Close-Fall — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.9%

Resolved

Trades

824

lifetime

Volume

$2.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 06-13 11:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 25% +$17

Other

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 98 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776186000	3	$76	73	47	+26	open	—	04-14 17:06
btc updown 5m 1776205800	5	$69	96	40	+55	open	—	04-14 22:35
btc updown 5m 1776597300	2	$68	62	59	+4	open	—	04-19 11:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	3	$56	54	54	+0	Up	+$52	05-06 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	4	$43	49	34	+15	open	—	05-04 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	5	$38	59	17	+42	open	—	05-16 12:45
btc updown 5m 1776601800	3	$36	28	26	+1	open	—	04-19 12:35
btc updown 5m 1776695100	4	$35	46	21	+26	open	—	04-20 14:30
btc updown 5m 1776587100	3	$33	28	22	+6	open	—	04-19 08:30
btc updown 5m 1776710700	3	$32	30	28	+2	open	—	04-20 18:50
btc updown 5m 1776166800	3	$32	39	12	+27	open	—	04-14 11:45
btc updown 5m 1776680700	2	$32	23	22	+1	open	—	04-20 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	05-16 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	3	$30	30	25	+5	open	—	05-04 11:00
btc updown 5m 1776693900	3	$29	30	22	+8	open	—	04-20 14:10
btc updown 5m 1776783900	3	$27	21	20	+1	open	—	04-21 15:10
btc updown 5m 1776839400	4	$27	27	21	+6	open	—	04-22 06:35
btc updown 5m 1777043700	4	$27	23	22	+1	open	—	04-24 15:20
btc updown 5m 1776584700	3	$26	33	11	+22	open	—	04-19 07:50
btc updown 5m 1776611700	3	$25	211	0	+211	open	—	04-19 15:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	3	$23	21	21	+0	open	—	05-15 12:10
btc updown 5m 1776864900	2	$23	22	21	+1	open	—	04-22 13:40
btc updown 5m 1775980800	3	$22	20	12	+8	open	—	04-12 08:05
btc updown 5m 1775949000	4	$21	25	14	+11	open	—	04-11 23:16
btc updown 5m 1776207600	2	$21	13	13	+0	open	—	04-14 23:05
btc updown 5m 1776586200	3	$21	59	56	+3	open	—	04-19 08:14
btc updown 5m 1776207300	1	$20	105	0	+105	open	—	04-14 22:59
btc updown 5m 1776611400	1	$20	69	0	+69	open	—	04-19 15:11
btc updown 5m 1776838800	4	$20	19	15	+5	open	—	04-22 06:25
btc updown 5m 1776207900	3	$20	27	7	+21	open	—	04-14 23:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 11:31:09	btc updown 5m 1781350200	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xce40e4…
06-13 11:29:37	btc updown 5m 1781349900	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x85f7ca…
06-13 11:27:01	btc updown 5m 1781349900	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x51e009…
06-13 11:25:58	btc updown 5m 1781349900	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xdbc7da…
05-16 13:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x47b5c4…
05-16 13:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x86f064…
05-16 13:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x98be82…
05-16 13:04:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x44d69f…
05-16 13:03:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xdb1f61…
05-16 13:02:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x042e45…
05-16 12:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x579190…
05-16 12:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x049dd2…
05-16 12:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd4acc5…
05-16 12:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xf41b17…
05-16 12:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xd286d2…
05-16 12:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xd5449e…
05-16 12:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x6ae80f…
05-16 12:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x377244…
05-16 12:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x2e4549…
05-16 12:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa7651c…
05-16 09:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x772d6f…
05-16 09:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x4613dd…
05-16 09:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x297f7a…
05-16 09:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x87951c…
05-16 09:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xc3d9e3…
05-16 09:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xccb5f1…
05-16 09:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x26a4c7…
05-16 09:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0f92a9…
05-16 09:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x87b144…
05-16 09:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0xa5b115…
05-16 09:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xfbe03b…
05-16 09:27:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc2d1ec…
05-16 09:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x058da6…
05-16 09:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x311a94…
05-16 09:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xfcf2d3…
05-16 09:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x79f95f…
05-16 09:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xed973c…
05-16 09:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf6d090…
05-16 09:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa00eaf…
05-16 09:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x0c00ab…
05-16 09:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x34602a…
05-16 09:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xec9f34…
05-16 08:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x7f4e44…
05-16 08:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xf4fa0c…
05-16 08:49:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xffca35…
05-16 08:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x92683a…
05-16 08:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xae1b44…
05-16 08:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xcf99f7…
05-16 08:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc94ff9…
05-15 21:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xdc50b2…
05-15 21:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa7eb43…
05-15 21:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x632ebe…
05-15 21:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x9159d3…
05-15 21:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0xa31b2c…
05-15 21:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x948065…
05-15 21:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x03d57c…
05-15 21:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x21b8ed…
05-15 21:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe563f9…
05-15 20:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc49b6d…
05-15 20:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x2dfdf0…
05-15 20:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x5924ae…
05-15 20:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb640d1…
05-15 20:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x357fdc…
05-15 20:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x3c27bd…
05-15 20:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xbce35b…
05-15 20:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xea6a47…
05-15 20:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x174bd4…
05-15 20:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd76fb6…
05-15 20:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2d92bf…
05-15 20:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x2e7057…
05-15 20:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xebcea9…
05-15 20:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xf510e9…
05-15 20:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x11680f…
05-15 20:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x5006ea…
05-15 20:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xcc77db…
05-15 20:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x15ff90…
05-15 20:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x461cb3…
05-15 20:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x8e5adf…
05-15 20:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x7d73d2…
05-15 20:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf30b70…
05-15 12:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x183f86…
05-15 12:11:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x07f44b…
05-15 12:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x639ad1…
05-15 12:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xeff9ad…
05-15 12:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x06d16d…
05-15 12:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x07febf…
05-15 12:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x65359f…
05-08 07:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x9c6c87…
05-08 07:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x6f3fb3…
05-08 07:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x59d572…
05-08 07:25:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xb6f242…
05-08 07:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x920d58…
05-08 07:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xaccd31…
05-08 07:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8c293f…
05-08 07:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe4e9a6…
05-08 07:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xbb5852…
05-08 07:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x68bbfc…
05-08 07:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xbf8240…
05-08 07:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x5fbc70…
05-08 07:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x309b63…