Cumbersome-Parent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12.8K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.2%

Resolved

3,657

Trades

14,581

lifetime

Volume

$1.56M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$107

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 08:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 180 days

Categories

Other

94% 73% -$12,706

Crypto

6% 71% -$98

Sports

0% 14% -$3

Politics

0% 60% -$5

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 375 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	19	$29.1K	14,614	24,614	-10,000	No	+$146	08-12 10:03
will bitcoin reach 98k december 29 january 4	24	$27.5K	18,381	9,400	+8,981	No	+$99	01-02 22:46
Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?	9	$23.2K	11,735	11,735	+0	No	+$211	07-15 20:37
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?	32	$22.9K	13,218	10,000	+3,218	No	+$62	07-14 20:32
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 spread home 3pt5	2	$22.6K	11,452	11,452	+0	Spain	+$240	07-14 20:20
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	52	$21.8K	12,489	19,489	-7,000	No	+$502	08-06 14:53
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 spread home 2pt5	10	$21.7K	11,026	11,026	+0	England	+$236	07-11 22:47
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	61	$20.6K	10,377	10,377	+0	No	+$96	07-24 00:06
Exact Score: Australia 3 - 3 Egypt?	10	$19.9K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	+$40	07-03 18:36
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	61	$19.6K	9,797	19,797	-10,000	No	+$257	08-05 09:21
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	183	$19.0K	9,620	19,620	-10,000	No	+$713	08-14 14:28
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	23	$19.0K	9,683	9,683	+0	No	+$332	07-27 16:43
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 England?	2	$18.8K	9,500	9,500	+0	No	+$228	07-18 22:09
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	13	$17.3K	10,010	7,833	+2,177	No	+$4	07-29 19:44
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	22	$16.7K	8,645	8,145	+500	No	+$37	07-30 06:34
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	98	$16.4K	9,108	19,108	-10,000	No	+$228	08-07 07:05
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	13	$16.0K	8,025	8,025	+0	No	+$9	07-16 06:38
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	247	$15.9K	7,170	9,603	-2,433	No	+$263	04-24 15:18
Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 3 Senegal?	2	$15.7K	7,871	7,871	+0	No	+$63	07-01 21:59
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	5	$15.5K	7,774	8,274	-500	No	+$56	08-02 09:34
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	21	$15.1K	7,740	7,740	+0	No	+$46	05-13 06:52
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	3	$14.3K	7,191	7,191	+0	No	+$25	06-13 16:52
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	6	$12.8K	6,430	6,430	+0	No	+$46	06-19 02:21
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Egypt?	26	$11.9K	6,000	6,000	+0	No	+$24	07-07 17:55
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	184	$11.3K	5,306	6,441	-1,135	No	+$71	04-28 14:51
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	53	$11.1K	5,604	5,604	+0	No	+$28	05-27 10:07
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 spread away 2pt5	4	$11.0K	11,121	0	+11,121	Argentina	+$96	07-12 00:50
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	36	$10.7K	5,402	5,402	+0	No	+$44	07-21 08:11
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 spread away 2pt5	1	$10.6K	10,790	0	+10,790	Spain	+$140	07-09 22:33
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	266	$10.6K	5,785	7,385	-1,600	No	+$10	04-27 18:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 08:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xebafc7…
10-28 12:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x733e1d…
10-28 12:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xe8cb6a…
10-28 12:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xa542fb…
10-28 12:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xa80356…
10-28 12:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xae5061…
10-28 12:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xba572d…
10-28 12:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x9af0e6…
10-28 12:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xfab363…
10-28 12:04:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xfa4fef…
10-28 08:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0xcaefb1…
10-28 08:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x756be4…
10-28 08:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xba72be…
10-28 08:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x4e7c1f…
10-28 08:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x722096…
10-28 08:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb80c5a…
10-28 08:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x5a2b2c…
10-28 07:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xab646d…
10-28 07:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xe49b46…
10-28 03:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb402b6…
10-28 03:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x463889…
10-27 12:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x84663b…
10-27 12:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xaf3405…
10-27 12:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xef456a…
10-27 11:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x7279b2…
10-27 06:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x55a4c7…
10-27 04:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xa86266…
10-27 03:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfb854d…
10-27 03:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x8afb49…
10-27 00:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xdab433…
10-27 00:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x0a050e…
10-26 23:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x8ea121…
10-26 21:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x8bab2f…
10-26 21:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xa54a08…
10-26 21:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5c52f6…
10-26 20:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x68868b…
10-26 19:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb1d7a2…
10-26 18:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x1e4910…
10-26 18:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1a446e…
10-26 18:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xcbb4bd…
10-26 18:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x9ab8e3…
10-26 18:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xac707d…
10-26 18:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x7bde9c…
10-26 18:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xa8f1c9…
10-26 18:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x57db69…
10-26 18:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x2441ca…
10-26 17:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x565877…
10-26 17:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb31afb…
10-26 17:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x927917…
10-26 17:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xa89ee3…
10-26 16:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x064124…
10-26 16:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xe3dc04…
10-26 16:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x32bb48…
10-26 15:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x0717f8…
10-26 11:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x06b1f5…
10-26 03:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xde5f0f…
10-26 03:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x5bc1ea…
10-26 03:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x0865b2…
10-26 03:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x63e370…
10-26 03:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x08bf01…
10-26 03:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x65a339…
10-26 03:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xada5d7…
10-26 03:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xf81e04…
10-26 03:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe5a0f6…
10-26 03:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3a9a0b…
10-26 02:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xeed36c…
10-26 01:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xafbfa5…
10-26 01:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x57d55d…
10-26 01:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb4b60d…
10-26 01:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x10ac3f…
10-26 01:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x73584b…
10-26 00:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x81c874…
10-26 00:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x87c41e…
10-26 00:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x8073d7…
10-26 00:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x45b3a1…
10-25 23:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x5da0a6…
10-25 20:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xf1af45…
10-25 17:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x17908a…
10-25 15:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xda2d5f…
10-25 14:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x068869…
10-25 14:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x4099ff…
10-25 14:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x370013…
10-25 14:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x4e7028…
10-25 14:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4b3c37…
10-25 08:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x5bb79e…
10-25 06:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xf6ad54…
10-24 23:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xae10c8…
10-24 23:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x0a049d…
10-24 19:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x3dbecf…
10-24 18:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xcf7f93…
10-24 18:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x1e4120…
10-24 17:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x7eba49…
10-24 15:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb60d75…
10-24 14:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xdb427d…
10-24 07:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xba623d…
10-24 06:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x569411…
10-24 06:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x9af502…
10-24 06:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xcd3acd…
10-24 05:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x8a0148…
10-24 03:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x1f44cc…