Unwilling-Appetizer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$146

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

49.2%

Resolved

1,215

Trades

1,353

lifetime

Volume

$2.88K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$32

6 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 10-31 15:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 157 days

Categories

Other

65% 49% -$184

Sports

35% 52% +$36

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Penguins vs. Canadiens	Penguins	—	+16	$7	46¢	$8	+$1	10-29 23:00
Maple Leafs vs. Canucks	Maple Leafs	—	+11	$7	64¢	$7	+$1	10-30 02:39
76ers vs. Hornets	Hornets		+13	$6	48¢	$6	+$0	10-29 22:00
Blackhawks vs. Bruins	Bruins		+10	$7	48¢	$5	-$2	10-29 17:00
Blues vs. Red Wings	Blues	—	+14	$7	30¢	$4	-$3	10-30 02:30
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves		+10	$2	16¢	$2	$0	10-30 02:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev	1	$97	405	0	+405	Alexander Zverev	-$97	06-02 07:26
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	1	$29	66	0	+66	Under	-$29	05-29 20:20
Blue Jackets vs. Blues	2	$13	24	0	+24	Blues	+$11	10-10 13:55
atp grieksp bublik 2026 02 25	1	$10	29	0	+29	Griekspoor	-$10	02-25 15:45
atp moeller coppeja 2026 03 16	2	$9	7	7	+0	Kimmer Coppejans	+$4	03-17 20:47
atp jong hassan 2026 03 16	2	$8	5	5	+0	Jesper de Jong	+$1	03-17 14:40
Islanders vs. Stars	2	$7	11	0	+11	Stars	+$4	10-24 15:12
76ers vs. Knicks	1	$7	11	0	+11	76ers	-$7	10-18 23:00
Knicks vs. 76ers	1	$7	13	0	+13	76ers	-$7	10-28 23:30
Hawks vs. Hornets	1	$7	13	0	+13	Hawks	-$7	10-21 23:00
Hornets vs. Nets	1	$7	15	0	+15	Hornets	+$8	10-19 23:30
Sharks vs. Blues	1	$7	13	0	+13	Sharks	-$7	10-07 00:00
Grizzlies vs. Jazz	1	$7	15	0	+15	Grizzlies	+$8	10-25 01:00
Wizards vs. Cavaliers	1	$7	9	0	+9	Cavaliers	+$2	10-26 23:00
Blackhawks vs. Bruins	1	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	10-29 17:00
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	1	$7	14	0	+14	Cavaliers	+$7	10-24 23:00
Wizards vs. Hornets	1	$7	14	0	+14	Hornets	+$7	10-24 23:00
Blues vs. Red Wings	2	$7	14	0	+14	open	—	10-30 02:30
Hurricanes vs. Blackhawks	1	$7	10	0	+10	Hurricanes	+$3	10-08 23:00
Penguins vs. Canadiens	1	$7	16	0	+16	open	—	10-29 23:00
Islanders vs. Rangers	1	$7	13	0	+13	Rangers	+$6	10-04 23:30
Canadiens vs. Blues	1	$7	13	0	+13	Canadiens	-$7	10-26 00:00
Blues vs. Blackhawks	1	$7	13	0	+13	Blackhawks	-$7	10-05 00:00
Sabres vs. Sharks	1	$7	13	0	+13	Sabres	+$6	10-26 02:30
Canucks vs. Devils	1	$7	11	0	+11	Devils	+$4	10-08 19:30
Sharks vs. Bruins	1	$7	12	0	+12	Bruins	+$5	10-22 23:00
Lakers vs. Jazz	1	$7	12	0	+12	Lakers	+$5	10-23 21:00
Hawks vs. Rockets	1	$7	11	0	+11	Rockets	+$4	10-25 00:30
Canadiens vs. Stars	1	$7	12	0	+12	Canadiens	-$7	10-28 00:00
Raptors vs. Wizards	1	$7	10	0	+10	Raptors	+$3	10-21 23:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 15:48:52	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa9b061…
10-31 15:11:31	Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 34-35°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xeef31d…
10-31 15:11:31	Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 36-37°F on October 31?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x109506…
10-31 13:53:57	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on October 31?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xa082ac…
10-31 13:11:15	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xaf94af…
10-31 13:11:15	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7eb14d…
10-31 12:33:06	Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 44-45°F on October 31?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb80785…
10-31 11:10:54	Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xb47093…
10-31 09:11:01	Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 38-39°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x41c8ea…
10-31 08:11:04	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on October 31?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xe429c5…
10-31 08:11:04	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x3d878c…
10-31 07:11:15	Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 70-71°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xbfba9f…
10-31 05:11:06	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 5°C or below on October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf898ff…
10-31 04:01:58	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x23a237…
10-31 03:03:01	Raptors vs. Lakers	Raptors	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xd8e97a…
10-31 02:18:13	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 17°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa25d07…
10-31 01:10:55	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on October 31?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf91706…
10-31 00:10:21	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xbb48bc…
10-31 00:10:21	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 31?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb96f56…
10-30 23:10:45	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on October 31?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x97ffe3…
10-30 22:57:55	Celtics vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	11	29¢	$3	0x879b8a…
10-30 22:46:42	Bulls vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x16a4ac…
10-30 20:49:07	Blue Jackets vs. Stars	Stars	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xd32a00…
10-30 19:10:46	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 9°C on October 31?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xf03229…
10-30 19:10:46	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 7°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x0fec3d…
10-30 18:40:40	Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 21°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xeae749…
10-30 18:11:24	Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xcd9568…
10-30 17:11:34	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 8°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xdb0e0c…
10-30 16:59:37	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xf4145a…
10-30 16:11:42	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on October 31?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xb41ad7…
10-30 16:11:42	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x4241a1…
10-30 16:11:42	Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 36-37°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x0925c2…
10-30 15:11:31	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 31?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x63f08f…
10-30 14:10:40	Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 42-43°F on October 30?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xef04a3…
10-30 13:34:52	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on October 30?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xdc96b8…
10-30 13:11:49	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xeeaac7…
10-30 13:11:49	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x7c18dc…
10-30 11:11:12	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on October 31?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x2e4258…
10-30 11:11:12	Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 68-69°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x1a365d…
10-30 10:11:16	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xf27acf…
10-30 09:35:39	Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe7fcd9…
10-30 09:27:36	Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 1°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xccc36e…
10-30 08:16:16	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd236dc…
10-30 08:11:06	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x8c8e05…
10-30 07:21:27	Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x96e9a9…
10-30 07:20:22	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x208dc6…
10-30 07:11:07	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe4baaf…
10-30 06:04:22	Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 66-67°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x868ec0…
10-30 05:29:46	Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xcedde1…
10-30 05:29:45	Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x059806…
10-30 04:59:48	Flames vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	9	73¢	$7	0x2db6c7…
10-30 04:11:09	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xe698bd…
10-30 04:11:09	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 30?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe0d9a4…
10-30 02:39:39	Maple Leafs vs. Canucks	Maple Leafs	BUY	11	58¢	$7	0xc9a784…
10-30 02:39:06	Pistons vs. Nets	Nets	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0xcc87e1…
10-30 02:30:42	Blues vs. Red Wings	Blues	BUY	9	49¢	$5	0x2fe7ff…
10-30 02:20:36	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x16d462…
10-30 02:18:16	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 16°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2551a4…
10-30 02:11:43	Pistons vs. Nets	Nets	BUY	13	27¢	$4	0x3893e5…
10-30 01:40:24	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x4507fd…
10-30 01:11:21	Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 8°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xe4b72d…
10-30 00:37:37	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 30?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x32b019…
10-30 00:36:10	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x465d89…
10-30 00:10:39	Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xce4071…
10-29 23:00:16	Penguins vs. Canadiens	Penguins	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0xee7a4d…
10-29 22:10:57	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 17°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xa30687…
10-29 22:10:57	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x4709d7…
10-29 22:00:36	76ers vs. Hornets	Hornets	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x5e3e91…
10-29 22:00:18	76ers vs. Hornets	Hornets	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xb65a7b…
10-29 20:11:22	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xbcad6c…
10-29 19:11:51	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xeb84f6…
10-29 17:55:47	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on October 30?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x0981fc…
10-29 17:11:07	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 9°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x476138…
10-29 17:09:14	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x5dd5bd…
10-29 17:00:10	Blues vs. Red Wings	Blues	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x2aaf45…
10-29 17:00:05	Blackhawks vs. Bruins	Bruins	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x634c1b…
10-29 16:11:11	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on October 30?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xa44dc5…
10-29 16:11:11	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x871c16…
10-29 15:43:26	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 8°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x3b7bcb…
10-29 15:21:28	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x1eefcf…
10-29 15:18:14	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb9eb01…
10-29 15:12:01	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xea6628…
10-29 15:12:01	Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x48897c…
10-29 15:00:46	Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 36-37°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x5c0479…
10-29 13:07:32	Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 38-39°F on October 29?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xcf4915…
10-29 11:56:38	Magic vs. Raptors	Magic	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x3c0846…
10-29 10:23:07	Nuggets vs. Suns	Suns	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9aecad…
10-29 10:23:05	Nuggets vs. Suns	Suns	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x72ec41…
10-29 10:11:08	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc2556a…
10-29 10:00:58	Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xa70a93…
10-29 09:33:32	Nuggets vs. Suns	Suns	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x532e82…
10-29 09:11:01	Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 64-65°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xf55881…
10-29 07:10:59	Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe96279…
10-29 06:52:01	Pacers vs. Heat	Pacers	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x52fceb…
10-29 06:16:41	Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0f0b76…
10-29 06:11:13	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xdf0c3b…
10-29 06:11:13	Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on October 29?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x2e2df6…
10-29 06:11:13	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0412ed…
10-29 05:11:46	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x93eeb6…
10-29 05:11:46	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 5°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x072f13…