Stiff-Saloon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$50

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.1%

Resolved

1,326

Trades

1,523

lifetime

Volume

$47.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 10-30 00:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 150 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 97% +$63

Other

13% 99% -$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BNB Up or Down - May 21, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	2	$99	110	0	+110	Down	-$99	05-22 02:19
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	05-15 16:54
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	05-17 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$99	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	05-22 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	05-17 17:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	2	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	05-18 00:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	05-16 10:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$99	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	05-18 19:14
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	2	$95	96	0	+96	Down	+$1	05-15 09:54
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 08:30 UTC	2	$81	52	51	+1	Up	-$18	07-08 08:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 14:05 UTC	2	$77	51	51	+0	Down	-$22	07-02 14:09
Ethereum Up or Down - July 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	4	$69	53	53	+0	Down	-$30	07-13 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 14:35 UTC	2	$68	51	51	+0	Up	-$31	07-13 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$66	67	0	+67	Up	+$1	06-03 01:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 14:10 UTC	2	$65	51	51	+0	Down	-$33	07-08 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 08:30 UTC	2	$63	54	53	+1	Up	-$36	07-08 08:34
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 14:45 UTC	2	$62	48	47	+1	Up	-$30	07-10 14:49
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 14:20 UTC	3	$59	51	50	+1	Up	-$39	08-03 14:24
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	2	$58	59	0	+59	Down	+$1	05-15 07:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 00:50 UTC	2	$57	60	0	+60	Down	+$3	06-18 00:54
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 14:45 UTC	3	$53	52	52	+0	Up	-$46	07-24 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	3	$52	51	51	+0	Up	-$46	07-29 14:24
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 17:15 UTC	1	$50	51	0	+51	Down	+$1	06-15 17:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	Down	+$1	05-07 16:34
BNB Up or Down - May 31, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	Up	+$1	05-31 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	Up	+$1	05-19 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	Up	+$1	06-01 02:04
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 22:30 UTC	1	$50	51	0	+51	Up	+$1	06-03 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	Up	+$1	06-14 21:59
BNB Up or Down - May 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	Up	+$1	06-01 02:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 00:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x7f8e58…
10-30 00:09:13	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0xbfaf76…
10-29 21:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x4a0344…
10-29 21:34:10	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	39	93¢	$36	0x225756…
10-29 21:34:10	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	95¢	$14	0x00c61a…
10-29 21:24:07	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	46	96¢	$45	0xc81a34…
10-29 21:24:06	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc6867f…
10-27 07:14:09	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	39	97¢	$38	0xa040fd…
10-27 07:14:08	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xbdf6ff…
10-26 14:04:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	54	91¢	$49	0x1ad5df…
10-24 15:24:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x2c5dc6…
10-23 05:39:08	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0x98f74b…
10-21 16:44:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0x5e6656…
10-21 16:29:26	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	44	93¢	$41	0x920ba9…
10-21 16:29:26	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x87b089…
10-21 13:44:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x6d6510…
10-20 15:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x23de6a…
10-20 11:44:06	XRP Up or Down - October 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x9e4904…
10-20 11:44:06	XRP Up or Down - October 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0x5c4798…
10-19 15:19:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	53	93¢	$49	0x91e62d…
10-19 07:39:09	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x82f002…
10-17 21:54:09	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	53	93¢	$49	0x2e2de3…
10-16 03:29:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0x19e98e…
10-15 19:24:19	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xc5d700…
10-15 19:24:19	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x2d9732…
10-15 14:19:11	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	31	95¢	$30	0xee3f6d…
10-15 14:19:11	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x0e0f3d…
10-15 12:39:25	XRP Up or Down - October 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0x04b24a…
10-15 12:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0xb64984…
10-15 07:14:10	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xfd9826…
10-15 07:14:10	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe094ae…
10-14 19:09:16	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf96ab0…
10-14 19:09:16	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xbbee81…
10-14 17:59:07	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0x46630c…
10-14 17:59:06	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	35	95¢	$33	0x0df212…
10-14 14:34:09	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	18	94¢	$16	0x669c4a…
10-14 14:34:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x526fbf…
10-14 10:09:28	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0xe455ca…
10-14 10:09:28	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0x472817…
10-13 13:59:20	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	23	92¢	$21	0xb4f8d3…
10-13 13:59:20	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	31	91¢	$28	0x20c7a5…
10-13 12:49:22	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	35	95¢	$33	0x7eb0b2…
10-13 12:49:22	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0x4518ad…
10-12 17:09:11	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xdfa1de…
10-12 17:09:11	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x6ac126…
10-12 05:14:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x964422…
10-09 02:24:12	XRP Up or Down - October 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	23	94¢	$21	0x60f046…
10-09 02:24:09	XRP Up or Down - October 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0xff2485…
10-09 02:24:09	XRP Up or Down - October 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x617931…
10-08 18:29:11	Solana Up or Down - October 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	59	81¢	$47	0x6c7a0f…
10-08 18:14:09	BNB Up or Down - October 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5944a0…
10-08 15:39:09	BNB Up or Down - October 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x8a7136…
10-08 15:39:08	BNB Up or Down - October 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0xb92739…
10-01 16:19:20	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0x4383d6…
10-01 16:19:20	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	86¢	$13	0x2fcdde…
10-01 16:19:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0xfabe55…
10-01 13:54:21	XRP Up or Down - October 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	57	86¢	$49	0xb254a7…
10-01 13:54:09	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	46	93¢	$43	0xe7d4e4…
10-01 13:54:09	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x9a63b3…
10-01 13:44:42	XRP Up or Down - October 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	54	92¢	$49	0xe0f7d6…
10-01 10:59:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0xf1ae13…
10-01 10:59:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x6a0e86…
09-30 19:24:27	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	35	95¢	$33	0x112a75…
09-30 19:24:26	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x25cce5…
09-30 15:29:08	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	48	94¢	$45	0xadb557…
09-30 15:29:06	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x1ce6e1…
09-29 15:39:06	XRP Up or Down - September 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8cd958…
09-29 12:29:06	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	9	96¢	$8	0xc77e03…
09-29 11:54:06	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x436559…
09-28 21:24:15	XRP Up or Down - September 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	19	91¢	$17	0x44bae4…
09-28 21:24:14	XRP Up or Down - September 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xa96bbc…
09-26 21:39:11	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x98082a…
09-26 21:39:11	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x54399d…
09-26 21:39:06	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xe8542a…
09-26 21:39:06	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xcbb2c7…
09-25 21:09:11	XRP Up or Down - September 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	39	97¢	$38	0x004576…
09-25 19:14:11	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	48	93¢	$45	0x78d79b…
09-25 19:14:06	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x120da3…
09-25 18:59:41	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	52	94¢	$48	0x1286f0…
09-25 18:59:35	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x00cd8f…
09-25 18:59:12	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0xbbedad…
09-25 18:59:12	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x65af9a…
09-25 15:19:08	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x722285…
09-25 15:19:06	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x5a4974…
09-25 13:59:09	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	18	91¢	$16	0xc476df…
09-25 13:59:09	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	37	90¢	$33	0x8380c3…
09-25 02:34:20	XRP Up or Down - September 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x6286af…
09-25 02:09:08	Solana Up or Down - September 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	42	89¢	$37	0xf6535e…
09-25 02:09:06	Solana Up or Down - September 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$10	0x8586f9…
09-24 16:49:24	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x0db789…
09-24 16:49:23	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	39	97¢	$38	0x71ac62…
09-24 16:49:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	55	90¢	$50	0xdcc02e…
09-24 14:59:06	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x851c1c…
09-24 14:39:06	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x3b64ce…
09-24 14:39:06	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x21bf36…
09-24 13:24:36	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x6ea0f7…
09-24 13:24:35	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xd01a47…
09-24 13:24:35	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0x009165…
09-24 13:24:08	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xfb6ca3…
09-24 13:24:08	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0x477eae…