Hilarious-Bayou — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$331

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 10-26 21:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

65% 36% +$40

Sports

22% 25% -$19

Politics

9% 0% -$30

Crypto

4% 60% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$33	1,375	0	+1,375	No	-$33	07-04 13:36
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	1	$24	98	0	+98	Yes	+$75	10-25 16:24
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	1	$22	110	0	+110	No	-$22	06-21 20:44
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	3	$20	29	29	+0	No	+$4	06-20 21:53
nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	1	$20	54	0	+54	Knicks	+$34	06-03 22:34
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	4	$20	27	27	+0	Yes	+$2	06-17 18:45
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	4	$17	59	59	+0	Yes	+$7	06-15 17:32
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?	3	$16	20	20	+0	Yes	+$4	06-15 20:48
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers	1	$14	200	0	+200	Thunder	-$14	05-04 11:09
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?	1	$10	33	0	+33	No	-$10	05-06 19:59
fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 btts	1	$10	21	0	+21	Yes	+$11	06-18 12:45
fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 btts	1	$10	16	0	+16	Yes	+$6	06-20 16:59
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?	1	$10	42	0	+42	No	-$10	05-04 11:08
fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 total 0pt5	1	$9	100	0	+100	Over	-$9	06-13 21:00
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?	2	$9	9	9	+0	Yes	+$3	06-15 23:48
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	1	$8	30	0	+30	No	-$8	05-04 11:46
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?	3	$8	19	19	+0	No	+$2	06-15 20:31
fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 team total away 0pt5	1	$7	19	0	+19	Under	-$7	06-21 00:17
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?	1	$7	43	0	+43	No	-$7	06-27 00:05
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$6	56	42	+14	No	-$1	10-26 21:26
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$5	16	0	+16	No	-$5	10-26 15:38
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 btts	1	$5	15	0	+15	No	-$5	06-15 10:07
Thunder vs. Lakers	1	$5	21	0	+21	Thunder	-$5	05-09 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-16 18:35
fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 btts	1	$3	7	0	+7	No	-$3	06-18 12:47
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 goals lamine yamal gte1	2	$3	5	5	+0	No	-$1	06-15 17:37
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?	1	$3	15	0	+15	No	-$3	06-20 16:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 18:20 UTC	1	$3	5	0	+5	Up	-$3	06-04 18:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	Down	+$0	06-04 18:13
fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 btts	1	$3	8	0	+8	No	-$3	06-19 19:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 21:26:14	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	42	7¢	$3	0x3122d1…
10-26 15:38:56	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xb91d88…
10-26 15:38:06	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	56	6¢	$4	0x656384…
10-25 16:24:02	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	98	24¢	$24	0x96ea01…
07-04 13:36:49	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	282	3¢	$9	0x57c97d…
06-30 11:06:46	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	343	3¢	$10	0x8b7e17…
06-27 00:05:49	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	43	16¢	$7	0x19aa10…
06-21 20:44:08	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	110	20¢	$22	0x8a24ad…
06-21 00:17:02	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	19	40¢	$7	0x6c00b0…
06-20 21:53:56	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0x8d01c7…
06-20 21:19:22	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	21	29¢	$6	0xc439ed…
06-20 20:39:26	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	29	28¢	$8	0x003d99…
06-20 16:59:44	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x36df50…
06-20 16:59:32	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 btts	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xa04660…
06-19 19:51:34	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 btts	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xcb9c50…
06-18 22:01:05	Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	18	15¢	$3	0xbcdb02…
06-18 20:20:58	Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x98d9c8…
06-18 12:47:40	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0x89f7ea…
06-18 12:47:02	Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 Korea Republic?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x1d18b7…
06-18 12:45:58	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x76559c…
06-17 21:27:23	Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xd53aee…
06-17 18:45:59	Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	9	57¢	$5	0x650a17…
06-17 18:37:32	Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x178d50…
06-17 18:21:19	Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	18	32¢	$6	0x4e4047…
06-17 18:11:47	Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xbf73dc…
06-15 23:48:49	Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	9	65¢	$6	0xc36e97…
06-15 22:49:18	Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xbe36b0…
06-15 20:48:42	Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0x3c780e…
06-15 20:33:13	Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	16	45¢	$7	0x1c9e97…
06-15 20:31:30	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	SELL	11	14¢	$2	0x415e77…
06-15 20:14:49	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0x2b16e4…
06-15 19:35:57	Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x3a99d5…
06-15 17:37:24	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 goals lamine yamal gte1	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xee6ebe…
06-15 17:32:49	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 goals lamine yamal gte1	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x9e49c7…
06-15 17:32:06	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	12	34¢	$4	0xc0a2c4…
06-15 16:57:03	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x1a8a65…
06-15 16:55:18	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	47	17¢	$8	0x67069b…
06-15 10:07:10	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 btts	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x6c35e5…
06-15 10:03:31	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x8d1498…
06-15 10:03:19	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	47	6¢	$3	0x7335d3…
06-13 21:00:57	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x54f628…
06-09 22:12:06	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	750	2¢	$15	0x088ad7…
06-04 18:20:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 18:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x4cf953…
06-04 18:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x816c24…
06-03 22:34:04	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Knicks	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x382538…
05-16 18:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x50cd82…
05-16 18:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf6e076…
05-16 18:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x42495a…
05-16 18:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xb69908…
05-09 21:59:14	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xb29162…
05-06 19:59:00	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x56559d…
05-04 11:46:30	Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0x55a136…
05-04 11:09:12	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x8d5406…
05-04 11:08:28	Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xed6afb…