Close-Fall — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.9%

Resolved

Trades

872

lifetime

Volume

$2.70K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 07-14 12:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 25% +$17

Other

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776186000	3	$76	73	47	+26	open	—	04-14 17:06
btc updown 5m 1776205800	5	$69	96	40	+55	open	—	04-14 22:35
btc updown 5m 1776597300	2	$68	62	59	+4	open	—	04-19 11:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	3	$56	54	54	+0	Up	+$52	05-06 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	4	$43	49	34	+15	open	—	05-04 15:55
btc updown 5m 1783501800	5	$39	43	25	+18	open	—	07-08 09:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	5	$38	59	17	+42	open	—	05-16 12:45
btc updown 5m 1776601800	3	$36	28	26	+1	open	—	04-19 12:35
btc updown 5m 1776695100	4	$35	46	21	+26	open	—	04-20 14:30
btc updown 5m 1776587100	3	$33	28	22	+6	open	—	04-19 08:30
btc updown 5m 1776710700	3	$32	30	28	+2	open	—	04-20 18:50
btc updown 5m 1776166800	3	$32	39	12	+27	open	—	04-14 11:45
btc updown 5m 1776680700	2	$32	23	22	+1	open	—	04-20 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	05-16 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	3	$30	30	25	+5	open	—	05-04 11:00
btc updown 5m 1776693900	3	$29	30	22	+8	open	—	04-20 14:10
btc updown 5m 1776783900	3	$27	21	20	+1	open	—	04-21 15:10
btc updown 5m 1776839400	4	$27	27	21	+6	open	—	04-22 06:35
btc updown 5m 1777043700	4	$27	23	22	+1	open	—	04-24 15:20
btc updown 5m 1783559100	3	$26	25	16	+9	open	—	07-09 01:10
btc updown 5m 1776584700	3	$26	33	11	+22	open	—	04-19 07:50
btc updown 5m 1776611700	3	$25	211	0	+211	open	—	04-19 15:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	3	$23	21	21	+0	open	—	05-15 12:10
btc updown 5m 1776864900	2	$23	22	21	+1	open	—	04-22 13:40
btc updown 5m 1775980800	3	$22	20	12	+8	open	—	04-12 08:05
btc updown 5m 1783503600	4	$22	21	12	+9	open	—	07-08 09:45
btc updown 5m 1775949000	4	$21	25	14	+11	open	—	04-11 23:16
btc updown 5m 1776207600	2	$21	13	13	+0	open	—	04-14 23:05
btc updown 5m 1776586200	3	$21	59	56	+3	open	—	04-19 08:14
btc updown 5m 1776611400	1	$20	69	0	+69	open	—	04-19 15:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 12:30:47	btc updown 5m 1784032200	Down	BUY	86	7¢	$6	0x0c9976…
07-14 12:28:05	btc updown 5m 1784031900	Up	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xdf721f…
07-14 12:25:55	btc updown 5m 1784031900	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x099301…
07-14 12:21:31	btc updown 5m 1784031600	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x4ae46d…
07-14 12:19:13	btc updown 5m 1784031300	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xe0f6c6…
07-14 12:16:25	btc updown 5m 1784031300	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xa85768…
07-14 12:15:49	btc updown 5m 1784031300	Up	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x3593de…
07-09 01:19:28	btc updown 5m 1783559700	Down	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xd75df1…
07-09 01:19:01	btc updown 5m 1783559700	Up	SELL	6	97¢	$5	0x56dee9…
07-09 01:16:20	btc updown 5m 1783559700	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x429353…
07-09 01:14:43	btc updown 5m 1783559700	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc28318…
07-09 01:10:37	btc updown 5m 1783559400	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x9c9334…
07-09 01:10:14	btc updown 5m 1783559100	Up	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xed3234…
07-09 01:06:59	btc updown 5m 1783559100	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xbe9201…
07-09 01:06:08	btc updown 5m 1783559100	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xea94f4…
07-09 01:01:40	btc updown 5m 1783558800	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x4e6596…
07-09 00:58:41	btc updown 5m 1783558500	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x9e6b70…
07-09 00:57:02	btc updown 5m 1783558500	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xe863cf…
07-09 00:55:43	btc updown 5m 1783558500	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x903ae1…
07-09 00:53:22	btc updown 5m 1783558200	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x00fc27…
07-09 00:52:17	btc updown 5m 1783558200	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xa1847f…
07-09 00:50:50	btc updown 5m 1783558200	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xe8f857…
07-08 10:01:56	btc updown 5m 1783504800	Up	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0x25f345…
07-08 10:00:22	btc updown 5m 1783504500	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x6b13b4…
07-08 09:56:55	btc updown 5m 1783504500	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x6086b0…
07-08 09:55:11	btc updown 5m 1783504200	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb1f75f…
07-08 09:52:59	btc updown 5m 1783504200	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xba7cd5…
07-08 09:50:19	btc updown 5m 1783503900	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0bd2ac…
07-08 09:48:31	btc updown 5m 1783503900	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x212586…
07-08 09:46:28	btc updown 5m 1783503900	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x36819d…
07-08 09:45:16	btc updown 5m 1783503600	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x03f43f…
07-08 09:42:34	btc updown 5m 1783503600	Down	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x6c8a00…
07-08 09:41:29	btc updown 5m 1783503600	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xfb33b2…
07-08 09:41:29	btc updown 5m 1783503600	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x369a50…
07-08 09:32:14	btc updown 5m 1783503000	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x769d2d…
07-08 09:30:52	btc updown 5m 1783503000	Down	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x9567bc…
07-08 09:26:29	btc updown 5m 1783502700	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x6aa465…
07-08 09:24:46	btc updown 5m 1783502400	Down	SELL	28	2¢	$1	0x7a405a…
07-08 09:21:19	btc updown 5m 1783502400	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x51b4c4…
07-08 09:18:11	btc updown 5m 1783502100	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x7654a7…
07-08 09:15:10	btc updown 5m 1783501800	Down	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x9cbd79…
07-08 09:13:44	btc updown 5m 1783501800	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xfa39f9…
07-08 09:12:53	btc updown 5m 1783501800	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x0e78c2…
07-08 09:12:08	btc updown 5m 1783501800	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xd58bfa…
07-08 09:10:59	btc updown 5m 1783501800	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x78bbf9…
07-08 09:07:55	btc updown 5m 1783501500	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x2f3c70…
07-08 09:06:23	btc updown 5m 1783501500	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xc3c61e…
07-08 09:05:41	btc updown 5m 1783501500	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa78341…
06-13 11:31:09	btc updown 5m 1781350200	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xce40e4…
06-13 11:29:37	btc updown 5m 1781349900	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x85f7ca…
06-13 11:27:01	btc updown 5m 1781349900	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x51e009…
06-13 11:25:58	btc updown 5m 1781349900	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xdbc7da…
05-16 13:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x47b5c4…
05-16 13:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x86f064…
05-16 13:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x98be82…
05-16 13:04:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x44d69f…
05-16 13:03:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xdb1f61…
05-16 13:02:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x042e45…
05-16 12:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x579190…
05-16 12:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x049dd2…
05-16 12:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd4acc5…
05-16 12:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xf41b17…
05-16 12:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xd286d2…
05-16 12:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xd5449e…
05-16 12:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x6ae80f…
05-16 12:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x377244…
05-16 12:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x2e4549…
05-16 12:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa7651c…
05-16 09:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x772d6f…
05-16 09:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x4613dd…
05-16 09:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x297f7a…
05-16 09:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x87951c…
05-16 09:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xc3d9e3…
05-16 09:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xccb5f1…
05-16 09:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x26a4c7…
05-16 09:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0f92a9…
05-16 09:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x87b144…
05-16 09:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0xa5b115…
05-16 09:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xfbe03b…
05-16 09:27:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc2d1ec…
05-16 09:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x058da6…
05-16 09:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x311a94…
05-16 09:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xfcf2d3…
05-16 09:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x79f95f…
05-16 09:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xed973c…
05-16 09:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf6d090…
05-16 09:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa00eaf…
05-16 09:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x0c00ab…
05-16 09:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x34602a…
05-16 09:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xec9f34…
05-16 08:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x7f4e44…
05-16 08:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xf4fa0c…
05-16 08:49:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xffca35…
05-16 08:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x92683a…
05-16 08:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xae1b44…
05-16 08:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xcf99f7…
05-16 08:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc94ff9…
05-15 21:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xdc50b2…
05-15 21:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa7eb43…
05-15 21:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x632ebe…