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x183243…
06-04 02:06:51	btc updown 15m 1780538400	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x15e16d…
06-04 02:05:55	btc updown 15m 1780538400	Up	SELL	171	30¢	$50	0xfdd9fd…
06-04 02:04:52	btc updown 15m 1780538400	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x436965…
06-04 02:04:19	btc updown 15m 1780538400	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x1d3416…
06-04 02:02:52	btc updown 15m 1780538400	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x2050cd…
06-04 02:01:51	btc updown 15m 1780538400	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xa94b40…
06-04 01:59:36	btc updown 15m 1780538400	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x244bec…
06-04 01:54:54	btc updown 15m 1780537500	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x367836…
06-04 01:51:13	btc updown 15m 1780537500	Up	BUY	44	7¢	$3	0x7ffaa0…
06-04 01:50:49	btc updown 15m 1780537500	Up	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x02d71b…
06-03 22:32:40	btc updown 15m 1780525800	Up	SELL	21	68¢	$14	0x5f9ad1…
06-03 22:30:46	btc updown 15m 1780525800	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x39046d…
05-14 21:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	179	23¢	$41	0x946f47…
05-14 21:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xfe2b77…
05-14 20:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x0b7c8a…
05-14 20:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xf338f0…
05-14 20:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x306575…
05-14 20:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x23837a…
05-14 20:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x1bfa3e…
05-14 20:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xfaa74d…
05-14 20:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x48227b…
05-14 20:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x832dd0…
05-14 20:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x074cc1…
05-14 20:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xd9f9e1…
05-14 20:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x9a0237…
05-14 20:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x60b2c0…
05-14 20:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x8a257f…
05-14 20:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x61417d…
05-11 04:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x39ef71…
05-11 04:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xe66eaa…
05-11 04:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x9d9484…
05-11 04:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xa4f303…
05-11 04:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xcde791…
05-11 04:47:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x46bb84…
05-11 04:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xd1abda…
05-11 04:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xf2d367…
05-11 04:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x43af4e…
05-11 04:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xdbac2d…
05-11 04:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xfe59f2…
05-11 04:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x1599cb…
05-11 04:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x671860…
05-11 04:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x6e35f7…
05-11 04:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	63	16¢	$10	0xe6440a…
05-11 04:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xf7e20b…
05-11 04:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x7a88ba…
05-11 04:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x0b8e68…
05-11 04:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xd2a294…
05-11 04:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x702f77…
05-11 04:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2db01c…
05-11 04:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x7e1392…
05-11 04:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x9accaa…
05-11 04:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xce20eb…
05-11 04:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x65b195…
05-11 04:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x3801d6…
05-11 04:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	135	7¢	$10	0xcd076b…
05-11 04:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	85	12¢	$10	0x5a345b…
05-11 04:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xf1f2c7…
05-11 04:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xa5355c…
05-11 04:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xe56fa2…
05-11 04:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x004850…
05-11 04:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x54f12d…
05-11 04:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x885ac7…
05-11 04:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xb87fcc…
05-11 04:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x2f7acd…
05-11 04:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x207996…
05-11 04:27:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x1d814c…
05-11 04:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x9372da…
05-11 04:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x0d5beb…
05-11 04:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x5ed24c…
05-11 04:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x43f3a8…
05-11 04:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x757ae8…
05-11 04:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x84382b…
05-11 04:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x5af504…
05-11 04:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x378399…
05-11 04:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x198b9f…
05-11 04:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x3bdffe…
05-11 04:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	49	20¢	$10	0x665301…
05-11 04:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	65	15¢	$10	0xbc96eb…
05-11 04:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x851af5…
05-11 04:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	27	33¢	$9	0x7834b2…
05-11 04:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xd994bf…
05-11 04:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x1ffa1b…
05-11 04:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xf3de0e…
05-11 04:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x84f02a…
05-11 04:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xec7292…
05-11 03:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xeaf45f…
05-11 03:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x911325…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	102	$30.1K	8,372	06-04 16:42
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	102	$27.3K	4,046	06-04 16:41
(anonymous) 0x5e2b…9101	101	$7.83K	1,153	06-04 16:42
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	100	$30.3K	4,412	06-04 16:42
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	99	$5.69K	1,900	06-04 16:42
Slim-Pond 0x19cd…af9a	97	$11.5K	3,450	06-04 16:42
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	96	$68.0K	8,889	06-04 16:42
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	94	$70.8K	2,496	06-04 16:43