Selfish-Expose-Activist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$31

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.9%

Resolved

161

Trades

284

lifetime

Volume

$635

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-20

last 07-08 00:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Other

85% 60% -$32

Sports

7% 68% +$1

Politics

5% 100% +$3

Crypto

3% 60% -$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-08).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 8?	2	$44	28	28	+0	Yes	+$1	06-08 21:27
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1% and 1.5%?	8	$36	40	40	+0	Yes	+$0	06-10 07:34
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?	3	$31	60	60	+0	No	+$3	06-07 14:41
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 33°C on July 3?	2	$25	30	30	+0	No	-$1	07-02 03:58
Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?	2	$24	40	40	+0	No	-$3	06-03 17:22
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on July 4?	2	$23	30	30	+0	Yes	-$3	07-02 18:44
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Laslo Djere	5	$22	15	15	+0	Arthur Rinderknech	+$2	05-20 16:34
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 4?	3	$21	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-02 14:11
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 4?	2	$18	30	30	+0	No	-$4	07-02 18:58
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 27?	7	$18	30	30	+0	No	-$8	06-26 22:59
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 27?	5	$17	20	20	+0	No	$0	06-25 16:49
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 3?	2	$16	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-02 09:51
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 8?	4	$16	27	27	+0	No	-$1	07-08 00:44
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 3?	2	$14	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	07-02 04:13
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 27?	2	$14	30	30	+0	No	+$0	06-26 05:00
will citigroup c q2 provision for credit losses be above 2pt9b	2	$13	32	32	+0	No	-$2	06-08 11:49
Cervia: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Guido Justo	2	$10	5	5	+0	Tommaso Compagnucci	+$0	05-20 14:59
Istanbul: Alafia Ayeni vs Franco Agamenone	2	$10	6	6	+0	Franco Agamenone	+$0	05-21 08:43
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 9?	2	$10	30	30	+0	No	-$3	07-07 20:14
Will Yordan Alvarez hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	2	$9	20	20	+0	No	-$1	06-09 01:05
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 27?	6	$9	30	30	+0	No	-$2	06-25 18:19
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Janice Tjen vs Camila Osorio	2	$9	6	6	+0	Camila Osorio	-$1	05-20 15:30
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on June 27?	4	$9	30	30	+0	No	-$2	06-27 03:29
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 35°C on June 27?	8	$9	30	30	+0	No	-$3	06-25 21:16
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 27?	7	$7	17	17	+0	No	+$0	06-25 19:30
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 26?	3	$7	30	30	+0	No	+$1	06-26 00:58
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 26?	2	$7	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	06-25 23:28
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 104-105°F on July 3?	5	$5	30	30	+0	No	-$2	07-03 02:37
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 5?	4	$5	14	14	+0	Yes	-$1	07-04 01:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-29 07:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 00:44:20	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 8?	Yes	SELL	19	28¢	$5	0x011792…
07-08 00:42:25	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 8?	Yes	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0xbf6965…
07-08 00:39:08	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 8?	Yes	BUY	22	31¢	$7	0xaf7811…
07-08 00:39:02	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 8?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x4e9a97…
07-07 22:14:53	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on July 9?	Yes	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0xb91afe…
07-07 22:05:52	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x16a895…
07-07 20:14:04	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 9?	Yes	SELL	30	12¢	$4	0xfa9aae…
07-07 20:12:44	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	30	21¢	$6	0x1ce476…
07-04 01:50:16	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	14	14¢	$2	0xeb830f…
07-03 19:31:58	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x849933…
07-03 19:31:58	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x5b737e…
07-03 19:31:47	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0xbfa55b…
07-03 17:43:22	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on July 4?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x5f4c76…
07-03 17:14:41	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xe853df…
07-03 02:37:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 104-105°F on July 3?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x35acb1…
07-03 02:36:52	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 104-105°F on July 3?	Yes	SELL	25	6¢	$2	0x4c8006…
07-02 23:03:56	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 104-105°F on July 3?	Yes	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x9da5bd…
07-02 22:57:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 104-105°F on July 3?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x8a80b3…
07-02 22:50:49	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 104-105°F on July 3?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xfbb655…
07-02 18:58:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 4?	Yes	SELL	30	23¢	$7	0xca96bf…
07-02 18:44:01	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on July 4?	Yes	SELL	30	34¢	$10	0x36f787…
07-02 18:42:01	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x227d26…
07-02 16:14:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0x9cf253…
07-02 15:35:55	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on July 4?	Yes	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0xa8edf3…
07-02 15:02:43	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xc706d6…
07-02 14:58:07	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x00ad81…
07-02 14:11:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 4?	Yes	SELL	19	34¢	$6	0x74df7a…
07-02 13:49:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 4?	Yes	SELL	12	17¢	$2	0x2abee2…
07-02 13:31:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xb65910…
07-02 11:25:28	Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 4?	Yes	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0x003673…
07-02 11:23:25	Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x357a9c…
07-02 09:51:01	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 3?	Yes	SELL	30	28¢	$8	0x5b620f…
07-02 09:50:19	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0x34df15…
07-02 09:07:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 4?	Yes	SELL	11	37¢	$4	0xd9bb4d…
07-02 07:42:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x9829c1…
07-02 06:27:41	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 4?	Yes	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0x7f15e6…
07-02 06:12:37	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on July 3?	Yes	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0x8c50c3…
07-02 06:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x4f8565…
07-02 06:08:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0x2f5f0c…
07-02 04:13:37	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 3?	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x437dff…
07-02 03:58:22	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 33°C on July 3?	Yes	SELL	30	40¢	$12	0x7d215d…
07-02 03:49:56	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 33°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0x3041ed…
07-02 03:37:04	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xe2cc36…
07-02 02:15:26	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on July 3?	Yes	SELL	3	19¢	$0	0x6c6098…
07-02 02:12:43	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x5bcf20…
06-27 03:29:02	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on June 27?	Yes	SELL	30	12¢	$4	0xcaf2be…
06-26 22:59:50	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 27?	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x8f0796…
06-26 22:54:35	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 27?	Yes	SELL	9	17¢	$2	0x203f6f…
06-26 22:46:44	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 27?	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0xb39291…
06-26 22:46:41	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 27?	Yes	SELL	9	17¢	$2	0x7c7786…
06-26 05:00:17	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 27?	Yes	SELL	30	23¢	$7	0xe0c6de…
06-26 04:36:08	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on June 27?	Yes	BUY	3	18¢	$0	0x650252…
06-26 04:36:01	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on June 27?	Yes	BUY	24	18¢	$4	0x5c716a…
06-26 04:08:37	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 27?	Yes	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0x30d35c…
06-26 04:05:58	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on June 27?	Yes	BUY	3	18¢	$1	0xb837f2…
06-26 03:44:37	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	23	42¢	$10	0x9b7d70…
06-26 03:25:47	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x6fada9…
06-26 03:16:38	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa0a998…
06-26 00:58:46	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 26?	Yes	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0x2e82fd…
06-26 00:44:10	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 26?	Yes	SELL	23	15¢	$4	0xa8b3f6…
06-26 00:42:50	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 26?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xe22f6d…
06-26 00:37:38	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 26?	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x9371ad…
06-25 23:28:49	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 26?	Yes	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0xe3756a…
06-25 22:24:50	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 26?	Yes	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0x597e23…
06-25 21:16:55	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 35°C on June 27?	Yes	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0x4378cf…
06-25 20:11:32	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 35°C on June 27?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x8c8630…
06-25 19:30:11	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 27?	Yes	SELL	13	21¢	$3	0xe24f20…
06-25 18:56:52	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 35°C on June 27?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x4b2be7…
06-25 18:36:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 27?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x6c617b…
06-25 18:19:47	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 27?	Yes	SELL	30	13¢	$4	0x0e6d6d…
06-25 18:17:25	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 35°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xfb3351…
06-25 18:15:53	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 35°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x918de4…
06-25 18:15:02	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	0	18¢	$0	0x7aeb71…
06-25 18:15:01	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xee5c0b…
06-25 18:14:59	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xa3730d…
06-25 18:14:49	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	3	18¢	$1	0x3591b8…
06-25 18:14:49	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	24	18¢	$4	0x00c9eb…
06-25 18:13:29	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x31274c…
06-25 18:13:23	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0x4fa7a2…
06-25 18:11:38	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 35°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x254837…
06-25 18:11:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x4fd024…
06-25 18:08:35	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xecf975…
06-25 18:04:17	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 35°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x180943…
06-25 18:04:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 35°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xc55361…
06-25 18:02:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x05effd…
06-25 16:49:47	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 27?	Yes	SELL	16	42¢	$7	0xd46d15…
06-25 16:31:01	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x5a704a…
06-25 16:03:35	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 27?	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xba5f42…
06-25 13:47:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x839d9f…
06-25 13:21:17	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xecf365…
06-25 13:16:25	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xc03c28…
06-25 12:41:16	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 27?	Yes	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0xaadf0e…
06-25 12:33:17	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0x95ab7b…
06-10 07:34:30	Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1% and 1.5%?	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xb91a0c…
06-10 07:34:25	Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1% and 1.5%?	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x33f976…
06-10 07:34:22	Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1% and 1.5%?	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x53c7f6…
06-10 05:52:28	Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1% and 1.5%?	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xe0c2e9…
06-10 05:52:21	Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1% and 1.5%?	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x0566f8…
06-09 21:00:24	Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1% and 1.5%?	Yes	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0xb22f4a…
06-09 20:55:01	Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1% and 1.5%?	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x8ba1c3…