Only-Strike — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$72

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.5%

Resolved

154

Trades

1,291

lifetime

Volume

$4.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 07-16 14:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 39% $-72

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 293 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	8	$84	66	65	+1	Up	+$5	05-13 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	2	$83	100	100	+0	open	—	05-01 06:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	15	$80	73	62	+11	Up	+$2	05-13 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	9	$79	69	55	+14	Down	+$3	05-13 01:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	15	$75	86	53	+32	Up	$-2	05-13 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	7	$75	65	54	+11	Up	+$6	05-13 01:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	7	$67	54	42	+12	Up	$-13	05-13 01:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12AM ET	12	$66	80	80	+0	open	—	05-01 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	10	$58	36	36	+1	Down	+$8	05-13 02:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	12	$54	63	56	+7	Down	$-3	05-13 02:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	12	$53	57	55	+3	Down	$-2	05-13 03:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	9	$51	48	43	+5	Up	+$1	05-13 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	13	$50	98	0	+98	Up	+$0	05-11 15:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	10	$47	77	0	+77	Up	+$0	05-11 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3AM ET	10	$44	594	82	+512	open	—	05-01 07:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	9	$44	39	32	+7	Up	$-6	05-13 02:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	13	$44	90	0	+90	Down	$-4	05-11 15:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2PM ET	8	$42	50	50	+0	open	—	05-01 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	8	$39	60	0	+60	Down	$-29	05-11 15:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	17	$34	73	0	+73	Up	+$9	05-11 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1PM ET	6	$31	34	34	+0	open	—	05-01 17:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4AM ET	7	$30	3,119	619	+2,500	open	—	05-01 08:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	4	$26	17	16	+1	Up	+$7	05-13 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	4	$26	16	16	+0	Down	+$6	05-13 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	4	$24	21	10	+10	Down	+$5	05-12 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	2	$23	22	22	+0	open	—	05-01 07:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	4	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	05-02 16:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	4	$23	30	30	+0	open	—	05-01 18:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$23	16	16	+0	Up	+$3	05-12 14:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	4	$23	21	10	+10	Up	+$5	05-12 05:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 14:19:59	btc updown 15m 1784212200	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xb3b936…
07-16 14:19:52	btc updown 15m 1784211300	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x968295…
07-16 14:17:41	btc updown 15m 1784212200	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5ebdfa…
07-16 14:17:40	btc updown 15m 1784211300	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xb1752b…
07-16 12:23:49	btc updown 15m 1784205000	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc1fad7…
07-16 12:16:04	btc updown 15m 1784204100	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x767eaf…
07-16 11:53:37	btc updown 15m 1784203200	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfa4781…
07-16 11:39:26	btc updown 15m 1784202300	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x02a5bc…
07-16 11:24:41	btc updown 15m 1784201400	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x487d74…
07-16 11:09:37	btc updown 15m 1784200500	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2c40d2…
07-16 10:54:53	btc updown 15m 1784199600	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2e0edf…
07-16 10:40:02	btc updown 15m 1784198700	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x067d36…
07-16 10:23:49	btc updown 15m 1784197800	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6b86b2…
07-16 10:08:10	btc updown 15m 1784196900	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x91be68…
07-16 09:56:19	btc updown 15m 1784196000	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0c08df…
07-16 09:38:59	btc updown 15m 1784195100	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4ef2ae…
07-16 09:25:14	btc updown 15m 1784194200	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x57f441…
07-16 09:09:41	btc updown 15m 1784193300	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5b93c7…
07-16 08:55:01	btc updown 15m 1784192400	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd60d14…
07-16 08:37:43	btc updown 15m 1784191500	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc2d759…
07-16 08:26:38	btc updown 15m 1784190600	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xffc744…
07-16 08:08:38	btc updown 15m 1784189700	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd88e7d…
07-16 07:54:44	btc updown 15m 1784188800	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x2b5079…
07-16 07:39:19	btc updown 15m 1784187900	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xee84f2…
07-16 07:25:02	btc updown 15m 1784187000	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x37883d…
07-16 07:03:26	btc updown 15m 1784186100	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x058fcd…
07-16 07:03:22	btc updown 15m 1784185200	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xebb9da…
07-16 05:06:38	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x49f8d3…
07-16 05:06:34	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 2am et	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x7ff984…
07-16 05:03:34	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 1am et	Down	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x0fc0e0…
07-16 05:02:17	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xea5580…
07-16 04:19:26	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0c8dea…
07-16 04:19:22	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 1am et	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xabc778…
07-16 04:08:50	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x08c011…
07-16 04:08:44	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 1am et	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xfed8dc…
07-16 04:02:23	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe7cd5a…
07-16 04:00:41	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 12am et	Down	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x7416cf…
07-16 03:33:17	btc updown 15m 1784172600	Down	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0x4fa7d7…
07-16 03:20:22	btc updown 15m 1784172600	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x981ca3…
07-16 03:20:19	btc updown 15m 1784172600	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x02386c…
07-16 03:19:58	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xde508e…
07-16 03:19:53	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 12am et	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x0e6083…
07-16 03:17:37	btc updown 15m 1784171700	Up	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0xe02185…
07-16 03:16:08	btc updown 15m 1784172600	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd7fa38…
07-16 03:14:31	eth updown 5m 1784171700	Up	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xd77734…
07-16 03:14:29	btc updown 15m 1784171700	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd0d0d1…
07-16 03:14:22	btc updown 15m 1784171700	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x765d0b…
07-16 03:11:53	btc updown 15m 1784170800	Down	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0xb77cae…
07-16 03:11:49	eth updown 5m 1784171700	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x851c62…
07-16 03:06:44	btc updown 15m 1784171700	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc1e961…
07-16 03:06:41	btc updown 15m 1784171700	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xc97714…
07-16 03:02:02	btc updown 15m 1784171700	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf655df…
07-16 03:01:35	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x53ab82…
07-16 02:58:14	eth updown 5m 1784170800	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x409bc1…
07-16 02:52:46	eth updown 5m 1784170500	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x04e576…
07-16 02:49:05	eth updown 5m 1784169900	Down	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0xce894e…
07-16 02:47:58	btc updown 15m 1784170800	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5f1aa5…
07-16 02:45:43	btc updown 15m 1784169900	Down	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x6bfcb4…
07-16 02:42:46	bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 11pm et	Down	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x031f87…
07-16 02:42:40	eth updown 5m 1784169900	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2ad80f…
07-16 02:39:50	eth updown 5m 1784169600	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2f87c3…
07-16 02:37:50	eth updown 5m 1784169300	Down	SELL	2	25¢	$0	0x8a8832…
07-16 02:33:40	eth updown 5m 1784169300	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0c2dc1…
07-16 02:33:05	btc updown 15m 1784169900	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2c2ef9…
07-16 02:31:04	eth updown 5m 1784169000	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xa05208…
07-16 02:27:25	eth updown 5m 1784169000	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa319c0…
07-16 02:25:05	eth updown 5m 1784168700	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x79dd75…
07-16 02:25:01	eth updown 5m 1784168700	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x240f65…
07-16 02:21:47	eth updown 5m 1784168700	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0a5607…
07-16 02:20:11	btc updown 15m 1784168100	Down	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0xd85b8c…
07-16 02:19:04	eth updown 5m 1784168400	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd47c4e…
07-16 02:18:25	btc updown 15m 1784169000	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdd32ef…
07-16 02:15:52	btc updown 15m 1784168100	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb84cb7…
07-16 02:15:17	bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbcab30…
05-18 06:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x42981e…
05-18 02:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2d3795…
05-16 08:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x016841…
05-16 08:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa207aa…
05-16 08:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x82b537…
05-16 08:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xead039…
05-16 07:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x5e4f0d…
05-16 07:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x0e736d…
05-16 07:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x993b48…
05-16 06:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x76fa9f…
05-16 05:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8740d0…
05-16 02:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xd7c7de…
05-16 02:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x81af78…
05-16 02:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x1c17b9…
05-16 02:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x65c310…
05-16 02:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x174c76…
05-16 02:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x75ecab…
05-16 02:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xf55fb8…
05-16 02:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x6ceceb…
05-16 02:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x0c1fe8…
05-16 02:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x662049…
05-16 02:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x165920…
05-16 02:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x7e7f93…
05-16 02:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x06391d…
05-16 02:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb8a924…
05-16 02:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x2e194b…