Unwilling-Appetizer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$148

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

49.4%

Resolved

1,241

Trades

1,386

lifetime

Volume

$2.94K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 11-01 11:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 158 days

Categories

Other

64% 48% -$192

Sports

35% 52% +$43

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Raptors vs. Lakers	Raptors	—	+10	$4	42¢	$4	+$1	10-31 03:03
Celtics vs. Magic	Magic	—	+11	$3	30¢	$3	+$0	10-30 22:57
Clippers vs. Warriors	Warriors		+5	$3	54¢	$3	$0	10-31 19:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev	1	$97	405	0	+405	Alexander Zverev	-$97	06-02 07:26
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	1	$29	66	0	+66	Under	-$29	05-29 20:20
Blue Jackets vs. Blues	2	$13	24	0	+24	Blues	+$11	10-10 13:55
atp grieksp bublik 2026 02 25	1	$10	29	0	+29	Griekspoor	-$10	02-25 15:45
atp moeller coppeja 2026 03 16	2	$9	7	7	+0	Kimmer Coppejans	+$4	03-17 20:47
atp jong hassan 2026 03 16	2	$8	5	5	+0	Jesper de Jong	+$1	03-17 14:40
Wizards vs. Magic	1	$7	11	0	+11	open	—	11-01 00:30
Islanders vs. Stars	2	$7	11	0	+11	Stars	+$4	10-24 15:12
76ers vs. Knicks	1	$7	11	0	+11	76ers	-$7	10-18 23:00
Knicks vs. 76ers	1	$7	13	0	+13	76ers	-$7	10-28 23:30
Hawks vs. Hornets	1	$7	13	0	+13	Hawks	-$7	10-21 23:00
Hornets vs. Nets	1	$7	15	0	+15	Hornets	+$8	10-19 23:30
Sharks vs. Blues	1	$7	13	0	+13	Sharks	-$7	10-07 00:00
Grizzlies vs. Jazz	1	$7	15	0	+15	Grizzlies	+$8	10-25 01:00
Wizards vs. Cavaliers	1	$7	9	0	+9	Cavaliers	+$2	10-26 23:00
Blackhawks vs. Bruins	1	$7	10	0	+10	Bruins	+$3	10-29 17:00
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	1	$7	14	0	+14	Cavaliers	+$7	10-24 23:00
Wizards vs. Hornets	1	$7	14	0	+14	Hornets	+$7	10-24 23:00
Blues vs. Red Wings	2	$7	14	0	+14	Blues	+$7	10-30 02:30
Hurricanes vs. Blackhawks	1	$7	10	0	+10	Hurricanes	+$3	10-08 23:00
Penguins vs. Canadiens	1	$7	16	0	+16	Canadiens	-$7	10-29 23:00
Islanders vs. Rangers	1	$7	13	0	+13	Rangers	+$6	10-04 23:30
Canadiens vs. Blues	1	$7	13	0	+13	Canadiens	-$7	10-26 00:00
Blues vs. Blackhawks	1	$7	13	0	+13	Blackhawks	-$7	10-05 00:00
Sabres vs. Sharks	1	$7	13	0	+13	Sabres	+$6	10-26 02:30
Canucks vs. Devils	1	$7	11	0	+11	Devils	+$4	10-08 19:30
Sharks vs. Bruins	1	$7	12	0	+12	Bruins	+$5	10-22 23:00
Lakers vs. Jazz	1	$7	12	0	+12	Lakers	+$5	10-23 21:00
Hawks vs. Rockets	1	$7	11	0	+11	Rockets	+$4	10-25 00:30
Canadiens vs. Stars	1	$7	12	0	+12	Canadiens	-$7	10-28 00:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 15:11:30	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 9°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x5921f2…
11-01 15:11:28	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on November 1?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x746a7c…
11-01 11:11:18	Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 60-61°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x7ad0cc…
11-01 11:11:18	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x025cfe…
11-01 11:11:16	Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 62-63°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x3c8257…
11-01 10:10:58	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xfd708f…
11-01 10:10:58	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa01fcc…
11-01 09:55:37	Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 70-71°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xfa27bf…
11-01 09:11:54	Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd6223c…
11-01 09:10:55	Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 52-53°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xbd7d40…
11-01 09:10:55	Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 64-65°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x4b1738…
11-01 09:10:55	Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x0dfa14…
11-01 08:33:42	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd20943…
11-01 08:10:55	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on November 1?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x9aee23…
11-01 06:00:34	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x46213b…
11-01 05:11:45	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x434bbd…
11-01 03:08:31	Nets vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x29e402…
11-01 03:01:34	Celtics vs. Rockets	Celtics	BUY	9	39¢	$3	0xd68db5…
11-01 03:00:13	Heat vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	14	47¢	$6	0x6c8cba…
11-01 02:57:10	Bulls vs. 76ers	Bulls	BUY	18	19¢	$3	0x5647e0…
11-01 02:36:36	Kings vs. Mavericks	Kings	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xbf5227…
11-01 02:11:07	Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x912797…
11-01 02:00:28	Flames vs. Sharks	Flames	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x305843…
11-01 01:31:58	Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 19°C or below on November 1?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf51a17…
11-01 00:30:24	Wizards vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x74de15…
11-01 00:11:21	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf17d69…
11-01 00:11:21	Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 5°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x856689…
11-01 00:08:25	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 4°C or below on November 1?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x849aa0…
10-31 23:49:48	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 8°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x82ca92…
10-31 23:10:46	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 6°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb8e357…
10-31 21:07:57	Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 8°C on November 1?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x173aeb…
10-31 19:45:07	Clippers vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xa94cb1…
10-31 19:10:49	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on November 1?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xab3466…
10-31 19:10:49	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x6953bb…
10-31 19:10:48	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 9°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x3272ea…
10-31 15:48:52	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa9b061…
10-31 15:11:31	Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 34-35°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xeef31d…
10-31 15:11:31	Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 36-37°F on October 31?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x109506…
10-31 13:53:57	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on October 31?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xa082ac…
10-31 13:11:15	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xaf94af…
10-31 13:11:15	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7eb14d…
10-31 12:33:06	Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 44-45°F on October 31?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb80785…
10-31 11:10:54	Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xb47093…
10-31 09:11:01	Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 38-39°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x41c8ea…
10-31 08:11:04	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on October 31?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xe429c5…
10-31 08:11:04	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x3d878c…
10-31 07:11:15	Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 70-71°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xbfba9f…
10-31 05:11:06	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 5°C or below on October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf898ff…
10-31 04:01:58	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x23a237…
10-31 03:03:01	Raptors vs. Lakers	Raptors	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xd8e97a…
10-31 02:18:13	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 17°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa25d07…
10-31 01:10:55	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on October 31?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf91706…
10-31 00:10:21	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xbb48bc…
10-31 00:10:21	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 31?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb96f56…
10-30 23:10:45	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on October 31?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x97ffe3…
10-30 22:57:55	Celtics vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	11	29¢	$3	0x879b8a…
10-30 22:46:42	Bulls vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x16a4ac…
10-30 20:49:07	Blue Jackets vs. Stars	Stars	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xd32a00…
10-30 19:10:46	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 9°C on October 31?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xf03229…
10-30 19:10:46	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 7°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x0fec3d…
10-30 18:40:40	Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 21°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xeae749…
10-30 18:11:24	Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xcd9568…
10-30 17:11:34	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 8°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xdb0e0c…
10-30 16:59:37	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xf4145a…
10-30 16:11:42	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on October 31?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xb41ad7…
10-30 16:11:42	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x4241a1…
10-30 16:11:42	Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 36-37°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x0925c2…
10-30 15:11:31	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 31?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x63f08f…
10-30 14:10:40	Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 42-43°F on October 30?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xef04a3…
10-30 13:34:52	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on October 30?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xdc96b8…
10-30 13:11:49	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xeeaac7…
10-30 13:11:49	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x7c18dc…
10-30 11:11:12	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on October 31?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x2e4258…
10-30 11:11:12	Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 68-69°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x1a365d…
10-30 10:11:16	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xf27acf…
10-30 09:35:39	Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe7fcd9…
10-30 09:27:36	Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 1°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xccc36e…
10-30 08:16:16	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd236dc…
10-30 08:11:06	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x8c8e05…
10-30 07:21:27	Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x96e9a9…
10-30 07:20:22	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x208dc6…
10-30 07:11:07	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe4baaf…
10-30 06:04:22	Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 66-67°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x868ec0…
10-30 05:29:46	Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xcedde1…
10-30 05:29:45	Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x059806…
10-30 04:59:48	Flames vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	9	73¢	$7	0x2db6c7…
10-30 04:11:09	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xe698bd…
10-30 04:11:09	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 30?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe0d9a4…
10-30 02:39:39	Maple Leafs vs. Canucks	Maple Leafs	BUY	11	58¢	$7	0xc9a784…
10-30 02:39:06	Pistons vs. Nets	Nets	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0xcc87e1…
10-30 02:30:42	Blues vs. Red Wings	Blues	BUY	9	49¢	$5	0x2fe7ff…
10-30 02:20:36	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x16d462…
10-30 02:18:16	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 16°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2551a4…
10-30 02:11:43	Pistons vs. Nets	Nets	BUY	13	27¢	$4	0x3893e5…
10-30 01:40:24	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x4507fd…
10-30 01:11:21	Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 8°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xe4b72d…
10-30 00:37:37	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 30?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x32b019…
10-30 00:36:10	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x465d89…
10-30 00:10:39	Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xce4071…
10-29 23:00:16	Penguins vs. Canadiens	Penguins	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0xee7a4d…