Slippery-Availability — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$556

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.8%

Resolved

8,910

Trades

25,355

lifetime

Volume

$91.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 10-18 18:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 161 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 77% +$665

Other

8% 90% -$93

Politics

1% 92% -$12

Sports

0% 86% -$4

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 294 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$299	74,491	0	+74,491	No	-$299	06-03 06:52
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 5?	5	$184	98	98	+0	Yes	+$6	06-05 07:33
bitcoin above 62k on august 13 2026	7	$109	57	57	+0	Yes	+$2	08-13 11:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	22	$89	110	0	+110	Down	-$24	05-03 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	12	$77	105	0	+105	Up	-$22	05-23 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	16	$76	115	0	+115	Down	-$6	05-23 21:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 9?	16	$74	82	0	+82	Yes	+$7	08-08 04:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	16	$74	105	0	+105	Up	+$1	05-23 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	14	$74	110	0	+110	Up	-$19	05-23 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	16	$73	105	0	+105	Down	+$2	05-24 00:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	13	$71	110	0	+110	Down	-$16	05-23 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	19	$71	95	0	+95	Down	-$26	05-15 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	12	$70	105	0	+105	Up	-$16	05-23 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	19	$70	95	0	+95	Up	-$25	05-03 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	19	$70	95	0	+95	Down	-$25	05-15 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	19	$69	95	0	+95	Down	-$29	05-03 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	14	$66	85	0	+85	Down	-$1	05-23 21:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	16	$63	80	0	+80	Down	-$48	05-04 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	16	$63	80	0	+80	Up	+$12	05-03 22:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	14	$62	95	0	+95	Up	-$2	05-23 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	12	$62	85	0	+85	Down	-$12	05-23 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	14	$61	85	0	+85	Down	-$1	05-23 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	18	$60	90	0	+90	Up	-$10	05-15 14:34
will bitcoin reach 68k august 10 16 2026	5	$60	31	31	+0	No	+$1	08-13 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	17	$58	85	0	+85	Down	-$23	05-03 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	15	$58	100	0	+100	Down	-$8	06-01 14:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	15	$57	75	0	+75	Down	+$18	05-03 22:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	14	$56	70	0	+70	Down	+$14	05-04 00:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	15	$55	95	0	+95	Up	-$5	05-21 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	16	$55	80	0	+80	Up	-$5	05-04 00:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 18:29:03	Dota 2: Gorgc Team vs Stariy bog Team (BO5) - 1win Streamers League #3 Playoffs	Stariy bog Team	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x658abb…
10-18 17:45:30	Counter-Strike: maybe vs Saint Sinners (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #12 Group B	Saint Sinners	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xa646d0…
10-18 17:31:24	Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Nemiga Gaming	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x4d5822…
10-18 17:02:15	Dota 2: Gorgc Team vs Stariy bog Team - Game 1 Winner	Stariy bog Team	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xe946d6…
10-18 15:40:57	Counter-Strike: UPGRADE vs Lavked (BO3) - CyberClash Closed Qualifier Group C	Lavked	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x5bc2cf…
10-18 15:40:12	Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winner	Team Nemesis	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x04caf2…
10-18 13:42:11	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Team Synapse - Game 2 Winner	Team Synapse	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xbf96e7…
10-18 13:07:47	Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)	Aurora Gaming	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0xfed777…
10-18 12:55:56	Counter-Strike: MORROW vs Quintessence (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs	Quintessence	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xf9bcdd…
10-18 12:49:35	Counter-Strike: Privateer Gaming vs antidaun - Map 2 Winner	antidaun	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xbe88dc…
10-18 11:57:59	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner	Team Falcons	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x16a807…
10-18 10:35:29	Counter-Strike: VP.Future 3 vs EAC Extra (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Playoffs	EAC Extra	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0xe614f0…
10-18 08:17:50	Valorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner	Team Vitality	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x91acb6…
10-18 07:03:51	Valorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner	Team Vitality	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0xdab8aa…
10-18 06:49:50	Map Handicap: LOUD (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)	Team Vitality	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x2b5960…
10-17 22:08:30	Dota 2: Nix Team vs Stariy bog Team (BO3) - 1win Streamers League #3 Playoffs	Stariy bog Team	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xc6bb0c…
10-17 21:46:18	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winner	Inner Circle	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x5110e0…
10-17 20:17:36	LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winner	FURIA Esports	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x82a6f8…
10-17 20:04:53	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs	BetBoom Team	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x9f5567…
10-17 19:21:44	Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs MVK Esports (+1.5)	MVK Esports	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x9d45f0…
10-17 18:59:03	Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B	Yellow Submarine	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xb2d764…
10-17 18:34:54	Dota 2: Stray Team vs Stariy bog Team (BO3) - 1win Streamers League #3 Playoffs	Stariy bog Team	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x8a6bef…
10-17 17:44:17	Counter-Strike: BBL vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 1 Winner	ex-RUSTEC	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x2b2ca0…
10-17 17:14:14	cs2 havu pha 2026 10 17 game2	Phantom	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xaca263…
10-17 16:39:57	cs2 havu pha 2026 10 17	Phantom	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x4c30f2…
10-17 15:54:51	Exact Score: Bologna FC 1909 2 - 2 FC Internazionale Milano?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xdc0c1d…
10-17 15:54:50	Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)	FC Internazionale Milano	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x7217fd…
10-17 14:38:50	cs2 lilmix morrow 2026 10 17 game1	MORROW	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x17aae0…
10-17 14:38:14	cs2 bca nem 2026 10 17 game1	Team Nemesis	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x81ee40…
10-17 14:25:29	dota2 tr7 xtreme 2026 10 17	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0xe4b994…
10-17 14:24:53	dota2 bot nix 2026 10 17	Nix Team	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xdbc713…
10-17 14:10:14	cs2 ence pha 2026 10 17	Phantom	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xbe8020…
10-17 11:51:18	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xc046a3…
10-16 18:30:27	Kings vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x58f1e0…
10-16 18:21:38	spy closes above 765 on october 16 2026	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x9f0641…
10-16 16:44:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xc46bf8…
10-16 13:55:39	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x491bf4…
10-16 11:43:58	Counter-Strike: Voca vs HAVU (BO1) - Elisa BreakOut Series #2 Group B	HAVU	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xad6ec7…
10-16 11:10:25	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winner	G2 Esports	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xd5d59e…
10-16 11:08:42	Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)	G2 Esports	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xcc447c…
10-16 09:15:57	cs2 nip tl1 2026 10 16 game2	Liquid	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x34965d…
10-16 09:08:13	cs2 nip tl1 2026 10 16	Liquid	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x04680e…
10-16 08:34:46	cs2 nip tl1 2026 10 16 game1	Liquid	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xaabb24…
10-16 08:20:06	Counter-Strike: Voca vs Phantom (BO1) - Elisa BreakOut Series #2 Group B	Phantom	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x438b0e…
10-16 03:28:36	Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Abyssal (BO3) - Logitech G Pro Series Group B	Abyssal	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xa4ae4a…
10-16 01:25:12	dota2 amaru skyrea 2026 10 15 game4	Skyreavers	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xa6ce16…
10-16 00:57:54	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x87013b…
10-16 00:00:54	dota2 amaru skyrea 2026 10 15	Skyreavers	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x84fcf5…
10-15 01:57:20	dota2 amaru playti 2026 10 14 game1	PlayTime	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xf0d59b…
10-14 17:59:04	spy closes above 770 on october 14 2026	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x53cb12…
10-14 09:45:19	dota2 rg6 cloudd 2026 10 14	Cloud Dawning	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x3e3d77…
10-14 09:10:13	dota2 ic lynx 2026 10 14	Team Lynx	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x869b33…
10-13 22:07:51	cs2 keydst gls1 2026 10 13 game2	Galorys	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xe002bf…
10-13 21:42:45	cs2 keydst gls1 2026 10 13	Galorys	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xdcebbe…
10-13 21:42:12	cs2 keydst gls1 2026 10 13 game1	Galorys	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xe8096e…
10-13 19:11:51	dota2 pr1 ch1 2026 10 13 game2	CyberHero	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xcb2c98…
10-13 10:27:56	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xf88325…
10-13 09:43:05	dota2 huliga nemiga 2026 10 13 game1	Nemiga Gaming	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0xbb856b…
10-13 03:36:09	Will the PQ win 55-59 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	No	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0x8044e2…
10-12 10:33:47	Dota 2: Ivory vs Team Nemesis Academy - Game 2 Winner	Team Nemesis Academy	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0xcc2272…
10-12 09:51:53	Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Saint Sinners (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #11 Play-In	Saint Sinners	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x5a1629…
10-12 09:24:35	Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Saint Sinners - Map 2 Winner	Saint Sinners	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xf7605e…
10-12 07:53:51	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Nemiga Gaming	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x97924e…
10-12 00:08:23	Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs DENDELE CS - Map 2 Winner	DENDELE CS	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x788cbd…
10-11 09:00:00	Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x7c7682…
10-11 03:23:35	Counter-Strike: EMPIRE vs regain (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffs	regain	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x422eea…
10-10 19:22:03	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x1e3538…
10-10 14:55:58	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xfd4671…
10-09 21:59:19	Will Olivier Faure win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x570e35…
10-09 18:31:31	will hood reach 110 by october 5 2026 from october 8	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x5fa191…
10-09 18:17:29	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xfded06…
10-09 14:35:10	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $228 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xdc2450…
10-09 14:13:28	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x5a69fb…
10-09 14:10:18	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x3f4791…
10-09 14:00:18	googl close above 355 on october 9 2026	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xc9dc4c…
10-09 14:00:18	will ewy reach 181 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x49bc6b…
10-09 10:00:12	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x31a083…
10-09 09:45:19	Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner	Aurora Gaming	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x3c59c4…
10-09 09:24:24	Counter-Strike: mellren vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #11 Group C	Bebop	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x1f7e29…
10-09 08:42:39	Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Aurora Gaming	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x1c3ce8…
10-09 08:41:30	Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner	Aurora Gaming	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x0d809f…
10-09 08:25:33	Counter-Strike: mellren vs Bebop - Map 1 Winner	Bebop	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x061de8…
10-09 08:06:52	Will Persiraja Banda win on 2026-10-09?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xd0e878…
10-09 01:29:36	Counter-Strike: regain vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffs	Iowa Stormboar	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x3987fa…
10-08 23:00:41	Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs	Yawara Esports	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x368976…
10-08 23:00:39	Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0x8603cf…
10-08 23:00:39	Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)	Chicago White Sox	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x2b2b6e…
10-08 22:37:29	Chris Godwin Jr.: Anytime Touchdown	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x5404b7…
10-08 22:14:38	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xf6fb17…
10-08 18:27:29	Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 15% or more?	No	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0xf5c14d…
10-08 17:41:42	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 8?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x63a59d…
10-08 17:37:00	Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group C	Fire Flux Esports	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x81d90c…
10-08 17:37:00	Will AS FAR vs. Wydad Sportif Témara end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x0c00c1…
10-08 17:12:47	dota2 pari ty 2026 10 08 game handicap away 1pt5	Team Yandex	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xf35bcb…
10-08 15:51:47	Counter-Strike: WBT vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs	NAVI Junior	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0xcd9142…
10-08 15:40:42	Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #3 Playoffs	Chinggis Warriors	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0xada375…
10-08 14:56:29	Counter-Strike: Boring Players vs bLight blue - Map 2 Winner	bLight blue	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0x1466d2…
10-08 14:07:51	Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs TheChampionGG (BO3) - United21 Playoffs	TheChampionGG	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x3a441b…
10-08 13:47:50	Counter-Strike: Boring Players vs bLight blue - Map 1 Winner	bLight blue	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0xe3620d…
10-08 13:47:50	Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Blasterbl (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Blasterbl	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x3289a6…