Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.96K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.9%

Resolved

767

Trades

5,683

lifetime

Volume

$79.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-25

last 10-30 05:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Crypto

46% 57% +$258

Other

36% 47% +$920

Politics

17% 32% +$1,797

Tech

1% 33% -$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 296 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	87	$7.4K	17,763	17,763	+0	No	+$376	10-09 08:43
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	81	$6.7K	21,500	21,500	+0	Yes	+$1,945	10-25 23:18
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	120	$5.1K	18,800	18,800	+0	open	—	10-29 17:52
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	97	$2.4K	3,086	3,086	+0	open	—	10-30 03:54
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	59	$1.3K	3,851	2,455	+1,396	No	-$40	10-26 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	22	$1.3K	10,823	10,823	+0	Up	+$240	10-07 01:26
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	99	$1.2K	5,572	5,572	+0	No	-$136	10-19 11:43
Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	13	$1.1K	627	627	+0	No	+$95	10-25 00:56
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	24	$1.1K	1,868	1,868	+0	open	—	10-29 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	2	$959	505	505	+0	Down	+$40	10-23 01:57
Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?	114	$901	4,357	4,357	+0	No	+$67	10-04 15:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	11	$855	629	629	+0	Down	+$91	09-18 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	14	$839	456	456	+0	Down	+$73	10-23 01:54
Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	15	$815	915	915	+0	Yes	+$92	10-13 12:15
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	14	$765	1,705	1,705	+0	open	—	10-29 23:51
LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?	15	$748	597	597	+0	Yes	+$147	09-09 12:18
LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	19	$679	1,076	1,076	+0	Yes	+$12	09-09 17:18
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	65	$606	3,033	3,033	+0	No	-$6	10-22 14:44
Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026?	16	$592	687	687	+0	Yes	+$15	10-13 12:16
laptop fdv above 1b one day after launch	21	$555	2,155	2,155	+0	No	-$45	09-09 11:56
Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 24?	9	$507	419	419	+0	No	+$22	10-20 20:29
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 20 and 22.5 million views on day 1?	31	$471	2,672	2,672	+0	No	-$100	10-11 16:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	46	$457	250	250	+0	Up	+$35	10-09 12:49
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	44	$455	2,290	1,290	+1,000	No	+$7	10-01 06:02
Will Trump say "Tax" 33+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	3	$444	650	0	+650	Yes	-$444	10-22 23:50
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 20 million views on day 1?	39	$439	503	503	+0	No	+$8	10-15 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	12	$424	350	350	+0	Up	+$56	10-18 05:08
Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by October 31, 2026?	8	$422	400	400	+0	Yes	+$186	09-30 19:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 22:30 UTC	15	$421	650	350	+300	Up	-$137	10-17 22:34
Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?	80	$418	2,268	2,268	+0	Yes	+$120	09-30 14:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 05:00:42	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x8f992a…
10-30 04:50:18	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26?	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x2f3387…
10-30 04:37:13	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x8d1221…
10-30 04:30:16	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26?	Yes	SELL	30	50¢	$15	0x2c4713…
10-30 04:28:54	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x5a5099…
10-30 04:15:15	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26?	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x990ded…
10-30 04:14:57	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26?	Yes	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0xe43c86…
10-30 04:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0xe7bebf…
10-30 04:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x56d0f9…
10-30 04:12:22	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26?	Yes	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0x3bab65…
10-30 04:09:33	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26?	Yes	BUY	150	20¢	$30	0xab3188…
10-30 04:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	30	88¢	$26	0x73f027…
10-30 04:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x347d9e…
10-30 04:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xa83d4f…
10-30 04:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x379cef…
10-30 04:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x0497ba…
10-30 04:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0xe71dde…
10-30 04:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3dd017…
10-30 04:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7e0442…
10-30 04:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	54	2¢	$1	0xf35b75…
10-30 04:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xa0e09b…
10-30 04:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0x3c9a62…
10-30 04:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xc0dd88…
10-30 03:54:36	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	No	SELL	879	45¢	$398	0x7f4b63…
10-30 01:50:03	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	No	BUY	129	52¢	$67	0xc27894…
10-30 00:57:46	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x9d3fcc…
10-30 00:41:37	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe52da0…
10-30 00:40:00	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xcba007…
10-30 00:39:54	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	No	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xf3c9e5…
10-30 00:28:25	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	No	BUY	176	55¢	$97	0x6959eb…
10-30 00:25:57	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x29c27a…
10-30 00:25:10	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x33c4c5…
10-30 00:24:52	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x62c2f1…
10-30 00:22:48	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xfa941f…
10-30 00:21:09	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x5bf497…
10-29 23:58:00	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xbeabba…
10-29 23:56:15	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	No	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xbdd9fa…
10-29 23:56:15	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x56ba7e…
10-29 23:54:13	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	No	BUY	440	50¢	$221	0x28e2a3…
10-29 23:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x9d513c…
10-29 23:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0x3ea0de…
10-29 23:51:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	6	24¢	$2	0xd1e69d…
10-29 23:51:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xe0ce42…
10-29 23:51:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	199	25¢	$50	0x571f3f…
10-29 23:50:49	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	200	26¢	$51	0x93d5da…
10-29 23:30:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	100	29¢	$29	0x45fdf5…
10-29 23:29:13	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xa93992…
10-29 23:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xdd1f56…
10-29 23:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x306e19…
10-29 23:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xa938f8…
10-29 23:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	48	6¢	$3	0x17f4d3…
10-29 23:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	18	17¢	$3	0x77170a…
10-29 23:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	99	17¢	$17	0xea5131…
10-29 23:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xe83efd…
10-29 23:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xe23ce8…
10-29 23:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xdd7fdb…
10-29 23:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0x3156f9…
10-29 23:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x0b3da1…
10-29 23:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x07054c…
10-29 23:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xedccb8…
10-29 23:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x82b815…
10-29 23:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x7ac944…
10-29 23:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x69275d…
10-29 23:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0xe4414a…
10-29 23:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	19	4¢	$1	0x9b2262…
10-29 23:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x7ba331…
10-29 23:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x70028c…
10-29 23:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x51264d…
10-29 23:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x27f96b…
10-29 23:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xe6c039…
10-29 23:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xe23156…
10-29 23:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x849048…
10-29 23:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0x5755a5…
10-29 23:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x2f713f…
10-29 23:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x2d6522…
10-29 23:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x03a646…
10-29 23:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	40	53¢	$21	0x2e5cb7…
10-29 23:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0x93beab…
10-29 23:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	25	75¢	$19	0x8e4857…
10-29 23:09:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	600	29¢	$172	0x402855…
10-29 23:03:52	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0xa77911…
10-29 23:03:43	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	112	30¢	$34	0xc0179b…
10-29 23:02:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	250	33¢	$83	0xbec2be…
10-29 23:02:31	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	37	31¢	$12	0x229768…
10-29 22:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xa284ca…
10-29 22:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2a497d…
10-29 22:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x08a0cc…
10-29 22:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xadf0af…
10-29 22:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	83¢	$8	0xcc52e4…
10-29 22:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x7d7270…
10-29 22:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x763f20…
10-29 22:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x3c28f4…
10-29 22:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x148f99…
10-29 22:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xea0b58…
10-29 22:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x6ebd2a…
10-29 22:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x415eec…
10-29 22:12:58	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	441	15¢	$68	0xcd5f56…
10-29 22:12:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	359	16¢	$58	0xcf51ba…
10-29 22:11:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	800	15¢	$121	0xa7cb80…
10-29 21:45:36	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	SELL	100	61¢	$61	0x9d855f…