Stupendous-Motherinlaw-Deficit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$280

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

52.7%

Resolved

1,488

Trades

7,804

lifetime

Volume

$9.65K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 10-30 08:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 132 days

Categories

Other

94% 20% -$194

Crypto

5% 29% -$68

Sports

0% 12% -$7

Tech

0% 0% -$11

Politics

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 164 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	+25	$2	6¢	$1	$0	10-24 09:36
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	+150	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	09-16 10:03
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	+5	$0	1¢	$0	$0	09-02 10:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on September 29?	16	$296	301	301	+0	Yes	+$287	09-29 08:06
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 13?	15	$231	223	223	+0	Yes	+$208	09-13 10:18
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on September 1?	6	$209	110	110	+0	No	+$11	09-01 11:12
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 7?	12	$203	293	293	+0	Yes	+$149	10-07 08:10
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 6?	34	$154	222	222	+0	No	-$58	09-06 10:55
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 23?	39	$154	208	208	+0	Yes	+$100	08-23 10:06
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 4?	9	$148	139	139	+0	Yes	+$119	10-04 07:00
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 31?	9	$134	104	104	-0	No	+$3	08-31 04:47
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 10?	36	$129	1,118	200	+918	No	-$69	10-10 07:09
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 25?	21	$121	120	120	+0	Yes	+$103	09-25 10:10
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on September 3?	6	$118	63	63	+0	No	+$5	09-03 10:46
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 11?	9	$109	65	65	+0	Yes	+$12	08-11 07:49
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 2?	10	$108	138	108	+30	No	+$6	09-02 08:49
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 30?	16	$106	128	68	+60	No	+$11	08-30 06:49
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 16?	14	$96	581	581	+0	No	-$39	09-16 09:10
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 11?	26	$93	545	91	+454	No	-$61	10-11 06:39
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 28?	14	$89	100	100	+0	Yes	+$19	08-28 04:14
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on September 6?	9	$82	80	80	+0	No	+$2	09-06 02:13
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C or higher on October 6?	17	$81	962	0	+962	No	-$81	10-06 10:01
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 9?	11	$76	60	60	+0	Yes	+$42	10-09 08:16
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 30?	16	$73	101	71	+30	Yes	+$17	08-30 10:03
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 9?	5	$73	100	100	+0	Yes	+$43	09-09 03:21
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on September 15?	6	$73	416	50	+366	No	-$44	09-15 03:28
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 22?	7	$71	97	97	+0	No	+$36	08-22 09:20
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 16?	6	$66	502	71	+431	No	-$59	09-16 05:09
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 14?	11	$65	53	38	+15	No	-$5	08-14 08:55
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 28?	23	$64	1,017	40	+977	No	-$44	08-28 05:00
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 25?	24	$64	493	276	+217	No	-$30	09-25 08:49
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 23?	21	$62	297	159	+138	No	-$19	08-23 10:49
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 22?	19	$60	158	158	+0	Yes	+$20	08-22 10:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 08:42:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	13	19¢	$2	0x1e65be…
10-30 08:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	52	1¢	$1	0xdfb529…
10-30 07:58:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0x41f3ff…
10-30 07:58:21	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xe75ee4…
10-30 07:25:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x74e16c…
10-30 07:25:36	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x58cbdf…
10-30 07:25:36	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x456085…
10-30 07:24:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x1eca53…
10-30 07:00:39	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x797c34…
10-30 07:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x7c2a31…
10-30 07:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x094ec0…
10-30 06:59:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x1456f7…
10-30 06:49:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x4576c5…
10-30 06:35:21	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x88309b…
10-30 06:18:57	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	21	3¢	$1	0x4e8471…
10-30 06:08:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xed8a32…
10-30 05:56:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x173e8b…
10-30 05:53:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x18e250…
10-30 05:50:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x4b2874…
10-30 05:43:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x81d81a…
10-30 05:42:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x12c503…
10-30 05:34:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x8d9c3f…
10-30 05:34:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x6616b2…
10-30 05:34:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	43	4¢	$2	0x742e77…
10-30 05:17:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe1c738…
10-30 04:46:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0xf30069…
10-30 04:46:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0xc38913…
10-30 04:46:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0xb9f63c…
10-30 04:37:28	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xa7446d…
10-30 04:30:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C or higher on October 30?	Yes	SELL	79	0¢	$0	0x11de30…
10-30 04:26:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C or higher on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xe70bf9…
10-30 04:26:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C or higher on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x1feb79…
10-30 04:20:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C or higher on October 30?	Yes	BUY	64	0¢	$0	0x680e8c…
10-30 04:20:37	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	8	18¢	$1	0x387237…
10-30 04:12:45	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x8d35c2…
10-30 04:11:48	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	105	8¢	$9	0xaef4b0…
10-30 03:26:27	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	97	0¢	$0	0x703897…
10-30 03:15:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0x0bf145…
10-30 02:57:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x46fd98…
10-30 02:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x781d7f…
10-30 02:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0xab3f96…
10-30 01:55:13	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	19¢	$2	0x28fec0…
10-30 01:55:13	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0x254521…
10-30 01:51:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x72a664…
10-30 01:38:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	25	2¢	$1	0x1bb6ab…
10-30 01:38:39	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	27	0¢	$0	0x6e3bad…
10-30 01:23:07	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x18fcb4…
10-30 01:14:13	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x05307a…
10-30 01:13:48	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	0	18¢	$0	0x9bb23b…
10-30 01:13:48	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	19	18¢	$3	0x10432e…
10-30 01:12:58	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0xa4f25b…
10-30 01:12:58	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x9d6e0e…
10-30 01:12:57	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xd77dd4…
10-30 01:12:57	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xad6ea9…
10-30 01:12:57	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0x9422ac…
10-30 01:12:57	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x8113b4…
10-30 01:12:57	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x704654…
10-30 01:12:52	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xea0e44…
10-30 01:12:52	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xe5ee3e…
10-30 01:12:52	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0xbfc32b…
10-30 01:12:52	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2193eb…
10-30 01:09:19	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x83315a…
10-30 01:08:42	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x569026…
10-29 23:59:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xf94bea…
10-29 23:59:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x718357…
10-29 23:59:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xe5e159…
10-29 23:59:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xb580b9…
10-29 23:59:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x6acc5c…
10-29 23:19:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x027d0c…
10-29 20:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xc48c14…
10-29 19:13:10	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xe91c40…
10-29 16:30:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xd2489e…
10-29 16:30:20	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x44a3de…
10-29 16:25:23	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xc5f045…
10-29 15:50:29	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xfc4630…
10-29 15:03:50	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x16310d…
10-29 14:07:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x054cb7…
10-29 10:22:53	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xe5ddec…
10-29 09:13:56	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	205	0¢	$0	0x2e3c98…
10-29 08:53:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	85	1¢	$1	0x9349c4…
10-29 08:03:44	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x3806da…
10-29 08:02:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0xe7e9e5…
10-29 07:59:41	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x7f3524…
10-29 07:56:38	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	69	0¢	$0	0xeef090…
10-29 07:56:29	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x772cb4…
10-29 07:32:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x50b2a3…
10-29 07:31:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x613903…
10-29 07:31:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xf39f88…
10-29 07:29:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0xc7dd1c…
10-29 07:29:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0x0e06ac…
10-29 07:29:05	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x8f2f50…
10-29 07:01:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x379c3b…
10-29 06:57:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0x15901f…
10-29 06:56:59	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xd100e1…
10-29 06:52:14	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x6d09d5…
10-29 06:41:56	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x1bb24d…
10-29 06:41:02	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x1588c4…
10-29 06:40:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x7df0bd…
10-29 06:39:43	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xa78ba8…
10-29 05:26:41	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xd2659e…