Piercing-Fishbone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$101

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.0%

Resolved

221

Trades

458

lifetime

Volume

$684

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 10-21 15:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 79 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 53% -$98

Other

3% 22% -$2

Politics

1% 0% $0

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Sports

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 09:50 UTC	2	$24	14	14	+0	Down	+$4	04-20 09:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4AM ET	7	$22	25	15	+10	Down	-$2	10-13 08:44
ethereum up or down on april 20 2026	6	$19	33	21	+12	Down	-$5	04-20 18:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$15	9	9	+0	Down	+$1	04-29 10:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	11	$15	15	13	+2	Up	+$2	05-18 09:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 10:00 UTC	2	$14	10	10	+0	Down	+$4	04-23 10:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1PM ET	11	$13	18	14	+4	Down	-$1	10-19 17:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 10:45 UTC	3	$12	112	12	+101	Down	+$1	04-20 10:49
Ethereum Up or Down on October 21?	9	$12	13	11	+2	Up	$0	10-21 07:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 10:25 UTC	2	$11	9	9	+0	Up	+$1	04-20 10:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 09:35 UTC	1	$10	10,000	0	+10,000	Up	-$10	04-20 09:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 10:05 UTC	1	$10	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	-$10	04-20 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 5AM ET	8	$10	9	9	+0	Up	+$2	10-13 09:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12PM ET	6	$9	13	13	+0	Up	+$1	10-19 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5PM ET	6	$8	7	7	+0	Down	$0	10-11 21:15
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-21 04:00 UTC	7	$8	18	7	+11	Up	$0	04-21 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	10-11 19:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$7	10	0	+10	Down	-$7	10-11 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$7	10	0	+10	Down	+$3	10-11 17:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 10:35 UTC	1	$7	10	0	+10	Up	+$3	04-23 10:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	6	$6	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 07:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	4	$6	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 14:40
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-25 08:00 UTC	2	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	06-25 10:11
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 6AM ET	4	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	04-29 10:21
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	3	$6	21	3	+19	Down	-$2	05-15 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	10-11 19:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 10:50 UTC	2	$6	503	0	+503	Down	-$6	04-20 10:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 6AM ET	7	$6	11	8	+2	Down	-$2	10-13 10:23
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	4	$6	4	4	+0	Yes	$0	04-23 09:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 09:45 UTC	2	$6	8	8	+1	Down	+$4	04-20 09:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 15:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x1ca6b1…
10-21 07:12:24	Ethereum Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x738e4e…
10-21 07:01:03	Ethereum Up or Down on October 21?	Up	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x150fef…
10-21 06:05:32	Ethereum Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa4585b…
10-21 06:03:08	Ethereum Up or Down on October 21?	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x915ada…
10-21 01:30:06	Ethereum Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x607304…
10-21 01:29:30	Ethereum Up or Down on October 21?	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x155657…
10-21 01:18:35	Ethereum Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x9da4d0…
10-21 01:16:42	Ethereum Up or Down on October 21?	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xc61c66…
10-20 21:47:39	Ethereum Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x2a2cdd…
10-20 21:45:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5PM ET	Down	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x165867…
10-20 21:16:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x172f23…
10-20 04:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2ce12d…
10-20 04:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xb81067…
10-19 17:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xfb4df8…
10-19 17:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xae8e6e…
10-19 17:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x0f5f57…
10-19 17:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x60d8a7…
10-19 17:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x14124c…
10-19 17:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x9d520b…
10-19 17:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x5b75dc…
10-19 17:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x262a82…
10-19 17:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x15431e…
10-19 17:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xda2bf5…
10-19 17:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x3f3f8f…
10-19 17:00:59	Will South Australia win?	No	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0x1f7669…
10-19 17:00:48	Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $4M before 2027?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xed18d4…
10-19 17:00:38	Zimbabwe Women Tour of India T20s: India Women vs Zimbabwe Women	India Women	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x88467e…
10-19 16:59:42	Zimbabwe Women Tour of India T20s: India Women vs Zimbabwe Women	India Women	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfbad92…
10-19 16:59:17	Will South Australia win?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf5eea3…
10-19 16:57:41	Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $4M before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9d5dae…
10-19 16:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	7	37¢	$3	0x27159f…
10-19 16:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x8a6d44…
10-19 16:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x2e53d3…
10-19 16:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x545bcf…
10-19 16:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0xafdf8e…
10-19 16:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x9907fd…
10-13 10:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x1dfe77…
10-13 10:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0xb72fb4…
10-13 10:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc27414…
10-13 10:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0xe32d12…
10-13 10:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x518a26…
10-13 10:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0xcea763…
10-13 10:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4ae466…
10-13 09:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	4	68¢	$3	0x65dde2…
10-13 09:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf7475d…
10-13 09:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x7ac2ab…
10-13 09:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd9dd47…
10-13 09:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x9717c5…
10-13 09:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xa0f0de…
10-13 09:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 5AM ET	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x0394fc…
10-13 09:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x19cd98…
10-13 09:09:53	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x5dd2c3…
10-13 09:03:55	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xaa923e…
10-13 08:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xd5ae4f…
10-13 08:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0xa2640c…
10-13 08:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x2bc775…
10-13 08:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	7	54¢	$4	0x49f02d…
10-13 08:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xfbc496…
10-13 08:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0xb06910…
10-13 08:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xd5439d…
10-12 03:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0xf64ed9…
10-12 03:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x5e795d…
10-12 03:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x0aaea2…
10-12 02:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1f9000…
10-12 02:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x20acd0…
10-12 02:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa62787…
10-11 21:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xd786b3…
10-11 21:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6db112…
10-11 21:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x95dcf4…
10-11 21:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x330f99…
10-11 21:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x63f13e…
10-11 21:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x09e10e…
10-11 21:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe0e8a8…
10-11 21:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x83f7cc…
10-11 21:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5PM ET	Down	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xa9c3d9…
10-11 21:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x4784c9…
10-11 21:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x7026e9…
10-11 21:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x6ae9e4…
10-11 21:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5PM ET	Down	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x93ccae…
10-11 21:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x11f634…
10-11 21:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x6d9399…
10-11 20:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x76c538…
10-11 20:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xcad6aa…
10-11 20:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x6e87a6…
10-11 20:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xdca485…
10-11 19:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xba4c02…
10-11 19:18:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x3a4ef4…
10-11 19:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x31535a…
10-11 19:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x9b803e…
10-11 19:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$4	0x798f1d…
10-11 19:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x54e23f…
10-11 18:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf5b03e…
10-11 18:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xa3bed2…
10-11 18:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x5eb1f5…
10-11 18:25:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x6b875d…
10-11 18:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xbdffb8…
10-11 18:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdaed38…
10-11 18:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x11d068…
10-11 18:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6c38f0…