Only-Strike — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$72

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.5%

Resolved

154

Trades

1,217

lifetime

Volume

$4.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 05-18 06:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 39% $-72

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 293 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	8	$84	66	65	+1	Up	+$5	05-13 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	2	$83	100	100	+0	open	—	05-01 06:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	15	$80	73	62	+11	Up	+$2	05-13 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	9	$79	69	55	+14	Down	+$3	05-13 01:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	15	$75	86	53	+32	Up	$-2	05-13 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	7	$75	65	54	+11	Up	+$6	05-13 01:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	7	$67	54	42	+12	Up	$-13	05-13 01:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12AM ET	12	$66	80	80	+0	open	—	05-01 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	10	$58	36	36	+1	Down	+$8	05-13 02:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	12	$54	63	56	+7	Down	$-3	05-13 02:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	12	$53	57	55	+3	Down	$-2	05-13 03:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	9	$51	48	43	+5	Up	+$1	05-13 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	13	$50	98	0	+98	Up	+$0	05-11 15:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	10	$47	77	0	+77	Up	+$0	05-11 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3AM ET	10	$44	594	82	+512	open	—	05-01 07:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	9	$44	39	32	+7	Up	$-6	05-13 02:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	13	$44	90	0	+90	Down	$-4	05-11 15:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2PM ET	8	$42	50	50	+0	open	—	05-01 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	8	$39	60	0	+60	Down	$-29	05-11 15:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	17	$34	73	0	+73	Up	+$9	05-11 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1PM ET	6	$31	34	34	+0	open	—	05-01 17:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4AM ET	7	$30	3,119	619	+2,500	open	—	05-01 08:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	4	$26	17	16	+1	Up	+$7	05-13 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	4	$26	16	16	+0	Down	+$6	05-13 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	4	$24	21	10	+10	Down	+$5	05-12 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	2	$23	22	22	+0	open	—	05-01 07:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	4	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	05-02 16:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	4	$23	30	30	+0	open	—	05-01 18:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$23	16	16	+0	Up	+$3	05-12 14:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	4	$23	21	10	+10	Up	+$5	05-12 05:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 06:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x42981e…
05-18 02:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2d3795…
05-16 08:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x016841…
05-16 08:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa207aa…
05-16 08:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x82b537…
05-16 08:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xead039…
05-16 07:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x5e4f0d…
05-16 07:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x0e736d…
05-16 07:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x993b48…
05-16 06:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x76fa9f…
05-16 05:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8740d0…
05-16 02:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xd7c7de…
05-16 02:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x81af78…
05-16 02:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x1c17b9…
05-16 02:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x65c310…
05-16 02:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x174c76…
05-16 02:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x75ecab…
05-16 02:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xf55fb8…
05-16 02:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x6ceceb…
05-16 02:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x0c1fe8…
05-16 02:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x662049…
05-16 02:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x165920…
05-16 02:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x7e7f93…
05-16 02:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x06391d…
05-16 02:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb8a924…
05-16 02:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x2e194b…
05-16 02:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa9a188…
05-16 02:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xa9d25c…
05-16 02:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xd25a2c…
05-16 02:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x091cd1…
05-16 02:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x9c69b8…
05-16 02:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xca5420…
05-15 21:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0xaced61…
05-15 21:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xb2b3b3…
05-15 21:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x91e8f0…
05-15 21:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x7b3adf…
05-15 21:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x7430e0…
05-15 21:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf6b077…
05-15 21:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x697545…
05-15 21:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x1e8455…
05-15 21:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa7d9c5…
05-15 21:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x6d2a44…
05-15 21:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x599529…
05-15 21:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xbf47e5…
05-15 21:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x976372…
05-15 21:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xee151e…
05-15 21:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x2bc490…
05-15 21:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x196ac8…
05-15 21:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x9d2c7f…
05-15 21:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x4d8d7f…
05-15 21:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xbbf851…
05-15 21:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xedf7bf…
05-15 21:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x12a92d…
05-15 21:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x890c55…
05-15 21:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x1d1693…
05-15 21:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xc0c9d8…
05-15 21:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x2975be…
05-15 21:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x16dfc8…
05-15 21:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x5af4d6…
05-15 21:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x78e8f4…
05-15 21:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xbfc86f…
05-15 21:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x9d21e1…
05-15 21:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x7c95e0…
05-15 21:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x3a7b8d…
05-15 20:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xfe815d…
05-15 20:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0x9f6867…
05-15 20:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x80d2d1…
05-15 20:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xf0fb17…
05-15 20:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xefbe92…
05-15 20:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x1f0540…
05-15 20:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xfc952c…
05-15 20:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x720667…
05-15 20:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x3a80ba…
05-15 20:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	54¢	$1	0x1beb6f…
05-15 20:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x981607…
05-15 20:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x4e81e3…
05-15 20:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x1d972f…
05-15 20:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x780f80…
05-15 20:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xc8301c…
05-15 20:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x514255…
05-15 20:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x6d4276…
05-15 20:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0xfae85c…
05-15 20:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x9075b1…
05-15 20:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x7c2fd0…
05-15 20:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x15117b…
05-15 20:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x460d91…
05-15 20:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xc9f7a0…
05-15 20:33:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xdcc189…
05-15 20:33:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xa546bc…
05-15 20:33:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x009c5f…
05-15 20:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x3a7063…
05-15 20:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x160d72…
05-15 20:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xc4f732…
05-15 20:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x30917b…
05-15 20:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xca0bc1…
05-15 20:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x8b7497…
05-15 20:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x2aa4d6…
05-15 20:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x89392a…
05-15 20:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x58134d…
05-15 20:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xab1a2f…