Piercing-Fishbone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.1%

Resolved

Trades

296

lifetime

Volume

$455

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 06-10 10:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 54% $-6

Other

2% 100% +$0

Politics

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776678600	2	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	04-20 09:55
ethereum up or down on april 20 2026	6	$19	33	21	+12	open	—	04-20 18:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$15	9	9	+0	open	—	04-29 10:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	11	$15	15	13	+2	open	—	05-18 09:06
btc updown 5m 1776938400	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	04-23 10:03
btc updown 5m 1776681900	3	$12	112	12	+101	open	—	04-20 10:49
btc updown 5m 1776680700	2	$11	9	9	+0	open	—	04-20 10:27
btc updown 5m 1776679500	1	$10	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	04-20 10:09
btc updown 5m 1776677700	1	$10	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	04-20 09:39
eth updown 4h 1776744000	7	$8	18	7	+11	open	—	04-21 07:29
btc updown 5m 1776940500	1	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 10:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	6	$6	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 07:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	4	$6	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 14:40
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 6AM ET	4	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-29 10:21
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	3	$6	21	3	+19	open	—	05-15 13:50
btc updown 5m 1776682200	2	$6	503	0	+503	open	—	04-20 10:56
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	4	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-23 09:56
btc updown 5m 1776678300	2	$6	8	8	+1	open	—	04-20 09:49
btc updown 5m 1776680100	5	$6	16	5	+11	open	—	04-20 10:19
ethereum up or down april 23 2026 5am et	5	$5	8	3	+5	open	—	04-23 09:44
btc updown 5m 1776683100	1	$5	250	0	+250	open	—	04-20 11:08
btc updown 5m 1776938700	1	$5	63	0	+63	open	—	04-23 10:06
btc updown 5m 1776941400	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	04-23 10:52
btc updown 5m 1776941100	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-23 10:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	5	$5	5	3	+2	Down	$-1	05-05 11:22
btc updown 5m 1776939900	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-23 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	4	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	05-28 03:02
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-24 17:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	04-29 10:06
sol updown 4h 1776830400	4	$4	177	1	+176	open	—	04-22 07:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 10:17:40	btc updown 4h 1781078400	Down	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x6881e6…
06-10 09:47:31	btc updown 4h 1781078400	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xb0ac5e…
06-07 12:23:21	btc updown 4h 1780833600	Down	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xe88800…
06-07 12:13:27	btc updown 4h 1780833600	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xbd400c…
06-06 17:14:07	eth updown 4h 1780761600	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xbded02…
06-06 17:06:36	eth updown 4h 1780761600	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x41cc35…
06-04 20:28:21	btc updown 4h 1780603200	Down	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x772ece…
06-04 20:21:13	btc updown 4h 1780603200	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x4b738a…
06-03 14:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x4e2e32…
06-03 13:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x4eb20f…
05-31 20:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xe4541c…
05-31 20:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x1b789a…
05-29 17:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xf4b5c7…
05-28 07:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$1	0x3b1dcf…
05-28 07:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x109b27…
05-28 03:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x7ed979…
05-28 02:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x0da28c…
05-28 02:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x6c4a13…
05-28 02:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x9b12e7…
05-26 18:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xa401b4…
05-26 17:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xe6c4a2…
05-24 18:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x45e663…
05-24 16:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x79f6d9…
05-21 11:31:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x150e8f…
05-21 11:25:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x554f21…
05-21 11:23:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	37	1¢	$0	0xc4b1b8…
05-21 11:19:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xf353e8…
05-20 15:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x843fc0…
05-20 13:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x110239…
05-20 13:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x6e5650…
05-18 19:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x45e544…
05-18 19:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x567d9c…
05-18 19:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x7e2e85…
05-18 12:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xebdb11…
05-18 12:56:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc96cf7…
05-18 09:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xafe97a…
05-18 09:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x4d6313…
05-18 09:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf0eaed…
05-18 08:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xb236dc…
05-18 08:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x66637e…
05-18 08:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x174e1e…
05-18 08:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9a261a…
05-18 08:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x69080a…
05-18 08:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x618567…
05-18 08:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0xde7966…
05-18 08:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x43ddea…
05-18 08:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x7bd0da…
05-18 08:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x173add…
05-16 08:48:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x42f395…
05-16 08:33:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9eedf8…
05-16 08:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x40d33f…
05-16 08:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x50be0f…
05-16 07:50:53	Ethereum Up or Down on May 16?	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc9bee0…
05-16 07:27:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x6819be…
05-16 06:53:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x39d01f…
05-15 13:50:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0x7321c1…
05-15 13:32:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x57c2c7…
05-15 13:16:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xdef6ba…
05-14 08:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x7f50ea…
05-14 08:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xb226bf…
05-14 08:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0xd2f000…
05-14 08:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xa038ca…
05-14 07:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$1	0x0231a0…
05-14 07:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe6f9ae…
05-14 05:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x2f87d3…
05-14 04:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xabe50d…
05-14 04:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x10dca2…
05-11 15:59:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xc0f7fe…
05-11 14:18:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x561925…
05-11 07:29:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xa5ef9b…
05-11 06:01:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x7073fc…
05-11 05:51:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xa65a4f…
05-11 05:05:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa878f5…
05-11 05:00:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x51d60b…
05-11 04:02:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x77a683…
05-11 02:59:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	88	2¢	$2	0x039c19…
05-10 08:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xe628c9…
05-10 08:54:15	Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants	Chennai Super Kings	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xd2f1ba…
05-10 07:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x4d7079…
05-10 07:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x166f5e…
05-10 06:40:54	Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants	Chennai Super Kings	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x4a3b07…
05-09 19:34:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x205296…
05-09 18:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x38b9bc…
05-09 18:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x414f65…
05-09 18:12:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe8e907…
05-08 17:31:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x10f5b0…
05-08 17:21:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x23e936…
05-08 17:21:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x15d07b…
05-06 15:25:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa3207d…
05-06 15:18:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x156645…
05-06 06:48:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xd434fe…
05-06 06:43:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x182ff3…
05-05 14:40:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x23175f…
05-05 12:10:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0xbc8984…
05-05 12:03:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x320562…
05-05 12:01:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x85759a…
05-05 11:22:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x0a7417…
05-05 09:55:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x164b26…
05-05 08:40:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd032a2…
05-05 08:38:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xdba33a…