Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$78

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

80.0%

Resolved

Trades

270

lifetime

Volume

$10.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-15

last 09-10 22:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Other

56% 54% +$189

Politics

23% 50% -$297

Tech

18% 78% +$190

Sports

3% 50% +$23

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$12

Crypto

0% 0% -$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		-200	-$6	2¢	$-3	+$3	09-10 22:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nothing ever happens february 452	5	$761	404	404	+0	Something	+$47	02-06 00:50
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	8	$699	360	360	+0	Yes	+$17	01-24 10:38
another us government shutdown by february 14	6	$607	520	520	+0	No	+$125	02-13 07:01
will the government shutdown last 30 days or more 558 354 297 785 675	2	$588	320	320	+0	No	+$51	02-03 05:59
will the government shutdown last 30 days or more 321 977 231 512 671 595	5	$557	300	300	+0	No	+$37	02-14 17:28
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	3	$463	300	300	+0	Yes	+$91	01-30 21:42
will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	7	$405	250	250	+0	No	+$59	02-11 07:09
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more	7	$338	300	300	+0	No	-$11	02-14 17:33
will the government shutdown last 3 days or more 472 292 194 673	5	$325	190	190	+0	No	+$48	02-14 17:01
will trump say maga or make america great again during the 2026 state of the union address 742	2	$308	208	208	+0	No	+$8	02-19 19:34
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 75m and 100m views in its first 7 days	5	$277	175	175	+0	Yes	+$49	02-15 05:05
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$273	300	0	+300	Yes	+$27	03-16 07:38
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	10	$228	280	0	+280	Yes	+$52	02-06 18:46
will there be at least 500 measles cases in the us by january 31 2026 onf	2	$224	129	129	+0	Yes	+$24	01-24 00:30
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$222	300	0	+300	Yes	+$78	02-19 19:41
us x iran meeting by february 13 2026	3	$213	221	121	+100	Yes	-$155	02-06 18:22
will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 14	2	$193	100	100	+0	Yes	+$7	02-14 21:29
will davos be said during the next episode of the all in podcast	2	$189	100	100	+0	Yes	+$9	02-01 02:21
will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	2	$177	100	100	+0	Yes	-$3	02-19 19:30
will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 343 693 775 861 153	2	$161	100	100	+0	No	+$37	02-03 15:47
will israel strike gaza on january 17 2026	2	$159	100	100	+0	No	+$39	01-17 21:21
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more 842	2	$152	210	0	+210	Yes	+$58	01-29 19:53
will the us next strike iran on january 18 2026 et 229	4	$139	71	71	+0	No	+$2	01-18 19:48
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	3	$136	200	0	+200	Yes	-$136	03-13 00:26
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 40 64	3	$133	150	0	+150	No	+$17	02-15 16:55
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	3	$133	125	60	+65	No	+$30	02-03 15:03
will epstein data set 13 be released by february 28	7	$129	74	74	+0	No	+$13	02-17 19:01
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$128	136	136	+0	Yes	+$57	01-24 23:42
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	7	$120	80	80	+0	Yes	+$21	02-19 17:28
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	2	$106	100	100	+0	Yes	-$4	02-19 19:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-10 22:04:31	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0x76441b…
04-09 09:55:09	bitcoin up or down on april 9 2026	Down	BUY	22	40¢	$9	0x47c35f…
04-09 09:17:41	bitcoin up or down on april 9 2026	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x291282…
03-16 07:38:23	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	300	91¢	$273	0xf26176…
03-13 00:26:51	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	172	68¢	$117	0x503cec…
03-13 00:22:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0xcbf983…
03-13 00:14:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x71d77e…
03-08 18:05:47	will the dhs shutdown last 60 days or more 988 872 151 791 415 422	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x308902…
03-08 16:15:47	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Something	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x3106c4…
02-20 22:31:50	will donald trump say iran on truth social this week	Yes	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0x2185ef…
02-20 03:23:08	will donald trump say iran on truth social this week	Yes	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x42658f…
02-19 21:25:40	will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x90d014…
02-19 19:41:02	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x5567b8…
02-19 19:37:52	will chris coons vote yea on the department of homeland security appropriations act 2026	No	SELL	30	24¢	$7	0x5be50d…
02-19 19:36:42	will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by february 28	Yes	SELL	97	21¢	$20	0x003ba9…
02-19 19:34:42	will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by february 28	Yes	SELL	43	52¢	$22	0xde40c0…
02-19 19:34:12	will trump say maga or make america great again during the 2026 state of the union address 742	Yes	SELL	208	76¢	$158	0x6291e8…
02-19 19:30:44	gpt 5pt3 released by february 28 394 385	No	SELL	21	35¢	$7	0x4d1a6d…
02-19 19:30:32	will there be between 14 and 17 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	Yes	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0xbd9b6c…
02-19 19:30:14	will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	No	SELL	100	87¢	$87	0x16207f…
02-19 19:30:06	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	No	SELL	100	51¢	$51	0xb64187…
02-19 19:29:52	odds us strikes iran by feb 28 over 20 on friday 575	Yes	SELL	50	59¢	$30	0xba266a…
02-19 19:29:42	the bondi parlay feb 27	Yes	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x8c979d…
02-19 19:29:32	will the 2026 state of the union address be between 80 and 90 minutes long	Yes	SELL	100	19¢	$19	0xbc9cb7…
02-19 19:29:22	Prince Andrew released by February 19?	No	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x0f89e7…
02-19 19:21:28	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xdc27f6…
02-19 19:17:42	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 19	Yes	SELL	95	3¢	$3	0x90a930…
02-19 19:17:14	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 19	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x573a4a…
02-19 18:24:58	gpt 5pt3 released by february 28 394 385	No	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x6c0233…
02-19 18:24:56	gpt 5pt3 released by february 28 394 385	No	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x080476…
02-19 18:24:20	gpt 5pt3 released by february 28 394 385	No	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xb2da80…
02-19 18:24:20	gpt 5pt3 released by february 28 394 385	No	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xa3196f…
02-19 18:24:20	gpt 5pt3 released by february 28 394 385	No	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0x33a17c…
02-19 18:24:20	gpt 5pt3 released by february 28 394 385	No	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x044fad…
02-19 18:17:12	gpt 5pt3 released by february 28 394 385	No	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xe56a48…
02-19 18:17:12	gpt 5pt3 released by february 28 394 385	No	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xe1e4d9…
02-19 18:17:12	gpt 5pt3 released by february 28 394 385	No	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x3d7d60…
02-19 17:47:28	odds us strikes iran by feb 28 over 20 on friday 575	Yes	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0x015068…
02-19 17:46:42	odds us strikes iran by feb 28 over 20 on friday 575	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x8b4e7c…
02-19 17:36:00	odds us strikes iran by feb 28 over 20 on friday 575	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xd96f2e…
02-19 17:28:32	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	80	88¢	$71	0x323fd9…
02-19 17:20:00	gpt 5pt3 released by february 20 2026	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x5897b4…
02-19 17:17:08	prince andrew charged by march 31	Yes	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0x448609…
02-19 17:12:56	Prince Andrew released by February 19?	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x92e095…
02-19 02:05:36	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	4	61¢	$3	0x59e585…
02-19 02:05:30	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	42	61¢	$26	0x960c2f…
02-19 01:09:24	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0xabbc01…
02-19 00:53:00	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	1	61¢	$1	0x893d41…
02-19 00:50:26	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x9463d9…
02-19 00:50:18	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0xb0629b…
02-19 00:50:00	will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xb68ec3…
02-19 00:49:08	will there be between 14 and 17 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x5525a9…
02-19 00:32:50	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x98f0f1…
02-18 23:54:48	donald trump of truth social posts february 13 february 20 120 139	Yes	SELL	111	35¢	$39	0x281b37…
02-18 22:23:06	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 280 299	Yes	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0x6cf7cf…
02-17 23:00:47	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0x3a7f74…
02-17 22:57:53	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xd8c976…
02-17 22:56:39	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0x5840c5…
02-17 22:52:41	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xc51881…
02-17 22:51:33	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x265a0f…
02-17 22:47:37	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xe20e4e…
02-17 22:46:31	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x123fd0…
02-17 22:46:29	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x7227fb…
02-17 22:45:31	elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 115 139	Yes	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0xb7c64a…
02-17 22:44:47	elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 65 89	Yes	SELL	22	2¢	$0	0x7c7be2…
02-17 22:41:13	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0x4bb136…
02-17 22:41:13	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0x13fa86…
02-17 22:13:17	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x9b3888…
02-17 22:07:25	donald trump of truth social posts february 13 february 20 120 139	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x1a62d4…
02-17 21:01:43	donald trump of truth social posts february 13 february 20 120 139	Yes	BUY	45	30¢	$14	0x6a62be…
02-17 20:51:39	will the 2026 state of the union address be between 80 and 90 minutes long	Yes	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x385b97…
02-17 20:51:15	will the 2026 state of the union address be between 80 and 90 minutes long	Yes	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x080f16…
02-17 20:50:49	will the 2026 state of the union address be between 80 and 90 minutes long	Yes	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0xa8ea24…
02-17 20:50:23	will the 2026 state of the union address be between 80 and 90 minutes long	Yes	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x58a9cc…
02-17 20:38:17	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0x7e0719…
02-17 20:34:01	donald trump of truth social posts february 13 february 20 120 139	Yes	BUY	22	35¢	$8	0xbbb97a…
02-17 20:33:55	donald trump of truth social posts february 13 february 20 120 139	Yes	BUY	34	35¢	$12	0xa520b8…
02-17 20:31:53	donald trump of truth social posts february 13 february 20 120 139	Yes	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0xa07a31…
02-17 19:43:43	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 280 299	Yes	BUY	21	20¢	$4	0xd18561…
02-17 19:43:13	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 280 299	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x17bb04…
02-17 19:42:07	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 280 299	Yes	BUY	19	20¢	$4	0x772adf…
02-17 19:24:27	elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 90 114	Yes	BUY	51	53¢	$27	0x05279d…
02-17 19:24:23	elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 65 89	Yes	BUY	22	28¢	$6	0xb793f0…
02-17 19:10:53	will the dhs shutdown last 30 days or more 945 663	No	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x6f568d…
02-17 19:01:35	will epstein data set 13 be released by february 28	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x31f173…
02-17 18:53:07	will epstein data set 13 be released by february 28	No	SELL	74	95¢	$70	0x683005…
02-17 09:23:19	elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 40 64	Yes	SELL	108	30¢	$32	0x026d1f…
02-17 08:31:31	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 18	Yes	SELL	13	85¢	$11	0xbd79e5…
02-17 00:47:03	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 17	Yes	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x2dcff1…
02-16 18:27:05	elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 40 64	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe71b41…
02-16 18:27:03	elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 40 64	Yes	BUY	49	22¢	$11	0xb1da14…
02-16 18:25:43	elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 40 64	Yes	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0xc0e3a4…
02-16 18:25:35	elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 40 64	Yes	BUY	36	21¢	$7	0xc43ef4…
02-16 17:07:59	the bondi parlay feb 27	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x0757e7…
02-16 16:55:35	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 240 259	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x0f01fa…
02-15 22:56:35	will epstein data set 13 be released by february 28	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x079c3b…
02-15 22:56:33	will epstein data set 13 be released by february 28	No	BUY	27	78¢	$21	0x55a6c4…
02-15 22:56:29	will epstein data set 13 be released by february 28	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x27aee6…
02-15 22:56:27	will epstein data set 13 be released by february 28	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xf615c6…
02-15 21:09:57	the bondi parlay feb 20	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x1a775f…