Constant-Horst — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.70K

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

52.8%

Resolved

4,985

Trades

5,221

lifetime

Volume

$39.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-19

last 10-29 16:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 251 days

Categories

Other

63% 46% +$946

Sports

36% 55% +$762

Politics

0% 75% +$11

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 95 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes		+34	$10	24¢	$8	-$2	10-01 13:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
atp mensik sinner 2026 02 19	2	$60	56	56	+0	Mensik	+$51	02-19 22:32
atp fonseca buse 2026 02 19	3	$53	43	43	+0	Buse	+$33	02-20 03:42
atp samuel garin 2026 08 27	3	$46	31	31	+0	Toby Samuel	+$16	08-27 23:09
mwoh can usa 2026 02 22	2	$31	21	21	+0	USA	+$11	02-22 16:25
cbb cin kan 2026 02 21	1	$31	0	31	-31	Cincinnati Bearcats	$0	02-21 20:06
ufc tho4 gui2 2026 04 04	3	$30	39	20	+19	Thomas Petersen	-$10	04-04 23:43
Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5	3	$30	40	22	+18	Over	+$7	09-07 01:07
cbb wbd det 2026 02 20	3	$29	39	19	+20	Detroit Titans	-$11	02-20 21:25
ufc mic6 zac5 2026 02 21 totals 1pt5	2	$29	19	19	+0	Over	+$9	02-22 02:03
wta gibson tauson 2026 03 08 set handicap away 1pt5	3	$29	38	19	+20	Gibson	+$9	03-08 18:06
ufc chi1 car23 2026 02 21 totals 1pt5	2	$29	19	19	+0	Over	+$9	02-22 01:37
atp burruch walton 2026 03 30	3	$28	37	17	+20	Roman Andres Burruchaga	-$11	03-30 11:42
atp sachko bruncli 2026 02 24	2	$28	18	18	+0	Brunclik	+$8	02-24 16:05
Little Rock: Colton Smith vs Michael Mmoh	3	$28	18	18	+0	Colton Smith	+$8	06-01 02:10
atp sakella crawfor 2026 02 21	2	$28	18	18	+0	Sakellaridis	+$8	02-22 12:55
nba dal min 2026 02 20 spread home 15pt5	2	$28	18	18	+0	Mavericks	+$8	02-21 04:01
atp bertran gadamau 2026 02 25	2	$27	17	17	+0	Gadamauri	+$7	02-25 15:53
atp tirante tabilo 2026 02 20	2	$26	16	16	+0	Tabilo	+$6	02-21 06:07
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedev	3	$25	46	0	+46	Daniil Medvedev	+$21	05-11 16:07
atp marozsa zheng 2026 08 30	5	$25	189	0	+189	Michael Zheng	-$25	09-02 21:59
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Tea Kovacevic vs Rikke De Koning	5	$25	78	0	+78	Rikke De Koning	-$25	07-21 13:17
atp altmaie musetti 2026 08 16 set handicap away 1pt5	3	$25	29	18	+11	Musetti	-$5	08-16 15:23
atp fearnle bouquie 2026 02 23	2	$25	20	20	+0	Bouquier	+$15	02-23 21:01
ufc sea2 ant 2026 02 21	2	$22	17	17	+0	Strickland	+$12	02-22 04:54
Gwangju: August Holmgren vs Leandro Riedi	2	$22	17	17	+0	August Holmgren	+$12	04-25 03:50
atp mensik sinner 2026 02 19 set handicap away 1pt5	2	$22	17	17	+0	Mensik	+$12	02-19 22:32
mlb sf pit 2026 09 03 total 8pt5	2	$21	19	19	+0	Under	+$1	09-03 15:33
atp moeller burruch 2026 02 23	2	$21	16	16	+0	Moeller	+$11	02-24 18:48
wta ferro garcia 2026 02 21	2	$21	16	16	+0	Garcia	+$11	02-21 18:06
mlb cle cin 2026 07 27 total 7pt5	2	$21	17	17	+0	Over	+$1	07-28 11:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 16:34:13	Jets vs. Lightning	Jets	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x4748a1…
10-29 15:16:26	Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x9535a9…
10-29 14:46:53	Set Handicap: Taylor Fritz (-1.5) vs Denis Shapovalov (+1.5)	Denis Shapovalov	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xdb8a66…
10-29 14:46:47	Swiss Indoors Basel: Taylor Fritz vs Denis Shapovalov	Denis Shapovalov	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x7b4232…
10-29 14:42:02	Set Handicap: Alexander Zverev (-1.5) vs Tallon Griekspoor (+1.5)	Tallon Griekspoor	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x9c1f0b…
10-29 12:03:04	Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Arthur Fils	Alex Michelsen	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xf43614…
10-29 11:21:35	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Cameron Norrie	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x183582…
10-29 04:28:14	Set Handicap: Maria Timofeeva (-1.5) vs Xinran Sun (+1.5)	Xinran Sun	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x224f1e…
10-28 22:25:34	Flyers vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xba776e…
10-28 19:29:05	Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xa45c10…
10-28 19:27:50	Farnborough FC vs. Weston-super-Mare: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x1a091e…
10-28 19:26:07	Will Celtic FC vs. Dundee United FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xe2c73d…
10-28 19:25:16	Will Farnborough FC vs. Weston-super-Mare end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x5809d6…
10-28 19:22:47	Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xd2fae1…
10-28 19:21:02	AC Monza vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x2bbfbe…
10-28 19:19:41	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xd30d25…
10-28 19:18:50	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x9a05d8…
10-28 17:44:25	Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 9.5	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x52f25d…
10-28 17:44:20	Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 9.5	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x440572…
10-28 17:40:17	Nuggets vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xa512f5…
10-28 17:33:05	Spread: Hawks (-3.5)	Heat	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x1757ca…
10-28 16:51:47	Erste Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Alex de Minaur	Learner Tien	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb4bb79…
10-28 16:48:05	Ja'Kobe Walter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xc9deab…
10-28 16:42:35	nba sas uta 2026 10 28 assists victor wembanyama 2pt5	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x7fceea…
10-28 16:39:28	nba okc dal 2026 10 28 rebounds isaiah hartenstein 9pt5	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xd059ef…
10-28 16:38:08	nba sas uta 2026 10 28 assists stephon castle 6pt5	Yes	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x8c835f…
10-28 16:22:50	Will SC Freiburg vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xb6cef9…
10-28 16:22:16	Will SG Dynamo Dresden win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xeebeec…
10-28 16:21:59	SG Dynamo Dresden vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x7aea61…
10-28 16:21:07	SC Freiburg vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xe57a72…
10-28 14:06:35	Devils vs. Avalanche	Devils	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xfd677e…
10-28 13:40:56	Maple Leafs vs. Kraken	Maple Leafs	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x95349c…
10-28 13:40:26	Flames vs. Oilers	Flames	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xfc14de…
10-28 00:05:41	Bruins vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xc76908…
10-28 00:01:53	Panthers vs. Jets: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x14f105…
10-27 23:36:50	Set Handicap: Daniil Medvedev (-1.5) vs Daniel Merida Aguilar (+1.5)	Daniel Merida Aguilar	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x6dfa40…
10-27 23:21:33	Egor Demin: Assists O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x0d1606…
10-27 23:20:30	Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x3f46b1…
10-27 23:11:41	Set Handicap: Paula Badosa (-1.5) vs Sinja Kraus (+1.5)	Sinja Kraus	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0xf16b07…
10-27 22:24:32	Spread: Lakers (-3.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x3992d0…
10-27 17:21:54	Wild vs. Utah	Wild	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x4e35ab…
10-27 16:12:38	Blue Jackets vs. Flyers	Flyers	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x9d87d8…
10-27 13:53:12	Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Botic van de Zandschulp	Botic van de Zandschulp	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xffbf29…
10-27 04:34:41	Canadiens vs. Blues	Blues	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x51cab0…
10-27 04:34:26	nhl mon stl 2026 10 27 spread home 1pt5	Blues	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xac7f1a…
10-26 23:28:57	Mavericks vs. Heat	Mavericks	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x57eda1…
10-26 22:29:15	Kings vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x3e60f5…
10-26 22:18:24	Bulls vs. Celtics	Bulls	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x49ded5…
10-26 18:08:45	Red Wings vs. Oilers	Red Wings	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x1d0e71…
10-26 17:51:47	Set Handicap: Casper Ruud (-1.5) vs Dominic Stephan Stricker (+1.5)	Dominic Stephan Stricker	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x1a87a2…
10-26 17:00:41	Maple Leafs vs. Flames	Flames	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x024ba9…
10-26 00:14:36	Set Handicap: Xinyu Wang (-1.5) vs Alycia Parks (+1.5)	Alycia Parks	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xca3b9f…
10-25 18:48:29	Spread: Panthers (-1.5)	Panthers	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x627c73…
10-25 17:27:41	Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)	Kings	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x0706c0…
10-25 15:27:30	Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xe74579…
10-25 14:39:06	Canadiens vs. Jets	Jets	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x787463…
10-25 14:37:23	Avalanche vs. Predators: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xfc6950…
10-25 06:51:17	Spread: Jets (-6.5)	Dolphins	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x88e439…
10-25 06:50:47	Spread: Steelers (-3.5)	Saints	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x1def24…
10-25 06:50:12	Spread: 49ers (-3.5)	Falcons	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x5b7cd0…
10-25 01:06:44	Lightning vs. Utah: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x5ef8ef…
10-24 16:31:35	Red Wings vs. Flames	Flames	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x8aa2f8…
10-24 16:07:53	Sharks vs. Bruins	Sharks	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xa72f32…
10-24 16:07:23	Predators vs. Penguins	Predators	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xd627b7…
10-24 15:48:14	Golden Knights vs. Blue Jackets	Blue Jackets	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xded53d…
10-24 14:03:06	Real Racing Club vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x08c691…
10-24 13:54:06	Spread: Devils (-1.5)	Devils	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x5b5234…
10-24 01:27:59	Clippers vs. Lakers	Clippers	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x09873f…
10-24 01:27:54	Spread: Lakers (-9.5)	Clippers	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x39bd09…
10-24 00:37:09	Spread: Air Force (-6.5)	Air Force	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x01d0ec…
10-24 00:37:02	Air Force vs. Wyoming	Air Force	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x90d8b9…
10-24 00:12:00	Army vs. Tulsa	Army	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xa6ed12…
10-24 00:09:45	Rockets vs. Spurs	Rockets	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x752d8e…
10-24 00:02:24	Pistons vs. Heat	Pistons	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x491525…
10-23 23:46:03	Grizzlies vs. Warriors	Grizzlies	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x101981…
10-22 18:17:42	Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x751544…
10-22 18:15:51	Hurricanes vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x3e22b9…
10-22 17:03:26	Sharks vs. Senators	Sharks	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xbe45b2…
10-22 16:19:54	Will Trabzonspor vs. Heart of Midlothian FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x727bb8…
10-22 16:18:48	Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x19fcf9…
10-22 15:51:39	Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x478c60…
10-22 15:51:02	Will Getafe CF vs. FC Lugano end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xf5eaf8…
10-22 15:49:21	Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x42c63b…
10-22 15:47:38	Will Rīga FC win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x12be81…
10-22 15:29:53	FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x7b3df1…
10-22 15:28:53	Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x31f55f…
10-22 15:22:48	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x3814c3…
10-22 15:21:11	Spread: AZ (-1.5)	AZ	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x07f663…
10-22 15:08:56	SK Iberia 1999 vs. Mjällby AIF: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x830614…
10-22 15:08:50	Will SK Iberia 1999 vs. Mjällby AIF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xad57c5…
10-22 14:57:53	Will SC União Torreense win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x341c99…
10-22 14:40:39	Predators vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x508ee7…
10-22 14:26:38	Jets vs. Stars: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x1f783b…
10-22 14:25:24	Set Handicap: Alexander Bublik (-1.5) vs Fabian Marozsan (+1.5)	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x57ef3f…
10-22 14:21:20	Almaty Open: Alexander Bublik vs Fabian Marozsan	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x5f5400…
10-22 14:20:30	Panthers vs. Penguins: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xb3c531…
10-22 13:24:53	Set Handicap: Taylor Fritz (-1.5) vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert (+1.5)	Pierre-Hugues Herbert	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xad71ff…
10-21 23:33:26	Predators vs. Bruins	Predators	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x64aa54…
10-21 18:53:42	Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)	Aston Villa FC	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x16161e…
10-21 18:52:53	Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)	LASK Linz	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x0e3636…